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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs69%10195
25Kings31%9486
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
33.8
34.1
18
57%
5
2
1
1
1
1
4
1
3-4
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
33.8
32.1
16
56%
1
6
1
2
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-7
6-11
29%
51%
3-6
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
29.5
23.4
12
75%
11
3
0
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
28.8
30.7
10
42%
10
3
1
1
1
1
1
9
0-0
-
5-12
7-13
42%
52%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
27.4
4.7
15
77%
3
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
48%
1-2
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.0
19.2
13.0
13
94%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
6-6
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
17.0
22.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
16.7
16.8
8
45%
3
2
0
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
53%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
16.2
16.5
1
20%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.6
15.3
19.6
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
1.6
10.3
2
53%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
0.6
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.2
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
42.5
34.1
22
44%
9
6
0
1
0
4
1
8
1-2
50%
9-22
6-12
41%
49%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.5
39.3
36.2
20
52%
2
0
3
1
1
2
1
1
2-5
40%
9-17
7-13
53%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
34.4
37.5
11
50%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
7-9
78%
2-6
5-11
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
33.6
31.5
7
44%
8
2
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.3
18.3
26.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.1
24.6
20.3
12
60%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.3
19.3
10.2
4
33%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26.0
13.8
5.1
10
83%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
47%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
13.8
16.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.0
0.4
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.7
15.0
1
1-2
45%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.