FinalWin Prob.pScore
2622%88
95
1178%98
99
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
101.19495.1
MIA logo MIA
110.09089.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0PHIMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0PHIDalembert Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T19)95
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q4 - 0:08.0PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
15.2%
97
84.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot95
10.5%
97
89.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0PHIHoliday Foul Turnover (P4.T18)95
7.0%
97
93.0%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)95
18.7%
97
81.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)95
20.9%
96
79.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
31.4%
95
68.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0PHIMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
36.3%
95
63.7%
Q4 - 1:25PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
47.9%
95
52.1%
Q4 - 1:26MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 295
45.8%
95
54.2%
Q4 - 1:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
37.0%
95
63.0%
Q4 - 1:39PHIIguodala 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
44.5%
94
55.5%
Q4 - 1:56PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)93
33.0%
94
67.0%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 293
31.4%
94
68.6%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 293
24.7%
94
75.3%
Q4 - 2:10PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
21.6%
94
78.4%
Q4 - 2:10PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)92
19.9%
94
80.1%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
17.0%
94
83.0%
Q4 - 2:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)91
21.5%
92
78.5%
Q4 - 2:36PHIMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
25.4%
92
74.6%
Q4 - 2:59MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)91
34.2%
92
65.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
41.8%
90
58.2%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
52.4%
90
47.5%
Q4 - 3:30PHIKapono 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)91
41.8%
90
58.2%
Q4 - 3:39PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
32.1%
90
67.9%
Q4 - 3:41PHIMISS Iguodala 14' Jump Shot89
26.2%
90
73.8%
Q4 - 4:00MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)89
32.1%
90
67.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAHEAT Rebound89
40.3%
88
59.7%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Wade Layup89
47.4%
88
52.6%
Q4 - 4:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
40.3%
88
59.7%
Q4 - 4:12PHIMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot89
43.4%
88
56.6%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWright 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)89
50.8%
88
49.2%
Q4 - 4:59MIAHEAT Rebound89
68.8%
85
31.2%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS O'Neal Tip Shot89
74.7%
85
25.3%
Q4 - 5:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)89
63.5%
85
36.5%
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot89
69.0%
85
31.0%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound89
63.8%
85
36.2%
Q4 - 5:20PHIMISS Meeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
66.2%
85
33.8%
Q4 - 5:34PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
71.6%
85
28.4%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot89
69.4%
85
30.6%
Q4 - 5:54PHIKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
64.0%
85
36.0%
Q4 - 6:15MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)86
44.6%
85
55.4%
Q4 - 6:35PHISmith Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)86
59.3%
82
40.7%
Q4 - 6:39MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)84
52.3%
82
47.7%
Q4 - 7:09PHIMeeks Driving Layup (7 PTS)84
41.6%
82
58.4%
Q4 - 7:21MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)82
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 7:37MIAHEAT Rebound82
29.0%
82
71.0%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot82
33.6%
82
66.4%
Q4 - 8:08PHIBrand 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)82
28.8%
82
71.2%
Q4 - 8:32PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q4 - 8:33MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot80
22.4%
82
77.6%
Q4 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
19.4%
82
80.6%
Q4 - 8:54PHIMISS Kapono 10' Jump Shot80
20.7%
82
79.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
23.8%
82
76.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
24.8%
81
75.2%
Q4 - 9:25PHIArroyo STEAL (1 STL)80
28.6%
80
71.4%
Q4 - 9:32PHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
33.6%
80
66.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
28.6%
80
71.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot80
32.0%
80
68.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Jump Shot80
32.0%
80
68.0%
Q4 - 10:00PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
28.6%
80
71.4%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)77
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q4 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)77
27.9%
77
72.1%
Q4 - 11:04PHIAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)77
28.8%
77
71.2%
Q4 - 11:09PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
31.8%
77
68.2%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot77
30.5%
77
69.5%
Q4 - 11:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
27.5%
77
72.5%
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot77
30.5%
77
69.5%
Q4 - 11:36PHI76ers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)77
27.5%
77
72.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHI77
31.9%
77
68.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0PHIChalmers STEAL (4 STL)77
27.4%
77
72.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
31.2%
77
68.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
27.4%
77
72.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot77
30.1%
77
69.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Wright 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
30.1%
77
69.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
27.4%
77
72.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
30.1%
77
69.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
27.5%
77
72.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 177
30.7%
77
69.3%
Q3 - 1:00PHISpeights 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)77
36.3%
75
63.7%
Q3 - 1:24PHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
30.6%
75
69.4%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
29.5%
75
70.5%
Q3 - 1:42PHISpeights Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)75
26.9%
75
73.1%
Q3 - 1:58MIAWade Reverse Slam Dunk (14 PTS)73
23.0%
75
77.0%
Q3 - 2:00PHIWade STEAL (2 STL)73
27.0%
73
73.0%
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)73
29.7%
73
70.3%
Q3 - 2:33PHIIguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)73
38.2%
70
61.8%
Q3 - 2:52MIAHaslem 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)70
29.8%
70
70.2%
Q3 - 3:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
32.4%
68
67.6%
Q3 - 3:04PHIMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot70
33.7%
68
66.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)70
36.8%
68
63.2%
Q3 - 3:28PHIRichardson STEAL (4 STL)70
45.3%
65
54.7%
Q3 - 3:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
50.1%
65
49.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
51.0%
64
49.0%
Q3 - 4:01MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
52.8%
63
47.2%
Q3 - 4:02PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 270
53.5%
63
46.5%
Q3 - 4:02PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
56.2%
63
43.8%
Q3 - 4:07PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot69
52.0%
63
48.0%
Q3 - 4:15MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)69
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q3 - 4:17PHIMISS Brand 13' Turnaround Jump Shot69
50.1%
63
49.9%
Q3 - 4:39MIARichardson Reverse Layup (9 PTS)69
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 4:54PHIKapono 18' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)69
57.3%
61
42.7%
Q3 - 5:11MIARichardson 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
51.5%
61
48.5%
Q3 - 5:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
55.1%
59
44.9%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot67
58.4%
59
41.6%
Q3 - 5:27PHIDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 5:27PHIDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)66
54.3%
59
45.7%
Q3 - 5:32PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
51.6%
59
48.4%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 5:54PHIIguodala Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)65
46.9%
59
53.1%
Q3 - 5:57MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
43.3%
59
56.7%
Q3 - 6:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
37.4%
59
62.6%
Q3 - 6:17PHIWade BLOCK (2 BLK)63
38.7%
59
61.3%
Q3 - 6:22MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)63
41.7%
59
58.3%
Q3 - 6:32PHIDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
37.4%
59
62.6%
Q3 - 6:32PHIMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 262
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 6:50MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
37.9%
59
62.1%
Q3 - 7:15PHIIguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)62
39.8%
57
60.2%
Q3 - 7:35MIARichardson 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)59
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 7:57PHIHoliday 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIAArroyo Layup (13 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)57
32.3%
55
67.7%
Q3 - 8:28PHIRichardson STEAL (3 STL)57
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q3 - 8:33PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)57
39.3%
53
60.7%
Q3 - 8:36PHIMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot57
36.6%
53
63.4%
Q3 - 8:43PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
39.3%
53
60.7%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q3 - 9:01PHIDalembert Layup (16 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)57
34.8%
53
65.2%
Q3 - 9:10PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)55
31.6%
53
68.4%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot55
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q3 - 9:26PHIHoliday Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
28.5%
53
71.5%
Q3 - 9:33PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot53
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q3 - 10:01PHIDalembert Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)53
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 10:06PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot51
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 10:17PHIBeasley STEAL (2 STL)51
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q3 - 10:24PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)51
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot51
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 10:45PHIKapono 14' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)51
17.9%
53
82.1%
Q3 - 11:04PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)49
15.8%
53
84.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 15' Fadeaway Jumper49
15.2%
53
84.8%
Q3 - 11:22PHIDalembert 3' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q3 - 11:25PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)47
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 11:26PHIMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot47
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q3 - 11:39PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Beasley Layup47
12.0%
53
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI47
10.9%
53
89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0PHIMISS Brand 17' Jump Shot47
11.7%
53
88.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0PHI76ers Rebound47
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
12.1%
53
87.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0PHIMeeks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)47
11.4%
53
88.6%
Q2 - 0:27.0PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
9.8%
53
90.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot45
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0PHIBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0PHIMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot43
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 1:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 1:10PHIMISS Holiday Free Throw 1 of 143
7.2%
53
92.8%
Q2 - 1:28PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)41
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot41
5.9%
53
94.1%
Q2 - 1:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q2 - 1:41PHIMISS Iguodala 14' Jump Shot41
5.7%
53
94.3%
Q2 - 2:03MIAWade Driving Dunk (6 PTS)41
6.3%
53
93.7%
Q2 - 2:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
7.0%
51
93.0%
Q2 - 2:20PHIMISS Holiday 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 2:30MIAWright 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)41
7.9%
51
92.1%
Q2 - 2:35PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)41
8.9%
49
91.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)41
10.0%
49
90.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q2 - 3:00PHIMISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.6%
47
88.4%
Q2 - 3:17MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)41
12.7%
47
87.3%
Q2 - 3:24PHIChalmers STEAL (3 STL)41
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 3:36MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)41
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 3:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 3:51PHIAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)41
16.0%
44
84.0%
Q2 - 4:04PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.6%
44
83.4%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
15.3%
44
84.7%
Q2 - 4:13PHIMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot41
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 4:34MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Wright Free Throw Technical41
20.7%
41
79.3%
Q2 - 5:09PHIDalembert 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 5:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)39
18.8%
41
81.2%
Q2 - 5:43PHIGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)39
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 5:50PHIGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot36
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 6:10PHIGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
17.0%
38
83.0%
Q2 - 6:10PHIGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 6:32PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 134
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 6:38PHIWright STEAL (1 STL)34
17.0%
36
83.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)34
19.0%
36
81.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 234
19.3%
35
80.7%
Q2 - 7:12MIAHEAT Rebound34
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 7:14PHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)34
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 7:26PHIWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T7)34
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 7:29PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Fadeaway Jumper34
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 7:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS O'Neal Driving Layup34
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 7:52PHIWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)34
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 8:05PHISmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 8:06PHIMISS Brand 18' Jump Shot31
14.4%
35
85.6%
Q2 - 8:18PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot31
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 8:39PHIWilliams Layup (9 PTS)31
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 8:47MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)29
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 8:54PHIChalmers STEAL (2 STL)29
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 9:09MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 9:10PHIMISS Speights 17' Jump Shot29
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 9:20PHI76ers Rebound29
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot29
16.2%
32
83.8%
Q2 - 9:39PHIGreen Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)29
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 9:56MIAO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)27
13.9%
32
86.1%
Q2 - 10:12MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:13PHIMISS Smith Layup27
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 10:19PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
16.3%
30
83.7%
Q2 - 10:52PHIKapono 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
15.3%
30
84.7%
Q2 - 11:13MIAWright 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)25
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 11:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q2 - 11:30PHIMISS Speights 14' Jump Shot25
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 11:34PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot25
17.8%
27
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI25
16.8%
27
83.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI76ers Rebound25
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Green 65' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)25
17.9%
27
82.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0PHIGreen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)25
19.8%
25
80.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0PHIChalmers STEAL (1 STL)22
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 1:01PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 1:02PHIMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot22
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 1:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 1:23MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 1:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 1:25PHIMISS Speights 18' Jump Shot22
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 1:43MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 1:57MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 1:58PHIMISS Green 20' Jump Shot22
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 2:12MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)22
27.9%
18
72.1%
Q1 - 2:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 2:30PHIMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot22
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 2:37PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)22
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 2:38MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot22
33.3%
15
66.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade Layup22
33.3%
15
66.7%
Q1 - 2:51MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q1 - 2:52PHIMISS Iguodala 16' Jump Shot22
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 3:09MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P2.T5)22
33.4%
15
66.6%
Q1 - 3:14PHIHaslem STEAL (1 STL)22
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAArroyo 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)22
33.4%
15
66.6%
Q1 - 3:57PHIDalembert 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS)22
35.5%
13
64.5%
Q1 - 4:13MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
32.4%
13
67.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
32.7%
12
67.3%
Q1 - 4:18PHIRichardson STEAL (2 STL)20
34.3%
11
65.7%
Q1 - 4:21PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 4:23PHIMISS Brand 13' Jump Shot20
35.0%
11
65.0%
Q1 - 4:29PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
36.5%
11
63.5%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup20
35.8%
11
64.2%
Q1 - 4:51PHIIguodala Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)20
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)18
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 5:05PHIMISS Williams 16' Fadeaway Jumper18
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 5:10PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot18
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 5:31PHIRichardson STEAL (1 STL)18
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)18
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 5:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 5:39PHIMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 5:44PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 5:46PHIMISS Iguodala 21' Jump Shot18
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 5:57PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup18
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 6:19PHIWilliams Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)18
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 6:22PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup16
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 6:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Beasley 4' Hook Shot16
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 6:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot16
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 6:58MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 7:00PHIMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 116
26.3%
11
73.7%
Q1 - 7:04PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
24.0%
11
76.0%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot14
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 7:15PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
22.4%
11
77.6%
Q1 - 7:15PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 213
22.1%
11
77.9%
Q1 - 7:24PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
22.5%
11
77.5%
Q1 - 7:25MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Turnaround Jump Shot13
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 7:47PHIWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)13
21.0%
11
79.0%
Q1 - 8:02MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
18.1%
11
81.9%
Q1 - 8:15PHIDalembert Dunk (6 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)10
17.0%
11
83.0%
Q1 - 8:24MIAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 8:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.8%
11
85.2%
Q1 - 8:30PHIMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot8
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 8:43MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 8:56PHIKapono 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)8
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 9:17MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)6
16.9%
8
83.1%
Q1 - 9:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 9:38PHIMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 16
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:47MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 10:00PHIDalembert Dunk (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)4
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 10:08MIAO'Neal 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)2
17.0%
4
83.0%
Q1 - 10:29PHIBrand Layup (2 PTS)2
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 10:31PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:33PHIMISS Dalembert 14' Jump Shot0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:53MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 10:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 20
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 20
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:03PHIBeasley STEAL (1 STL)0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:14PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot0
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:33MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:34PHIMISS Brand 20' Jump Shot0
18.0%
0
82.0%
Q1 - 11:42PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw Technical0
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Dalembert: Tip to Brand0
18.7%
0
81.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
17
20
85%
MIA
15
27
56%
Midrange
PHI
13
37
35%
MIA
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
PHI
11
18
61%
MIA
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Dalembert1986%9.5 / 11
A. Iguodala1653%8.0 / 15
J. Kapono1350%6.5 / 13
L. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
W. Green1071%5.0 / 7
J. Meeks770%3.5 / 5
E. Brand630%3.0 / 10
J. Holiday675%3.0 / 4
M. Speights440%2.0 / 5
J. Smith233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2250%11.0 / 22
D. Wright1979%9.5 / 12
C. Arroyo1568%7.5 / 11
M. Chalmers1246%6.0 / 13
U. Haslem1155%5.5 / 10
Q. Richardson964%4.5 / 7
J. O'Neal420%2.0 / 10
M. Beasley422%2.0 / 9
J. Anthony3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
76
+10
-18
86
MIA
78
+17
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
106.7
PHI 101.1
MIA 110.0 +8.9
Pace
91.8
89.6
PHI 95.1 +6.2
MIA 89.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
PHI 15.1 +1.1
MIA 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.6%
PHI 56.0% +10.7%
MIA 45.3%
TO %
15.0%
13.6%
PHI 18.6%
MIA 10.8% +7.8%
ORB %
27.7%
26.0%
PHI 24.3%
MIA 28.0% +3.7%
FTrt
27.0
29.6
PHI 24.0
MIA 34.9 +10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
51.9%
PHI 55.3% +10.9%
MIA 44.4%
STL %
8.8%
8.1%
PHI 9.6%
MIA 16.7% +7.1%
BLK %
8.7%
9.4%
PHI 9.0% +2.0%
MIA 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
52.1%
PHI 55.2% +4.2%
MIA 51.0%
Rim FG%
60.5%
62.0%
PHI 85.0% +29.4%
MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.8%
PHI 35.1%
MIA 37.5% +2.4%
3P %
34.3%
34.6%
PHI 44.4% +12.8%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
75.6%
75.2%
PHI 61.1%
MIA 70.0% +8.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.8%
PHI 26.7%
MIA 31.4% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
45.0%
48.3%
PHI 49.3%
MIA 46.5% +2.8%
3P Att. %
20.6%
21.9%
PHI 24.0% +1.9%
MIA 22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9490
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points9599
Rebounds4542
Assists2116
Steals915
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals38-7536-86
At-the-Rim FG17-2015-27
Midrange FG13-3715-40
2-Point FG30-5730-67
3-Point FG8-186-19
Free Throws11-1821-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 26
36.5
16
53%
5
6
0
1
4
1
1
4
4-7
57%
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 254 · 31
34.9
6
30%
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
32.8
13
50%
3
1
2
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
31.2
19
86%
16
0
0
4
3
4
4
12
3-5
60%
8-9
89%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 20
27.2
6
75%
4
6
2
0
4
4
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
26.0
12
67%
4
4
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
2-2
100%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24
17.6
2
33%
6
1
0
0
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 23
12.1
7
70%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 205 · 29
11.4
10
71%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23
10.3
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 205 · 26
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34
#3 · G · 6'0" 165 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'8" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
45
21
9
6
18
0
9
36
11-18
61%
30-57
53%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.