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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bobcats44%95104
16Hornets56%97103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
42.7
35.0
10
51%
6
6
1
1
0
5
1
5
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
54%
2-3
67%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.0
40.6
31.2
29
67%
4
5
0
1
0
4
0
4
8-8
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
46%
3-8
38%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.8
33.7
32.8
12
51%
5
7
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.5
33.0
25.0
16
81%
10
0
1
0
5
1
5
5
2-2
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
58%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
29.2
37.5
8
46%
6
2
1
1
0
4
1
5
4-6
67%
2-6
5-10
33%
52%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.2
24.3
18.6
6
38%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
40%
2-5
40%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.4
18.6
15.3
14
100%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
4-5
80%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
10.4
5.5
5
51%
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
5.3
6.0
2
50%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.6
2.2
2.5
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
4.7
0
1-1
46%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.2
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.9
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
45.4
26.3
24
68%
5
9
1
1
0
3
2
3
7-8
88%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
1-1
100%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.8
41.8
35.7
36
64%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
4-5
80%
10-16
5-11
63%
49%
4-10
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
41.5
31.7
13
40%
8
4
4
1
0
2
3
5
1-1
100%
6-16
7-13
38%
50%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
24.0
23.6
8
50%
1
2
3
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
22.9
22.8
7
72%
9
1
0
1
0
1
2
7
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.2
24.0
17.3
5
36%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.1
18.6
19.1
6
75%
1
0
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.3
13.1
13.3
2
33%
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
8.8
9.5
2
57%
0
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.9
35.3
2
5-9
52%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.8
9.2
0
1-2
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.