for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Grizzlies19%9384
7Mavericks81%105110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
44.5
37.4
23
62%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
8-14
6-12
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.5
37.9
31.3
17
43%
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
7-14
4-10
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.7
36.2
34.3
17
49%
13
3
0
1
0
2
4
9
5-8
63%
6-13
7-14
46%
48%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
32.7
33.9
11
69%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.1
30.2
18.0
9
92%
7
1
0
0
1
0
4
3
1-2
50%
4-4
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
14.6
21.5
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
14.2
21.3
5
66%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.3
10.3
16.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.1
8.6
4.7
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
7.5
8.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.9
3.4
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
15.8
1
2-3
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.2
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.8
34.1
37.4
22
72%
9
0
1
1
1
1
2
7
3-3
100%
8-13
8-16
62%
51%
1-1
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.1
32.8
31.0
23
61%
6
2
2
1
1
1
3
3
3-4
75%
10-16
5-10
63%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.0
30.2
33.3
12
67%
4
10
1
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
4-5
80%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.0
26.1
3.0
2
20%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
14.8
18.2
2
100%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
63%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
30.9
27.9
16
58%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.4
24.0
21.9
11
81%
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
23.0
11.9
4
50%
3
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
17.2
15.0
14
81%
1
6
4
0
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.1
3.5
13.7
2
100%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
3.5
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
22.7
1
4-8
55%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.