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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Trail Blazers71%10293
27Clippers29%9485
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.7
42.2
35.3
27
49%
12
5
1
1
1
0
7
5
3-4
75%
12-26
8-15
46%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 25.7
38.8
34.6
23
63%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
9-14
6-12
64%
52%
1-3
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.1
33.4
28.7
13
60%
4
4
4
1
0
5
0
4
3-4
75%
5-9
5-11
56%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.3
30.7
25.2
11
65%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-1
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
57%
1-3
33%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.0
26.7
31.1
2
20%
9
2
1
1
2
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.2
23.9
20.6
10
63%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.0
18.4
19.4
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.6
11.5
14.7
3
44%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 23.3
11.3
17.1
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
3.2
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.0
11.1
0
2-3
52%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.2
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.5
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.0
38.8
35.5
11
37%
1
8
3
2
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
38.4
37.9
14
64%
3
1
2
1
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
34.0
35.1
9
50%
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
30.8
25.6
10
45%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
29.6
29.0
14
47%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
0-2
0%
7-14
6-13
50%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.1
28.1
26.6
14
70%
1
6
1
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
23.6
19.8
8
67%
11
2
0
0
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
4-6
3-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.4
11.6
15.6
5
91%
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-1
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
4.8
4.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.8
0.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.5
8.2
0
1-2
45%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.9
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.5
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.