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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs41%102101
8Suns59%105112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
34.4
33.2
17
65%
6
1
1
1
1
4
2
4
4-7
57%
5-5
4-9
100%
50%
1-5
20%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.9
34.3
29.6
14
54%
7
3
0
1
2
4
3
4
4-7
57%
5-10
6-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
32.1
32.5
10
36%
3
4
1
1
0
2
3
0
0-0
-
5-9
5-11
56%
50%
0-5
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
22.9
13.9
11
51%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
21.2
25.4
6
60%
7
4
0
1
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.6
31.3
18.2
18
64%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
4-9
44%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
24.6
17.7
10
50%
3
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
18.5
20.7
5
47%
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-3
33%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.0
14.8
15.8
6
56%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-3
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
5.9
7.6
4
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
16.6
0
1-1
47%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
3.4
0
1-1
55%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.2
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
36.2
31.5
29
61%
8
1
1
1
0
4
6
2
3-4
75%
13-22
8-14
59%
56%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.5
35.3
27.1
17
75%
8
4
1
1
1
0
1
7
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.2
30.5
25.8
18
60%
4
12
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
8-13
4-7
62%
53%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
29.6
26.0
20
68%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
3-6
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.3
12.2
10.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.9
31.6
26.1
12
68%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.7
24.8
26.2
3
50%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
19.4
21.2
7
38%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.3
15.3
16.8
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.4
5.3
16.9
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
0.1
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 26.8
7.1
0
0-1
51%
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 24.0
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.