Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, April 8, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	27	Clippers	34%	97	94
	22	Kings	66%	103	116

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
LAC	103.3	91	92.9
SAC	131.8	88	86.3

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+10

-12

SAC

+17

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.06 52.8%

SAC

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	LAC	SAC
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAC		94 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:23.0	SAC	Brockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	94 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:24.0	LAC	MISS Jordan 5' Jump Shot	94 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:25.0	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	94 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:26.0	LAC	MISS Collins 8' Jump Shot	94 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:40.0	SAC	Greene Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Casspi 1 AST)	94 0%	116 100%
Q4 - 0:45.0	LAC	May STEAL (1 STL)	94 0%	114 100%
Q4 - 0:53.0	LAC	B. Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	94 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0	SAC	MISS May 17' Jump Shot	94 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:13	SAC	Brockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	94 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:16	SAC	MISS May 7' Jump Shot	94 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:35	LAC	Jordan 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	94 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 1:54	SAC	Greene Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)	92 0.1%	114 99.9%
Q4 - 2:13	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	92 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 2:13	LAC	Jordan Putback Dunk (4 PTS)	92 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 2:14	LAC	MISS B. Brown 10' Jump Shot	90 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 2:32	SAC	Casspi Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	90 0.1%	112 99.9%
Q4 - 2:32	SAC	Casspi Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	90 0.1%	111 99.9%
Q4 - 2:45	LAC	B. Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	90 0.1%	110 99.9%
Q4 - 2:59	SAC	Casspi 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garcia 2 AST)	87 0.1%	110 99.9%
Q4 - 3:09	LAC	Skinner Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	87 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 3:31	SAC	Evans 23' Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS)	87 0.1%	108 99.9%
Q4 - 3:51	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)	87 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 3:52	LAC	MISS Skinner 16' Jump Shot	87 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 4:02	LAC	Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	87 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 4:03	SAC	MISS Landry 18' Jump Shot	87 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 4:25	LAC	Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (B. Brown 1 AST)	87 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 4:52	SAC	Udrih Layup (12 PTS)	84 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 5:12	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:14	LAC	MISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:21	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:23	SAC	MISS Thompson 17' Jump Shot	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:44	LAC	Butler Layup (6 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)	84 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 5:48	SAC	Evans Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)	82 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 6:03	LAC	Kaman 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)	82 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 6:17	SAC	Udrih 19' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)	80 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 6:22	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	80 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:22	LAC	MISS Davis 22' Jump Shot	80 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:41	SAC	Evans 3' Running Hook Shot (26 PTS)	80 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 6:57	LAC	Blake Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	80 0.1%	100 99.9%
Q4 - 7:02	LAC	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	80 0.3%	100 99.7%
Q4 - 7:03	SAC	MISS Landry 4' Jump Shot	80 0.3%	100 99.7%
Q4 - 7:27	LAC	Jordan 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	80 0.2%	100 99.8%
Q4 - 7:45	SAC	Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	78 0.2%	100 99.8%
Q4 - 7:45	SAC	Landry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	78 0.2%	99 99.8%
Q4 - 7:56	SAC	KINGS Rebound	78 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 7:57	LAC	MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot	78 0.2%	98 99.8%
Q4 - 8:12	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	78 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 8:13	LAC	MISS Blake 20' Jump Shot	78 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 8:42	SAC	Greene Layup (4 PTS) (Udrih 4 AST)	78 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 8:47	LAC	Udrih STEAL (3 STL)	78 0.6%	96 99.4%
Q4 - 8:59	SAC	Thompson 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST)	78 0.7%	96 99.3%
Q4 - 9:11	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	78 1.3%	94 98.7%
Q4 - 9:11	LAC	MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot	78 1.4%	94 98.6%
Q4 - 9:22	SAC	Landry Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	78 1.6%	94 98.4%
Q4 - 9:30	SAC	Greene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	78 2.6%	91 97.4%
Q4 - 9:31	LAC	MISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot	78 2.7%	91 97.3%
Q4 - 9:46	SAC	Garcia 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)	78 3.2%	91 96.8%
Q4 - 10:06	SAC	Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	78 5.7%	88 94.3%
Q4 - 10:07	LAC	MISS Collins 9' Jump Shot	78 6.1%	88 93.9%
Q4 - 10:30	SAC	Udrih 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	78 7.1%	88 92.9%
Q4 - 10:52	LAC	Gordon 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	78 8.6%	86 91.4%
Q4 - 11:12	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	76 7.7%	86 92.3%
Q4 - 11:13	SAC	MISS Thompson Free Throw 1 of 1	76 7.5%	86 92.5%
Q4 - 11:29	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)	76 9.4%	84 90.6%
Q4 - 11:29	LAC	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	76 10.0%	84 90.0%
Q4 - 11:46	LAC	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	76 11.3%	84 88.7%
Q4 - 11:47	SAC	MISS Landry 19' Jump Shot	76 10.7%	84 89.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC		76 9.4%	84 90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	KINGS Rebound	76 9.4%	84 90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAC	MISS Evans 51' 3PT Jump Shot	76 10.7%	84 89.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	76 10.2%	84 89.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0	LAC	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	76 10.7%	84 89.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (24 PTS)	76 11.9%	84 88.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)	76 14.5%	82 85.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	73 9.9%	82 90.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0	SAC	MISS Casspi 25' 3PT Jump Shot	73 9.4%	82 90.6%
Q3 - 1:01	LAC	Kaman Dunk (18 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)	73 8.8%	82 91.2%
Q3 - 1:08	SAC	Thompson 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Evans 7 AST)	71 7.2%	82 92.8%
Q3 - 1:14	SAC	KINGS Rebound	71 8.8%	80 91.2%
Q3 - 1:16	SAC	MISS Casspi 4' Jump Shot	71 9.8%	80 90.2%
Q3 - 1:20	SAC	KINGS Rebound	71 8.8%	80 91.2%
Q3 - 1:21	SAC	MISS Evans 5' Jump Shot	71 9.8%	80 90.2%
Q3 - 1:33	LAC	Davis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	71 8.7%	80 91.3%
Q3 - 1:48	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)	71 10.3%	80 89.7%
Q3 - 1:48	SAC	Thompson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)	71 10.8%	79 89.2%
Q3 - 2:06	LAC	Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)	71 12.8%	78 87.2%
Q3 - 2:29	SAC	Greene 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 6 AST)	68 9.1%	78 90.9%
Q3 - 2:52	LAC	Kaman Dunk (16 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)	68 10.8%	76 89.2%
Q3 - 3:06	SAC	Garcia 10' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)	66 9.6%	76 90.4%
Q3 - 3:12	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	66 11.2%	74 88.8%
Q3 - 3:14	LAC	MISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot	66 11.8%	74 88.2%
Q3 - 3:21	LAC	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	66 13.3%	74 86.7%
Q3 - 3:21	SAC	MISS May 21' Jump Shot	66 12.6%	74 87.4%
Q3 - 3:41	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	66 11.2%	74 88.8%
Q3 - 3:43	LAC	MISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2	66 11.4%	74 88.6%
Q3 - 3:43	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	66 12.7%	74 87.3%
Q3 - 3:55	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (22 PTS)	65 11.3%	74 88.7%
Q3 - 4:16	LAC	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)	65 13.4%	72 86.6%
Q3 - 4:29	LAC	Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	62 10.1%	72 89.9%
Q3 - 4:29	SAC	MISS Udrih 20' Jump Shot	62 9.5%	72 90.5%
Q3 - 4:47	LAC	Kaman 5' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)	62 8.4%	72 91.6%
Q3 - 5:01	SAC	Casspi 3' Running Layup (7 PTS)	60 7.6%	72 92.4%
Q3 - 5:21	LAC	Davis Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)	60 8.7%	70 91.3%
Q3 - 5:27	SAC	Evans Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	60 10.4%	70 89.6%
Q3 - 5:47	LAC	Butler 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)	60 8.7%	70 91.3%
Q3 - 6:19	SAC	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	58 8.0%	70 92.0%
Q3 - 6:19	SAC	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	58 8.3%	69 91.7%
Q3 - 6:24	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	58 9.1%	68 90.9%
Q3 - 6:25	LAC	MISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot	58 9.6%	68 90.4%
Q3 - 6:40	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	58 10.7%	68 89.3%
Q3 - 6:40	SAC	MISS Udrih 21' Jump Shot	58 10.2%	68 89.8%
Q3 - 6:58	LAC	Kaman 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	58 9.1%	68 90.9%
Q3 - 7:13	LAC	Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	56 8.4%	68 91.6%
Q3 - 7:13	SAC	MISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot	56 8.1%	68 91.9%
Q3 - 7:36	SAC	KINGS Rebound	56 7.2%	68 92.8%
Q3 - 7:36	LAC	Landry BLOCK (1 BLK)	56 7.6%	68 92.4%
Q3 - 7:52	SAC	Evans Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)	56 8.4%	68 91.6%
Q3 - 7:55	LAC	Evans STEAL (2 STL)	56 7.2%	68 92.8%
Q3 - 8:00	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 8.4%	68 91.6%
Q3 - 8:01	SAC	MISS Landry 7' Jump Hook Shot	56 8.3%	68 91.7%
Q3 - 8:05	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)	56 7.4%	68 92.6%
Q3 - 8:06	SAC	MISS Landry 20' Jump Shot	56 8.3%	68 91.7%
Q3 - 8:26	LAC	Butler Layup (2 PTS)	56 7.4%	68 92.6%
Q3 - 8:29	LAC	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	54 6.5%	68 93.5%
Q3 - 8:29	LAC	MISS Davis 16' Fadeaway Jumper	54 5.9%	68 94.1%
Q3 - 8:51	SAC	KINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	54 6.5%	68 93.5%
Q3 - 9:20	LAC	Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)	54 5.8%	68 94.2%
Q3 - 9:42	SAC	Udrih 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Landry 2 AST)	51 4.4%	68 95.6%
Q3 - 9:59	LAC	Kaman 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)	51 5.1%	66 94.9%
Q3 - 10:09	LAC	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49 4.7%	66 95.3%
Q3 - 10:10	SAC	MISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot	49 4.5%	66 95.5%
Q3 - 10:20	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	49 4.1%	66 95.9%
Q3 - 10:20	LAC	MISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot	49 4.3%	66 95.7%
Q3 - 10:39	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49 4.7%	66 95.3%
Q3 - 10:40	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)	49 4.1%	66 95.9%
Q3 - 10:40	SAC	MISS Thompson Tip Shot	49 4.5%	66 95.5%
Q3 - 10:41	SAC	MISS Thompson Tip Shot	49 4.5%	66 95.5%
Q3 - 10:42	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)	49 4.1%	66 95.9%
Q3 - 10:43	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)	49 4.1%	66 95.9%
Q3 - 10:43	SAC	MISS Thompson Layup	49 4.5%	66 95.5%
Q3 - 10:45	SAC	MISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot	49 4.5%	66 95.5%
Q3 - 10:59	SAC	Evans Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)	49 4.1%	66 95.9%
Q3 - 11:14	LAC	Gooden 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	49 4.9%	65 95.1%
Q3 - 11:18	LAC	Clippers Rebound	47 4.3%	65 95.7%
Q3 - 11:18	LAC	MISS Davis 22' Jump Shot	47 3.9%	65 96.1%
Q3 - 11:37	SAC	Udrih Driving Layup (4 PTS)	47 4.3%	65 95.7%
Q3 - 11:42	LAC	Udrih STEAL (2 STL)	47 4.9%	63 95.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC		47 5.6%	63 94.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	47 5.6%	63 94.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAC	MISS Evans Layup	47 5.8%	63 94.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 5.4%	63 94.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0	LAC	MISS Kaman 15' Jump Shot	47 5.6%	63 94.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	47 6.0%	63 94.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0	LAC	Garcia BLOCK (1 BLK)	47 5.6%	63 94.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	47 5.9%	63 94.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0	SAC	MISS Thompson 18' Jump Shot	47 5.8%	63 94.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	47 5.4%	63 94.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0	LAC	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	47 5.5%	63 94.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 5.9%	63 94.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0	SAC	MISS Evans Layup	47 5.8%	63 94.2%
Q2 - 0:59.0	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 5.4%	63 94.6%
Q2 - 1:01	SAC	MISS Landry Layup	47 6.0%	63 94.0%
Q2 - 1:24	LAC	Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)	47 5.6%	63 94.4%
Q2 - 1:38	SAC	Landry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	44 4.2%	63 95.8%
Q2 - 1:38	SAC	MISS Landry Free Throw 1 of 2	44 4.3%	62 95.7%
Q2 - 1:41	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	44 4.4%	62 95.6%
Q2 - 1:42	LAC	MISS Gooden 4' Jump Hook Shot	44 4.5%	62 95.5%
Q2 - 1:59	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (17 PTS)	44 4.8%	62 95.2%
Q2 - 2:15	LAC	Kaman Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)	44 5.7%	60 94.3%
Q2 - 2:23	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	42 5.1%	60 94.9%
Q2 - 2:24	SAC	MISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 1	42 5.0%	60 95.0%
Q2 - 2:34	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	42 5.7%	58 94.3%
Q2 - 2:34	LAC	Kaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	41 5.6%	58 94.4%
Q2 - 2:55	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	40 5.1%	58 94.9%
Q2 - 2:55	SAC	Thompson 3' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)	40 5.1%	58 94.9%
Q2 - 2:57	SAC	MISS Thompson 8' Jump Shot	40 6.2%	56 93.8%
Q2 - 3:07	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	40 5.9%	56 94.1%
Q2 - 3:09	LAC	MISS Kaman 10' Fadeaway Jumper	40 6.1%	56 93.9%
Q2 - 3:20	SAC	Landry 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)	40 6.8%	56 93.2%
Q2 - 3:39	LAC	Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)	40 7.4%	54 92.6%
Q2 - 4:03	SAC	Casspi 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)	37 6.2%	54 93.8%
Q2 - 4:21	LAC	Collins 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	37 7.7%	51 92.3%
Q2 - 4:44	SAC	Garcia 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)	35 6.9%	51 93.1%
Q2 - 4:49	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	35 7.7%	49 92.3%
Q2 - 4:51	LAC	MISS Gooden Reverse Layup	35 8.0%	49 92.0%
Q2 - 4:59	SAC	Udrih Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	35 8.7%	49 91.3%
Q2 - 5:21	SAC	Casspi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 8.0%	49 92.0%
Q2 - 5:22	LAC	MISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot	35 8.3%	49 91.7%
Q2 - 5:36	SAC	Brockman 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)	35 8.9%	49 91.1%
Q2 - 5:50	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	35 8.0%	49 92.0%
Q2 - 5:51	LAC	MISS Gooden 14' Fadeaway Jumper	35 8.3%	49 91.7%
Q2 - 6:07	SAC	Brockman Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	35 9.4%	49 90.6%
Q2 - 6:25	LAC	Jordan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	35 8.3%	49 91.7%
Q2 - 6:35	SAC	Thompson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	35 9.4%	49 90.6%
Q2 - 6:52	LAC	Gooden 9' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)	35 10.2%	47 89.8%
Q2 - 7:10	SAC	Casspi Layup (2 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)	33 9.5%	47 90.5%
Q2 - 7:13	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	33 10.5%	45 89.5%
Q2 - 7:15	LAC	MISS Collins 18' Jump Shot	33 10.8%	45 89.2%
Q2 - 7:37	SAC	Garcia 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)	33 11.7%	45 88.3%
Q2 - 7:59	LAC	Gooden Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	33 12.8%	43 87.2%
Q2 - 8:16	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 14.5%	43 85.5%
Q2 - 8:17	SAC	MISS Evans 17' Jump Shot	33 14.1%	43 85.9%
Q2 - 8:36	LAC	Gooden Layup (10 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)	33 13.2%	43 86.8%
Q2 - 8:46	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 12.0%	43 88.0%
Q2 - 8:48	SAC	MISS Nocioni 16' Jump Shot	31 11.6%	43 88.4%
Q2 - 8:53	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	31 10.8%	43 89.2%
Q2 - 8:55	LAC	MISS Blake 20' Jump Shot	31 11.2%	43 88.8%
Q2 - 9:11	SAC	Thompson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	31 12.2%	43 87.8%
Q2 - 9:18	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	31 11.0%	43 89.0%
Q2 - 9:20	LAC	MISS Blake 16' Jump Shot	31 11.4%	43 88.6%
Q2 - 9:38	SAC	Thompson 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Evans 5 AST)	31 12.2%	43 87.8%
Q2 - 9:44	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	31 13.3%	41 86.7%
Q2 - 9:46	SAC	MISS Thompson 5' Jump Shot	31 14.2%	41 85.8%
Q2 - 10:07	LAC	Collins Layup (2 PTS)	31 13.6%	41 86.4%
Q2 - 10:21	SAC	Evans Driving Layup (13 PTS)	29 12.5%	41 87.5%
Q2 - 10:26	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 13.6%	39 86.4%
Q2 - 10:27	LAC	MISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot	29 14.0%	39 86.0%
Q2 - 10:42	SAC	Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 4 AST)	29 14.9%	39 85.1%
Q2 - 10:52	SAC	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 17.6%	36 82.4%
Q2 - 10:53	LAC	MISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot	29 18.2%	36 81.8%
Q2 - 11:13	SAC	Nocioni 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)	29 19.6%	36 80.4%
Q2 - 11:29	SAC	Evans Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)	29 21.1%	34 78.9%
Q2 - 11:44	LAC	Davis 5' Hook Bank Shot (11 PTS)	29 22.9%	33 77.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAC		27 21.2%	33 78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAC	Clippers Rebound	27 21.2%	33 78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAC	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 20.0%	33 80.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0	SAC	Nocioni 4' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)	27 21.1%	33 78.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0	LAC	Davis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	27 23.1%	31 76.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0	LAC	Davis Layup (9 PTS)	27 23.1%	31 76.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0	LAC	Nocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)	25 20.2%	31 79.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0	LAC	Jordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 21.1%	31 78.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0	SAC	Garcia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	25 19.8%	31 80.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0	SAC	MISS Garcia 3' Tip Shot	25 20.7%	31 79.3%
Q1 - 0:36.0	SAC	MISS Evans 7' Jump Shot	25 20.7%	31 79.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	25 19.8%	31 80.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0	LAC	MISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot	25 20.2%	31 79.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0	SAC	Nocioni 6' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)	25 21.1%	31 78.9%
Q1 - 1:12	LAC	Gordon Layup (6 PTS)	25 23.4%	29 76.6%
Q1 - 1:15	LAC	Collins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 21.2%	29 78.8%
Q1 - 1:18	SAC	MISS Landry 6' Jump Shot	23 20.9%	29 79.1%
Q1 - 1:42	SAC	Nocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 20.1%	29 79.9%
Q1 - 1:44	LAC	MISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2	23 20.3%	29 79.7%
Q1 - 1:44	LAC	Davis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	23 21.4%	29 78.6%
Q1 - 1:47	LAC	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 19.7%	29 80.3%
Q1 - 1:49	SAC	MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22 19.4%	29 80.6%
Q1 - 2:00	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	22 18.6%	29 81.4%
Q1 - 2:02	LAC	MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot	22 19.2%	29 80.8%
Q1 - 2:22	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	22 20.1%	29 79.9%
Q1 - 2:22	SAC	Thompson Tip Shot (8 PTS)	22 20.1%	29 79.9%
Q1 - 2:24	SAC	MISS Nocioni Layup	22 22.8%	27 77.2%
Q1 - 2:42	LAC	Gordon Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	22 21.9%	27 78.1%
Q1 - 2:48	LAC	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	20 20.1%	27 79.9%
Q1 - 2:49	SAC	MISS Thompson 2' Jump Hook Shot	20 19.7%	27 80.3%
Q1 - 2:59	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	20 18.8%	27 81.2%
Q1 - 3:00	LAC	MISS Kaman 15' Fadeaway Jumper	20 19.2%	27 80.8%
Q1 - 3:18	SAC	Thompson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)	20 20.2%	27 79.8%
Q1 - 3:28	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	20 21.7%	25 78.3%
Q1 - 3:30	LAC	MISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot	20 22.2%	25 77.8%
Q1 - 3:46	SAC	Evans 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	20 23.3%	25 76.7%
Q1 - 3:59	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	20 25.0%	23 75.0%
Q1 - 4:02	SAC	MISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot	20 26.1%	23 73.9%
Q1 - 4:21	LAC	Gooden 9' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)	20 24.8%	23 75.2%
Q1 - 4:38	SAC	Thompson 3' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)	18 23.3%	23 76.7%
Q1 - 4:58	LAC	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	18 24.8%	21 75.2%
Q1 - 4:58	LAC	Gooden Tip Shot (6 PTS)	18 24.8%	21 75.2%
Q1 - 5:00	LAC	MISS Gordon 5' Jump Shot	16 22.1%	21 77.9%
Q1 - 5:26	SAC	Landry Dunk (6 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	16 23.5%	21 76.5%
Q1 - 5:36	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	16 24.9%	19 75.1%
Q1 - 5:37	LAC	MISS Gooden 15' Fadeaway Jumper	16 25.5%	19 74.5%
Q1 - 5:38	LAC	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 26.8%	19 73.2%
Q1 - 5:40	LAC	MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot	16 25.5%	19 74.5%
Q1 - 5:55	SAC	Udrih 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	16 26.8%	19 73.2%
Q1 - 6:11	LAC	Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)	16 28.1%	17 71.9%
Q1 - 6:22	LAC	Clippers Rebound	13 24.9%	17 75.1%
Q1 - 6:23	SAC	MISS Landry 17' Jump Shot	13 24.4%	17 75.6%
Q1 - 6:45	LAC	Gooden 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	13 23.3%	17 76.7%
Q1 - 7:01	SAC	Evans 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	11 21.8%	17 78.2%
Q1 - 7:14	LAC	Evans STEAL (1 STL)	11 23.2%	15 76.8%
Q1 - 7:28	SAC	Evans Layup (6 PTS)	11 24.8%	15 75.2%
Q1 - 7:43	LAC	Udrih STEAL (1 STL)	11 26.3%	13 73.7%
Q1 - 8:01	SAC	Landry Layup (4 PTS)	11 27.8%	13 72.2%
Q1 - 8:02	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	11 29.5%	11 70.5%
Q1 - 8:06	SAC	MISS Landry 4' Jump Shot	11 30.7%	11 69.3%
Q1 - 8:12	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 29.5%	11 70.5%
Q1 - 8:14	LAC	MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 30.0%	11 70.0%
Q1 - 8:33	SAC	Landry 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)	11 31.3%	11 68.7%
Q1 - 8:50	LAC	Kaman 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)	11 33.1%	9 66.9%
Q1 - 9:05	SAC	Thompson 6' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	9 31.3%	9 68.7%
Q1 - 9:20	LAC	Gooden Dunk (2 PTS)	9 33.1%	7 66.9%
Q1 - 9:25	SAC	Nocioni Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	7 31.3%	7 68.7%
Q1 - 9:41	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	7 29.6%	7 70.4%
Q1 - 9:41	LAC	Gordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 29.3%	7 70.7%
Q1 - 10:00	SAC	Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)	5 27.9%	7 72.1%
Q1 - 10:18	LAC	Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	5 31.0%	4 69.0%
Q1 - 10:27	SAC	Evans 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	2 28.1%	4 71.9%
Q1 - 10:32	SAC	Thompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 29.4%	2 70.6%
Q1 - 10:35	LAC	MISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot	2 30.0%	2 70.0%
Q1 - 10:54	SAC	Evans 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Landry 1 AST)	2 31.2%	2 68.8%
Q1 - 10:59	LAC	Kaman 2' Layup (2 PTS)	2 32.7%	0 67.3%
Q1 - 11:22	LAC	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 30.6%	0 69.4%
Q1 - 11:24	SAC	MISS Nocioni 6' Jump Hook Shot	0 30.2%	0 69.8%
Q1 - 11:32	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	0 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 11:34	SAC	MISS Thompson 14' Fadeaway Jumper	0 30.2%	0 69.8%
Q1 - 11:39	SAC	Landry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 29.3%	0 70.7%
Q1 - 11:41	SAC	MISS Udrih 17' Jump Shot	0 30.2%	0 69.8%
Q1 - 12:00	SAC	Jump Ball Thompson vs. Gooden: Tip to Udrih	0 29.3%	0 70.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.06 52.8%

SAC

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAC

75%

SAC

64%

Midrange

LAC

36%

SAC

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAC

10.5

37%

55%

SAC

6.0

36%

55%

Free Throws

LAC

82%

SAC

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Kaman	23	68%	11.5 / 17
E. Gordon	21	66%	10.5 / 16
D. Gooden	17	65%	8.5 / 13
B. Davis	11	42%	5.5 / 13
R. Butler	6	30%	3.0 / 10
D. Jordan	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Collins	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Blake	3	30%	1.5 / 5
B. Brown	3	75%	1.5 / 2
B. Skinner	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Evans	28	70%	14.0 / 20
J. Thompson	22	52%	11.0 / 21
C. Landry	14	44%	7.0 / 16
B. Udrih	12	60%	6.0 / 10
F. Garcia	12	100%	6.0 / 6
O. Casspi	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Nocioni	9	50%	4.5 / 9
D. Greene	8	100%	4.0 / 4
S. May	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAC

+10

-12

SAC

+17

-8

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAC

1.06 52.8%

SAC

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	103.6 105.8	LAC 103.3 SAC 131.8 +28.5
Pace	92.4 93.6	LAC 92.9 +6.6 SAC 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 15.2	LAC 15.5 +1.2 SAC 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.1% 49.1%	LAC 51.8% SAC 56.5% +4.7%
TO %	16.1% 15.0%	LAC 12.1% SAC 8.4% +3.7%
ORB %	27.1% 27.9%	LAC 17.5% SAC 35.9% +18.4%
FTrt	28.3 28.6	LAC 13.4 SAC 16.3 +2.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.3% 53.4%	LAC 46.2% +6.2% SAC 40.0%
STL %	7.0% 7.2%	LAC 5.5% SAC 6.8% +1.3%
BLK %	8.7% 6.7%	LAC 4.9% +0.1% SAC 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.4% 51.5%	LAC 52.8% SAC 58.6% +5.8%
Rim FG%	59.0% 58.3%	LAC 75.0% +10.9% SAC 64.1%
Mid FG%	40.1% 39.4%	LAC 35.9% SAC 50.0% +14.1%
3P %	33.2% 34.9%	LAC 36.8% +0.4% SAC 36.4%
FT %	73.0% 72.7%	LAC 81.8% +1.8% SAC 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.6% 37.7%	LAC 29.3% SAC 42.4% +13.1%
Mid Att. %	41.3% 42.2%	LAC 47.6% SAC 45.7% +1.9%
3P Att. %	22.1% 20.1%	LAC 23.2% +11.2% SAC 12.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	LAC	SAC
Possessions	91	88
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	94	116
Rebounds	32	47
Assists	18	20
Steals	5	6
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	33 (2)
Field Goals	39-82	50-92
At-the-Rim FG	18-24	25-39
Midrange FG	14-39	21-42
2-Point FG	32-63	46-81
3-Point FG	7-19	4-11
Free Throws	9-11	12-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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27 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 21	38.8	21	66%	3	5	0	0	2	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	4-7	57%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 28	33.4	23	68%	6	0	1	2	0	3	0	6	3-3	100%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 29	33.0	17	65%	4	0	2	0	1	4	2	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 31	32.9	11	42%	1	10	1	0	3	3	1	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 31	29.3	6	30%	3	1	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 22	20.9	6	75%	10	1	0	1	1	1	3	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mardy Collins G · 6'6" 220 · 26	20.5	4	40%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 30	18.2	3	30%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 26	5.0	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 34	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 27	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 26
Craig Smith #5 · F · 6'7" 265 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Blake Griffin #32 · F · 6'10" 251 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	32	18	5	4	12	0	7	25	9-11	82%	32-63	51%	7-19	37%

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27 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 21	38.8	21	66%	3	5	0	0	2	1	0	3	3-4	75%	3-7	43%	4-7	57%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 28	33.4	23	68%	6	0	1	2	0	3	0	6	3-3	100%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 29	33.0	17	65%	4	0	2	0	1	4	2	2	1-1	100%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 31	32.9	11	42%	1	10	1	0	3	3	1	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 31	29.3	6	30%	3	1	1	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 22	20.9	6	75%	10	1	0	1	1	1	3	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mardy Collins G · 6'6" 220 · 26	20.5	4	40%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 30	18.2	3	30%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 26	5.0	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 34	5.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 27	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 26
Craig Smith #5 · F · 6'7" 265 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Blake Griffin #32 · F · 6'10" 251 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	32	18	5	4	12	0	7	25	9-11	82%	32-63	51%	7-19	37%

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22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Thompson C · 6'11" 250 · 24	41.9	22	52%	15	3	0	0	1	1	8	7	2-3	67%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Tyreke Evans G · 6'6" 220 · 21	37.0	28	70%	6	7	2	0	3	2	1	5	4-5	80%	12-17	71%	0-2	0%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 27	36.6	14	44%	10	2	0	1	0	1	3	7	4-5	80%	5-14	36%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 28	33.5	12	60%	2	4	3	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Andres Nocioni F · 6'7" 225 · 30	21.3	9	50%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28	27.2	12	100%	5	2	0	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-2	100%
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 22	17.8	11	79%	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Donte Greene F · 6'11" 226 · 22	10.9	8	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Jon Brockman F · 6'7" 255 · 23	7.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean May C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26	6.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33
Dominic McGuire F · 6'9" 235 · 24
Spencer Hawes #31 · F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	59%	47	20	6	3	8	0	14	33	12-15	80%	46-81	57%	4-11	36%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE