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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Clippers34%9794
22Kings66%102116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
38.8
33.9
21
67%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
50%
4-7
57%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
33.4
29.0
23
66%
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
6
3-3
100%
10-16
7-14
63%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
33.0
27.5
17
63%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
48%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.0
32.9
35.8
11
43%
1
10
1
2
0
3
1
0
1-2
50%
2-6
5-10
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
29.3
37.0
6
30%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
0-4
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
20.9
21.5
6
75%
10
1
0
0
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
58%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
20.5
6.3
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
42%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.1
18.2
26.8
3
30%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.5
5.0
5.9
3
61%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.9
5.0
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.8
3.1
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.6
17.3
0
2-4
45%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.4
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
41.9
31.6
22
52%
15
3
0
1
0
1
8
7
2-3
67%
10-20
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.6
37.0
36.9
28
66%
6
7
2
1
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
12-17
7-14
71%
51%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.6
36.6
36.4
14
43%
10
2
0
1
1
0
3
7
4-5
80%
5-14
8-14
36%
57%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
33.5
34.9
12
60%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.4
21.3
22.2
9
50%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.3
27.2
16.0
12
100%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
2-2
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
17.8
15.5
11
80%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.1
10.9
22.3
8
100%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.1
7.7
4.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26.0
6.1
9.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.7
9.0
0
1-1
48%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.