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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 10, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Hawks66%99105
27Wizards34%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.9
36.0
35.6
8
51%
10
2
0
1
2
3
2
8
2-2
100%
3-7
6-12
43%
55%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 28.8
34.0
32.1
20
67%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
6-8
6-11
75%
49%
2-6
33%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.8
27.0
31.0
8
58%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 24.3
26.7
36.2
10
59%
3
8
1
1
2
3
2
1
0-1
0%
5-8
7-14
63%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 31.9
16.4
23.8
10
83%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.1
32.9
32.9
28
92%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
5-5
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
48%
5-6
83%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.4
25.5
25.4
10
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.2
24.4
14.2
7
61%
6
2
1
0
2
1
4
2
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 21.8
9.0
9.6
2
25%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34.7
7.0
8.3
2
25%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
0.6
4.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 24.3
0.6
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.6
40.3
34.6
15
70%
3
7
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
40.3
34.1
16
80%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
4-5
80%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
40.1
35.2
23
61%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-14
4-9
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
36.4
36.8
24
47%
9
7
0
1
0
4
5
4
2-3
67%
11-23
8-17
48%
49%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 35.1
17.0
15.9
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.2
23.8
20.9
8
43%
10
1
0
0
3
1
2
8
2-3
67%
3-8
4-7
38%
51%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
18.5
19.5
0
0%
7
1
0
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
18.0
14.0
5
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.9
5.3
8.2
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
0.4
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Cedric Jackson
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.9
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.5
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.