Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, April 10, 2010

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	9	Hawks	65%	99	105
	27	Wizards	35%	94	95

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	122.1	86	86.1
WAS	110.5	86	85.9

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-11

WAS

+15

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.24 61.8%

WAS

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	WAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		105 100%	95 0%
Q4 - 0:05.0	ATL	Hawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0	WAS	MISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0	ATL	McGee BLOCK (3 BLK)	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0	ATL	MISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 1:17	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	105 99.9%	95 0.1%
Q4 - 1:18	WAS	MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot	105 99.8%	95 0.2%
Q4 - 1:25	ATL	Evans 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)	105 99.7%	95 0.3%
Q4 - 1:40	WAS	Blatche Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	103 99.2%	95 0.8%
Q4 - 1:40	WAS	Blatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	103 99.3%	94 0.7%
Q4 - 1:50	WAS	McGee Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	103 99.4%	93 0.6%
Q4 - 2:01	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 2:03	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 2:27	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 2:29	WAS	MISS Livingston 9' Jump Shot	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 2:42	ATL	Crawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 3:00	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	99 99.2%	90 0.8%
Q4 - 3:01	WAS	MISS Blatche 2' Layup	99 99.1%	90 0.9%
Q4 - 3:26	ATL	Pachulia 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)	99 98.7%	90 1.3%
Q4 - 3:34	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	97 96.5%	90 3.5%
Q4 - 3:35	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	97 95.5%	90 4.5%
Q4 - 4:02	WAS	Blatche 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Livingston 7 AST)	97 96.8%	90 3.2%
Q4 - 4:17	ATL	Crawford 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)	97 97.8%	88 2.2%
Q4 - 4:36	WAS	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Blatche 7 AST)	95 96.9%	88 3.1%
Q4 - 4:40	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	95 98.5%	85 1.5%
Q4 - 4:41	WAS	MISS Young 4' Jump Shot	95 98.9%	85 1.1%
Q4 - 4:43	WAS	Young REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	95 98.5%	85 1.5%
Q4 - 4:44	WAS	MISS Young 3' Layup	95 98.9%	85 1.1%
Q4 - 5:01	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	95 97.6%	85 2.4%
Q4 - 5:05	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2	95 97.7%	85 2.3%
Q4 - 5:05	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	95 98.1%	85 1.9%
Q4 - 5:12	WAS	Blatche Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)	94 97.6%	85 2.4%
Q4 - 5:15	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	94 96.7%	85 3.3%
Q4 - 5:17	ATL	MISS Crawford 16' Jump Shot	94 97.0%	85 3.0%
Q4 - 5:34	WAS	Blatche 1' Running Layup (20 PTS)	94 97.7%	85 2.3%
Q4 - 5:56	ATL	Johnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (20 PTS)	94 98.3%	83 1.7%
Q4 - 6:15	ATL	Evans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	92 96.9%	83 3.1%
Q4 - 6:16	WAS	MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot	92 96.6%	83 3.4%
Q4 - 6:23	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	92 95.8%	83 4.2%
Q4 - 6:24	WAS	MISS Young 16' Jump Shot	92 96.6%	83 3.4%
Q4 - 6:47	ATL	Johnson 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)	92 95.8%	83 4.2%
Q4 - 7:01	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	90 93.7%	83 6.3%
Q4 - 7:02	WAS	MISS Singleton 20' Jump Shot	90 93.1%	83 6.9%
Q4 - 7:21	ATL	Evans 7' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	90 91.7%	83 8.3%
Q4 - 7:26	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	88 89.5%	83 10.5%
Q4 - 7:27	ATL	MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 87.4%	83 12.6%
Q4 - 7:47	WAS	Singleton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)	88 89.5%	83 10.5%
Q4 - 7:49	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	88 86.3%	83 13.7%
Q4 - 7:50	WAS	MISS Blatche 3' Layup	88 88.6%	83 11.4%
Q4 - 8:04	ATL	Horford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	88 85.7%	83 14.3%
Q4 - 8:04	ATL	Horford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	87 85.1%	83 14.9%
Q4 - 8:21	WAS	Young Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)	86 82.2%	83 17.8%
Q4 - 8:40	ATL	Crawford 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)	86 78.2%	83 21.8%
Q4 - 8:44	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	83 68.0%	83 32.0%
Q4 - 8:46	ATL	MISS Evans 17' Jump Shot	83 64.1%	83 35.9%
Q4 - 9:08	ATL	Hawks Rebound	83 68.2%	83 31.8%
Q4 - 9:08	WAS	MISS Livingston 19' Jump Shot	83 66.6%	83 33.4%
Q4 - 9:26	ATL	Crawford Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)	83 62.9%	83 37.1%
Q4 - 9:46	WAS	Young 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Livingston 6 AST)	83 68.2%	83 31.8%
Q4 - 9:59	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	83 73.3%	81 26.7%
Q4 - 10:01	ATL	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	83 74.1%	81 25.9%
Q4 - 10:23	WAS	Livingston 12' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)	83 77.1%	81 22.9%
Q4 - 10:48	ATL	Evans Layup (6 PTS)	83 80.8%	79 19.2%
Q4 - 11:02	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	81 76.6%	79 23.4%
Q4 - 11:03	WAS	MISS McGee 6' Jump Shot	81 75.5%	79 24.5%
Q4 - 11:23	ATL	Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)	81 72.7%	79 27.3%
Q4 - 11:45	WAS	McGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	78 63.4%	79 36.6%
Q4 - 11:45	WAS	MISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 2	78 64.8%	78 35.2%
Q4 - 11:45	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	78 63.5%	78 36.5%
Q4 - 11:46	WAS	MISS Young 1' Layup	78 66.8%	78 33.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS		78 63.5%	78 36.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	78 63.5%	78 36.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	MISS Thornton 28' 3PT Jump Shot	78 66.8%	78 33.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0	ATL	Crawford 14' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)	78 63.9%	78 36.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0	WAS	Blatche Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)	76 58.5%	78 41.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0	ATL	Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)	76 54.0%	78 46.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0	WAS	McGee 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)	73 43.3%	78 56.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	73 48.9%	76 51.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0	WAS	MISS Blatche 17' Jump Shot	73 52.1%	76 47.9%
Q3 - 1:20	ATL	Crawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	73 49.4%	76 50.6%
Q3 - 1:20	ATL	Crawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	72 48.8%	76 51.2%
Q3 - 1:34	WAS	Thornton 3' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	71 44.1%	76 55.9%
Q3 - 1:57	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	71 49.4%	74 50.6%
Q3 - 1:57	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	70 48.6%	74 51.4%
Q3 - 2:17	WAS	Blatche 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	69 45.5%	74 54.5%
Q3 - 2:24	WAS	Thornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	69 50.2%	72 49.8%
Q3 - 2:25	WAS	MISS Blatche 24' 3PT Jump Shot	69 53.5%	72 46.5%
Q3 - 2:44	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	69 50.2%	72 49.8%
Q3 - 2:44	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	68 49.0%	72 51.0%
Q3 - 2:59	WAS	Blatche 9' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (McGee 1 AST)	67 45.4%	72 54.6%
Q3 - 3:18	ATL	Williams 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)	67 51.8%	70 48.2%
Q3 - 3:32	WAS	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	65 47.6%	70 52.4%
Q3 - 3:42	ATL	Pachulia Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T10)	65 42.8%	70 57.2%
Q3 - 3:42	ATL	Crawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	65 46.7%	70 53.3%
Q3 - 3:46	ATL	Crawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	64 43.1%	70 56.9%
Q3 - 3:47	WAS	MISS Miller Layup	64 41.6%	70 58.4%
Q3 - 3:53	WAS	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	64 38.4%	70 61.6%
Q3 - 3:54	ATL	MISS Johnson 2' Layup	64 39.8%	70 60.2%
Q3 - 4:10	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	64 44.0%	70 56.0%
Q3 - 4:11	WAS	MISS McGee Layup	64 42.5%	70 57.5%
Q3 - 4:16	WAS	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 39.0%	70 61.0%
Q3 - 4:17	ATL	MISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot	64 40.5%	70 59.5%
Q3 - 4:28	WAS	McGee Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	64 44.0%	70 56.0%
Q3 - 4:34	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	64 39.1%	70 60.9%
Q3 - 4:36	ATL	MISS Horford 3' Layup	64 40.5%	70 59.5%
Q3 - 4:55	WAS	Livingston Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)	64 44.0%	70 56.0%
Q3 - 5:06	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	64 40.0%	70 60.0%
Q3 - 5:07	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	64 41.4%	70 58.6%
Q3 - 5:21	WAS	Livingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	64 44.5%	70 55.5%
Q3 - 5:21	WAS	Livingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	64 45.3%	69 54.7%
Q3 - 5:25	WAS	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 48.2%	68 51.8%
Q3 - 5:26	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	64 49.6%	68 50.4%
Q3 - 5:44	WAS	Miller Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)	64 52.9%	68 47.1%
Q3 - 6:03	ATL	Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)	64 57.5%	66 42.5%
Q3 - 6:11	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	64 61.9%	66 38.1%
Q3 - 6:12	WAS	MISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot	64 60.5%	66 39.5%
Q3 - 6:35	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)	64 57.5%	66 42.5%
Q3 - 6:54	WAS	Blatche 1' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	61 49.8%	66 50.2%
Q3 - 7:09	ATL	Crawford 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)	61 54.0%	64 46.0%
Q3 - 7:31	WAS	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blatche 6 AST)	58 46.6%	64 53.4%
Q3 - 7:48	ATL	Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)	58 54.0%	61 46.0%
Q3 - 7:56	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	56 50.5%	61 49.5%
Q3 - 7:57	WAS	MISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot	56 49.2%	61 50.8%
Q3 - 8:12	ATL	Horford Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	56 46.9%	61 53.1%
Q3 - 8:27	WAS	Blatche 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)	56 50.9%	61 49.1%
Q3 - 8:49	ATL	Horford 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)	56 54.4%	59 45.6%
Q3 - 9:14	WAS	Young 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Livingston 5 AST)	54 51.5%	59 48.5%
Q3 - 9:29	ATL	Livingston STEAL (1 STL)	54 55.1%	57 44.9%
Q3 - 9:44	WAS	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Livingston 4 AST)	54 58.8%	57 41.2%
Q3 - 9:49	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	54 65.7%	54 34.3%
Q3 - 9:51	ATL	MISS Smith 6' Jump Shot	54 66.7%	54 33.3%
Q3 - 9:58	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	54 69.0%	54 31.0%
Q3 - 9:59	WAS	MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot	54 68.0%	54 32.0%
Q3 - 10:22	ATL	Bibby Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)	54 66.1%	54 33.9%
Q3 - 10:32	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	54 69.3%	54 30.7%
Q3 - 10:34	WAS	MISS Blatche Free Throw 1 of 1	54 68.9%	54 31.1%
Q3 - 10:42	ATL	Horford Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)	54 72.2%	52 27.8%
Q3 - 10:54	WAS	Oberto Foul Turnover (P2.T9)	54 75.0%	52 25.0%
Q3 - 11:01	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	54 72.4%	52 27.6%
Q3 - 11:02	ATL	MISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot	54 73.3%	52 26.7%
Q3 - 11:21	WAS	Livingston 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Blatche 5 AST)	54 75.2%	52 24.8%
Q3 - 11:39	ATL	Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)	54 77.6%	50 22.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		52 75.2%	50 24.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	52 75.2%	50 24.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	ATL	McGee BLOCK (2 BLK)	52 73.6%	50 26.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0	WAS	Blatche Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)	52 74.9%	50 25.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	52 72.9%	50 27.1%
Q2 - 0:24.0	WAS	MISS Young 19' Jump Shot	52 74.3%	50 25.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0	ATL	Horford Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)	52 72.9%	50 27.1%
Q2 - 1:03	WAS	Miller 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Blatche 4 AST)	50 69.8%	50 30.2%
Q2 - 1:09	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	50 73.2%	48 26.8%
Q2 - 1:10	ATL	MISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot	50 73.8%	48 26.2%
Q2 - 1:19	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	50 75.0%	48 25.0%
Q2 - 1:20	WAS	MISS Young 19' Jump Shot	50 74.5%	48 25.5%
Q2 - 1:39	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	50 73.2%	48 26.8%
Q2 - 1:53	WAS	Blatche Driving Dunk (8 PTS)	50 75.0%	48 25.0%
Q2 - 2:12	ATL	Bibby 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	50 77.6%	46 22.4%
Q2 - 2:23	WAS	Blatche 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)	48 75.4%	46 24.6%
Q2 - 2:27	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	48 77.6%	44 22.4%
Q2 - 2:28	WAS	MISS Blatche 3' Layup	48 79.2%	44 20.8%
Q2 - 2:52	ATL	Smith 11' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)	48 77.6%	44 22.4%
Q2 - 3:11	WAS	McGee 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Livingston 3 AST)	46 75.8%	44 24.2%
Q2 - 3:24	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	46 77.6%	42 22.4%
Q2 - 3:26	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	46 80.1%	42 19.9%
Q2 - 3:27	WAS	MISS McGee 1' Layup	46 79.4%	42 20.6%
Q2 - 3:35	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	46 77.6%	42 22.4%
Q2 - 3:36	ATL	MISS Horford 13' Jump Shot	46 78.4%	42 21.6%
Q2 - 3:45	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	46 80.1%	42 19.9%
Q2 - 3:46	WAS	MISS Blatche 7' Jump Shot	46 79.4%	42 20.6%
Q2 - 4:02	ATL	Horford Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	46 77.6%	42 22.4%
Q2 - 4:23	WAS	Young 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)	46 79.8%	42 20.2%
Q2 - 4:49	ATL	Johnson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	46 81.6%	40 18.4%
Q2 - 5:10	WAS	Livingston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	44 79.7%	40 20.3%
Q2 - 5:29	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	44 77.8%	40 22.2%
Q2 - 5:34	ATL	Horford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41 73.3%	40 26.7%
Q2 - 5:36	WAS	MISS Blatche 5' Jump Shot	41 72.6%	40 27.4%
Q2 - 5:50	ATL	Johnson 1' Layup (4 PTS)	41 71.0%	40 29.0%
Q2 - 6:17	WAS	Young 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)	39 68.5%	40 31.5%
Q2 - 6:32	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	39 72.9%	37 27.1%
Q2 - 6:33	WAS	MISS Livingston 17' Jump Shot	39 74.7%	37 25.3%
Q2 - 6:50	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	39 72.9%	37 27.1%
Q2 - 6:51	WAS	MISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot	39 74.7%	37 25.3%
Q2 - 7:11	ATL	Evans 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)	39 73.4%	37 26.6%
Q2 - 7:14	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	37 71.2%	37 28.8%
Q2 - 7:17	WAS	MISS Blatche 5' Jump Shot	37 70.4%	37 29.6%
Q2 - 7:20	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 68.7%	37 31.3%
Q2 - 7:21	WAS	MISS Boykins 17' Jump Shot	37 70.4%	37 29.6%
Q2 - 7:26	WAS	Thornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 68.6%	37 31.4%
Q2 - 7:28	ATL	MISS Crawford 9' Jump Shot	37 69.4%	37 30.6%
Q2 - 7:42	WAS	Young 16' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Singleton 1 AST)	37 71.1%	37 28.9%
Q2 - 7:56	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37 73.3%	35 26.7%
Q2 - 7:57	ATL	MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot	37 74.0%	35 26.0%
Q2 - 8:18	WAS	Boykins 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	37 75.4%	35 24.6%
Q2 - 8:36	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	37 77.3%	33 22.7%
Q2 - 8:37	ATL	MISS Teague 17' Jump Shot	37 77.9%	33 22.1%
Q2 - 8:40	ATL	Crawford Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)	37 79.2%	33 20.8%
Q2 - 8:48	WAS	Boykins Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	36 77.4%	33 22.6%
Q2 - 8:53	ATL	Evans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	36 75.4%	33 24.6%
Q2 - 8:53	ATL	Evans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	35 74.9%	33 25.1%
Q2 - 8:58	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	34 73.3%	33 26.7%
Q2 - 9:00	WAS	MISS Miller 19' Jump Shot	34 72.7%	33 27.3%
Q2 - 9:15	ATL	Smith 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)	34 70.9%	33 29.1%
Q2 - 9:38	WAS	Thornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	32 68.8%	33 31.2%
Q2 - 9:38	WAS	MISS Thornton Free Throw 1 of 2	32 69.3%	32 30.7%
Q2 - 10:01	ATL	Teague 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	32 68.5%	32 31.5%
Q2 - 10:27	WAS	Thornton 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)	30 66.5%	32 33.5%
Q2 - 10:38	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	30 68.5%	30 31.5%
Q2 - 10:39	ATL	MISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot	30 69.3%	30 30.7%
Q2 - 10:50	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 71.0%	30 29.0%
Q2 - 10:52	WAS	MISS McGee 11' Jump Shot	30 70.2%	30 29.8%
Q2 - 11:09	WAS	WIZARDS Rebound	30 68.5%	30 31.5%
Q2 - 11:09	WAS	MISS Boykins 20' Jump Shot	30 70.1%	30 29.9%
Q2 - 11:16	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 68.5%	30 31.5%
Q2 - 11:17	ATL	MISS Teague 6' Jump Shot	30 69.2%	30 30.8%
Q2 - 11:31	WAS	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	30 70.7%	30 29.3%
Q2 - 11:44	WAS	McGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 68.5%	30 31.5%
Q2 - 11:45	ATL	MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot	30 69.2%	30 30.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL		30 70.8%	30 29.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	Livingston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	30 70.8%	30 29.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0	WAS	Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	30 68.7%	30 31.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0	ATL	MISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot	30 69.2%	30 30.8%
Q1 - 0:34.0	WAS	Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	30 70.4%	30 29.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0	ATL	Crawford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	30 74.7%	27 25.3%
Q1 - 1:03	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	28 72.3%	27 27.7%
Q1 - 1:04	WAS	MISS Singleton 5' Jump Shot	28 71.9%	27 28.1%
Q1 - 1:10	WAS	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 71.0%	27 29.0%
Q1 - 1:12	ATL	McGee BLOCK (1 BLK)	28 71.4%	27 28.6%
Q1 - 1:27	WAS	Livingston 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	28 72.3%	27 27.7%
Q1 - 1:50	ATL	Pachulia Putback Layup (2 PTS)	28 74.7%	25 25.3%
Q1 - 1:53	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	26 72.3%	25 27.7%
Q1 - 1:54	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	26 71.4%	25 28.6%
Q1 - 1:57	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	26 72.3%	25 27.7%
Q1 - 1:58	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	26 71.4%	25 28.6%
Q1 - 2:19	ATL	Hawks Rebound	26 72.5%	25 27.5%
Q1 - 2:19	WAS	MISS McGee 3' Jump Shot	26 72.0%	25 28.0%
Q1 - 2:40	ATL	Crawford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)	26 70.9%	25 29.1%
Q1 - 2:59	WAS	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)	24 68.6%	25 31.4%
Q1 - 3:04	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 72.9%	22 27.1%
Q1 - 3:05	ATL	Singleton BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 73.5%	22 26.5%
Q1 - 3:29	WAS	Young Driving Layup (9 PTS)	24 74.7%	22 25.3%
Q1 - 3:36	WAS	Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	24 76.4%	20 23.6%
Q1 - 3:37	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	24 76.6%	20 23.4%
Q1 - 3:46	WAS	Livingston 10' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)	22 74.7%	20 25.3%
Q1 - 3:57	WAS	Singleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 76.4%	18 23.6%
Q1 - 3:59	ATL	MISS Smith 5' Jump Shot	22 76.9%	18 23.1%
Q1 - 4:15	WAS	Young Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)	22 77.9%	18 22.1%
Q1 - 4:35	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	22 76.2%	18 23.8%
Q1 - 4:35	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 76.0%	18 24.0%
Q1 - 4:52	WAS	Young 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)	20 74.7%	18 25.3%
Q1 - 5:09	ATL	Bibby 5' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)	20 75.7%	16 24.3%
Q1 - 5:37	WAS	Livingston 15' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Blatche 3 AST)	18 74.3%	16 25.7%
Q1 - 5:58	ATL	Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	18 75.7%	14 24.3%
Q1 - 6:20	WAS	Blatche 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)	15 72.7%	14 27.3%
Q1 - 6:45	ATL	Horford 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	15 74.3%	12 25.7%
Q1 - 7:05	WAS	Young 7' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)	13 72.9%	12 27.1%
Q1 - 7:08	WAS	Young REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	13 74.4%	10 25.6%
Q1 - 7:09	WAS	MISS Young 5' Jump Shot	13 75.6%	10 24.4%
Q1 - 7:25	ATL	Smith Tip Shot (6 PTS)	13 74.4%	10 25.6%
Q1 - 7:27	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	11 72.9%	10 27.1%
Q1 - 7:28	ATL	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 71.7%	10 28.3%
Q1 - 7:37	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 72.9%	10 27.1%
Q1 - 7:39	WAS	MISS Blatche 7' Jump Shot	11 72.4%	10 27.6%
Q1 - 7:57	ATL	Smith Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)	11 71.1%	10 28.9%
Q1 - 8:13	WAS	Livingston 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS)	9 69.7%	10 30.3%
Q1 - 8:33	ATL	Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	9 71.5%	8 28.5%
Q1 - 8:39	WAS	Oberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	6 68.0%	8 32.0%
Q1 - 8:52	ATL	Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	6 66.1%	8 33.9%
Q1 - 9:09	WAS	Livingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	6 68.6%	8 31.4%
Q1 - 9:09	WAS	MISS Livingston Free Throw 1 of 2	6 68.9%	7 31.1%
Q1 - 9:15	WAS	Livingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 68.6%	7 31.4%
Q1 - 9:16	ATL	MISS Horford 15' Jump Shot	6 69.1%	7 30.9%
Q1 - 9:37	WAS	Oberto 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Blatche 2 AST)	6 70.2%	7 29.8%
Q1 - 9:49	WAS	Blatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 71.9%	5 28.1%
Q1 - 9:50	ATL	MISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	6 72.4%	5 27.6%
Q1 - 9:54	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 73.5%	5 26.5%
Q1 - 9:56	WAS	MISS Miller 6' Jump Shot	6 73.0%	5 27.0%
Q1 - 10:11	ATL	Smith 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)	6 71.8%	5 28.2%
Q1 - 10:13	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	4 70.4%	5 29.6%
Q1 - 10:14	ATL	MISS Bibby 4' Jump Shot	4 69.2%	5 30.8%
Q1 - 10:41	WAS	Blatche 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	4 70.4%	5 29.6%
Q1 - 10:52	ATL	Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	4 71.8%	3 28.2%
Q1 - 10:56	WAS	Livingston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2 70.4%	3 29.6%
Q1 - 11:18	ATL	Williams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)	2 69.1%	3 30.9%
Q1 - 11:39	WAS	Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Blatche 1 AST)	0 67.6%	3 32.4%
Q1 - 12:00	WAS	Jump Ball Blatche vs. Smith: Tip to Livingston	0 70.5%	0 29.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.24 61.8%

WAS

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

74%

WAS

48%

Midrange

ATL

42%

WAS

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

13.5

50%

75%

WAS

10.5

58%

88%

Free Throws

ATL

89%

WAS

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Crawford	28	100%	14.0 / 14
J. Johnson	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Smith	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Bibby	10	83%	5.0 / 6
M. Evans	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Horford	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Williams	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Teague	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Smith	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Blatche	24	48%	12.0 / 25
N. Young	23	61%	11.5 / 19
M. Miller	16	80%	8.0 / 10
S. Livingston	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. McGee	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Thornton	5	63%	2.5 / 4
F. Oberto	2	100%	1.0 / 1
E. Boykins	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Singleton	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

-11

WAS

+15

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.24 61.8%

WAS

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	112.2 104.0	ATL 122.1 +11.6 WAS 110.5
Pace	89.9 91.9	ATL 86.1 +0.1 WAS 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 15.8	ATL 16.7 +0.0 WAS 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.6% 48.1%	ATL 60.1% +5.0% WAS 55.1%
TO %	12.7% 15.3%	ATL 12.8% +4.0% WAS 16.8%
ORB %	28.3% 27.7%	ATL 23.5% WAS 36.1% +12.6%
FTrt	28.1 28.3	ATL 24.3 +9.1 WAS 15.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.2% 51.8%	ATL 55.0% WAS 65.0% +10.0%
STL %	8.0% 6.5%	ATL 8.1% +6.9% WAS 1.2%
BLK %	7.9% 8.1%	ATL 11.9% +4.8% WAS 7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.3% 50.9%	ATL 61.8% +5.3% WAS 56.5%
Rim FG%	60.8% 56.8%	ATL 73.9% +25.8% WAS 48.1%
Mid FG%	40.6% 40.4%	ATL 42.4% WAS 50.0% +7.6%
3P %	36.0% 35.3%	ATL 50.0% WAS 58.3% +8.3%
FT %	75.9% 76.2%	ATL 88.9% +22.2% WAS 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.5% 33.0%	ATL 31.1% WAS 34.2% +3.1%
Mid Att. %	43.1% 48.7%	ATL 44.6% +6.0% WAS 50.6%
3P Att. %	21.4% 18.3%	ATL 24.3% +9.1% WAS 15.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	WAS
Possessions	86	86
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	105	95
Rebounds	31	39
Assists	22	26
Steals	7	1
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (2)	26 (1)
Field Goals	40-74	40-79
At-the-Rim FG	17-23	13-27
Midrange FG	14-33	20-40
2-Point FG	31-56	33-67
3-Point FG	9-18	7-12
Free Throws	16-18	8-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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9 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 24	36.0	8	50%	10	2	0	2	3	3	2	8	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 29	34.0	20	67%	4	3	0	0	1	0	0	4	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 24	27.0	8	57%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 24	26.7	10	63%	3	8	1	2	3	1	2	1	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 32	16.4	10	83%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 30	32.9	28	100%	1	1	2	1	1	2	0	1	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	5-6	83%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	25.5	10	56%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 26	24.4	7	58%	6	2	1	2	1	4	4	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 22	9.0	2	25%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Joe Smith F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35	7.0	2	25%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 26	0.6	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Collins #34 · C · 7'0" 255 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	62%	31	22	7	8	11	0	8	23	16-18	89%	31-56	55%	9-18	50%

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9 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'10" 245 · 24	36.0	8	50%	10	2	0	2	3	3	2	8	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 29	34.0	20	67%	4	3	0	0	1	0	0	4	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-6	33%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 24	27.0	8	57%	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 24	26.7	10	63%	3	8	1	2	3	1	2	1	0-1	0%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 32	16.4	10	83%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 30	32.9	28	100%	1	1	2	1	1	2	0	1	5-5	100%	4-7	57%	5-6	83%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	25.5	10	56%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	0-3	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 26	24.4	7	58%	6	2	1	2	1	4	4	2	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 22	9.0	2	25%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Joe Smith F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35	7.0	2	25%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 26	0.6	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 24	0.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Collins #34 · C · 7'0" 255 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	62%	31	22	7	8	11	0	8	23	16-18	89%	31-56	55%	9-18	50%

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27 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 25	40.3	15	68%	3	7	1	0	4	3	0	3	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Mike Miller F · 6'8" 218 · 30	40.3	16	80%	3	6	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-5	80%
Nick Young G · 6'7" 210 · 25	40.1	23	61%	4	0	0	0	2	2	2	2	0-0	-	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Andray Blatche F · 6'11" 260 · 24	36.4	24	48%	9	7	0	0	4	0	5	4	2-3	67%	11-23	48%	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 35	17.0	2	100%	0	2	0	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 22	23.8	8	50%	10	1	0	3	1	4	2	8	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
James Singleton F · 6'8" 230 · 29	18.5	0	0%	7	1	0	1	1	0	3	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Al Thornton F · 6'8" 235 · 26	18.0	5	63%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 34	5.3	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 25	0.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cedric Jackson G · 6'3" 190 · 24
Quinton Ross F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29
Randy Foye #15 · G · 6'4" 218 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh Howard #5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	56%	39	26	1	4	17	0	13	26	8-12	67%	33-67	49%	7-12	58%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE