FinalWin Prob.pScore
435%98
104
365%103
85
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
108.39683.0
DEN logo DEN
89.595112.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)104
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASBalkman STEAL (2 STL)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Petro 21' Jump Shot104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASMahinmi Foul Turnover (P1.T17)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)102
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16DENMISS Lawson Driving Layup102
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26SASMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)102
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26SASMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46SASMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55SASBlair 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10SASTemple REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21SASMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21SASMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:36DENLawson Layup (3 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39SASBalkman STEAL (1 STL)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03SASTemple Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03SASMISS Temple Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18DENPetro 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)96
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30SASTemple 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59SASBlair Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:16SASTemple REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18DENMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:42DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)93
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:47DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50SASMISS Hairston Driving Layup93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)93
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17SASTemple 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)93
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:31SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33SASBonner Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 289
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:33DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:34DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot89
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Hook Shot89
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:48SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 288
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)88
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 6:17DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:19SASMISS Bonner 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:34SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 6:35DENMISS Billups 9' Turnaround Jump Shot88
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 6:48SASBonner Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)88
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:48SASBonner Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)87
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:48SASBonner Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 6:48SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical85
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:48SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)85
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 6:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 7:01DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 7:01DENMISS Afflalo Tip Shot84
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 7:02DENMISS Billups Driving Finger Roll Layup84
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 7:07DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 7:08SASMISS Bonner 8' Running Hook Shot84
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 7:27DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)84
99.0%
67
1.0%
Q4 - 7:27DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q4 - 7:36SASBlair Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q4 - 7:36SASMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 283
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 7:56DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T16)83
99.2%
65
0.8%
Q4 - 8:11SASBlair Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)83
98.5%
65
1.5%
Q4 - 8:26DENBillups Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)81
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q4 - 8:35SASBlair REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)81
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q4 - 8:35SASBlair Layup (6 PTS)81
98.5%
63
1.5%
Q4 - 8:37SASBlair REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 8:37SASMISS Blair Putback Layup79
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 8:39SASBlair REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
98.0%
63
2.0%
Q4 - 8:39SASMISS Blair Tip Shot79
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 8:41SASMISS Ginobili Driving Finger Roll Layup79
97.7%
63
2.3%
Q4 - 8:55SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
98.1%
63
1.9%
Q4 - 8:55DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.9%
63
2.1%
Q4 - 9:10SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q4 - 9:10SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
96.5%
63
3.5%
Q4 - 9:23DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T15)77
95.8%
63
4.2%
Q4 - 9:29SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q4 - 9:29SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 276
94.5%
63
5.5%
Q4 - 9:29SASSpurs Rebound76
94.7%
63
5.3%
Q4 - 9:30DENMISS Afflalo 12' Jump Shot76
94.3%
63
5.7%
Q4 - 9:38SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)76
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 9:44DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)73
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q4 - 9:57SASTemple Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
87.4%
63
12.6%
Q4 - 9:57SASMISS Temple Free Throw 1 of 272
86.8%
63
13.2%
Q4 - 9:57SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)72
87.4%
63
12.6%
Q4 - 10:00DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)71
84.5%
63
15.5%
Q4 - 10:11SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
78.9%
63
21.1%
Q4 - 10:11SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
78.4%
63
21.6%
Q4 - 10:21DENNene Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)69
75.0%
63
25.0%
Q4 - 10:34SASBlair Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T13)69
70.5%
63
29.5%
Q4 - 10:34SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
74.5%
63
25.5%
Q4 - 10:50DENAnthony Layup (19 PTS)68
70.6%
63
29.4%
Q4 - 10:52DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
75.0%
61
25.0%
Q4 - 10:54DENMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot68
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q4 - 11:15SASCarter STEAL (2 STL)68
73.2%
61
26.8%
Q4 - 11:17DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)68
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q4 - 11:28DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
73.2%
61
26.8%
Q4 - 11:29SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
74.4%
61
25.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS68
77.2%
61
22.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound68
77.2%
61
22.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)68
72.9%
61
27.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
75.3%
61
24.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
74.3%
61
25.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
71.8%
61
28.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASMISS Bonner 9' Running Hook Shot68
72.9%
61
27.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot68
73.0%
61
27.0%
Q3 - 1:00DENBillups 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)68
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 1:13SASDuncan Driving Layup (18 PTS)68
77.9%
59
22.1%
Q3 - 1:33DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)66
74.1%
59
25.9%
Q3 - 1:37DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
81.2%
56
18.8%
Q3 - 1:38DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot66
83.0%
56
17.0%
Q3 - 1:52SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
81.2%
56
18.8%
Q3 - 1:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 265
80.6%
56
19.4%
Q3 - 2:13SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
79.2%
56
20.8%
Q3 - 2:15DENMISS Anthony Driving Layup65
78.2%
56
21.8%
Q3 - 2:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
76.0%
56
24.0%
Q3 - 2:37SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
75.1%
56
24.9%
Q3 - 2:48DENAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)64
76.0%
56
24.0%
Q3 - 3:00SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)64
72.5%
56
27.5%
Q3 - 3:00SASSpurs Rebound64
76.1%
56
23.9%
Q3 - 3:01SASMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
71.9%
56
28.1%
Q3 - 3:23SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)64
74.6%
56
25.4%
Q3 - 3:25SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
72.0%
56
28.0%
Q3 - 3:30SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)64
74.6%
56
25.4%
Q3 - 3:31SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot64
72.0%
56
28.0%
Q3 - 3:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
74.6%
56
25.4%
Q3 - 3:49DENMISS Nene Layup64
73.5%
56
26.5%
Q3 - 3:54DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)64
70.8%
56
29.2%
Q3 - 3:55DENMISS Anthony 17' Fadeaway Jumper64
73.5%
56
26.5%
Q3 - 4:18SASJefferson Layup (12 PTS)64
69.6%
56
30.4%
Q3 - 4:19SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
66.4%
56
33.6%
Q3 - 4:20SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot62
63.2%
56
36.8%
Q3 - 4:37DENNene Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)62
66.4%
56
33.6%
Q3 - 4:49DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
69.6%
54
30.4%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 262
70.2%
54
29.8%
Q3 - 4:51SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
72.5%
54
27.5%
Q3 - 5:09DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)61
68.4%
54
31.6%
Q3 - 5:20DENBillups Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)61
74.8%
51
25.2%
Q3 - 5:34DENNUGGETS Rebound61
77.9%
50
22.1%
Q3 - 5:34SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot61
78.9%
50
21.1%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
81.0%
50
19.0%
Q3 - 5:45DENMISS Billups 13' Turnaround Jump Shot61
80.1%
50
19.9%
Q3 - 6:02SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)61
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 6:08SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
70.5%
50
29.5%
Q3 - 6:09DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot58
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q3 - 6:23SASParker 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)58
66.7%
50
33.3%
Q3 - 6:46DENAnthony Driving Layup (14 PTS)56
63.4%
50
36.6%
Q3 - 7:00DENNUGGETS Rebound56
66.7%
48
33.3%
Q3 - 7:00SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot56
67.9%
48
32.1%
Q3 - 7:20SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 7:21DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 256
68.2%
48
31.8%
Q3 - 7:21DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
66.2%
48
33.8%
Q3 - 7:38DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
68.5%
47
31.5%
Q3 - 7:40SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 256
69.0%
47
31.0%
Q3 - 7:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
71.0%
47
29.0%
Q3 - 8:01DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
67.8%
47
32.2%
Q3 - 8:01DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)55
68.0%
46
32.0%
Q3 - 8:04DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
70.7%
45
29.3%
Q3 - 8:04SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot55
71.8%
45
28.2%
Q3 - 8:16SASTemple REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
74.0%
45
26.0%
Q3 - 8:17SASMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 255
71.2%
45
28.8%
Q3 - 8:17SASMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q3 - 8:37DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
71.0%
45
29.0%
Q3 - 8:37DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 254
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q3 - 8:53SASJefferson Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)54
70.8%
44
29.2%
Q3 - 8:58SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
67.8%
44
32.2%
Q3 - 8:58DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot52
66.7%
44
33.3%
Q3 - 9:12SASDuncan 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (14 PTS)52
63.5%
44
36.5%
Q3 - 9:35DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
60.1%
44
39.9%
Q3 - 9:35DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)50
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q3 - 9:54SASTemple 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)50
63.5%
42
36.5%
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q3 - 10:08DENMISS Billups Driving Layup47
54.4%
42
45.6%
Q3 - 10:15SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)47
51.9%
42
48.1%
Q3 - 10:42DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)47
55.6%
42
44.4%
Q3 - 10:42DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
55.9%
41
44.1%
Q3 - 10:47SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
59.0%
40
41.0%
Q3 - 10:47SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q3 - 10:50DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)45
55.6%
40
44.4%
Q3 - 10:59DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q3 - 11:00SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q3 - 11:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q3 - 11:18DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot45
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q3 - 11:32SASTemple Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)45
51.1%
40
48.9%
Q3 - 11:39SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot45
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN45
51.2%
40
48.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound45
51.2%
40
48.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 29' 3PT Jump Shot45
53.7%
40
46.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)45
51.1%
40
48.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)43
46.9%
40
53.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Hook Shot43
45.1%
40
54.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0SASSpurs Rebound43
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
46.2%
40
53.8%
Q2 - 1:06DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
44.1%
40
55.9%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot43
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 1:12SASSpurs Rebound43
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 1:13SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)43
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 1:26DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 1:26DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 243
46.8%
39
53.2%
Q2 - 1:43SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS) (McDyess 4 AST)43
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 1:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Nene Layup41
42.5%
39
57.5%
Q2 - 2:02DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 2:03SASAfflalo BLOCK (1 BLK)41
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 2:14DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P2.T7)41
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 2:16SASBillups STEAL (1 STL)41
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 2:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
43.2%
39
56.8%
Q2 - 2:19DENMISS Martin Tip Shot41
42.2%
39
57.8%
Q2 - 2:22DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
40.0%
39
60.0%
Q2 - 2:24DENMISS Billups 13' Fadeaway Jumper41
42.2%
39
57.8%
Q2 - 2:38DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
40.0%
39
60.0%
Q2 - 2:39SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot41
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 3:02DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)41
43.1%
39
56.9%
Q2 - 3:18SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)41
48.7%
36
51.3%
Q2 - 3:37DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T6)39
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 3:59SASParker 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McDyess 3 AST)39
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 4:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 4:15SASMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot37
37.2%
36
62.8%
Q2 - 4:35DENBillups 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)37
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 4:41DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
42.1%
34
57.9%
Q2 - 4:42SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup37
43.1%
34
56.9%
Q2 - 5:02DENMartin Dunk (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)37
44.9%
34
55.1%
Q2 - 5:19SASJefferson Dunk (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)37
48.0%
32
52.0%
Q2 - 5:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
44.9%
32
55.1%
Q2 - 5:26DENMISS Anthony 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
44.1%
32
55.9%
Q2 - 5:40SASGinobili 18' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)35
42.1%
32
57.9%
Q2 - 5:52SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
39.1%
32
60.9%
Q2 - 5:53DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot33
38.3%
32
61.7%
Q2 - 6:04SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)33
35.9%
32
64.1%
Q2 - 6:19DENMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 6:19DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 230
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q2 - 6:36SASMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
30.8%
31
69.2%
Q2 - 6:50DENBillups 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q2 - 7:02DENNUGGETS Rebound28
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 7:02SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 7:11SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 7:12DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 7:20SASBlair Layup (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)28
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 7:28SASSpurs Rebound26
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 7:29SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)26
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 7:32DENMartin Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q2 - 7:46DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 7:47SASMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
26.9%
29
73.1%
Q2 - 8:02DENAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 8:09DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.3%
29
73.7%
Q2 - 8:10SASMISS Blair Layup26
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q2 - 8:12SASBlair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 8:14SASMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot26
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q2 - 8:42DENAfflalo Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)26
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 8:48SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)26
30.8%
27
69.2%
Q2 - 8:59SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Smith Driving Layup26
32.2%
27
67.8%
Q2 - 9:09DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
30.5%
27
69.5%
Q2 - 9:10SASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q2 - 9:33DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 9:48SASBonner 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)26
35.2%
25
64.8%
Q2 - 10:09SASSpurs Rebound24
33.0%
25
67.0%
Q2 - 10:10DENMISS Petro Free Throw 2 of 224
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q2 - 10:10DENPetro Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
31.4%
25
68.6%
Q2 - 10:27SASGinobili 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q2 - 10:45DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 10:48SASCarter STEAL (1 STL)22
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q2 - 10:57DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)22
30.7%
24
69.3%
Q2 - 11:14SASMason Jr. 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q2 - 11:40DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)20
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
35.1%
19
64.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
37.6%
19
62.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 220
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0SASBlair Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)20
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 0:32.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0DENAnthony 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 1:23SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
30.8%
16
69.2%
Q1 - 1:48DENAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)13
28.2%
16
71.8%
Q1 - 1:55SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T5)13
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 2:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 2:06DENMISS Nene Driving Reverse Layup13
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 2:19DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
30.8%
14
69.2%
Q1 - 2:19SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot13
31.3%
14
68.7%
Q1 - 2:43DENAnthony Driving Layup (6 PTS)13
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 3:01SASAnthony STEAL (2 STL)13
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 3:21SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
36.7%
12
63.3%
Q1 - 3:22DENMISS Afflalo 8' Running Bank Shot13
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 3:30DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
34.6%
12
65.4%
Q1 - 3:31SASMISS Mason Jr. 28' 3PT Jump Shot13
35.2%
12
64.8%
Q1 - 3:47DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)13
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 4:04SASDuncan Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)13
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 4:20DENAnthony Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
36.3%
10
63.7%
Q1 - 4:31SASDuncan 11' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
38.3%
8
61.7%
Q1 - 5:00DENPetro Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)9
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 5:11SASPetro STEAL (1 STL)9
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 5:34SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
40.2%
6
59.8%
Q1 - 5:36DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 5:50SASParker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 5:58SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 5:59DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot7
35.5%
6
64.5%
Q1 - 6:14SASJefferson Layup (3 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)7
33.8%
6
66.2%
Q1 - 6:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 6:18DENMISS Martin 19' Jump Shot5
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 6:31SASMartin STEAL (1 STL)5
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 6:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot5
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 6:55SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)5
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 6:59SASSpurs Rebound3
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 7:00SASMartin BLOCK (1 BLK)3
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 7:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 7:09DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot3
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 7:15DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 7:16SASMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot3
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 7:39SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 7:40DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot3
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 7:54DENNUGGETS Rebound3
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 7:54SASMISS Temple 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 8:00SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:01SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
27.0%
6
73.0%
Q1 - 8:27DENMartin Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)3
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 8:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 8:33SASMISS Temple 19' Jump Shot3
30.4%
4
69.6%
Q1 - 8:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 8:49DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot3
31.0%
4
69.0%
Q1 - 9:02DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 23
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 23
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 9:26DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)3
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 9:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:28DENMISS Martin Driving Layup3
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 9:38SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.0%
4
70.0%
Q1 - 9:38SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 22
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 9:53DENBillups 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)2
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:39DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:44DENNUGGETS Rebound0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 10:46DENMISS Afflalo Driving Layup0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 10:53SASAnthony STEAL (1 STL)0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:03SASMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:04DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:26DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:28SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 11:35SASTemple REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:37SASMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Duncan: Tip to Temple0
32.8%
0
67.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.1%
DEN
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
22
59%
DEN
13
26
50%
Midrange
SAS
15
33
45%
DEN
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DEN
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
SAS
30
45
67%
DEN
21
31
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1856%9.0 / 16
R. Jefferson1558%7.5 / 13
M. Ginobili1568%7.5 / 11
T. Parker1246%6.0 / 13
D. Blair1255%6.0 / 11
G. Temple1179%5.5 / 7
M. Bonner975%4.5 / 6
A. McDyess536%2.5 / 7
I. Mahinmi583%2.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.233%1.0 / 3
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 2
M. Hairston0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2759%13.5 / 23
C. Anthony1950%9.5 / 19
J. Smith1350%6.5 / 13
K. Martin633%3.0 / 9
C. Andersen6100%3.0 / 3
J. Petro563%2.5 / 4
T. Lawson450%2.0 / 4
Nene321%1.5 / 7
A. Afflalo217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+17
-16
97
DEN
79
+10
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.1%
DEN
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
111.9
SAS 108.3
DEN 89.5 +18.9
Pace
91.5
94.7
SAS 83.0
DEN 112.7 +29.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.7
SAS 17.4
DEN 12.8 +4.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
50.9%
SAS 50.0% +6.8%
DEN 43.2%
TO %
14.1%
14.2%
SAS 16.1%
DEN 15.4% +0.7%
ORB %
26.8%
26.1%
SAS 34.3% +16.1%
DEN 18.2%
FTrt
29.6
37.6
SAS 60.8 +18.9
DEN 41.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
55.0%
SAS 67.6% +5.5%
DEN 62.1%
STL %
6.9%
8.7%
SAS 9.4%
DEN 10.5% +1.1%
BLK %
6.9%
7.9%
SAS 3.5%
DEN 9.1% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
54.9%
SAS 53.1% +5.9%
DEN 47.2%
Rim FG%
62.2%
61.0%
SAS 59.1% +9.1%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.7%
39.6%
SAS 45.5% +13.2%
DEN 32.3%
3P %
35.8%
35.9%
SAS 31.6%
DEN 35.3% +3.7%
FT %
74.0%
77.2%
SAS 66.7%
DEN 67.7% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
37.5%
SAS 29.7%
DEN 35.1% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
39.8%
SAS 44.6%
DEN 41.9% +2.7%
3P Att. %
23.2%
22.7%
SAS 25.7% +2.7%
DEN 23.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes27.820.2
Points10485
Rebounds4831
Assists2318
Steals910
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)23 (4)
Field Goals34-7429-74
At-the-Rim FG13-2213-26
Midrange FG15-3310-31
2-Point FG28-5523-57
3-Point FG6-196-17
Free Throws30-4521-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 233 · 30
32.7
15
58%
7
2
0
0
0
1
1
6
7-10
70%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 34
29.1
18
56%
10
3
0
0
1
2
2
8
2-6
33%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 33
28.6
15
68%
3
7
2
0
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 36
26.1
5
36%
9
4
0
0
1
2
3
6
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 24
19.6
11
79%
4
0
2
0
1
5
2
2
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 185 · 28
30.7
12
46%
2
6
0
0
5
1
0
2
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21
18.9
12
55%
8
1
0
0
3
4
4
4
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30
15.3
9
75%
4
0
3
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
14.9
2
33%
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30
14.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 23
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 23
4.7
5
83%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#3 · G · 6'3" 188 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'1" 195 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
53%
48
23
9
2
16
0
12
36
30-45
67%
28-55
51%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.