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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 11, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls48%100104
21Raptors52%10188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
38.8
28.7
18
71%
19
7
0
1
1
1
4
15
4-6
67%
7-10
5-9
70%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
37.6
36.6
26
54%
4
7
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
12-20
8-15
60%
52%
0-3
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
36.0
35.9
6
33%
5
3
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-7
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
28.0
37.6
14
60%
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
4-7
6-12
57%
50%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
27.9
29.0
11
70%
6
0
0
1
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
25.9
15.6
10
51%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
20.2
11.5
4
25%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.8
16.0
9.7
10
58%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
4-6
67%
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.0
7.8
25.6
5
73%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.3
1.8
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
8.1
0
1-2
52%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.2
4.0
0
0-1
46%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 25.1
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.5
39.4
35.1
18
51%
5
1
0
0
2
1
2
3
3-4
75%
6-13
5-11
46%
50%
1-3
33%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
37.3
28.6
18
41%
5
2
2
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
9-21
5-10
43%
53%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.1
31.9
25.8
6
22%
19
9
3
1
0
1
3
16
1-4
25%
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
1-5
20%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
24.6
24.3
10
63%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-6
63%
61%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
24.2
23.8
7
51%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
1-3
33%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
25.0
23.0
14
62%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
22.8
6.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-4
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.7
12.7
18.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.9
9.4
11.6
6
77%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.4
6.6
4.4
9
113%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
5.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.9
0.8
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.3
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.