FinalWin Prob.pScore
1258%99
111
2242%97
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
123.39087.0
NYK logo NYK
110.18992.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0NYKMISS Douglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0NYKDouglas Driving Layup (7 PTS)111
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)110
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02NYKWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)109
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12MIAWright Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Beasley 3 AST)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25NYKBarron Foul Turnover (P6.T15)107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26NYKMISS Lee Layup107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27NYKMISS Douglas 9' Jump Shot107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54NYKMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)107
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16NYKWalker 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gallinari 3 AST)104
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Reverse Layup (29 PTS)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49NYKMISS Gallinari 19' Jump Shot102
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:54NYKKNICKS Rebound102
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 2:55NYKMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)102
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 3:35NYKBarron 6' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Douglas 3 AST)99
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (27 PTS)99
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 4:04NYKGallinari Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)97
98.2%
88
1.8%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWright Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)97
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)95
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup95
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 4:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 4:43NYKMISS Lee 20' Jump Shot95
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 5:05NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)95
97.1%
85
2.9%
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot95
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 5:16MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
97.9%
85
2.1%
Q4 - 5:18NYKMISS Barron Layup95
97.7%
85
2.3%
Q4 - 5:19NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)95
97.1%
85
2.9%
Q4 - 5:22NYKMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot95
97.7%
85
2.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade Driving Dunk (25 PTS)95
97.2%
85
2.8%
Q4 - 5:58NYKBarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)93
96.2%
85
3.8%
Q4 - 5:58NYKBarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)93
96.5%
84
3.5%
Q4 - 6:02NYKRodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
96.1%
83
3.9%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot93
96.5%
83
3.5%
Q4 - 6:25NYKRodriguez Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
97.2%
83
2.8%
Q4 - 6:25NYKMISS Rodriguez Free Throw 1 of 293
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q4 - 6:47NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
97.2%
82
2.8%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot93
97.4%
82
2.6%
Q4 - 7:09NYKJump Ball Barron vs. Haslem: Tip to O'Neal93
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 7:10MIABarron STEAL (1 STL)93
96.4%
82
3.6%
Q4 - 7:34NYKDouglas Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Rodriguez 4 AST)93
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 7:58MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)93
97.9%
80
2.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
96.6%
80
3.4%
Q4 - 8:16NYKMISS Douglas Free Throw 2 of 291
96.5%
80
3.5%
Q4 - 8:16NYKDouglas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
95.8%
80
4.2%
Q4 - 8:16NYKDouglas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 8:17NYKMISS Douglas Layup91
97.2%
79
2.8%
Q4 - 8:26NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
96.6%
79
3.4%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot91
96.9%
79
3.1%
Q4 - 8:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
97.4%
79
2.6%
Q4 - 8:40NYKMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.2%
79
2.8%
Q4 - 8:51MIAHaslem 6' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)91
96.7%
79
3.3%
Q4 - 9:16NYKBarron Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)89
94.8%
79
5.2%
Q4 - 9:25NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)89
93.6%
79
6.4%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot89
94.0%
79
6.0%
Q4 - 9:50NYKGallinari Driving Layup (16 PTS)89
94.9%
79
5.1%
Q4 - 10:02MIADouglas STEAL (1 STL)89
95.2%
77
4.8%
Q4 - 10:18NYKDouglas Driving Layup (2 PTS)89
96.2%
77
3.8%
Q4 - 10:39MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T9)89
96.9%
75
3.1%
Q4 - 10:53NYKBarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
97.5%
75
2.5%
Q4 - 10:53NYKMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 289
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 11:06MIAO'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)89
97.1%
74
2.9%
Q4 - 11:25NYKDuhon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)87
96.4%
74
3.6%
Q4 - 11:47NYKDouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q4 - 11:48MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot87
95.9%
74
4.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYK87
96.4%
74
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKKNICKS Rebound87
95.6%
74
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKMISS Douglas Layup87
96.2%
74
3.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS)87
95.1%
74
4.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAHeat Rebound85
93.9%
74
6.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0NYKMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
93.6%
74
6.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0NYKLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
92.8%
74
7.2%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 285
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
93.8%
74
6.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0NYKGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)84
92.7%
74
7.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0NYKGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
92.9%
73
7.1%
Q3 - 1:10NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 284
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q3 - 1:27NYKGallinari Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)83
93.4%
72
6.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAGallinari STEAL (1 STL)83
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q3 - 1:50NYKLee Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)83
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q3 - 1:54NYKDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
94.6%
70
5.4%
Q3 - 1:55NYKMISS Gallinari 21' Jump Shot83
95.2%
70
4.8%
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)83
93.9%
70
6.1%
Q3 - 2:26NYKWalker 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)80
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q3 - 2:48NYKWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
94.0%
67
6.0%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 180
94.1%
67
5.9%
Q3 - 2:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
92.8%
67
7.2%
Q3 - 2:59NYKMISS Lee Layup78
92.4%
67
7.6%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
91.0%
67
9.0%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
90.7%
67
9.3%
Q3 - 3:12MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
89.5%
67
10.5%
Q3 - 3:13NYKMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
88.9%
67
11.1%
Q3 - 3:26MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
87.6%
67
12.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 275
87.2%
67
12.8%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
87.7%
67
12.3%
Q3 - 3:33NYKMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
87.0%
67
13.0%
Q3 - 3:48MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)75
85.5%
67
14.5%
Q3 - 4:14NYKDuhon 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)73
82.8%
67
17.2%
Q3 - 4:35MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
86.9%
64
13.1%
Q3 - 4:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
85.2%
64
14.8%
Q3 - 4:50MIALee BLOCK (1 BLK)71
83.3%
64
16.7%
Q3 - 4:51MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
85.2%
64
14.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot71
83.3%
64
16.7%
Q3 - 5:06NYKLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)71
84.2%
64
15.8%
Q3 - 5:06NYKLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)71
84.6%
63
15.4%
Q3 - 5:27MIAArroyo 15' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)71
86.1%
62
13.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
84.3%
62
15.7%
Q3 - 5:38NYKMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
83.5%
62
16.5%
Q3 - 5:49NYKDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
81.6%
62
18.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot69
82.5%
62
17.5%
Q3 - 6:04NYKDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 6:09MIADuhon STEAL (1 STL)69
81.1%
62
18.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 6:26NYKMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q3 - 6:52MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
81.2%
62
18.8%
Q3 - 7:07NYKLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)66
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 7:07NYKLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)66
75.7%
61
24.3%
Q3 - 7:23MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)66
77.8%
60
22.2%
Q3 - 7:50NYKLee 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)63
72.3%
60
27.7%
Q3 - 7:59NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)63
75.0%
58
25.0%
Q3 - 8:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
77.6%
58
22.4%
Q3 - 8:02MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot63
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot63
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 8:29NYKLee Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)63
77.6%
58
22.4%
Q3 - 8:41NYKLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
80.0%
56
20.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot63
80.7%
56
19.3%
Q3 - 8:51NYKGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)63
82.4%
56
17.6%
Q3 - 9:07MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q3 - 9:07NYKBarron Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)61
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 9:40MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)61
74.6%
56
25.4%
Q3 - 9:58NYKGallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)59
71.8%
56
28.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)59
77.0%
53
23.0%
Q3 - 10:29NYKBarron 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)57
74.4%
53
25.6%
Q3 - 10:37NYKDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
77.0%
51
23.0%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot57
77.8%
51
22.2%
Q3 - 10:54NYKDuhon 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lee 5 AST)57
79.5%
51
20.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
81.4%
49
18.6%
Q3 - 11:25NYKLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
79.3%
49
20.7%
Q3 - 11:40MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P3.T6)55
76.8%
49
23.2%
Q3 - 11:51NYKBarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
79.3%
49
20.7%
Q3 - 11:51NYKBarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
79.9%
48
20.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
81.4%
47
18.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
83.5%
47
16.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup55
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0NYKDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
82.8%
47
17.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0NYKDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)55
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)55
85.0%
45
15.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
82.8%
45
17.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
81.3%
45
18.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0NYKMISS Barron Tip Shot53
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 0:28.0NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
81.3%
45
18.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0NYKMISS Barron Tip Shot53
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0NYKMISS Lee Layup53
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0NYKLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
81.3%
45
18.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0NYKMISS Lee Layup53
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)53
81.3%
45
18.7%
Q2 - 1:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q2 - 1:07NYKMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.0%
45
22.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIARichardson Layup (11 PTS)51
76.8%
45
23.2%
Q2 - 1:24NYKRodriguez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q2 - 1:27MIALee STEAL (1 STL)49
71.8%
45
28.2%
Q2 - 1:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q2 - 1:34NYKMISS Lee 12' Jump Shot49
73.1%
45
26.9%
Q2 - 1:49MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)49
71.8%
45
28.2%
Q2 - 2:14NYKLee 5' Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)46
65.7%
45
34.3%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade Slam Dunk (12 PTS)46
68.5%
43
31.5%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
65.7%
43
34.3%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q2 - 3:06NYKRodriguez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)44
66.2%
43
33.8%
Q2 - 3:17MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
62.7%
43
37.3%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 243
62.2%
43
37.8%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
63.3%
43
36.7%
Q2 - 3:33NYKMISS Barron 9' Hook Shot43
62.2%
43
37.8%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
59.7%
43
40.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
57.2%
43
42.8%
Q2 - 3:57NYKMISS Gallinari 13' Jump Shot41
56.1%
43
43.9%
Q2 - 4:11NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
53.9%
43
46.1%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot41
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q2 - 4:26NYKWalker Layup (9 PTS) (Rodriguez 3 AST)41
57.2%
43
42.8%
Q2 - 4:37NYKRodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot41
60.9%
41
39.1%
Q2 - 5:04NYKGallinari 11' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)41
63.1%
41
36.9%
Q2 - 5:19MIAWade 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)41
65.9%
39
34.1%
Q2 - 5:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
63.1%
39
36.9%
Q2 - 5:32NYKMISS Rodriguez 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
62.3%
39
37.7%
Q2 - 5:44NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound39
63.1%
39
36.9%
Q2 - 5:57NYKMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
62.3%
39
37.7%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWright 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)39
59.9%
39
40.1%
Q2 - 6:41NYKBarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
54.8%
39
45.2%
Q2 - 6:41NYKBarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
55.5%
38
44.5%
Q2 - 6:42NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
57.1%
37
42.9%
Q2 - 6:43NYKMISS Rodriguez Driving Layup36
59.4%
37
40.6%
Q2 - 6:56MIAWright Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)36
57.2%
37
42.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q2 - 7:06NYKMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q2 - 7:18MIAO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
57.7%
37
42.3%
Q2 - 7:33NYKWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
55.0%
37
45.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHaslem Tip Shot (6 PTS)34
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot32
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 8:04NYKBarron Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)32
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 8:15MIAWright 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)32
47.0%
37
53.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
44.3%
37
55.7%
Q2 - 8:39NYKMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot30
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 8:52MIAO'Neal Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)30
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 9:08NYKGallinari Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)28
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 9:20NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
36.8%
37
63.2%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 9:41NYKLee 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rodriguez 2 AST)28
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 9:56MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
41.9%
35
58.1%
Q2 - 10:15NYKLee Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)26
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 10:29NYKWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 126
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q2 - 10:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
37.9%
33
62.1%
Q2 - 11:03NYKLee 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Douglas 2 AST)24
40.2%
33
59.8%
Q2 - 11:21NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
42.5%
31
57.5%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot24
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 11:49NYKWalker Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)24
45.1%
31
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
50.2%
29
49.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup24
48.4%
29
51.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0NYKWalker Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)24
50.1%
29
49.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0NYKLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound24
55.0%
27
45.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound24
55.0%
27
45.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot24
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0NYKWalker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)24
55.1%
27
44.9%
Q1 - 1:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
60.6%
24
39.4%
Q1 - 1:11MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q1 - 1:12NYKMISS Gallinari 12' Jump Bank Shot21
54.7%
24
45.3%
Q1 - 1:25MIAHaslem 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
53.6%
24
46.4%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWade Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)19
50.5%
24
49.5%
Q1 - 1:52NYKGallinari Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)18
48.1%
24
51.9%
Q1 - 1:52NYKGallinari Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)18
48.4%
23
51.6%
Q1 - 1:52NYKGallinari Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)18
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 2:15NYKWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Reverse Layup18
54.3%
21
45.7%
Q1 - 2:33NYKBarron Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)18
55.6%
21
44.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 3:06NYKLee Driving Slam Dunk (10 PTS)16
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 3:18MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
53.9%
19
46.1%
Q1 - 3:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
49.3%
19
50.7%
Q1 - 3:29NYKMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
48.6%
19
51.4%
Q1 - 3:49MIAArroyo 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
46.9%
19
53.1%
Q1 - 4:05NYKMcGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)11
45.2%
19
54.8%
Q1 - 4:13NYKBarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 4:14NYKMISS McGrady 6' Running Jump Shot11
48.9%
17
51.1%
Q1 - 4:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 4:30MIAAnthony Putback Layup (2 PTS)11
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot9
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q1 - 4:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot9
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q1 - 5:13NYKMcGrady 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)9
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 5:26NYKDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Beasley 14' Jump Shot9
48.2%
15
51.8%
Q1 - 5:41NYKLee Driving Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)9
49.8%
15
50.2%
Q1 - 5:47NYKMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
51.8%
13
48.2%
Q1 - 5:49MIABarron BLOCK (1 BLK)9
52.5%
13
47.5%
Q1 - 6:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
54.1%
13
45.9%
Q1 - 6:02NYKMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
53.7%
13
46.3%
Q1 - 6:20NYKDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.1%
13
47.9%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
52.8%
13
47.2%
Q1 - 6:37NYKBarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
54.3%
13
45.7%
Q1 - 6:37NYKBarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
54.9%
12
45.1%
Q1 - 6:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
56.3%
11
43.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
55.9%
11
44.1%
Q1 - 6:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
54.3%
11
45.7%
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Jump Shot7
52.8%
11
47.2%
Q1 - 7:07NYKDuhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)7
54.6%
11
45.4%
Q1 - 7:28MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T3)7
58.6%
8
41.4%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
60.7%
8
39.3%
Q1 - 7:38NYKMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
60.1%
8
39.9%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
58.6%
8
41.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
58.2%
8
41.8%
Q1 - 8:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:08NYKMISS Lee 22' Jump Shot5
56.3%
8
43.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
54.9%
8
45.1%
Q1 - 8:32NYKGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
56.9%
8
43.1%
Q1 - 8:32NYKGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
57.2%
7
42.8%
Q1 - 8:41NYKMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
58.9%
6
41.1%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot5
59.5%
6
40.5%
Q1 - 8:54MIAHeat Rebound5
60.9%
6
39.1%
Q1 - 8:56NYKMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot5
60.3%
6
39.7%
Q1 - 9:01NYKLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
59.6%
6
40.4%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot5
60.1%
6
39.9%
Q1 - 9:20NYKLee Layup (6 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)5
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 9:34MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)5
63.3%
4
36.7%
Q1 - 9:54NYKLee 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)5
65.1%
4
34.9%
Q1 - 10:15NYKGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
66.5%
2
33.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 10:35NYKLee Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
68.3%
2
31.7%
Q1 - 10:58MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 10:58MIABeasley Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)5
69.8%
0
30.2%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot3
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 11:11NYKMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot3
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 11:39MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)3
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 12:00NYKJump Ball Lee vs. O'Neal: Tip to Arroyo0
63.1%
0
36.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.4%
NYK
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
26
69%
NYK
16
26
62%
Midrange
MIA
19
40
48%
NYK
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
NYK
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
16
22
73%
NYK
25
28
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3257%16.0 / 28
M. Beasley1667%8.0 / 12
Q. Richardson1488%7.0 / 8
U. Haslem1454%7.0 / 13
C. Arroyo1286%6.0 / 7
D. Wright1267%6.0 / 9
J. O'Neal844%4.0 / 9
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
M. Chalmers110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Lee2665%13.0 / 20
D. Gallinari1943%9.5 / 22
H. Walker18100%9.0 / 9
E. Barron1354%6.5 / 12
C. Duhon10100%5.0 / 5
T. Douglas735%3.5 / 10
T. McGrady440%2.0 / 5
S. Rodriguez117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+15
-11
94
NYK
74
+12
-15
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.4%
NYK
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
107.3
MIA 123.3 +13.2
NYK 110.1
Pace
89.6
94.2
MIA 87.0
NYK 92.2 +5.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.9
MIA 16.6
NYK 15.6 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
50.9%
MIA 56.5% +6.5%
NYK 50.0%
TO %
13.6%
14.1%
MIA 10.5% +4.5%
NYK 15.0%
ORB %
26.0%
23.5%
MIA 27.5%
NYK 27.8% +0.3%
FTrt
29.6
25.6
MIA 26.2
NYK 38.4 +12.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
56.7%
MIA 40.9%
NYK 75.8% +34.9%
STL %
8.1%
7.5%
MIA 8.9% +3.3%
NYK 5.6%
BLK %
9.4%
5.7%
MIA 4.1% +1.1%
NYK 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.4%
MIA 58.4% +2.1%
NYK 56.3%
Rim FG%
62.0%
59.7%
MIA 69.2% +7.7%
NYK 61.5%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.6%
MIA 47.5% +4.0%
NYK 43.5%
3P %
34.6%
34.6%
MIA 38.9% +9.7%
NYK 29.2%
FT %
75.2%
78.2%
MIA 72.7%
NYK 89.3% +16.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
35.3%
MIA 31.0%
NYK 35.6% +4.7%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
33.5%
MIA 47.6%
NYK 31.5% +16.1%
3P Att. %
21.9%
31.2%
MIA 21.4%
NYK 32.9% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.
Game TotalsMIANYK
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points11198
Rebounds3739
Assists1825
Steals85
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)29 (0)
Field Goals44-8433-73
At-the-Rim FG18-2616-26
Midrange FG19-4010-23
2-Point FG37-6626-49
3-Point FG7-187-24
Free Throws16-2225-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
37.1
32
57%
5
5
0
0
2
1
1
4
8-9
89%
12-25
48%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
35.3
12
86%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
34.1
16
67%
7
3
2
1
0
2
2
5
3-6
50%
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
24.9
14
88%
1
3
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
17.3
8
44%
2
1
0
0
3
5
1
1
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
37.2
14
54%
10
0
3
0
1
2
4
6
0-1
0%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
23.6
1
10%
3
3
2
0
2
4
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
23.1
12
67%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
7.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
58%
37
18
8
2
11
0
11
26
16-22
73%
37-66
56%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.