FinalWin Prob.pScore
1255%95
107
2345%94
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
123.08786.8
PHI logo PHI
120.78787.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHI
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI107
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI76ERS Rebound107
99.1%
105
0.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Iguodala 27' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)107
99.1%
105
0.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0PHIIguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Holiday 13 AST)105
71.3%
105
28.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAWade Dunk (30 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)105
91.3%
102
8.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0PHIHoliday Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)103
80.4%
102
19.6%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)103
63.1%
102
36.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHeat Rebound103
76.0%
102
24.0%
Q4 - 1:17PHIMISS Holiday 12' Jump Shot103
72.1%
102
27.9%
Q4 - 1:37PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)103
61.4%
102
38.6%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Richardson 9' Jump Shot103
65.4%
102
34.6%
Q4 - 1:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)103
73.1%
102
26.9%
Q4 - 2:00PHIMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
69.7%
102
30.3%
Q4 - 2:14PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
60.3%
102
39.7%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot103
65.2%
102
34.8%
Q4 - 2:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)103
75.5%
102
24.5%
Q4 - 2:41PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 2103
73.7%
102
26.3%
Q4 - 2:41PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 2103
67.5%
102
32.5%
Q4 - 2:50PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
60.2%
102
39.8%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
64.6%
102
35.4%
Q4 - 3:14PHIKapono Driving Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)103
73.7%
102
26.3%
Q4 - 3:23MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
79.4%
100
20.6%
Q4 - 3:23MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
78.3%
100
21.7%
Q4 - 3:40PHIIguodala Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Holiday 12 AST)101
69.3%
100
30.7%
Q4 - 3:43MIAHoliday STEAL (2 STL)101
76.3%
98
23.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)101
83.1%
98
16.9%
Q4 - 3:58PHIMISS Holiday 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
81.3%
98
18.7%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWade Dunk (28 PTS)101
76.7%
98
23.3%
Q4 - 4:23PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)99
69.7%
98
30.3%
Q4 - 4:37MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)99
60.2%
98
39.8%
Q4 - 4:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
51.3%
98
48.7%
Q4 - 4:47PHIMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot97
48.1%
98
51.9%
Q4 - 4:56PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
40.8%
98
59.2%
Q4 - 4:58PHIMISS Holiday 19' Jump Shot97
48.0%
98
52.0%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)97
42.9%
98
57.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
51.8%
98
48.2%
Q4 - 5:24MIAMISS Beasley Layup97
45.6%
98
54.4%
Q4 - 5:42MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
51.8%
98
48.2%
Q4 - 5:43PHIMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
49.0%
98
51.0%
Q4 - 5:51PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
42.8%
98
57.2%
Q4 - 5:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup97
45.5%
98
54.5%
Q4 - 6:02PHIDalembert Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)97
52.8%
98
47.2%
Q4 - 6:20PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)97
44.6%
98
55.4%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 297
45.7%
98
54.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)97
51.1%
98
48.9%
Q4 - 6:38PHIBrand 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)96
45.1%
98
54.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAArroyo 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)96
52.2%
96
47.8%
Q4 - 7:16PHIBrand 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Holiday 11 AST)94
46.5%
96
53.5%
Q4 - 7:37MIAArroyo 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)94
52.8%
94
47.2%
Q4 - 7:58PHIBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)92
46.4%
94
53.6%
Q4 - 7:58PHIMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 292
47.9%
93
52.1%
Q4 - 8:06MIAWright 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)92
47.4%
93
52.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
40.9%
93
59.1%
Q4 - 8:19PHIMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
39.0%
93
61.0%
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 7 AST)90
34.9%
93
65.1%
Q4 - 8:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
29.1%
93
70.9%
Q4 - 8:56PHIMISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
27.5%
93
72.5%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 6 AST)88
26.3%
93
73.7%
Q4 - 9:31PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
21.8%
93
78.2%
Q4 - 9:31PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
22.5%
92
77.5%
Q4 - 9:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
26.3%
91
73.7%
Q4 - 9:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
25.3%
91
74.7%
Q4 - 10:06PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Green 1 AST)84
23.4%
91
76.6%
Q4 - 10:17PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
32.3%
88
67.7%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot84
33.8%
88
66.2%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
37.4%
88
62.6%
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot84
33.8%
88
66.2%
Q4 - 10:52PHIGreen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)84
37.4%
88
62.6%
Q4 - 11:18MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS)84
43.8%
86
56.2%
Q4 - 11:36PHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)82
38.4%
86
61.6%
Q4 - 11:46PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
33.6%
86
66.4%
Q4 - 11:48PHIMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
36.9%
86
63.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
33.6%
86
66.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound82
38.4%
86
61.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
36.1%
86
63.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0PHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)82
39.0%
86
61.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)82
34.7%
86
65.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)81
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)80
29.8%
86
70.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 280
29.3%
86
70.7%
Q3 - 0:45.0PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 280
26.7%
86
73.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAIguodala STEAL (2 STL)80
26.1%
86
73.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
29.8%
86
70.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0PHIMISS Speights 12' Jump Shot80
28.7%
86
71.3%
Q3 - 1:14MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
26.8%
86
73.2%
Q3 - 1:30PHIMeeks 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Holiday 10 AST)77
19.6%
86
80.4%
Q3 - 1:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)77
26.8%
83
73.2%
Q3 - 1:58PHIIguodala 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)74
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)74
24.2%
81
75.8%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 273
22.7%
81
77.3%
Q3 - 2:27PHISpeights 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)73
24.1%
81
75.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
27.7%
79
72.3%
Q3 - 2:41MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
27.1%
79
72.9%
Q3 - 3:01PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Holiday 9 AST)71
25.8%
79
74.2%
Q3 - 3:08PHIMeeks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
32.9%
76
67.1%
Q3 - 3:10PHIMISS Iguodala Dunk71
36.0%
76
64.0%
Q3 - 3:37MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS)71
32.9%
76
67.1%
Q3 - 3:52PHIMeeks Layup (12 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)69
29.2%
76
70.8%
Q3 - 4:02MIAWright Layup (8 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)69
33.2%
74
66.8%
Q3 - 4:06MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
30.1%
74
69.9%
Q3 - 4:07PHIMISS Speights Layup67
28.8%
74
71.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAHaslem 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)67
26.0%
74
74.0%
Q3 - 4:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
23.3%
74
76.7%
Q3 - 4:37PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 2 of 265
22.8%
74
77.2%
Q3 - 4:37PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
20.9%
74
79.1%
Q3 - 4:41MIAHoliday STEAL (1 STL)65
22.8%
73
77.2%
Q3 - 4:54PHISpeights Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)65
26.5%
73
73.5%
Q3 - 5:17MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)65
30.1%
71
69.9%
Q3 - 5:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
23.9%
71
76.1%
Q3 - 5:37PHIMISS Holiday 7' Jump Shot62
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 5:53PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
20.6%
71
79.4%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 262
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 6:02PHIIguodala Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)62
25.1%
71
74.9%
Q3 - 6:10PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Anthony 7' Jump Shot62
22.8%
71
77.2%
Q3 - 6:27PHIDalembert Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q3 - 6:27PHIDalembert Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
25.7%
70
74.3%
Q3 - 6:47MIABeasley 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)62
27.8%
69
72.2%
Q3 - 6:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
25.0%
69
75.0%
Q3 - 6:55PHIMISS Holiday Layup60
23.9%
69
76.1%
Q3 - 7:10PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
22.8%
69
77.2%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Richardson Layup60
23.7%
69
76.3%
Q3 - 7:29PHIKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Dalembert 3 AST)60
25.9%
69
74.1%
Q3 - 7:31PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
32.0%
66
68.0%
Q3 - 7:32PHIMISS Brand 12' Jump Shot60
34.6%
66
65.4%
Q3 - 8:02PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
32.4%
66
67.6%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot60
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 8:22PHIKapono 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Holiday 8 AST)60
36.1%
66
63.9%
Q3 - 8:34MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)60
43.0%
63
57.0%
Q3 - 8:59PHIBrand 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)57
36.1%
63
63.9%
Q3 - 9:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)57
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 9:31MIABeasley Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)57
43.6%
61
56.4%
Q3 - 9:52PHIKapono 14' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Dalembert 2 AST)56
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 10:06PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
44.1%
59
55.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot56
45.2%
59
54.8%
Q3 - 10:29PHIKapono Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)56
47.7%
59
52.3%
Q3 - 10:44MIAWade 15' Turnaround Bank Shot (14 PTS)56
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 11:12PHIKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Holiday 7 AST)54
48.3%
57
51.7%
Q3 - 11:18PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
55.0%
54
45.0%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Beasley Layup54
56.1%
54
43.9%
Q3 - 11:25PHIIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)54
58.6%
54
41.4%
Q3 - 11:47PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
55.0%
54
45.0%
Q3 - 11:49MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 254
55.5%
54
44.5%
Q3 - 11:49MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
57.8%
54
42.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA53
55.2%
54
44.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
55.2%
54
44.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHIMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
54.2%
54
45.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWright Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)53
52.5%
54
47.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0PHIKapono 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)51
48.3%
54
51.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade Layup (12 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)51
52.4%
52
47.6%
Q2 - 1:07PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)49
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)49
56.0%
49
44.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q2 - 1:32PHIMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot47
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q2 - 1:37PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
49.5%
49
50.5%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot47
50.2%
49
49.8%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
51.9%
49
48.1%
Q2 - 1:46PHIMISS Dalembert 12' Jump Shot47
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q2 - 1:51PHI76ERS Rebound47
49.5%
49
50.5%
Q2 - 1:51PHIMISS Brand 7' Jump Shot47
51.1%
49
48.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade Driving Dunk (8 PTS)47
49.1%
49
50.9%
Q2 - 2:32PHIKapono 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)45
46.1%
49
53.9%
Q2 - 2:37PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
49.2%
47
50.8%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Beasley 16' Jump Shot45
50.2%
47
49.8%
Q2 - 2:54PHIMeeks 15' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)45
52.5%
47
47.5%
Q2 - 3:02PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
55.6%
45
44.4%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
56.8%
45
43.2%
Q2 - 3:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
59.3%
45
40.7%
Q2 - 3:20PHIMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 245
58.8%
45
41.2%
Q2 - 3:20PHIMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 245
56.9%
45
43.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAChalmers 6' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
55.6%
45
44.4%
Q2 - 3:53PHIMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)43
53.1%
45
46.9%
Q2 - 4:05MIABeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)43
58.7%
42
41.3%
Q2 - 4:23PHIDalembert 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)40
53.0%
42
47.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
55.7%
40
44.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
53.0%
40
47.0%
Q2 - 4:58PHIMISS Carney 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
52.0%
40
48.0%
Q2 - 5:06PHIMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot38
51.1%
40
48.9%
Q2 - 5:30PHIDalembert 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Carney 1 AST)38
53.1%
40
46.9%
Q2 - 5:41PHIMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
56.2%
38
43.8%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
57.0%
38
43.0%
Q2 - 5:56PHISmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)38
59.0%
38
41.0%
Q2 - 5:59PHISmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 6:01PHIMISS Speights 6' Jump Shot38
58.0%
38
42.0%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P2.T6)38
55.7%
38
44.3%
Q2 - 6:39PHIWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)38
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
64.1%
35
35.9%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 7:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot36
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 7:07MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 7:09PHIMISS Carney Layup36
60.9%
35
39.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)36
58.9%
35
41.1%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot36
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 7:49PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)36
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 8:01PHI76ERS Rebound36
66.4%
32
33.6%
Q2 - 8:01PHIMISS Carney 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 8:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)36
66.5%
32
33.5%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Haslem Layup36
67.2%
32
32.8%
Q2 - 8:44PHIMeeks 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)36
69.0%
32
31.0%
Q2 - 9:03PHISmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
70.7%
30
29.3%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 136
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 9:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
68.6%
30
31.4%
Q2 - 9:24PHIMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 9:43MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)34
66.1%
30
33.9%
Q2 - 9:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
61.3%
30
38.7%
Q2 - 9:59PHIMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot31
60.5%
30
39.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T3)31
58.4%
30
41.6%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
61.2%
30
38.8%
Q2 - 10:31PHIMISS Speights 15' Jump Shot31
60.3%
30
39.7%
Q2 - 10:55MIAArroyo 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)31
58.4%
30
41.6%
Q2 - 11:19PHIWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)29
56.0%
30
44.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)29
60.8%
27
39.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
58.5%
27
41.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHIIguodala Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)27
57.9%
27
42.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
56.0%
27
44.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
55.5%
27
44.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
53.1%
27
46.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0PHIMISS Iguodala 16' Jump Shot25
52.5%
27
47.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIARichardson Putback Layup (9 PTS)25
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
46.8%
27
53.2%
Q1 - 1:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q1 - 1:07PHIMISS Speights Layup23
47.9%
27
52.1%
Q1 - 1:23PHISpeights REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
46.7%
27
53.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q1 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade Layup23
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 1:26MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot23
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAHeat Rebound23
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIAIguodala BLOCK (1 BLK)23
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 1:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q1 - 1:44PHIMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
47.8%
27
52.2%
Q1 - 2:03MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
46.9%
27
53.1%
Q1 - 2:10MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
44.2%
27
55.8%
Q1 - 2:12PHIMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot21
43.6%
27
56.4%
Q1 - 2:30MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
42.3%
27
57.7%
Q1 - 2:30MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q1 - 3:16PHIKapono 7' Running Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)19
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q1 - 3:36MIABeasley Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)19
42.4%
25
57.6%
Q1 - 3:59PHIBrand 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)17
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)17
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q1 - 4:45PHIBrand 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)14
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q1 - 4:55MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)14
40.5%
21
59.5%
Q1 - 5:10PHIHoliday 11' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
39.0%
21
61.0%
Q1 - 5:16PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
40.8%
19
59.2%
Q1 - 5:18MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)12
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 5:32PHIBrand 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)12
43.1%
19
56.9%
Q1 - 5:44PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
45.0%
17
55.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot12
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 5:56PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 5:56PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 5:59MIAIguodala STEAL (1 STL)12
49.3%
15
50.7%
Q1 - 6:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 6:08PHIMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
51.2%
15
48.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)12
49.6%
15
50.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.6%
15
52.4%
Q1 - 6:36PHIMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot10
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 6:54MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 7:15PHIBrand 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)8
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q1 - 7:28MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 7:47PHIKapono 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)6
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
48.1%
10
51.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 8:31PHIDalembert Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)4
46.0%
10
54.0%
Q1 - 8:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 8:49MIARichardson Putback Layup (2 PTS)4
48.0%
8
52.0%
Q1 - 8:51MIADalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)2
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 9:03PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
46.8%
8
53.2%
Q1 - 9:03PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
47.2%
7
52.8%
Q1 - 9:09PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Wade Layup2
49.4%
6
50.6%
Q1 - 9:16MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 9:18PHIMISS Dalembert 7' Jump Shot2
50.1%
6
49.9%
Q1 - 9:32PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMISS Richardson 14' Jump Bank Shot2
49.4%
6
50.6%
Q1 - 9:42PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 9:59MIABeasley Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)2
48.7%
6
51.3%
Q1 - 10:17PHIHoliday 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
49.1%
4
50.9%
Q1 - 11:05PHIIguodala Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)0
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 11:15PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot0
53.9%
2
46.1%
Q1 - 11:45PHIDalembert Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)0
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 12:00PHIJump Ball Dalembert vs. Anthony: Tip to Iguodala0
56.8%
0
43.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
PHI
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
28
68%
PHI
9
14
64%
Midrange
MIA
16
32
50%
PHI
20
36
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
12
42%
63%
PHI
12
18.0
25
48%
72%
Free Throws
MIA
22
28
79%
PHI
11
19
58%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3068%15.0 / 22
C. Arroyo1575%7.5 / 10
M. Beasley1568%7.5 / 11
Q. Richardson1554%7.5 / 14
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
D. Wright1267%6.0 / 9
M. Chalmers770%3.5 / 5
J. Magloire150%0.5 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kapono24100%12.0 / 12
J. Meeks2188%10.5 / 12
E. Brand1558%7.5 / 13
A. Iguodala1454%7.0 / 13
L. Williams1192%5.5 / 6
S. Dalembert1063%5.0 / 8
J. Holiday425%2.0 / 8
M. Speights429%2.0 / 7
W. Green250%1.0 / 2
R. Carney0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+11
-10
88
PHI
77
+8
-10
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
PHI
1.24 61.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.7
105.9
MIA 123.0 +2.3
PHI 120.7
Pace
89.6
91.8
MIA 86.8
PHI 87.2 +0.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
MIA 16.6
PHI 16.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
49.6%
MIA 59.0%
PHI 62.7% +3.7%
TO %
13.6%
15.0%
MIA 12.5%
PHI 10.7% +1.8%
ORB %
26.0%
27.7%
MIA 26.5% +11.8%
PHI 14.7%
FTrt
29.6
27.0
MIA 38.9 +13.6
PHI 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.9%
55.8%
MIA 52.5%
PHI 85.4% +32.9%
STL %
8.1%
8.8%
MIA 9.2% +3.5%
PHI 5.7%
BLK %
9.4%
8.7%
MIA 4.0%
PHI 5.0% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.9%
MIA 60.1%
PHI 61.8% +1.7%
Rim FG%
62.0%
60.5%
MIA 67.9% +3.6%
PHI 64.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
40.3%
MIA 50.0%
PHI 55.6% +5.6%
3P %
34.6%
34.3%
MIA 41.7%
PHI 48.0% +6.3%
FT %
75.2%
75.6%
MIA 78.6% +20.7%
PHI 57.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.8%
34.4%
MIA 38.9% +20.2%
PHI 18.7%
Mid Att. %
48.3%
45.0%
MIA 44.4% +3.6%
PHI 48.0%
3P Att. %
21.9%
20.6%
MIA 16.7%
PHI 33.3% +16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAPHI
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points107105
Rebounds3830
Assists2135
Steals85
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)25 (0)
Field Goals40-7241-75
At-the-Rim FG19-289-14
Midrange FG16-3220-36
2-Point FG35-6029-50
3-Point FG5-1212-25
Free Throws22-2811-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 28
35.0
30
68%
4
3
2
1
4
4
1
3
5-7
71%
11-17
65%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
33.9
15
75%
2
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
31.5
15
68%
6
0
1
0
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
4-8
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 228 · 30
29.7
15
54%
12
4
0
1
1
1
2
10
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
19.5
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
29.4
12
60%
5
1
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24
27.7
12
67%
4
4
2
0
0
1
1
3
4-5
80%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
18.9
7
70%
1
2
2
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
14.4
1
50%
4
0
0
0
2
2
3
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 28
#4 · G · 6'3" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
60%
38
21
8
2
10
0
9
29
22-28
79%
35-60
58%
5-12
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.