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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat55%95107
2376ers45%94105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.2
35.0
35.4
30
68%
4
3
2
2
1
4
1
3
5-7
71%
11-17
8-15
65%
52%
1-2
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 30.7
33.9
30.8
15
77%
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
31.5
27.4
15
67%
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
4-5
80%
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.0
29.7
23.6
15
52%
12
4
0
1
1
1
2
10
3-3
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
2-6
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
19.5
16.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.8
29.4
31.9
12
60%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
4-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.4
27.7
24.0
12
65%
4
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-5
80%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
18.9
25.3
7
72%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.9
14.4
4.3
1
57%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.5
4.2
0
0-0
40%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
3.7
0
0-1
38%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 27.6
3.7
0
0-0
45%
Kenny Hasbrouck
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 26.4
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.2
36.1
24.5
24
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
2-3
86%
47%
4-5
80%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.2
32.6
31.9
14
56%
2
6
2
1
1
3
1
1
5-10
50%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 31.1
32.4
22.6
15
58%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 19.8
31.3
28.4
4
25%
3
13
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.9
31.2
28.0
10
64%
11
3
0
1
1
1
1
10
2-4
50%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.6
23.8
20.3
21
88%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
5-9
56%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
17.9
24.5
11
87%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 22.7
16.6
18.5
4
29%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.0
8.7
11.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
4.9
11.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
4.7
17.3
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.1
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.8
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.