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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Raptors40%99111
24Pistons60%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
40.2
31.2
6
43%
6
3
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
6-11
43%
53%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.5
38.0
35.9
33
72%
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
8-16
5-11
50%
50%
5-6
83%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
33.6
24.1
26
86%
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
6-7
86%
10-12
4-6
83%
61%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
22.6
24.0
3
39%
0
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
3-5
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.1
21.4
27.5
8
67%
8
4
0
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 20.7
26.3
16.7
12
57%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
6-9
3-5
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
24.8
23.5
15
77%
4
12
0
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
17.1
13.0
6
75%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 29.9
8.6
11.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.9
4.6
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.4
1.4
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.8
1.4
5.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.1
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.0
43.0
32.1
24
80%
6
4
2
1
0
3
3
3
7-7
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
3-5
60%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
39.0
30.8
12
55%
3
8
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 30.1
31.3
29.7
17
58%
5
3
0
1
1
2
2
3
3-4
75%
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 35.6
19.0
23.4
4
25%
4
1
0
1
1
0
3
1
0-2
0%
2-7
2-4
29%
53%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 23.1
16.6
27.6
4
40%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
27.2
19.0
8
52%
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
4
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 25.6
23.7
21.6
16
62%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
2-5
40%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.0
19.5
13.8
4
29%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 21.9
15.5
19.8
6
51%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-2
0%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.2
5.3
9.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 35.7
12.8
0
1-1
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.1
8.4
0
1-2
54%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.