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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards39%99103
20Knicks61%103114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
39.9
35.0
23
82%
7
5
0
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
5-8
63%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
35.9
35.9
19
50%
10
7
2
1
0
4
3
7
2-7
29%
7-15
9-18
47%
50%
1-1
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 24.6
35.5
35.3
18
85%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.9
34.7
35.8
16
54%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
2-5
40%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 35.1
9.8
16.1
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.2
27.2
21.6
8
45%
8
1
0
0
6
1
3
5
0-2
0%
4-7
4-8
57%
53%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.7
23.1
19.2
6
43%
6
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.3
17.4
15.5
6
51%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 33.9
12.4
7.6
5
42%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
1-1
100%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
4.1
8.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Cedric Jackson
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 28.9
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 26.5
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.7
41.6
38.4
24
62%
8
1
1
1
1
2
3
5
2-3
67%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
4-6
67%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
39.9
29.2
9
41%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-4
67%
58%
1-7
14%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.0
33.7
33.8
26
67%
8
2
1
1
0
1
0
8
2-3
67%
12-18
8-14
67%
56%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 28.7
30.9
30.9
8
37%
13
2
1
1
0
0
3
10
4-4
100%
2-9
5-11
22%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
27.7
25.0
14
85%
1
3
1
1
0
3
1
0
4-5
80%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.1
38.6
26.7
16
68%
3
5
2
1
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
2-5
40%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 23.8
18.4
20.0
12
87%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
2-2
100%
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
9.2
5.7
5
64%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 30.9
19.8
1
2-5
46%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
10.7
0
1-3
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
5.4
0
0-1
44%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 29.2
3.6
0
0-1
47%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.