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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies20%96101
3Nuggets80%107123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
32.4
24.5
12
39%
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
28.9
38.2
8
25%
3
1
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.5
27.6
34.3
22
72%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
6-9
5-11
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.7
26.6
36.1
12
41%
7
0
0
1
0
0
4
3
4-4
100%
4-13
7-14
31%
48%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.2
21.5
17.6
7
93%
6
0
0
0
4
0
0
6
3-4
75%
2-2
1-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
23.1
22.6
9
32%
10
0
2
1
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
4-13
3-7
31%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
22.3
20.5
18
56%
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
1
8-9
89%
5-11
3-7
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
20.4
18.5
0
0%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
19.1
12.3
2
25%
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.9
18.0
5.1
11
66%
8
2
0
0
0
1
4
4
1-3
33%
5-7
1-1
71%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.1
7.1
0
1-1
51%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.1
5.3
0
0-1
42%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.4
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.2
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
31.6
28.1
22
70%
13
1
0
1
0
0
2
11
6-6
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
2-6
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
31.3
35.8
21
58%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
8-9
89%
5-10
9-17
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
28.9
32.7
20
82%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
12-14
86%
4-6
5-8
67%
60%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 33.5
28.0
34.5
11
42%
4
7
3
1
1
3
0
4
4-5
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 32.3
24.9
14.9
8
50%
6
1
4
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
33.1
27.2
26
61%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
3-5
4-8
60%
52%
6-15
40%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 22.4
20.0
9.2
5
50%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
19.1
16.9
4
41%
5
1
0
0
4
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 24.2
15.9
18.0
4
40%
4
2
0
0
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
7.3
4.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.8
9.9
0
1-1
51%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.8
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.8
Brian Butch
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.