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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Rockets47%101117
25Kings53%102107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.2
39.8
26.2
39
72%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
16-16
100%
10-14
3-7
71%
47%
1-6
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
38.7
31.6
29
73%
5
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
4-4
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
5-9
56%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.9
35.3
36.0
8
57%
6
1
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
8-15
57%
52%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.8
31.4
22.6
0
0%
7
2
2
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.2
22.9
34.6
10
45%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.0
25.1
22.5
14
64%
1
11
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.4
20.2
17.8
3
34%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.9
17.4
23.2
10
56%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
0-2
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
9.1
15.5
4
67%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
6.9
0
1-2
46%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.8
4.1
0
1-1
47%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
3.0
0
0-1
49%
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.6
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 26.6
39.0
36.9
19
57%
5
0
3
1
1
3
3
2
3-4
75%
8-14
8-14
57%
55%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 20.6
37.9
37.2
24
44%
6
4
3
2
0
4
2
4
8-10
80%
8-22
7-15
36%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.7
37.4
34.4
6
38%
10
4
0
1
1
1
0
10
0-0
-
3-7
6-11
43%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.8
35.3
34.0
16
63%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 30.4
27.4
18.4
15
76%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 22.1
22.5
14.9
16
65%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
2-3
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.3
16.8
21.7
2
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.8
13.3
20.3
4
50%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 26.0
4.8
6.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 23.1
4.4
6.8
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.7
1.3
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.