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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks74%103117
29Clippers26%9494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.1
29.3
32.7
12
46%
0
12
1
2
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
2-7
29%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
26.0
8.8
21
79%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
9-11
2-3
82%
54%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.8
22.6
36.3
25
85%
8
3
2
1
1
1
1
7
4-4
100%
6-10
8-16
60%
51%
3-3
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
22.4
21.3
4
52%
6
3
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
62%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.1
18.1
5.8
11
65%
6
5
2
0
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
54%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.4
25.6
17.8
8
49%
5
3
0
0
1
1
2
3
2-5
40%
3-6
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
25.4
17.5
5
42%
7
1
0
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
1-5
20%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.0
22.0
19.3
11
79%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
3-4
75%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
21.4
29.6
12
76%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
4-8
100%
51%
2-5
40%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
18.7
16.4
2
35%
0
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
8.6
3.1
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.1
32.8
1
5-10
48%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.1
41.7
30.9
9
56%
2
13
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
40.2
35.1
10
31%
3
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-6
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.0
33.1
31.3
17
49%
7
0
2
0
2
6
1
6
5-5
100%
6-15
7-15
40%
50%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.7
30.9
28.6
10
59%
13
1
0
0
0
2
2
11
0-1
0%
5-8
4-6
63%
59%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 25.6
24.8
9.2
13
55%
8
2
0
0
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 26.4
29.9
10.0
15
77%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
6-8
2-3
75%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.8
23.3
9.4
15
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
3-5
60%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 25.5
14.1
9.8
5
28%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-8
1-2
13%
45%
1-1
100%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 33.9
2.2
3.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.3
34.7
1
4-7
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
19.4
0
3-7
48%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
14.8
1
2-4
42%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.0
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.