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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bucks39%92106
10Celtics61%9595
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 30.3
22.4
35.9
12
57%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
8-8
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.6
21.9
19.8
7
49%
3
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-5
20%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
21.6
28.5
0
0%
6
1
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 27.6
18.8
32.3
9
77%
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 20.6
16.5
32.9
9
56%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-9
60%
39%
1-3
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 35.4
27.8
20.6
17
72%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.2
26.5
20.0
17
124%
2
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
3-3
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.2
25.6
8.7
14
56%
9
1
2
0
0
0
4
5
0-1
0%
7-12
1-2
58%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
23.8
6.3
2
14%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-5
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
18.3
23.4
15
86%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
2-3
67%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 24.4
8.5
4.1
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.3
8.2
2.8
2
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 30.6
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.1
32.0
36.0
21
54%
6
15
1
2
0
4
2
4
7-12
58%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.3
31.2
9.6
13
69%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
5-7
1-2
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 35.6
28.7
19.5
9
50%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 37.1
27.3
15.4
8
57%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
2-3
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.3
20.2
19.1
8
57%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.1
29.8
6.8
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
27.8
6.1
12
69%
4
1
2
0
3
0
1
3
6-6
100%
3-6
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Oliver Lafayette
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
21.5
12.0
7
58%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 25.9
21.4
11.9
12
43%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.7
32.9
1
3-6
52%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 32.5
31.8
1
5-10
49%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 25.4
24.6
0
3-5
58%
Tony Gaffney
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.4
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 28.3
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.