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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls35%8998
13Bobcats65%9489
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.5
43.0
38.5
27
62%
2
5
2
1
1
5
2
0
5-6
83%
8-15
8-16
53%
49%
2-4
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.1
37.6
36.2
21
70%
13
4
0
1
1
5
3
10
7-9
78%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.3
34.3
36.7
8
57%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
33.8
26.3
11
60%
13
0
1
1
1
0
7
6
3-5
60%
4-7
4-7
57%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
32.3
36.5
11
49%
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.0
24.1
19.7
11
56%
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
23.1
14.0
9
41%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
6.4
5.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
5.4
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
39%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 27.8
9.9
0
2-3
48%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 25.2
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 25.3
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.3
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 25.1
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
24.0
33.5
15
68%
1
0
2
1
1
4
1
0
7-7
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.8
24.0
32.9
5
32%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.0
24.0
27.4
14
54%
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
21.9
30.6
10
63%
4
3
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
55%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.0
14.4
15.6
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
26.6
15.7
16
53%
9
1
2
1
2
1
2
7
6-7
86%
5-12
3-6
42%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.2
24.0
25.8
8
45%
1
3
3
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-6
33%
42%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 22.4
24.0
23.7
4
20%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-4
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 32.6
21.5
12.5
9
46%
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
3-8
2-4
38%
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.3
18.4
10.2
4
52%
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 27.5
11.6
22.7
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.8
5.6
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.2
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 21.9
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.