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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs48%9789
7Mavericks52%9896
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.6
37.0
22.0
2
11%
6
6
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
46%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.0
36.7
18.7
27
59%
23
4
3
1
0
3
8
15
3-4
75%
12-21
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 29.8
22.4
27.5
7
45%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
19.5
21.8
4
40%
9
0
2
1
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.9
5.3
23.5
6
60%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.9
29.4
24.2
16
45%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
5-15
5-9
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 23.9
25.5
16.8
14
50%
0
3
1
1
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
1-6
17%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
25.3
19.8
2
13%
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-5
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29.9
24.1
16.1
3
31%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 23.4
14.8
11.1
8
69%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.7
27.3
1
4-8
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.0
25.0
0
5-10
51%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
Curtis Jerrells
G · 6'1" 195 · 23.2
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 30.1
39.0
22.0
20
64%
5
2
3
1
1
2
2
3
6-8
75%
7-12
3-7
58%
47%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 31.8
33.1
30.7
19
46%
5
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
7-18
7-13
39%
50%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31.9
30.7
15.9
8
27%
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
3-13
3-5
23%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 37.1
28.4
30.7
18
63%
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
5-5
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
3-5
60%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
17.7
21.6
5
64%
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 30.4
28.0
20.5
8
49%
15
1
0
0
5
1
5
10
2-5
40%
3-6
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.6
26.1
26.3
10
42%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
50%
2-4
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
19.6
17.5
4
50%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.1
7.4
10.9
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 29.0
5.5
19.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.8
4.7
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 29.6
5.8
0
1-1
43%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.