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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets35%99123
14Rockets65%104115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.6
46.3
35.6
26
73%
2
11
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
9-13
6-12
69%
48%
2-4
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.6
43.3
34.2
35
82%
10
6
1
1
1
5
0
10
3-3
100%
16-20
7-14
80%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 22.9
31.9
33.6
20
75%
1
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
6-9
5-11
67%
49%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
28.1
25.8
8
69%
9
2
1
1
0
3
3
6
2-4
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
53%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
24.0
22.5
13
93%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
3-3
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 33.2
24.0
23.5
10
63%
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.2
19.2
20.3
2
13%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-8
3-7
13%
50%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
15.3
18.8
5
87%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.3
7.9
11.6
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.9
12.6
1
2-3
51%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 32.8
9.2
0
1-2
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 24.8
38.3
33.0
26
66%
10
10
0
2
2
3
2
8
1-4
25%
8-11
3-6
73%
48%
3-7
43%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 26.8
38.0
25.1
14
102%
3
1
2
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-6
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 27.2
37.5
29.8
24
68%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
7-8
88%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.0
36.2
34.9
15
53%
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-5
60%
6-12
7-14
50%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 25.2
28.3
30.3
12
60%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 24.1
19.7
23.1
4
33%
2
7
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.4
14.7
18.4
6
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 21.9
14.2
21.1
8
36%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
0-4
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.7
7.2
13.5
3
40%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-4
25%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
6.1
6.0
3
52%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.6
13.6
0
1-1
49%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Mike Harris
F · 6'6" 242 · 26.8
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 29.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.