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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies24%92105
9Thunder76%101114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
43.5
34.3
25
50%
5
3
3
1
0
1
1
4
7-9
78%
9-19
5-11
47%
48%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.7
41.1
32.1
21
55%
11
0
1
1
0
1
3
8
5-7
71%
8-16
6-13
50%
47%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.4
36.7
27.0
17
47%
6
5
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
1-5
20%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.5
36.0
31.3
16
53%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 23.2
34.8
19.0
6
77%
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.9
16.5
20.9
4
46%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.4
12.0
19.0
6
75%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
8.1
22.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.7
5.0
14.8
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 24.9
4.6
10.0
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Lester Hudson
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
1.8
3.1
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.2
10.2
0
1-3
55%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.1
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 32.1
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
37.9
37.3
31
77%
7
4
2
1
3
4
1
6
5-5
100%
10-15
8-15
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
34.4
36.8
16
54%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
4-5
5-10
80%
51%
2-8
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.9
26.8
32.1
10
56%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.4
25.4
33.0
9
40%
7
7
1
1
0
3
4
3
3-3
100%
3-9
6-13
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
14.8
19.8
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 20.6
32.2
23.1
15
66%
9
0
0
0
5
0
3
6
7-10
70%
4-7
4-7
57%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
28.6
16.8
15
89%
5
10
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-3
67%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 20.6
26.3
23.2
12
61%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.0
10.2
3.9
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.2
1.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
1.8
4.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.3
2.8
0
0-0
43%
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 24.2
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.