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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 14, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Suns38%104100
6Jazz62%10886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
32.0
32.6
20
63%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
8-9
89%
6-12
9-16
50%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.2
27.9
29.7
5
63%
2
11
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
52%
1-1
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
26.9
28.3
12
50%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
2-5
40%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 37.5
20.3
26.8
11
56%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 31.4
12.5
12.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 26.9
29.3
24.9
15
58%
6
1
2
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
3-8
38%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.8
26.4
21.5
11
70%
6
2
2
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 27.4
21.1
14.9
6
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.9
20.1
18.4
12
62%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
3-6
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.4
19.1
18.0
4
55%
5
0
0
0
4
0
1
4
4-6
67%
0-1
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.2
3.0
8.3
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 26.8
1.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Taylor Griffin
F · 6'7" 238 · 24.0
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.2
39.0
32.2
7
31%
7
2
1
1
1
2
3
4
1-1
100%
3-11
6-11
27%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.8
37.6
31.5
24
52%
5
6
1
1
0
5
2
3
12-14
86%
3-11
5-9
27%
53%
2-6
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 23.5
35.5
36.2
7
36%
3
2
2
1
0
6
0
3
3-4
75%
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
0-2
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
34.1
31.4
14
50%
7
1
1
1
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
2-5
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.9
32.4
25.0
21
75%
11
0
0
0
0
1
0
11
0-0
-
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
3-4
75%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.1
17.6
8.9
2
25%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.1
17.4
24.0
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.7
9.0
4.1
5
102%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.3
7.0
3.9
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
58%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.8
6.5
21.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.0
3.9
4.3
4
72%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 28.4
21.9
1
5-9
56%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.