Final Win Prob. pScore
153%97
80
647%96
88
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
87.99194.7
BOS logo Celtics
95.79288.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS80
88
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation80
88
Q4 - 0:14.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
88
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot80
88
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Davis80
88
Q4 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Haslem80
88
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)80
88
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
88
Q4 - 0:27.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
87
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.PN)80
86
Q4 - 0:46.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
86
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot80
86
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)80
86
Q4 - 0:49.0BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)80
86
Q4 - 1:10BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)80
83
Q4 - 1:10MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)80
83
Q4 - 1:15BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P7.T20)78
83
Q4 - 1:15BOSGarnett OFF.Foul (P5)78
83
Q4 - 1:28MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
83
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
83
Q4 - 1:37BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 275
83
Q4 - 1:37BOSCELTICS Rebound75
83
Q4 - 1:37BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 275
83
Q4 - 1:37MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
83
Q4 - 1:55BOSCELTICS Rebound75
83
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
83
Q4 - 2:05MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
83
Q4 - 2:06BOSMISS Rondo Driving Layup75
83
Q4 - 2:25MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)75
83
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
83
Q4 - 2:34BOSMISS Garnett 16' Jump Shot72
83
Q4 - 2:48MIASUB: House FOR Jones72
83
Q4 - 2:48BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)72
83
Q4 - 2:59BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
83
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot72
83
Q4 - 3:11BOSGarnett Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)72
83
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)72
83
Q4 - 3:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
83
Q4 - 3:30BOSGarnett S.FOUL (P4.T2)70
83
Q4 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)70
83
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
83
Q4 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
83
Q4 - 3:41BOSMISS Garnett 4' Turnaround Jump Shot70
83
Q4 - 3:56MIAGarnett STEAL (3 STL)70
83
Q4 - 4:13BOSDavis 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)70
83
Q4 - 4:16BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
81
Q4 - 4:17BOSMISS Garnett 2' Alley Oop Layup70
81
Q4 - 4:28MIABosh P.FOUL (P3.PN)70
81
Q4 - 4:29BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
81
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot70
81
Q4 - 4:38BOSGarnett P.FOUL (P3.T1)70
81
Q4 - 4:51BOSPierce Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)70
81
Q4 - 4:51BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)70
80
Q4 - 4:51BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)70
79
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones S.FOUL (P2.T4)70
78
Q4 - 4:56BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
78
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Wade 1' Alley Oop Layup70
78
Q4 - 5:02MIAJames Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)70
78
Q4 - 5:02BOSCELTICS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Davis )69
78
Q4 - 5:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
78
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot69
78
Q4 - 5:26BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 17 AST)69
78
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)69
75
Q4 - 6:04BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)66
75
Q4 - 6:26MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)66
73
Q4 - 6:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
73
Q4 - 6:36BOSMISS Rondo 22' Jump Shot64
73
Q4 - 6:59BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
73
Q4 - 7:01MIAMISS Haslem 5' Jump Hook Shot64
73
Q4 - 7:23MIASUB: James FOR House64
73
Q4 - 7:23BOSSUB: Allen FOR Robinson64
73
Q4 - 7:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)64
73
Q4 - 7:24BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 16 AST)64
73
Q4 - 7:33BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)64
70
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup64
70
Q4 - 7:47BOSDavis Layup (11 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)64
70
Q4 - 8:08MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)64
68
Q4 - 8:29BOSDavis 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)61
68
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T16)61
66
Q4 - 8:43MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T3)61
66
Q4 - 8:5761
66
Q4 - 8:57BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)61
66
Q4 - 9:07BOSSUB: Garnett FOR O'Neal61
66
Q4 - 9:07MIASUB: Wade FOR James61
66
Q4 - 9:07MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P4.T2)61
66
Q4 - 9:24MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)61
66
Q4 - 9:41BOSRondo 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)59
66
Q4 - 9:55BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
64
Q4 - 9:57BOSMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot59
64
Q4 - 10:16MIAHaslem 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)59
64
Q4 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
64
Q4 - 10:26BOSMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot57
64
Q4 - 10:33BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
64
Q4 - 10:34MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot57
64
Q4 - 10:43BOSSUB: Pierce FOR Daniels57
64
Q4 - 10:43BOSDavis Violation:Kicked Ball57
64
Q4 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
64
Q4 - 10:53BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 257
64
Q4 - 10:53MIASUB: Bosh FOR Ilgauskas57
64
Q4 - 10:53BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
64
Q4 - 10:53MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.T1)57
63
Q4 - 11:03MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T15)57
63
Q4 - 11:03MIAIlgauskas OFF.Foul (P3)57
63
Q4 - 11:12BOSSUB: Robinson FOR Allen57
63
Q4 - 11:12BOSO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T17)57
63
Q4 - 11:12BOSO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)57
63
Q4 - 11:24BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
63
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
63
Q4 - 11:42MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
63
Q4 - 11:43BOSMISS Rondo 7' Floating Jump Shot57
63
Q4 - 12:0057
63
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS57
63
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound57
63
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot57
63
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
63
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot57
63
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAJames Driving Layup (25 PTS)57
63
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
63
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot55
63
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)55
63
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)54
63
Q3 - 0:51.0BOSDavis S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
63
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHeat Rebound53
63
Q3 - 1:00BOSMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
63
Q3 - 1:17MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
63
Q3 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
63
Q3 - 1:32BOSMISS Allen 5' Floating Jump Shot50
63
Q3 - 1:51MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T14)50
63
Q3 - 1:51MIAIlgauskas OFF.Foul (P2)50
63
Q3 - 2:01BOSDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
63
Q3 - 2:01BOSCELTICS Rebound50
62
Q3 - 2:01BOSMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 250
62
Q3 - 2:01BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Garnett50
62
Q3 - 2:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)50
62
Q3 - 2:01MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.PN)50
62
Q3 - 2:19MIAJames 22' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)50
62
Q3 - 2:27BOSDavis 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)48
62
Q3 - 2:56MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)48
60
Q3 - 3:24BOSDaniels 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)45
60
Q3 - 3:30MIAGarnett STEAL (2 STL)45
58
Q3 - 3:43MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade45
58
Q3 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound45
58
Q3 - 3:43BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot45
58
Q3 - 3:53MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh45
58
Q3 - 3:53BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Pierce45
58
Q3 - 3:53BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)45
58
Q3 - 3:59BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
58
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS James 1' Layup45
58
Q3 - 4:21BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)45
58
Q3 - 4:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
55
Q3 - 4:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)44
55
Q3 - 4:32BOSPierce Personal Block Foul (P3.PN)43
55
Q3 - 4:37BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)43
55
Q3 - 4:37BOSJump Ball Rondo vs. House: Tip to James43
55
Q3 - 4:53MIABosh 1' Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
55
Q3 - 5:01BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T15)41
55
Q3 - 5:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
55
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 241
55
Q3 - 5:16MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
55
Q3 - 5:16BOSDavis S.FOUL (P1.T4)40
55
Q3 - 5:16MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
55
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS James 1' Layup40
55
Q3 - 5:35BOSSUB: Davis FOR O'Neal40
55
Q3 - 5:35BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)40
55
Q3 - 5:35BOSPierce Violation:Kicked Ball40
55
Q3 - 5:43MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
55
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot40
55
Q3 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
55
Q3 - 6:03BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 240
55
Q3 - 6:03BOSCELTICS Rebound40
55
Q3 - 6:03BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 240
55
Q3 - 6:03MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo40
55
Q3 - 6:03MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
55
Q3 - 6:27MIAArroyo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
55
Q3 - 6:42BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)38
55
Q3 - 6:58MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)38
53
Q3 - 7:11BOSRondo Violation:Kicked Ball35
53
Q3 - 7:14BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)35
53
Q3 - 7:21MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)35
53
Q3 - 7:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
53
Q3 - 7:40BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
53
Q3 - 7:40MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony35
53
Q3 - 7:40BOSCELTICS Rebound35
53
Q3 - 7:40BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
53
Q3 - 7:40MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T3)35
53
Q3 - 7:47BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
53
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
53
Q3 - 7:53MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)35
53
Q3 - 7:53BOSCELTICS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )34
53
Q3 - 8:15BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)34
53
Q3 - 8:34MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)34
51
Q3 - 8:45MIAAnthony Violation:Lane34
51
Q3 - 8:45BOSO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
51
Q3 - 8:45BOSCELTICS Rebound34
50
Q3 - 8:45BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 234
50
Q3 - 8:45MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
50
Q3 - 8:46BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
50
Q3 - 8:47BOSMISS O'Neal 1' Layup34
50
Q3 - 9:08MIABosh 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
50
Q3 - 9:29BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)32
50
Q3 - 9:39MIABosh Personal Block Foul (P2.T1)32
47
Q3 - 9:56BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
47
Q3 - 9:57MIAMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot32
47
Q3 - 10:08BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.T3)32
47
Q3 - 10:19BOSO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)32
47
Q3 - 10:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
45
Q3 - 10:32MIAHeat Rebound31
45
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 231
45
Q3 - 10:32BOSO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T2)31
45
Q3 - 10:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
45
Q3 - 10:43BOSMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot31
45
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)31
45
Q3 - 10:58MIAHeat Rebound30
45
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 230
45
Q3 - 10:58BOSO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)30
45
Q3 - 11:15BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)30
45
Q3 - 11:39MIARondo STEAL (2 STL)30
45
Q3 - 12:0030
45
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA30
45
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSDavis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)30
45
Q2 - 0:21.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
43
Q2 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas29
43
Q2 - 0:21.0BOSSUB: Davis FOR O'Neal29
43
Q2 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Wade FOR House29
43
Q2 - 0:21.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
43
Q2 - 0:21.0BOSGarnett S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
43
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
43
Q2 - 0:36.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Haslem28
42
Q2 - 0:36.0BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
42
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T4)28
41
Q2 - 0:52.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)28
41
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
41
Q2 - 0:55.0BOSPierce Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)26
41
Q2 - 1:06BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
41
Q2 - 1:07MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot26
41
Q2 - 1:11BOSO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)26
41
Q2 - 1:13BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
41
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot26
41
Q2 - 1:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
41
Q2 - 1:25BOSMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot26
41
Q2 - 1:47MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
41
Q2 - 1:47MIAHeat Rebound25
41
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 225
41
Q2 - 1:47BOSPierce S.FOUL (P2.PN)25
41
Q2 - 1:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
41
Q2 - 1:52BOSMISS Garnett 1' Layup25
41
Q2 - 2:02MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)25
41
Q2 - 2:13BOSO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
41
Q2 - 2:13MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh22
40
Q2 - 2:13BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
40
Q2 - 2:13MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T3)22
39
Q2 - 2:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
39
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot22
39
Q2 - 2:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
39
Q2 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot22
39
Q2 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
39
Q2 - 2:39BOSMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot22
39
Q2 - 2:47MIASUB: House FOR Wade22
39
Q2 - 2:47BOSAllen Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)22
39
Q2 - 2:47MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )22
38
Q2 - 3:01MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
38
Q2 - 3:22BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)20
38
Q2 - 3:30BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
38
Q2 - 3:32MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)20
38
Q2 - 3:41MIASUB: Jones FOR House20
38
Q2 - 3:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)20
38
Q2 - 3:51BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)20
38
Q2 - 3:55BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
35
Q2 - 3:56BOSMISS Garnett 1' Putback Dunk20
35
Q2 - 3:57BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
35
Q2 - 3:58BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
35
Q2 - 4:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)20
35
Q2 - 4:34BOSAllen 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)20
35
Q2 - 4:42BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)20
33
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot20
33
Q2 - 5:07BOSGarnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
33
Q2 - 5:17MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
31
Q2 - 5:29BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Robinson20
31
Q2 - 5:29BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Davis20
31
Q2 - 5:29BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)20
31
Q2 - 5:29MIAHouse 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
31
Q2 - 5:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
31
Q2 - 5:38BOSMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
31
Q2 - 5:58MIAWade 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS)18
31
Q2 - 6:02BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)16
31
Q2 - 6:10MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)16
31
Q2 - 6:10MIAHeat Rebound15
31
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 215
31
Q2 - 6:10BOSPierce S.FOUL (P1.PN)15
31
Q2 - 6:25MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)15
31
Q2 - 6:34BOSRobinson 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)15
31
Q2 - 6:38MIAGarnett STEAL (1 STL)15
29
Q2 - 6:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29
Q2 - 6:44BOSMISS Robinson 2' Layup15
29
Q2 - 6:48BOSRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29
Q2 - 6:49MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
29
Q2 - 6:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)15
29
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
29
Q2 - 7:05BOSSUB: Allen FOR Daniels15
29
Q2 - 7:05BOSSUB: Garnett FOR O'Neal15
29
Q2 - 7:05BOSDaniels P.FOUL (P3.T4)15
29
Q2 - 7:15BOSDaniels 6' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
29
Q2 - 7:21BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 17' Step Back Jump Shot15
27
Q2 - 7:36BOSRobinson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)15
27
Q2 - 7:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)15
25
Q2 - 7:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
25
Q2 - 7:52BOSDaniels S.FOUL (P2.T3)13
25
Q2 - 8:06BOSRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)13
25
Q2 - 8:06BOSRobinson Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)13
25
Q2 - 8:15BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
25
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot13
25
Q2 - 8:23MIASUB: James FOR Jones13
25
Q2 - 8:23MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)13
25
Q2 - 8:32BOSDaniels 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)13
25
Q2 - 8:40BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23
Q2 - 8:42MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)13
23
Q2 - 9:06BOSPierce 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)13
23
Q2 - 9:13BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
21
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup13
21
Q2 - 9:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)13
21
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot13
21
Q2 - 9:34BOSDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T7)13
21
Q2 - 9:34BOSDaniels Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)13
21
Q2 - 9:52MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS)13
21
Q2 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
21
Q2 - 9:58BOSMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
21
Q2 - 10:04BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
21
Q2 - 10:05MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)11
21
Q2 - 10:24BOSDaniels 1' Layup (2 PTS)11
21
Q2 - 10:46MIAHaslem Driving Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)11
19
Q2 - 10:52BOSPierce Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)9
19
Q2 - 11:06BOSPierce Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)9
19
Q2 - 11:069
18
Q2 - 11:06MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P4.T7)9
18
Q2 - 11:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
18
Q2 - 11:15MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup9
18
Q2 - 11:32BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
18
Q2 - 11:32BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)9
17
Q2 - 11:32MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
16
Q2 - 11:38BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
16
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot9
16
Q2 - 11:48MIAHeat Rebound9
16
Q2 - 11:49MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)9
16
Q2 - 12:009
16
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS9
16
Q1 - 0:18.0BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
16
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot9
16
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
16
Q1 - 0:32.0BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
16
Q1 - 0:46.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
16
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot9
16
Q1 - 1:03BOSDavis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)9
16
Q1 - 1:16BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
14
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 1:25MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)9
14
Q1 - 1:26BOSMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 1:43MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T6)9
14
Q1 - 1:43MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)9
14
Q1 - 1:54BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)9
14
Q1 - 1:54BOSCELTICS Rebound9
14
Q1 - 1:54BOSMISS Rondo 7' Turnaround Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 2:17MIASUB: House FOR Wade9
14
Q1 - 2:17BOSSUB: Daniels FOR Pierce9
14
Q1 - 2:17MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T5)9
14
Q1 - 2:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
14
Q1 - 2:36BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
14
Q1 - 2:46BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
14
Q1 - 2:48BOSMISS Pierce 1' Layup9
14
Q1 - 2:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
14
Q1 - 2:58MIAHeat Rebound8
14
Q1 - 2:58MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
14
Q1 - 2:58BOSSUB: O'Neal FOR Garnett8
14
Q1 - 2:58BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
14
Q1 - 2:58BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
14
Q1 - 3:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)8
14
Q1 - 3:15BOSMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot8
14
Q1 - 3:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14
Q1 - 3:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
14
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14
Q1 - 3:46MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh8
14
Q1 - 3:46BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)8
14
Q1 - 4:11MIAAnthony 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
14
Q1 - 4:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
14
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 3PT Step Back Jump Shot6
14
Q1 - 4:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
14
Q1 - 4:24BOSMISS Rondo 1' Layup6
14
Q1 - 4:30MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)6
14
Q1 - 4:47BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)6
14
Q1 - 4:51BOSCELTICS Rebound6
11
Q1 - 4:52BOSMISS Rondo 1' Driving Layup6
11
Q1 - 5:10BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11
Q1 - 5:12MIAMISS James 1' Layup6
11
Q1 - 5:24MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo6
11
Q1 - 5:24BOSSUB: Davis FOR O'Neal6
11
Q1 - 5:24MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)6
11
Q1 - 5:33BOSAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)6
11
Q1 - 5:41BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
9
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 3' Turnaround Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
9
Q1 - 5:55BOSMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 6:13MIABosh Driving Dunk (2 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 6:26MIAHeat Rebound4
9
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS James Free Throw Technical4
9
Q1 - 6:26BOSCELTICS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )4
9
Q1 - 6:44BOSO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)4
9
Q1 - 6:50BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 7:04MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Step Back Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 7:29BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)4
7
Q1 - 7:48MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)4
4
Q1 - 8:07BOSO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 8:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 8:31BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
2
Q1 - 8:43MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 8:57BOSRondo 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 9:10MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 9:12BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 9:13MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 9:36MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 9:37BOSMISS O'Neal Layup2
0
Q1 - 9:40BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 9:41BOSMISS Rondo 20' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:01BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:14BOSAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
0
Q1 - 10:26BOSCELTICS Rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup2
0
Q1 - 10:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
0
Q1 - 10:35BOSMISS Pierce 18' Step Back Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:53MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:19BOSGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:19BOSGarnett OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 11:31MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:31MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:43BOSMISS O'Neal 1' Layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball O'Neal vs. Anthony: Tip to Rondo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
BOS
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
BOS
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIA
7
29
24%
BOS
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
BOS
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
18
25
72%
BOS
16
25
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3160%15.5 / 26
D. Wade1334%6.5 / 19
C. Bosh836%4.0 / 11
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
E. House850%4.0 / 8
J. Jones643%3.0 / 7
C. Arroyo350%1.5 / 3
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2077%10.0 / 13
P. Pierce1995%9.5 / 10
G. Davis1381%6.5 / 8
K. Garnett1038%5.0 / 13
S. O'Neal941%4.5 / 11
M. Daniels880%4.0 / 5
R. Rondo422%2.0 / 9
N. Robinson429%2.0 / 7
J. O'Neal113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+12
-17
86
BOS
74
+11
-18
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.5%
BOS
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
106.1
MIA 87.9
BOS 95.7 +7.7
Pace
91.3
90.6
MIA 94.7 +6.1
BOS 88.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
MIA 15.2 −1.1
BOS 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.9%
MIA 41.9%
BOS 52.2% +10.3%
TO %
14.4%
14.9%
MIA 16.7% −3.3%
BOS 20.0%
ORB %
25.2%
21.2%
MIA 24.4% +2.2%
BOS 22.2%
FTrt
36.3
30.5
MIA 33.8
BOS 36.2 +2.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
63.5%
MIA 55.6%
BOS 78.1% +22.5%
STL %
7.3%
9.1%
MIA 11.0% +4.5%
BOS 6.5%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 11.3% +3.9%
BOS 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
54.3%
MIA 46.5%
BOS 51.8% +5.3%
Rim FG%
64.7%
61.6%
MIA 48.0%
BOS 53.1% +5.1%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.6%
MIA 24.1%
BOS 33.3% +9.2%
3P %
37.0%
36.5%
MIA 40.0%
BOS 50.0% +10.0%
FT %
76.9%
77.0%
MIA 72.0% +8.0%
BOS 64.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
37.4%
MIA 33.8%
BOS 46.4% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.6%
MIA 39.2%
BOS 30.4% −8.8%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.0%
MIA 27.0% +3.8%
BOS 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points8088
Rebounds3942
Assists1525
Steals106
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals27-7432-69
At-the-Rim FG12-2517-32
Midrange FG7-297-21
2-Point FG19-5424-53
3-Point FG8-208-16
Free Throws18-2516-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.6
31
60%
4
3
1
2
8
1
0
4
8-12
67%
7-15
47%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
37.6
8
36%
8
2
1
1
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
36.7
13
34%
4
6
3
0
6
4
0
4
4-6
67%
3-13
23%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
16.7
2
100%
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
12.6
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
30.6
8
50%
11
0
0
1
0
4
4
7
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
26.5
8
50%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
26.1
6
43%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-7
29%
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
10.7
1
50%
3
0
3
1
2
4
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
47%
39
15
10
6
17
0
11
28
18-25
72%
19-54
35%
8-20
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.