FinalWin Prob.pScore
172%102
97
2428%94
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.69196.7
PHI logo PHI
95.69185.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

76ersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHI
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHIMISS Holiday 4' Jump Shot97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0PHIMISS Holiday 2' Layup97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (30 PTS)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0PHIWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T19)95
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0PHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS James 1' Layup95
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 1:01PHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)95
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJames 5' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25PHIHoliday 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)93
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 1:39PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 293
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:03PHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:07PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:10MIATurner BLOCK (1 BLK)92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:31PHITurner 13' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nocioni 3 AST)92
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:47MIABrand STEAL (3 STL)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58MIAHeat Rebound92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot92
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 3:24PHINocioni 1' Layup (7 PTS)92
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25PHINocioni REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27PHIMISS Brand 4' Jump Shot92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48MIAHoliday STEAL (2 STL)92
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05PHIBrand 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)92
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:15PHITurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38PHIWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)92
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:50MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (House 1 AST)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13PHIHoliday 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)90
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:22MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 7 AST)90
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39PHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57PHI76ERS Rebound88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58MIABrand BLOCK (2 BLK)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19PHITurner 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)88
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:24MIAHoliday STEAL (1 STL)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:39PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T18)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:06MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (James 6 AST)88
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHeat Rebound86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:21PHIMISS Iguodala 11' Turnaround Jump Shot86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:36MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T13)86
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 7:47PHIMISS Nocioni 12' Jump Shot86
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade Driving Layup (28 PTS)86
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 8:18PHITurner 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nocioni 2 AST)84
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 8:38MIAWade 1' Driving Reverse Layup (26 PTS)84
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 8:55PHITurner 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)82
99.5%
65
0.5%
Q4 - 9:07PHITurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 3 of 382
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (24 PTS)82
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 9:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (23 PTS)81
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 9:29PHIIguodala Foul Turnover (P2.T17)80
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 9:33PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot80
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 9:52PHIIguodala Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Nocioni 1 AST)80
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 9:57PHITurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:25PHIWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Young 1 AST)80
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 10:38PHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 11:11PHIYoung 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turner 4 AST)80
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 11:27PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
99.7%
56
0.3%
Q4 - 11:29MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot80
99.8%
56
0.2%
Q4 - 11:42PHITurner 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)80
99.8%
56
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound80
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Stackhouse 47' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0PHIMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot80
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
99.8%
54
0.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0PHIIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)78
99.7%
54
0.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIABosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
99.7%
54
0.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0PHITurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
99.6%
54
0.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0PHIMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 276
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 1:05PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 1:15PHIBrand 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)76
99.6%
53
0.4%
Q3 - 1:39MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)76
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 1:58PHIYoung Foul Turnover (P1.T15)73
99.5%
51
0.5%
Q3 - 2:23MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)73
99.3%
51
0.7%
Q3 - 2:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
99.0%
51
1.0%
Q3 - 2:31PHIMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
98.9%
51
1.1%
Q3 - 2:51MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 4 AST)70
98.8%
51
1.2%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 3:10PHIMISS Williams 2' Layup67
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAYoung STEAL (2 STL)67
97.7%
51
2.3%
Q3 - 3:44PHITurner 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)67
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 4:01PHI76ERS Rebound67
98.2%
49
1.8%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot67
98.3%
49
1.7%
Q3 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound67
98.5%
49
1.5%
Q3 - 4:19PHIMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
98.4%
49
1.6%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
98.2%
49
1.8%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
98.1%
49
1.9%
Q3 - 4:53PHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)65
97.9%
49
2.1%
Q3 - 5:20MIAJames 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
97.2%
49
2.8%
Q3 - 5:35PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
96.7%
49
3.3%
Q3 - 5:35PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
96.9%
48
3.1%
Q3 - 5:37PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
97.2%
47
2.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS James 1' Dunk63
97.3%
47
2.7%
Q3 - 6:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
97.7%
47
2.3%
Q3 - 6:01PHIMISS Iguodala 14' Jump Shot63
97.3%
47
2.7%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJames 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)63
97.0%
47
3.0%
Q3 - 6:33MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
96.5%
47
3.5%
Q3 - 6:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup61
96.1%
47
3.9%
Q3 - 6:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
96.5%
47
3.5%
Q3 - 6:43PHIMISS Williams 2' Layup61
96.3%
47
3.7%
Q3 - 6:57MIAArroyo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)61
95.9%
47
4.1%
Q3 - 7:06PHIMISS Brand 13' Jump Shot61
95.9%
47
4.1%
Q3 - 7:22MIAHeat Rebound61
96.1%
47
3.9%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)61
95.5%
47
4.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 260
95.4%
47
4.6%
Q3 - 7:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
95.5%
47
4.5%
Q3 - 7:36PHIMISS Iguodala 20' Jump Shot60
95.3%
47
4.7%
Q3 - 7:42PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
94.8%
47
5.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot60
95.0%
47
5.0%
Q3 - 8:04PHIBrand 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)60
95.4%
47
4.6%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)60
96.0%
45
4.0%
Q3 - 8:35PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
94.7%
45
5.3%
Q3 - 8:35PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
94.8%
44
5.2%
Q3 - 8:43PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
95.3%
43
4.7%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot57
95.5%
43
4.5%
Q3 - 8:56PHITurner Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)57
96.0%
43
4.0%
Q3 - 9:02PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
95.2%
43
4.8%
Q3 - 9:05MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)57
95.4%
43
4.6%
Q3 - 9:23PHI76ERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)57
95.8%
43
4.2%
Q3 - 9:49MIAArroyo 1' Layup (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)57
95.2%
43
4.8%
Q3 - 9:53PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)55
94.5%
43
5.5%
Q3 - 10:09MIAWade 2' Dunk (16 PTS)55
93.4%
43
6.6%
Q3 - 10:12PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)53
92.6%
43
7.4%
Q3 - 10:29MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
91.5%
43
8.5%
Q3 - 10:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
90.3%
43
9.7%
Q3 - 10:36PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
89.0%
43
11.0%
Q3 - 10:36PHIMISS Holiday 1' Dunk51
89.9%
43
10.1%
Q3 - 10:38PHIMISS Hawes 16' Jump Shot51
89.9%
43
10.1%
Q3 - 10:48PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
89.0%
43
11.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot51
89.4%
43
10.6%
Q3 - 11:15PHIBrand 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)51
90.2%
43
9.8%
Q3 - 11:22PHI76ERS Rebound51
91.3%
41
8.7%
Q3 - 11:33PHIMISS Holiday 5' Jump Shot51
92.1%
41
7.9%
Q3 - 11:49MIAArroyo 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
91.3%
41
8.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
90.2%
41
9.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHIMISS Iguodala 18' Step Back Jump Shot49
89.5%
41
10.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
88.8%
41
11.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot49
89.1%
41
10.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0PHIWilliams 7' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
91.2%
39
8.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
91.0%
39
9.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
89.8%
39
10.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Young 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
89.5%
39
10.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0PHI76ERS Rebound47
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0PHIMISS Iguodala 12' Jump Shot47
89.5%
39
10.5%
Q2 - 1:22MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)47
88.8%
39
11.2%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
87.0%
39
13.0%
Q2 - 1:27PHIMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot45
86.7%
39
13.3%
Q2 - 1:49PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
85.9%
39
14.1%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot45
86.3%
39
13.7%
Q2 - 2:13PHIWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)45
87.1%
39
12.9%
Q2 - 2:19PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
89.6%
36
10.4%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot45
90.0%
36
10.0%
Q2 - 2:36PHIBrand 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)45
90.8%
36
9.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
91.8%
34
8.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
91.6%
34
8.4%
Q2 - 3:13PHIYoung Running Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)43
90.9%
34
9.1%
Q2 - 3:18MIAYoung STEAL (1 STL)43
91.7%
32
8.3%
Q2 - 3:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
92.7%
32
7.3%
Q2 - 3:32MIAHeat Rebound43
92.7%
32
7.3%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 243
91.8%
32
8.2%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 243
92.4%
32
7.6%
Q2 - 3:38PHIKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
92.7%
32
7.3%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
91.5%
32
8.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
89.6%
32
10.4%
Q2 - 4:15PHIMISS Brand 7' Jump Shot40
89.2%
32
10.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIABrand STEAL (2 STL)40
88.3%
32
11.7%
Q2 - 4:40PHIWilliams 5' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
89.6%
32
10.4%
Q2 - 4:44PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
90.6%
30
9.4%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
91.6%
30
8.4%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup40
90.9%
30
9.1%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade Layup40
90.9%
30
9.1%
Q2 - 5:09PHIIguodala Dunk (8 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)40
91.5%
30
8.5%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)40
92.4%
28
7.6%
Q2 - 5:37MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
90.5%
28
9.5%
Q2 - 5:38PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
89.5%
28
10.5%
Q2 - 5:38PHIMISS Young Layup37
90.2%
28
9.8%
Q2 - 5:43PHIMISS Nocioni 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
90.2%
28
9.8%
Q2 - 5:47PHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
89.5%
28
10.5%
Q2 - 5:49MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
90.5%
28
9.5%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Ilgauskas 6' Jump Shot37
89.8%
28
10.2%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup37
89.8%
28
10.2%
Q2 - 6:11MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
90.2%
28
9.8%
Q2 - 6:13PHIMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
89.8%
28
10.2%
Q2 - 6:34MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
89.0%
28
11.0%
Q2 - 6:52PHIIguodala 18' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)34
86.8%
28
13.2%
Q2 - 7:15MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)34
87.9%
26
12.1%
Q2 - 7:36PHI76ERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)31
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 7:37PHI76ERS Rebound31
83.8%
26
16.2%
Q2 - 7:37PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
84.9%
26
15.1%
Q2 - 7:59PHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
83.8%
26
16.2%
Q2 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot31
84.3%
26
15.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAHeat Rebound31
85.3%
26
14.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIANocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)31
84.3%
26
15.7%
Q2 - 8:18PHIHoliday Palming Turnover (P2.T7)31
85.3%
26
14.7%
Q2 - 8:33MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)31
83.8%
26
16.2%
Q2 - 8:43PHINocioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
82.4%
26
17.6%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)29
80.7%
26
19.3%
Q2 - 9:05MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
79.0%
26
21.0%
Q2 - 9:07PHIMISS Nocioni 1' Layup27
78.5%
26
21.5%
Q2 - 9:14MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)27
77.2%
26
22.8%
Q2 - 9:35PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
73.4%
26
26.6%
Q2 - 9:43PHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
77.2%
23
22.8%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 224
77.4%
23
22.6%
Q2 - 9:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
78.6%
23
21.4%
Q2 - 9:54PHITurner Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
77.2%
23
22.8%
Q2 - 9:54PHITurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
79.0%
22
21.0%
Q2 - 9:54PHITurner 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)23
79.0%
22
21.0%
Q2 - 9:55PHIMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q2 - 10:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
80.3%
20
19.7%
Q2 - 10:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
79.9%
20
20.1%
Q2 - 10:27PHINocioni 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turner 3 AST)21
78.8%
20
21.2%
Q2 - 10:39PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
80.3%
18
19.7%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
80.8%
18
19.2%
Q2 - 10:45MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
82.0%
18
18.0%
Q2 - 10:46PHIMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot21
81.5%
18
18.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
80.3%
18
19.7%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 220
80.0%
18
20.0%
Q2 - 11:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
80.2%
18
19.8%
Q2 - 11:11PHIMISS Turner 18' Jump Shot20
79.7%
18
20.3%
Q2 - 11:26MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
78.4%
18
21.6%
Q2 - 11:26MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
78.1%
18
21.9%
Q2 - 11:40PHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)18
76.8%
18
23.2%
Q2 - 11:44PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
80.1%
15
19.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS House 1' Layup18
80.6%
15
19.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
81.8%
15
18.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound18
81.8%
15
18.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 42' 3PT Jump Shot18
80.6%
15
19.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0PHIIguodala Slam Dunk (4 PTS)18
81.4%
15
18.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
83.1%
13
16.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0PHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
83.8%
13
16.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)18
83.1%
13
16.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHISpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
84.2%
13
15.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHIMISS Speights Free Throw 1 of 218
84.5%
12
15.5%
Q1 - 1:01MIAJames 4' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)18
84.5%
12
15.5%
Q1 - 1:11PHIWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)16
82.8%
12
17.2%
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T7)16
81.8%
12
18.2%
Q1 - 1:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
82.8%
12
17.2%
Q1 - 1:35PHIMISS Speights 4' Jump Shot16
82.5%
12
17.5%
Q1 - 1:45PHI76ERS Rebound16
81.8%
12
18.2%
Q1 - 1:45MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 1:59PHIYoung 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
82.8%
12
17.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
84.3%
10
15.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
84.0%
10
16.0%
Q1 - 2:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
82.9%
10
17.1%
Q1 - 2:31PHIMISS Speights 13' Jump Shot14
82.5%
10
17.5%
Q1 - 2:45PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
81.7%
10
18.3%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot14
82.0%
10
18.0%
Q1 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
82.9%
10
17.1%
Q1 - 3:01PHIMISS Speights 2' Layup14
82.7%
10
17.3%
Q1 - 3:19MIABosh 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
81.8%
10
18.2%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
80.4%
10
19.6%
Q1 - 3:37PHIMISS Young Free Throw 1 of 112
80.2%
10
19.8%
Q1 - 3:54MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)12
81.7%
8
18.3%
Q1 - 3:57PHITurner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
83.1%
8
16.9%
Q1 - 4:12PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
81.8%
8
18.2%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot12
82.2%
8
17.8%
Q1 - 4:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
83.2%
8
16.8%
Q1 - 4:28PHIMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot12
82.8%
8
17.2%
Q1 - 4:48MIABosh 1' Layup (4 PTS)12
81.8%
8
18.2%
Q1 - 5:11PHIYoung 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)10
80.2%
8
19.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIABrand STEAL (1 STL)10
81.4%
6
18.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
82.8%
6
17.2%
Q1 - 5:22PHIMISS Turner 16' Jump Shot10
82.4%
6
17.6%
Q1 - 5:42PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
81.4%
6
18.6%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 110
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 6:01PHIBrand Layup (2 PTS)8
80.3%
6
19.7%
Q1 - 6:03PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 6:09PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 6:09PHIMISS Brand 1' Layup8
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 6:11PHIMISS Iguodala 2' Layup8
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 6:20MIAIguodala STEAL (2 STL)8
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 6:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
82.8%
4
17.2%
Q1 - 6:28PHIMISS Holiday 3' Layup8
82.4%
4
17.6%
Q1 - 6:46MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 7:05PHIBrand 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)8
82.8%
4
17.2%
Q1 - 7:27MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 7:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
80.4%
4
19.6%
Q1 - 7:33PHIMISS Hawes 1' Dunk6
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 7:48PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 7:49PHIMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot6
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
79.4%
4
20.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 8:09PHIMISS Hawes 17' Jump Shot4
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 8:34PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
76.6%
4
23.4%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
77.1%
4
22.9%
Q1 - 9:01PHIIguodala 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)4
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIAIguodala STEAL (1 STL)4
79.7%
2
20.3%
Q1 - 9:22PHIKapono 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)4
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 9:35MIAKapono STEAL (1 STL)4
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 9:48PHIHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
83.1%
0
16.9%
Q1 - 9:54MIAArroyo 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 10:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
80.8%
0
19.2%
Q1 - 10:18PHIMISS Kapono 3' Layup2
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 10:23PHI76ERS Rebound2
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 10:23PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 10:40PHI76ERS Rebound2
79.5%
0
20.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot2
79.9%
0
20.1%
Q1 - 10:50MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
80.8%
0
19.2%
Q1 - 10:53PHIMISS Brand 11' Jump Shot2
80.4%
0
19.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
79.7%
0
20.3%
Q1 - 11:34PHI76ERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
78.5%
0
21.5%
Q1 - 11:42PHIKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
77.4%
0
22.6%
Q1 - 11:43PHIMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot0
78.2%
0
21.8%
Q1 - 12:00PHIJump Ball Hawes vs. Anthony: Tip to Brand0
77.4%
0
22.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
PHI
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
30
60%
PHI
15
31
48%
Midrange
MIA
7
23
30%
PHI
14
34
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
PHI
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
23
31
74%
PHI
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3063%15.0 / 24
J. Jones20100%10.0 / 10
L. James1653%8.0 / 15
C. Bosh1554%7.5 / 14
C. Arroyo643%3.0 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas563%2.5 / 4
E. House350%1.5 / 3
J. Stackhouse250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Turner1667%8.0 / 12
L. Williams1550%7.5 / 15
T. Young1594%7.5 / 8
E. Brand1255%6.0 / 11
A. Iguodala1042%5.0 / 12
A. Nocioni1056%5.0 / 9
J. Holiday633%3.0 / 9
J. Kapono225%1.0 / 4
M. Speights113%0.5 / 4
S. Hawes0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+10
-16
85
PHI
75
+14
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
PHI
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
106.2
MIA 106.6
PHI 95.6 +11.0
Pace
91.3
92.2
MIA 96.7 +10.8
PHI 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.7
MIA 14.9 +1.9
PHI 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.4%
MIA 53.6% +6.0%
PHI 47.6%
TO %
14.4%
13.1%
MIA 16.2% +1.6%
PHI 17.8%
ORB %
25.2%
24.6%
MIA 15.2%
PHI 23.8% +8.6%
FTrt
36.3
27.3
MIA 44.9 +31.6
PHI 13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
59.6%
MIA 45.5%
PHI 66.7% +21.2%
STL %
7.3%
8.2%
MIA 8.8%
PHI 11.0% +2.2%
BLK %
8.5%
6.7%
MIA 9.2% +1.7%
PHI 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.0%
MIA 55.7% +7.9%
PHI 47.8%
Rim FG%
64.7%
59.6%
MIA 60.0% +11.6%
PHI 48.4%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.9%
MIA 30.4%
PHI 41.2% +10.8%
3P %
37.0%
35.5%
MIA 50.0% +11.1%
PHI 38.9%
FT %
76.9%
77.0%
MIA 74.2% +1.5%
PHI 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
33.1%
MIA 43.5% +6.1%
PHI 37.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
48.5%
MIA 33.3% +7.6%
PHI 41.0%
3P Att. %
23.5%
18.4%
MIA 23.2% +1.5%
PHI 21.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAPHI
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points9787
Rebounds3738
Assists1524
Steals810
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (5)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)28 (4)
Field Goals33-6936-83
At-the-Rim FG18-3015-31
Midrange FG7-2314-34
2-Point FG25-5329-65
3-Point FG8-167-18
Free Throws23-318-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
39.1
15
54%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-5
60%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
37.5
16
53%
6
7
2
1
9
1
0
6
6-6
100%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
35.3
30
63%
7
4
3
2
1
3
2
5
9-12
75%
9-18
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
28.5
6
43%
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
17.6
0
0%
3
0
0
1
1
4
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
29.5
20
100%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
21.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
12.7
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
8.8
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 36
5.1
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
37
15
8
6
16
0
5
32
23-31
74%
25-53
47%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.