FinalWin Prob.pScore
1137%98
88
863%103
110
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
87.110195.6
DEN logo DEN
113.497104.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Hayward 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)88
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0UTAEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DENShel. Williams 4' Running Bank Shot (8 PTS)87
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29UTAMISS Hayward 14' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35UTAElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 2 of 287
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56UTAEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56UTAEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26UTAElson 5' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)85
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26DENShel. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28UTAMISS Hayward 18' Jump Shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53UTAHayward 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)83
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59DENMISS Forbes 4' Running Jump Shot81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12UTAAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DENLawson 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46UTAEvans 3' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05DENForbes 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11UTAEvans 3' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Price 2 AST)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36DENLawson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42UTAMISS Price 17' Jump Shot77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02UTAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03DENMISS Afflalo 14' Jump Shot77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19UTAWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19UTAWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)76
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26UTAElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27DENMISS Shel. Williams 11' Jump Hook Shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50UTAElson 4' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Price 1 AST)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DENShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DENShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DENNUGGETS Rebound73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34UTAMISS Fesenko Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34UTAMISS Fesenko Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34UTAJazz Rebound73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34UTAMISS Watson Free Throw 2 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:34UTAMISS Watson Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)73
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12UTAWatson 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fesenko 3 AST)73
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)71
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 271
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42UTAMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13UTAHayward 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fesenko 2 AST)71
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 8:29DENShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)69
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 8:39UTAMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 8:39UTAMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 9:03DENLawson 2' Dunk (6 PTS)67
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 9:07UTALawson STEAL (2 STL)67
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 9:21DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 9:21DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q4 - 9:36UTAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)67
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 9:54DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)67
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 10:03UTAElson 2' Layup (2 PTS)67
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 10:04UTAElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:05UTAMISS Elson 1' Layup65
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 10:06UTAElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:07UTAMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 10:27UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:27UTAMISS Hayward Layup65
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 10:28UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:30UTAHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)65
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 10:35UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 10:37DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 10:51UTAWatson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T19)65
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 11:05UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:07DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:20UTAMISS Elson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:41UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q4 - 11:42DENMISS Lawson 6' Running Jump Shot65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA65
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENShel. Williams Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:09.0UTAMISS Bell 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 0:28.0UTAJazz Rebound65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0UTAMISS D. Williams 21' Jump Shot65
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot65
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 1:10DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 1:11UTAMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 1:24UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 1:25DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup65
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q3 - 1:45UTAMillsap 1' Layup (15 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)65
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 1:56UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 1:58DENMISS Billups 3' Jump Shot63
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 2:04DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 2:06UTAMISS Miles Layup63
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 2:10UTAMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:11DENMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 2:31UTAMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)63
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 2:48DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)63
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q3 - 3:04UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 3:04UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 3:14DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)61
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 3:25UTAMillsap 3' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)61
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 3:40DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)59
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 3:56DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 3:57UTANene BLOCK (1 BLK)59
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 4:26DENHarrington 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)59
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 4:50UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 4:50UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 4:53UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 4:54DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot57
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q3 - 5:15UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:15UTAMillsap 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)57
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:16UTAMISS D. Williams 19' Jump Shot55
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 5:39UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 5:40DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 255
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 5:40DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 5:43DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)55
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 5:46UTAMISS D. Williams 2' Driving Layup55
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 5:59DENNene 4' Layup (12 PTS)55
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 6:19UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 6:19UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 6:22DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)53
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 6:40UTAD. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)53
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 6:46DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)50
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q3 - 6:51UTABillups STEAL (3 STL)50
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 7:06UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 7:07DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot50
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 7:34UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)50
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q3 - 7:44UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 7:46DENMISS Anthony 19' Fadeaway Jumper47
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 7:59DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)47
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 8:00UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 8:09UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 8:11DENMISS Shel. Williams 14' Jump Shot47
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 8:32UTABell 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)47
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 8:36UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 8:37UTAMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 8:53DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)45
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 8:53DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)45
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 9:00DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 9:01UTAMISS Jefferson 4' Layup45
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 9:17DENBillups 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)45
1.6%
70
98.4%
Q3 - 9:31UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 9:31UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q3 - 9:34DENAfflalo Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)43
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 9:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 9:43UTAMISS D. Williams 2' Driving Layup43
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 9:51UTAD. Williams Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)43
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 10:02DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 10:02DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q3 - 10:07DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)42
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 10:08UTAMISS D. Williams 10' Turnaround Jump Shot42
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 10:24DENAnthony 2' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)42
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q3 - 10:27DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)42
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 10:29UTAMISS Kirilenko 17' Jump Shot42
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 10:35UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Layup42
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 10:44DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 10:45UTAMISS Millsap 1' Layup42
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 11:00DENShel. Williams Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)42
3.5%
62
96.5%
Q3 - 11:16UTAJefferson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)42
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 11:31DENAnthony 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)40
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q3 - 11:53UTAD. Williams Palming Turnover (P4.T16)40
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN40
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAHayward Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)40
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 240
3.8%
60
96.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 240
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)40
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
4.2%
59
95.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup40
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0UTAJefferson Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)40
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
5.3%
58
94.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0UTAWatson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)40
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 1:03DENAnthony 3' Dunk (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)40
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 1:27UTAWatson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)40
8.2%
54
91.8%
Q2 - 1:35UTABell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q2 - 1:37UTAMISS Kirilenko 23' Jump Shot38
6.6%
54
93.4%
Q2 - 1:51DENEly Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)38
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q2 - 2:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 2:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 2:09UTAJazz Rebound36
8.4%
51
91.6%
Q2 - 2:09DENMISS Billups 9' Running Jump Shot36
8.1%
51
91.9%
Q2 - 2:23UTAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q2 - 2:23UTAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 2:34DENAfflalo 5' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
6.6%
51
93.4%
Q2 - 2:53UTABell 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)34
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q2 - 3:06UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 3:07DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot32
6.7%
49
93.3%
Q2 - 3:19DENLawson Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q2 - 3:19DENLawson Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
6.2%
48
93.8%
Q2 - 3:19UTALawson STEAL (1 STL)32
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 3:32DENAnthony 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)32
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q2 - 3:46DENNUGGETS Rebound32
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 3:47UTAMISS D. Williams 20' Jump Shot32
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 4:01DENAnthony Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)32
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 4:11UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)32
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 4:23DENAnthony Palming Turnover (P2.T7)32
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 4:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 4:36UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 232
10.0%
45
90.0%
Q2 - 4:36UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
10.8%
45
89.2%
Q2 - 4:49UTAJazz Rebound31
9.9%
45
90.1%
Q2 - 4:50DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.6%
45
90.4%
Q2 - 5:05UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)31
9.2%
45
90.8%
Q2 - 5:25DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)28
7.4%
45
92.6%
Q2 - 5:27UTASmith STEAL (1 STL)28
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 5:48UTAJazz Rebound28
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 5:49DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)28
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 5:49DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Tip Shot28
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 5:50DENMISS Nene 20' Jump Shot28
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 5:54DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)28
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 5:55UTAMISS Jefferson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot28
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 6:21DENAfflalo 3' Layup (7 PTS)28
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 6:24DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 6:26DENMISS Nene 2' Layup28
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 6:52UTAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)28
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 7:13UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 7:16DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot26
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 7:26DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 7:28UTAMISS Watson 21' Jump Shot26
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 7:37DENNene 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)26
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 7:53UTAWatson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)26
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 8:05UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 8:07DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 226
13.6%
38
86.4%
Q2 - 8:07DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)26
12.7%
38
87.3%
Q2 - 8:16DENBillups Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)26
13.8%
37
86.2%
Q2 - 8:16UTAElson Foul Turnover (P1.T8)26
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 8:29UTAPrice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 8:30DENMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot26
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 8:47UTAPrice Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)26
15.1%
36
84.9%
Q2 - 9:02DENNene Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T6)26
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 226
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 9:02DENNUGGETS Rebound26
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 9:03UTAMISS Fesenko Free Throw 2 of 226
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q2 - 9:03UTAMISS Fesenko Free Throw 1 of 226
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 9:16UTAElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
16.8%
36
83.2%
Q2 - 9:19DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 126
16.6%
36
83.4%
Q2 - 9:38UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 9:38UTAHayward 2' Layup (5 PTS)26
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 9:39UTAMISS Price 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 10:03DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 10:03DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 10:09DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
18.4%
32
81.6%
Q2 - 10:10UTAMISS Hayward 20' Jump Shot24
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 10:23DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
20.2%
32
79.8%
Q2 - 10:23DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 10:37UTAHayward 4' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fesenko 1 AST)24
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q2 - 11:02DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
20.3%
30
79.7%
Q2 - 11:26UTAFesenko Dunk (2 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)22
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 11:37UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
17.3%
30
82.7%
Q2 - 11:38DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 220
17.1%
30
82.9%
Q2 - 11:38DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q2 - 11:38UTABillups STEAL (2 STL)20
17.2%
29
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA20
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAJazz Rebound20
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot20
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0UTAEvans 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)20
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T4)18
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0UTAHayward Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0UTAMISS Hayward Free Throw 1 of 217
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0UTAHayward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot17
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
17.0%
27
83.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
16.2%
27
83.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0UTAMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot17
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q1 - 1:17DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 1:29UTAD. Williams Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)17
19.4%
25
80.6%
Q1 - 1:29UTAEvans 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)16
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 1:35UTAEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 1:37DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Layup14
16.0%
25
84.0%
Q1 - 1:44UTAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)14
15.4%
25
84.6%
Q1 - 1:58DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)14
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 2:07DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 2:09UTAMISS Hayward 18' Jump Shot14
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 2:22DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 2:32DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 2:33UTAMISS Hayward 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 2:57UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q1 - 2:59UTAMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 214
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 2:59UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
20.9%
22
79.1%
Q1 - 3:18DENAfflalo 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)13
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 3:31DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 3:32UTAMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot13
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:56DENAnthony 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)13
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 4:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 4:09UTAMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 4:21DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)11
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 4:32UTABell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)11
25.9%
15
74.1%
Q1 - 4:43DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
22.7%
15
77.3%
Q1 - 4:43DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
23.0%
14
77.0%
Q1 - 4:51UTAMillsap 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)8
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 5:07DENHarrington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 5:07DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 5:09DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.6%
13
77.4%
Q1 - 5:27UTABell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 5:27UTABell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 5:27UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.1%
13
79.9%
Q1 - 5:29DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot4
19.7%
13
80.3%
Q1 - 5:43DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)4
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 5:44UTAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot4
19.1%
13
80.9%
Q1 - 6:04DENHarrington 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)4
20.2%
13
79.8%
Q1 - 6:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:16UTAMISS Miles 19' Jump Shot4
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 6:32UTABell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 6:35DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)4
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:35DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Tip Shot4
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 6:36DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)4
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:36DENMISS Shel. Williams 2' Tip Shot4
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 6:37DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:37DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Tip Shot4
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 6:38DENMISS Shel. Williams 2' Tip Shot4
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 6:38DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:39DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot4
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 6:57DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.5%
11
78.5%
Q1 - 6:58UTAMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 7:05UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 7:08DENMISS Harrington 1' Driving Layup4
22.7%
11
77.3%
Q1 - 7:18UTAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)4
21.7%
11
78.3%
Q1 - 7:28DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
23.2%
11
76.8%
Q1 - 7:28DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
23.5%
10
76.5%
Q1 - 7:38UTAD. Williams 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
24.5%
9
75.5%
Q1 - 7:46UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 7:47DENMISS Harrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.7%
9
77.3%
Q1 - 7:59UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
21.7%
9
78.3%
Q1 - 7:59UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 7:59UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.4%
9
79.6%
Q1 - 7:59UTAMISS Kirilenko 2' Layup0
19.4%
9
80.6%
Q1 - 8:08UTAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.5%
9
79.5%
Q1 - 8:09DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 8:09DENMISS Anthony 2' Tip Shot0
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 8:11DENMISS Anthony 1' Layup0
20.1%
9
79.9%
Q1 - 8:25DENNUGGETS Rebound0
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 8:25UTAMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot0
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 8:38DENShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)0
20.5%
9
79.5%
Q1 - 8:47DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.8%
7
78.2%
Q1 - 8:48UTAMISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 9:10UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 9:13DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 9:28UTABell Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)0
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 9:46DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)0
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 10:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 10:05UTAMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot0
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 10:19DENNene 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)0
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 10:32DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 10:34UTAMISS Jefferson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:47UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:49DENMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot0
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 11:02UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:05DENShel. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:08DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:08DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 11:22UTABillups STEAL (1 STL)0
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:37DENNene 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Jefferson: Tip to Shel. Williams0
32.6%
0
67.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.95 47.3%
DEN
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
15
25
60%
DEN
20
36
56%
Midrange
UTA
9
32
28%
DEN
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
DEN
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
UTA
31
43
72%
DEN
34
41
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Williams1761%8.5 / 14
P. Millsap1563%7.5 / 12
R. Bell1255%6.0 / 11
J. Evans1179%5.5 / 7
G. Hayward938%4.5 / 12
A. Jefferson643%3.0 / 7
E. Watson643%3.0 / 7
F. Elson660%3.0 / 5
A. Kirilenko220%1.0 / 5
C. Miles220%1.0 / 5
K. Fesenko233%1.0 / 3
R. Price0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2355%11.5 / 21
A. Afflalo2292%11.0 / 12
C. Billups1458%7.0 / 12
Nene1365%6.5 / 10
T. Lawson1071%5.0 / 7
A. Harrington1050%5.0 / 10
S. Williams833%4.0 / 12
J. Smith425%2.0 / 8
M. Ely3150%1.5 / 1
G. Forbes350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
79
+13
-22
92
DEN
82
+13
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
0.95 47.3%
DEN
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.2
112.7
UTA 87.1 +26.3
DEN 113.4
Pace
91.0
95.2
UTA 95.6
DEN 104.1 +8.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.3
UTA 15.1
DEN 13.8 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
52.6%
UTA 40.7%
DEN 47.5% +6.8%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
UTA 19.8%
DEN 14.0% +5.8%
ORB %
26.9%
23.8%
UTA 24.4%
DEN 26.7% +2.3%
FTrt
31.3
36.7
UTA 61.4 +10.1
DEN 51.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
57.6%
UTA 77.8% +12.1%
DEN 65.7%
STL %
8.3%
7.7%
UTA 6.9%
DEN 9.3% +2.4%
BLK %
9.9%
6.8%
UTA 6.7% +3.2%
DEN 3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
56.3%
UTA 47.3%
DEN 55.6% +8.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.5%
UTA 60.0% +4.4%
DEN 55.6%
Mid FG%
40.0%
40.0%
UTA 28.1%
DEN 37.5% +9.4%
3P %
34.6%
38.8%
UTA 23.1%
DEN 30.0% +6.9%
FT %
77.1%
76.6%
UTA 72.1%
DEN 82.9% +10.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
42.5%
UTA 35.7%
DEN 45.0% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
31.8%
UTA 45.7%
DEN 30.0% +15.7%
3P Att. %
19.1%
25.8%
UTA 18.6%
DEN 25.0% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsUTADEN
Possessions10197
Possession Minutes25.422.4
Points88110
Rebounds4446
Assists2123
Steals79
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)34 (3)
Field Goals27-7035-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2520-36
Midrange FG9-329-24
2-Point FG24-5729-60
3-Point FG3-136-20
Free Throws31-4334-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 26
30.6
6
43%
7
0
0
3
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 34
29.4
12
55%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
27.5
17
61%
3
6
0
0
4
4
0
3
9-10
90%
1-7
14%
2-3
67%
F · 6'8" 246 · 26
27.4
15
63%
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
6
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 30
19.2
2
20%
3
3
1
0
4
4
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 226 · 21
20.9
9
38%
5
0
0
0
2
3
4
1
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 199 · 31
19.7
6
43%
2
2
2
0
4
4
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 35
15.5
6
60%
8
0
0
1
2
3
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
13.7
2
20%
2
1
1
0
1
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
13.6
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 200 · 23
11.3
11
79%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 280 · 24
11.2
2
33%
0
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'11" 260 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
47%
44
21
7
4
22
0
11
33
31-43
72%
24-57
42%
3-13
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.