Final Win Prob. pScore
331%95
70
169%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
78.78989.0
MIA logo Heat
110.38787.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA70
96
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
96
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)70
96
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)70
96
Q4 - 1:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
93
Q4 - 1:01ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
93
Q4 - 1:15MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation70
93
Q4 - 1:18MIAIlgauskas 3' Tip Shot (8 PTS)70
93
Q4 - 1:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)70
91
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot70
91
Q4 - 1:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)70
91
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Ilgauskas 3' Layup70
91
Q4 - 1:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)70
91
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Bosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper70
91
Q4 - 1:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)70
91
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
91
Q4 - 1:56ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
91
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
91
Q4 - 2:22ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)70
91
Q4 - 2:37MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)67
91
Q4 - 3:01ORLAnderson 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)67
88
Q4 - 3:21ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
88
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS House 2' Driving Layup65
88
Q4 - 3:40ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Lewis65
88
Q4 - 3:40MIASUB: Chalmers FOR James65
88
Q4 - 3:40ORLLewis Foul Turnover (P3.T16)65
88
Q4 - 3:40ORLLewis Offensive Charge Foul (P6.T2)65
88
Q4 - 3:54ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
88
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot65
88
Q4 - 4:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
88
Q4 - 4:18ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 2 of 265
88
Q4 - 4:18ORLDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
88
Q4 - 4:18MIAHouse S.FOUL (P3.PN)64
88
Q4 - 4:35MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)64
88
Q4 - 4:47MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
88
Q4 - 4:48ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
88
Q4 - 4:59ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
88
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot64
88
Q4 - 5:19ORLAnderson 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)64
88
Q4 - 5:21ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)62
88
Q4 - 5:23ORLMISS Lewis 11' Jump Shot62
88
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
88
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
87
Q4 - 5:41ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard62
86
Q4 - 5:4162
86
Q4 - 5:41ORLHoward S.FOUL (P6.T1)62
86
Q4 - 5:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
86
Q4 - 5:49ORLMISS Anderson 22' Jump Shot62
86
Q4 - 6:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
86
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot62
86
Q4 - 6:17ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
86
Q4 - 6:17ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
86
Q4 - 6:17MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)60
86
Q4 - 6:27MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony60
86
Q4 - 6:27MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P5.T4)60
86
Q4 - 6:45MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
86
Q4 - 6:59MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
84
Q4 - 7:00ORLMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot60
84
Q4 - 7:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
84
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot60
84
Q4 - 7:34MIASUB: James FOR Haslem60
84
Q4 - 7:34MIASUB: Bosh FOR Wade60
84
Q4 - 7:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)60
84
Q4 - 7:34ORLAnderson 3' Layup (5 PTS)60
84
Q4 - 7:36ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
84
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
84
Q4 - 7:44MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)58
84
Q4 - 7:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
84
Q4 - 8:00ORLMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup58
84
Q4 - 8:12ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
84
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
84
Q4 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)58
84
Q4 - 8:23ORLMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot58
84
Q4 - 8:39ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending58
84
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
84
Q4 - 9:08ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)58
82
Q4 - 9:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
82
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
82
Q4 - 9:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)55
82
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Wade 9' Floating Jump Shot55
82
Q4 - 9:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
82
Q4 - 9:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 255
82
Q4 - 9:55ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Pietrus55
82
Q4 - 9:55ORLMagic Rebound55
82
Q4 - 9:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
82
Q4 - 9:55MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)55
82
Q4 - 10:09MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)55
82
Q4 - 10:30ORLPietrus Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)55
79
Q4 - 10:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
79
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 11:04ORLPietrus Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)55
79
Q4 - 11:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
79
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 11:35MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
79
Q4 - 11:36ORLMISS Duhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q4 - 11:44MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
79
Q4 - 11:47MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P4.T1)55
79
Q4 - 12:0055
79
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL55
79
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound55
79
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
79
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
79
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper55
79
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLHouse STEAL (3 STL)55
79
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWade 2' Layup (26 PTS) (House 1 AST)55
79
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLHouse STEAL (2 STL)55
77
Q3 - 1:03ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
77
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot55
77
Q3 - 1:15MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Duhon: Tip to Haslem55
77
Q3 - 1:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
77
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Redick 14' Jump Shot55
77
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
77
Q3 - 1:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
76
Q3 - 1:39ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Lewis55
75
Q3 - 1:39ORLLewis P.FOUL (P5.PN)55
75
Q3 - 1:39MIAHEAT Rebound55
75
Q3 - 1:40MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot55
75
Q3 - 1:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
75
Q3 - 1:52ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
75
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade 2' Dunk (24 PTS)55
75
Q3 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
73
Q3 - 2:09MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
73
Q3 - 2:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
73
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot55
73
Q3 - 2:22ORLDuhon P.FOUL (P2.PN)55
73
Q3 - 2:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
73
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
73
Q3 - 2:42ORLLewis P.FOUL (P4.T4)55
73
Q3 - 2:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
73
Q3 - 2:46ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
73
Q3 - 3:00MIAHaslem 4' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)55
73
Q3 - 3:08MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
71
Q3 - 3:09ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
71
Q3 - 3:20ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson55
71
Q3 - 3:20MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
71
Q3 - 3:20MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P3)55
71
Q3 - 3:30ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
71
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: Wade FOR Arroyo54
71
Q3 - 3:30ORLMagic Rebound54
71
Q3 - 3:30ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 254
71
Q3 - 3:30MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
71
Q3 - 3:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
71
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Bass 3' Layup54
71
Q3 - 3:33ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
71
Q3 - 3:34ORLMISS Nelson 15' Fadeaway Jumper54
71
Q3 - 3:58MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P2.T9)54
71
Q3 - 3:58MIAHaslem OFF.Foul (P2)54
71
Q3 - 4:08ORLPietrus 20' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)54
71
Q3 - 4:24ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
71
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot52
71
Q3 - 4:35ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Richardson52
71
Q3 - 4:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
71
Q3 - 4:39ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
71
Q3 - 4:39ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
71
Q3 - 4:39MIASUB: House FOR Wade50
71
Q3 - 4:39MIASUB: Jones FOR James50
71
Q3 - 4:39ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)50
71
Q3 - 4:39MIAJames T.FOUL (P4.PN)49
71
Q3 - 4:39MIAJames P.FOUL (P4.PN)49
71
Q3 - 4:46ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
71
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
71
Q3 - 5:01ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Gortat49
71
Q3 - 5:01ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)49
71
Q3 - 5:15MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)49
71
Q3 - 5:25MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
69
Q3 - 5:26ORLMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot49
69
Q3 - 5:39MIAJames P.FOUL (P3.T4)49
69
Q3 - 5:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
69
Q3 - 5:49MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot49
69
Q3 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
69
Q3 - 5:57ORLMISS Bass 19' Jump Shot49
69
Q3 - 6:12MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 7 AST)49
69
Q3 - 6:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
67
Q3 - 6:30ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 6:33ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
67
Q3 - 6:34ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 6:43MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh49
67
Q3 - 6:43MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.T3)49
67
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)49
67
Q3 - 6:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)49
66
Q3 - 6:54ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard49
65
Q3 - 6:54ORLHoward S.FOUL (P5.T3)49
65
Q3 - 7:09ORLBass Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T10)49
65
Q3 - 7:13ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
65
Q3 - 7:14ORLMISS Nelson 12' Fadeaway Jumper49
65
Q3 - 7:20ORLMagic Rebound49
65
Q3 - 7:21ORLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)49
65
Q3 - 7:29ORLMagic Rebound49
65
Q3 - 7:30ORLMISS Bass 6' Jump Shot49
65
Q3 - 7:39ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
65
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot49
65
Q3 - 7:57ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
65
Q3 - 7:57ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
65
Q3 - 7:57MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T2)47
65
Q3 - 7:57ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
65
Q3 - 7:58ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
65
Q3 - 8:07ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
65
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper47
65
Q3 - 8:31ORLNelson 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
65
Q3 - 8:50ORLSUB: Bass FOR Carter45
65
Q3 - 8:50ORLSUB: Redick FOR Lewis45
65
Q3 - 8:50ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)45
65
Q3 - 8:55MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
65
Q3 - 9:09ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T9)45
63
Q3 - 9:09ORLHoward Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T2)45
63
Q3 - 9:17MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
63
Q3 - 9:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
61
Q3 - 9:24ORLMISS Nelson 4' Jump Shot45
61
Q3 - 9:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)45
61
Q3 - 9:45MIAHEAT Rebound45
60
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 245
60
Q3 - 9:45ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T1)45
60
Q3 - 9:55ORLBosh STEAL (1 STL)45
60
Q3 - 10:07ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)45
60
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)45
60
Q3 - 10:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
57
Q3 - 10:19ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
57
Q3 - 10:34MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T1)45
57
Q3 - 10:58MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)45
57
Q3 - 11:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
54
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot45
54
Q3 - 11:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
54
Q3 - 11:18ORLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)45
54
Q3 - 11:36MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)45
54
Q3 - 12:0045
51
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL45
51
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound45
51
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Richardson 12' Floating Jump Shot45
51
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Bass45
51
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon45
51
Q2 - 0:17.0MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Wade45
51
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)45
51
Q2 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Arroyo45
51
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLGortat Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)45
51
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
51
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson45
50
Q2 - 0:42.0MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Wade45
50
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard45
50
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
50
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 245
50
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
50
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLHoward 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)45
50
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)43
50
Q2 - 1:15ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
49
Q2 - 1:15MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (James 6 AST)43
49
Q2 - 1:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
47
Q2 - 1:31ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 243
47
Q2 - 1:31MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo43
47
Q2 - 1:31ORLMagic Rebound43
47
Q2 - 1:31ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 243
47
Q2 - 1:31MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.PN)43
47
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)43
47
Q2 - 1:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
47
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot43
47
Q2 - 2:06ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
47
Q2 - 2:06ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
47
Q2 - 2:06MIASUB: Magloire FOR Ilgauskas41
47
Q2 - 2:06MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.PN)41
47
Q2 - 2:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh41
47
Q2 - 2:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
47
Q2 - 2:12ORLMagic Rebound41
47
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS Nelson 14' Jump Bank Shot41
47
Q2 - 2:24MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
47
Q2 - 2:42ORLHoward 12' Hook Shot (17 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 3:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
45
Q2 - 3:03MIAHEAT Rebound39
44
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 239
44
Q2 - 3:03ORLRichardson P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
44
Q2 - 3:06MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
44
Q2 - 3:07ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
44
Q2 - 3:30ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Redick39
44
Q2 - 3:30MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
44
Q2 - 3:30MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)39
44
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
44
Q2 - 3:35ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot39
44
Q2 - 3:53MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
44
Q2 - 3:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 3:53ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis39
42
Q2 - 3:53ORLLewis S.FOUL (P3.T4)39
42
Q2 - 4:05MIAHEAT Rebound39
42
Q2 - 4:06ORLMISS Nelson 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 4:28MIASUB: James FOR Jones39
42
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T5)39
42
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T4)39
42
Q2 - 4:39ORLHoward 15' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 4:55MIAWade 6' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 5:12ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
40
Q2 - 5:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
40
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup35
40
Q2 - 5:28MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
40
Q2 - 5:29ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot35
40
Q2 - 5:48ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Gortat35
40
Q2 - 5:48ORLSUB: Howard FOR Duhon35
40
Q2 - 5:48ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
40
Q2 - 5:53MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
40
Q2 - 6:03MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Haslem35
38
Q2 - 6:03ORLSUB: Redick FOR Carter35
38
Q2 - 6:03ORLLewis L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)35
38
Q2 - 6:03MIAHEAT Rebound35
38
Q2 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup35
38
Q2 - 6:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
38
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
38
Q2 - 6:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
38
Q2 - 6:12ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)35
38
Q2 - 6:27MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)35
38
Q2 - 6:47ORLCarter 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 7:01ORLDuhon S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
34
Q2 - 7:01MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
34
Q2 - 7:04ORLJones STEAL (1 STL)33
32
Q2 - 7:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)33
32
Q2 - 7:44ORLArroyo STEAL (1 STL)33
30
Q2 - 8:01ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
30
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot33
30
Q2 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
30
Q2 - 8:22ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)33
30
Q2 - 8:31ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)33
30
Q2 - 8:31MIASUB: Wade FOR House32
30
Q2 - 8:3132
30
Q2 - 8:31MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jones )32
30
Q2 - 8:45MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
30
Q2 - 9:06ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#4)32
30
Q2 - 9:17ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
30
Q2 - 9:18MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot32
30
Q2 - 9:25ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bass32
30
Q2 - 9:41ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)32
30
Q2 - 9:41MIASUB: Arroyo FOR James31
30
Q2 - 9:41ORLMagic Rebound31
30
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 231
30
Q2 - 9:41MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
30
Q2 - 9:41ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
30
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 9:51ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
30
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 10:06ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 10:06ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
30
Q2 - 10:06ORLSUB: Carter FOR Redick29
30
Q2 - 10:06MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T2)29
30
Q2 - 10:22MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)29
30
Q2 - 10:32MIASUB: Bosh FOR Magloire29
27
Q2 - 10:32ORLMagic Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)29
27
Q2 - 10:50MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
27
Q2 - 10:50MIAHEAT Rebound29
26
Q2 - 10:50MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 229
26
Q2 - 10:50ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
26
Q2 - 11:06ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)29
26
Q2 - 11:22ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot26
26
Q2 - 11:28MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)26
26
Q2 - 11:28ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bass )26
25
Q2 - 11:38ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
25
Q2 - 11:38ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
25
Q2 - 11:38MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
25
Q2 - 11:48ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
25
Q2 - 11:49MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot24
25
Q2 - 12:00MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)24
25
Q2 - 12:00ORLHoward T.FOUL (P1.T0)24
24
Q2 - 12:0024
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
24
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q1 - 0:15.0ORLHoward 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)24
24
Q1 - 0:38.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 6' Floating Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 1:00MIAHEAT Rebound22
24
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLMagic Rebound21
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLRedick Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 1:14MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas20
24
Q1 - 1:14MIASUB: Magloire FOR Wade20
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson20
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Richardson20
24
Q1 - 1:14ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
24
Q1 - 1:14MIAIlgauskas T.FOUL (P2.PN)20
24
Q1 - 1:14MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.PN)20
24
Q1 - 1:22ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
24
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS James 19' Turnaround Jump Shot20
24
Q1 - 1:53ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 2:03ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot17
24
Q1 - 2:23ORLBass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
24
Q1 - 2:41MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)15
24
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22
Q1 - 3:01ORLMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot15
22
Q1 - 3:17MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
22
Q1 - 3:23ORLBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
22
Q1 - 3:23ORLBass Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
22
Q1 - 3:23MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh13
22
Q1 - 3:23MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.PN)13
22
Q1 - 3:41MIAWade 3' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
22
Q1 - 3:45ORLHouse STEAL (1 STL)13
20
Q1 - 3:55MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
20
Q1 - 4:06ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 4:06MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo12
18
Q1 - 4:06ORLMagic Rebound12
18
Q1 - 4:06ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
18
Q1 - 4:06MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
18
Q1 - 4:17MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)12
18
Q1 - 4:32ORLHoward 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)12
18
Q1 - 4:51MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)10
18
Q1 - 5:14ORLHoward 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)10
16
Q1 - 5:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
16
Q1 - 5:36ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis8
15
Q1 - 5:36ORLSUB: Redick FOR Carter8
15
Q1 - 5:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
15
Q1 - 5:36ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.PN)8
14
Q1 - 5:47MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
14
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
14
Q1 - 5:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
14
Q1 - 5:49MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
13
Q1 - 5:49ORLCarter S.FOUL (P2.T4)8
13
Q1 - 5:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13
Q1 - 5:54ORLMISS Lewis 13' Jump Shot8
13
Q1 - 6:01ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13
Q1 - 6:03MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
13
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot8
13
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup8
13
Q1 - 6:18ORLLewis L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)8
13
Q1 - 6:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)8
13
Q1 - 6:19ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Bank Shot8
13
Q1 - 6:36ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending8
13
Q1 - 6:36MIAWade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 6:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
11
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 6:58MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony8
11
Q1 - 6:58MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P2.T3)8
11
Q1 - 7:02ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 7:16ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
11
Q1 - 7:27MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T1)8
11
Q1 - 7:27MIAWade Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)8
11
Q1 - 7:31MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11
Q1 - 7:31ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 7:43MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 7:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 7:52ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 8:11MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 8:31ORLNelson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 8:40ORLMagic Rebound6
7
Q1 - 8:40ORLMISS Carter Free Throw Technical6
7
Q1 - 8:40MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )6
7
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
7
Q1 - 8:51MIAHEAT Rebound6
6
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 26
6
Q1 - 8:51ORLCarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
6
Q1 - 8:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
6
Q1 - 8:58ORLMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:11MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 9:23ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)6
3
Q1 - 9:24MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
3
Q1 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
3
Q1 - 9:37ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (5 PTS)6
3
Q1 - 9:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:20ORLCarter Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 10:20MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )3
3
Q1 - 10:28ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
3
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot3
3
Q1 - 10:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
3
Q1 - 10:41MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
3
Q1 - 10:41ORLHoward 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:56MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
3
Q1 - 10:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
1
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup0
1
Q1 - 11:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
1
Q1 - 11:03ORLMISS Nelson 13' Jump Shot0
1
Q1 - 11:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
1
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
1
Q1 - 11:27MIAArroyo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:27ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Howard )0
0
Q1 - 11:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.80 39.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
5
10
50%
MIA
6
15
40%
Midrange
ORL
12
35
34%
MIA
18
48
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
24
17%
25%
MIA
9
13.5
18
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
24
34
71%
MIA
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1953%9.5 / 18
R. Anderson1275%6.0 / 8
J. Nelson1038%5.0 / 13
B. Bass950%4.5 / 9
M. Pietrus536%2.5 / 7
V. Carter440%2.0 / 5
J. Redick450%2.0 / 4
R. Lewis210%1.0 / 10
Q. Richardson217%1.0 / 6
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
C. Duhon125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2657%13.0 / 23
L. James1554%7.5 / 14
C. Bosh1142%5.5 / 13
U. Haslem1161%5.5 / 9
J. Jones975%4.5 / 6
E. House844%4.0 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas840%4.0 / 10
C. Arroyo750%3.5 / 7
J. Magloire150%0.5 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
75
+13
-14
88
MIA
75
+17
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.80 39.8%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.4
ORL 78.7
MIA 110.3 +31.7
Pace
91.2
91.3
ORL 89.0 +2.0
MIA 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
ORL 16.2 −0.4
MIA 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
52.4%
ORL 33.3%
MIA 46.3% +13.0%
TO %
15.7%
14.4%
ORL 16.0%
MIA 11.4% −4.6%
ORB %
26.1%
25.2%
ORL 17.8%
MIA 30.4% +12.6%
FTrt
32.8
36.3
ORL 49.3 +16.0
MIA 33.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.3%
54.1%
ORL 23.8%
MIA 51.5% +27.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.3%
ORL 5.6%
MIA 6.9% +1.3%
BLK %
7.5%
8.5%
ORL 4.8%
MIA 11.1% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
55.7%
ORL 39.8%
MIA 51.6% +11.8%
Rim FG%
61.7%
64.7%
ORL 50.0% +10.0%
MIA 40.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.2%
ORL 34.3%
MIA 37.5% +3.2%
3P %
36.6%
37.0%
ORL 16.7%
MIA 50.0% +33.3%
FT %
69.2%
76.9%
ORL 70.6%
MIA 77.8% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
31.6%
ORL 14.5%
MIA 18.5% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
34.5%
44.9%
ORL 50.7% −8.5%
MIA 59.3%
3P Att. %
32.8%
23.5%
ORL 34.8% +12.6%
MIA 22.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points7096
Rebounds4051
Assists517
Steals56
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)37 (2)
Field Goals21-6933-81
At-the-Rim FG5-106-15
Midrange FG12-3518-48
2-Point FG17-4524-63
3-Point FG4-249-18
Free Throws24-3421-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
28.5
19
53%
7
0
2
1
1
6
0
7
3-7
43%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 29
24.8
10
38%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
24.7
2
10%
3
0
1
0
3
6
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-5
0%
F · 6'6" 228 · 31
21.7
2
17%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-4
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 34
13.6
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26
30.9
4
50%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 215 · 29
23.6
5
36%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
23.2
1
25%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 250 · 25
20.6
9
50%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
7-8
88%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
14.5
2
100%
7
0
1
1
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 22
13.9
12
75%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 35
#21 · C · 6'10" 275 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'10" 255 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
70
40%
40
5
5
3
14
0
8
32
24-34
71%
17-45
38%
4-24
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.