Final Win Prob. pScore
948%104
95
1252%105
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
103.392101.7
Hornets
108.69384.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH95
101
Q4 - 0:06.0DENBillups 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)95
101
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
101
Q4 - 0:15.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)93
100
Q4 - 0:15.0DENHarrington P.FOUL (P5.PN)93
99
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Okafor93
99
Q4 - 0:18.0NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)93
99
Q4 - 0:18.0DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)93
99
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
99
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)93
98
Q4 - 0:28.0DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P2.PN)93
97
Q4 - 0:30.0DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)93
97
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHPaul Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)90
97
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli90
96
Q4 - 0:43.0DENBillups T.FOUL (P3.T4)90
96
Q4 - 0:43.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)90
96
Q4 - 0:43.0NOHWest 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)90
96
Q4 - 0:56.0NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
94
Q4 - 0:58.0DENOkafor BLOCK (4 BLK)90
94
Q4 - 1:15NOHWest P.FOUL (P2.T2)90
94
Q4 - 1:15DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)90
94
Q4 - 1:16NOHMISS Paul 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
94
Q4 - 1:40DENBillups 2' Layup (18 PTS)90
94
Q4 - 1:44NOHAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)88
94
Q4 - 2:05NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)88
94
Q4 - 2:06DENMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot88
94
Q4 - 2:21NOHWest 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (13 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)88
94
Q4 - 2:47DENAnthony Foul Turnover (P3.T19)88
92
Q4 - 2:47DENAnthony OFF.Foul (P3)88
92
Q4 - 2:5488
92
Q4 - 2:54DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)88
92
Q4 - 3:00DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)88
92
Q4 - 3:01NOHMISS Paul 13' Jump Shot88
92
Q4 - 3:17DENAnthony 19' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)88
92
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)86
92
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)86
91
Q4 - 3:28DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams86
90
Q4 - 3:28NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)86
90
Q4 - 3:28DENBillups S.FOUL (P3.T4)86
89
Q4 - 3:43NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
89
Q4 - 3:45NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup86
89
Q4 - 3:50NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
89
Q4 - 3:52DENOkafor BLOCK (3 BLK)86
89
Q4 - 4:03DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
89
Q4 - 4:04NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
89
Q4 - 4:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
89
Q4 - 4:11NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot86
89
Q4 - 4:34DENAfflalo 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)86
89
Q4 - 4:56NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)84
89
Q4 - 5:10NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
86
Q4 - 5:11DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot84
86
Q4 - 5:28NOHWest 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)84
86
Q4 - 5:46NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Green84
84
Q4 - 5:46DENSUB: Anthony FOR Smith84
84
Q4 - 5:46DENNuggets Violation: Delay of game Violation84
84
Q4 - 5:46DENBillups Foul Turnover (P3.T18)84
84
Q4 - 5:46DENBillups OFF.Foul (P2)84
84
Q4 - 5:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
84
Q4 - 5:57NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot84
84
Q4 - 6:10DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P4.T17)84
84
Q4 - 6:10DENShel. Williams OFF.Foul (P3)84
84
Q4 - 6:20DENSUB: Billups FOR Lawson84
84
Q4 - 6:20DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)84
84
Q4 - 6:22NOHPaul 12' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
84
Q4 - 6:30NOHHORNETS Rebound84
82
Q4 - 6:32DENMISS Smith 21' Step Back Jump Shot84
82
Q4 - 6:54NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
82
Q4 - 6:54NOHPaul 7' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)84
82
Q4 - 6:56NOHMISS Paul 2' Layup84
80
Q4 - 7:07DENSUB: Nene FOR Harrington84
80
Q4 - 7:07DENShel. Williams Personal Block Foul (P2.T3)84
80
Q4 - 7:18DENHarrington 10' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
80
Q4 - 7:36NOHOkafor 2' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)82
80
Q4 - 7:48NOHSUB: West FOR Stojakovic82
78
Q4 - 7:48DENSmith L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)82
78
Q4 - 7:48DENGreen STEAL (1 STL)82
78
Q4 - 8:01NOHOkafor 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)82
78
Q4 - 8:24DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)82
76
Q4 - 8:40NOHPaul 17' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
76
Q4 - 8:51NOHSUB: Green FOR Ariza79
74
Q4 - 8:51NOHSUB: Paul FOR Bayless79
74
Q4 - 8:51NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Thornton79
74
Q4 - 8:51DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony79
74
Q4 - 8:51NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
74
Q4 - 8:51DENHarrington 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)79
74
Q4 - 9:01NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)77
74
Q4 - 9:26DENShel. Williams 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)77
74
Q4 - 9:32NOHThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)75
74
Q4 - 9:37NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
74
Q4 - 9:38DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot75
74
Q4 - 9:56DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)75
74
Q4 - 9:57NOHMISS Thornton 15' Jump Shot75
74
Q4 - 10:11DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P3.T15)75
74
Q4 - 10:11DENShel. Williams OFF.Foul (P1)75
74
Q4 - 10:11DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
74
Q4 - 10:11DENAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)75
74
Q4 - 10:27NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Mbenga75
74
Q4 - 10:27NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Smith75
74
Q4 - 10:27NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)75
74
Q4 - 10:30NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
74
Q4 - 10:32DENMbenga BLOCK (1 BLK)75
74
Q4 - 10:41DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
74
Q4 - 10:42NOHMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot75
74
Q4 - 10:55DENAnthony 17' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
74
Q4 - 11:10NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
74
Q4 - 11:10NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
73
Q4 - 11:10DENHarrington S.FOUL (P4.T1)73
72
Q4 - 11:28DENShel. Williams 2' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)73
72
Q4 - 11:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
72
Q4 - 11:33DENMISS Lawson 35' 3PT Jump Shot71
72
Q4 - 11:49NOHMbenga P.FOUL (P2.T1)71
72
Q4 - 12:0071
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN71
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
72
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
72
Q3 - 0:18.0NOHThornton 1' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
72
Q3 - 0:34.0DENAnthony Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)71
70
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHSUB: Mbenga FOR West71
70
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHSUB: Bayless FOR Paul71
70
Q3 - 0:51.0DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups71
70
Q3 - 0:51.0DENSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Nene71
70
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)71
70
Q3 - 1:10DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
70
Q3 - 1:27NOHSmith 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)69
70
Q3 - 1:44DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)69
68
Q3 - 2:06NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)66
68
Q3 - 2:23NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
68
Q3 - 2:24NOHMISS Thornton 9' Running Jump Shot66
68
Q3 - 2:40DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo66
68
Q3 - 2:40DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
68
Q3 - 2:40DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)66
68
Q3 - 2:41DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)66
68
Q3 - 2:42DENWest BLOCK (2 BLK)66
68
Q3 - 2:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
68
Q3 - 2:44DENMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot66
68
Q3 - 3:05NOHSmith L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)66
68
Q3 - 3:05DENNuggets Rebound66
68
Q3 - 3:05NOHMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot66
68
Q3 - 3:23DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)66
68
Q3 - 3:23NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor65
68
Q3 - 3:23NOHPaul S.FOUL (P2.T3)65
68
Q3 - 3:23DENBillups 10' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 3:42NOHPaul 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 3:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
66
Q3 - 3:54DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
66
Q3 - 4:14NOHAriza 2' Dunk (8 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 4:18DENAriza STEAL (4 STL)63
64
Q3 - 4:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
64
Q3 - 4:28NOHMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 4:51DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)63
64
Q3 - 5:03NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Belinelli60
64
Q3 - 5:03DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams60
64
Q3 - 5:03NOHAriza P.FOUL (P4.T2)60
64
Q3 - 5:03DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
64
Q3 - 5:04NOHMISS West 4' Jump Bank Shot60
64
Q3 - 5:23DENShel. Williams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)60
64
Q3 - 5:45DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
64
Q3 - 5:46NOHMISS West 15' Jump Shot58
64
Q3 - 6:01NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
64
Q3 - 6:02DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot58
64
Q3 - 6:07NOHWest Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)58
64
Q3 - 6:22NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
64
Q3 - 6:28DENAnthony 4' Driving Layup (18 PTS)58
64
Q3 - 6:41DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
64
Q3 - 6:42NOHMISS Okafor 4' Hook Shot56
64
Q3 - 7:03DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)56
64
Q3 - 7:24DENNuggets Rebound54
64
Q3 - 7:25NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
64
Q3 - 7:33DENAriza STEAL (3 STL)54
64
Q3 - 7:52NOHOkafor 4' Layup (9 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)54
64
Q3 - 8:03DENAriza STEAL (2 STL)54
62
Q3 - 8:12DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
62
Q3 - 8:13NOHMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 8:45DENAnthony 18' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 9:05NOHBelinelli 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)52
62
Q3 - 9:20DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
60
Q3 - 9:29NOHAriza P.FOUL (P3.T1)50
60
Q3 - 9:39DENNuggets Rebound50
60
Q3 - 9:39NOHMISS Okafor 1' Layup50
60
Q3 - 9:43NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
60
Q3 - 9:45DENWest BLOCK (1 BLK)50
60
Q3 - 9:51DENBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
60
Q3 - 9:52DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot50
60
Q3 - 9:57DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
60
Q3 - 9:58NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot50
60
Q3 - 10:13DENAnthony Personal Block Foul (P2.T3)50
60
Q3 - 10:30NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
60
Q3 - 10:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
60
Q3 - 10:31DENMISS Shel. Williams 3' Tip Shot50
60
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot50
60
Q3 - 10:44DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
60
Q3 - 10:45NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 2 of 250
60
Q3 - 10:45NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
60
Q3 - 10:45DENNene S.FOUL (P3.T2)50
59
Q3 - 10:49NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
59
Q3 - 10:50DENMISS Shel. Williams 5' Jump Shot50
59
Q3 - 11:11DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
59
Q3 - 11:12NOHMISS Belinelli 4' Driving Layup50
59
Q3 - 11:18NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
59
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 3 of 350
59
Q3 - 11:20NOHHORNETS Rebound50
59
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 350
59
Q3 - 11:20NOHHORNETS Rebound50
59
Q3 - 11:20NOHMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 350
59
Q3 - 11:20DENNene S.FOUL (P2.T1)50
59
Q3 - 11:34NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
59
Q3 - 11:35DENOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)50
59
Q3 - 11:45NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)50
59
Q3 - 12:0050
59
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH50
59
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
59
Q2 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Belinelli 23' Jump Shot50
59
Q2 - 0:05.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
59
Q2 - 0:05.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)49
59
Q2 - 0:05.0NOHBelinelli P.FOUL (P2.PN)48
59
Q2 - 0:26.0NOHMensah-Bonsu 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)48
59
Q2 - 0:27.0NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
57
Q2 - 0:28.0NOHMISS Paul 4' Running Jump Shot48
57
Q2 - 0:35.0NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
57
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q2 - 0:53.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
57
Q2 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Belinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q2 - 1:11DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
57
Q2 - 1:11NOHSUB: Mensah-Bonsu FOR Okafor47
57
Q2 - 1:11DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
57
Q2 - 1:11NOHPaul Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)46
57
Q2 - 1:20NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Ariza46
57
Q2 - 1:20NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
57
Q2 - 1:20NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
56
Q2 - 1:20DENBillups Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)46
55
Q2 - 1:20NOHPaul T.FOUL (P0.PN)45
55
Q2 - 1:20DENBillups Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)45
55
Q2 - 1:30DENNene 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)45
55
Q2 - 1:56NOHOkafor 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)43
55
Q2 - 2:17DENAnthony 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)43
53
Q2 - 2:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
53
Q2 - 2:25NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot41
53
Q2 - 2:46DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
53
Q2 - 2:46DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
53
Q2 - 2:46NOHOkafor L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)39
53
Q2 - 2:46DENNuggets Rebound39
53
Q2 - 2:46NOHMISS Thornton 6' Jump Shot39
53
Q2 - 2:50NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
53
Q2 - 2:51NOHMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
53
Q2 - 2:55NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
53
Q2 - 3:19DENSmith 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
53
Q2 - 3:34NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)37
53
Q2 - 3:34NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Bayless37
52
Q2 - 3:34NOHHORNETS Rebound37
52
Q2 - 3:34NOHMISS West Free Throw 1 of 237
52
Q2 - 3:34DENAnthony P.FOUL (P1.PN)37
52
Q2 - 3:34NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
52
Q2 - 3:35DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot37
52
Q2 - 3:52NOHPaul 4' Layup (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)37
52
Q2 - 3:57NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
50
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
50
Q2 - 4:19NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
50
Q2 - 4:19NOHWest 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)37
50
Q2 - 4:20NOHMISS Thornton 2' Layup37
48
Q2 - 4:23DENThornton STEAL (1 STL)37
48
Q2 - 4:42NOHWest Backcourt Turnover (P1.T7)37
48
Q2 - 4:56DENSUB: Anthony FOR Harrington37
48
Q2 - 4:56NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Stojakovic37
48
Q2 - 4:56DENHarrington Personal Block Foul (P3.T4)37
48
Q2 - 5:09DENAfflalo 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)37
48
Q2 - 5:14NOHStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)35
48
Q2 - 5:28NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
48
Q2 - 5:30DENMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot35
48
Q2 - 5:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
48
Q2 - 5:44NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot35
48
Q2 - 6:03DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
48
Q2 - 6:03DENNuggets Rebound34
48
Q2 - 6:03DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 234
48
Q2 - 6:03NOHWest S.FOUL (P1.PN)34
48
Q2 - 6:11DENSUB: Billups FOR Lawson34
48
Q2 - 6:11NOHSUB: West FOR Mbenga34
48
Q2 - 6:11DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
48
Q2 - 6:18NOHThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)34
48
Q2 - 6:26DENPaul STEAL (1 STL)34
45
Q2 - 6:38DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
45
Q2 - 6:39NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot34
45
Q2 - 7:03NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
45
Q2 - 7:04DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 234
45
Q2 - 7:04DENSUB: Nene FOR Ely34
45
Q2 - 7:04NOHSUB: Paul FOR Green34
45
Q2 - 7:04DENNuggets Rebound34
45
Q2 - 7:04DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 234
45
Q2 - 7:04NOHBayless Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)34
45
Q2 - 7:10NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)34
45
Q2 - 7:15NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
42
Q2 - 7:17NOHMISS Bayless 7' Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 7:28DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
42
Q2 - 7:28DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
42
Q2 - 7:28NOHMbenga S.FOUL (P1.T4)32
42
Q2 - 7:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
42
Q2 - 7:32DENMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 7:47NOHBayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
42
Q2 - 8:03NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
39
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Afflalo 9' Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 8:10NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
39
Q2 - 8:13DENSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 8:29NOHStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST)30
39
Q2 - 8:43NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
36
Q2 - 8:44DENMISS Ely 3' Layup30
36
Q2 - 8:44DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
36
Q2 - 8:45DENMISS Lawson 4' Jump Shot30
36
Q2 - 8:55NOHGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 8:55NOHGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
35
Q2 - 8:5530
34
Q2 - 8:55DENHarrington S.FOUL (P2.T3)30
34
Q2 - 9:05NOHHORNETS Rebound30
34
Q2 - 9:05DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
34
Q2 - 9:13NOHSUB: Mbenga FOR Smith30
34
Q2 - 9:13NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
34
Q2 - 9:13NOHSmith OFF.Foul (P3)30
34
Q2 - 9:25DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
34
Q2 - 9:37NOHSmith Personal Block Foul (P2.T3)28
34
Q2 - 9:45NOHThornton 4' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST)28
34
Q2 - 9:58DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
32
Q2 - 9:58DENNuggets Rebound27
32
Q2 - 9:58DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 227
32
Q2 - 9:58NOHStojakovic S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
32
Q2 - 10:08DENLawson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
32
Q2 - 10:09DENMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot27
32
Q2 - 10:16NOHMensah-Bonsu Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)27
32
Q2 - 10:16DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony27
32
Q2 - 10:16NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Mensah-Bonsu27
32
Q2 - 10:28DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)27
32
Q2 - 10:36NOHBayless Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)27
32
Q2 - 10:36DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
31
Q2 - 10:36NOHBayless 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)27
31
Q2 - 10:39DENStojakovic STEAL (2 STL)27
29
Q2 - 10:55NOHSmith 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)27
29
Q2 - 11:04DENEly P.FOUL (P1.T1)27
27
Q2 - 11:17DENLawson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)27
27
Q2 - 11:29NOHSmith Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)25
27
Q2 - 11:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
27
Q2 - 11:44NOHMISS Bayless 3PT Jump Shot25
27
Q2 - 12:0025
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound25
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lawson 7' Tip Shot25
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
27
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot25
27
Q1 - 0:15.0NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)25
27
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHSUB: Smith FOR West25
27
Q1 - 0:30.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Billups25
27
Q1 - 0:30.0DENSUB: Ely FOR Nene25
27
Q1 - 0:30.0DENHarrington 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)25
27
Q1 - 0:45.0NOHGreen 4' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)25
27
Q1 - 1:05DENAnthony 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)25
25
Q1 - 1:24NOHBayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)23
25
Q1 - 1:29DENWest STEAL (1 STL)23
25
Q1 - 1:43DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25
Q1 - 1:44NOHMISS Stojakovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 1:58DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
25
Q1 - 1:58NOHSUB: Bayless FOR Paul22
25
Q1 - 1:58DENNuggets Rebound22
25
Q1 - 1:58DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 222
25
Q1 - 1:58NOHGreen Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)22
25
Q1 - 2:10NOHStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mensah-Bonsu 1 AST)22
25
Q1 - 2:24DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
23
Q1 - 2:24DENHarrington Personal Block Foul (P1.T3)22
23
Q1 - 2:34DENStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)22
23
Q1 - 2:45NOHGreen 14' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
23
Q1 - 3:05DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
21
Q1 - 3:05DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
21
Q1 - 3:05NOHMensah-Bonsu P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
21
Q1 - 3:11DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
21
Q1 - 3:12NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21
Q1 - 3:23NOHMensah-Bonsu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
21
Q1 - 3:24DENMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot20
21
Q1 - 3:33NOHSUB: Mensah-Bonsu FOR Okafor20
21
Q1 - 3:33NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Ariza20
21
Q1 - 3:33NOHOkafor Personal Block Foul (P1.T4)20
21
Q1 - 3:48NOHOkafor 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)20
21
Q1 - 3:59NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
19
Q1 - 4:00NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
19
Q1 - 4:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
19
Q1 - 4:13DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot20
19
Q1 - 4:28NOHAriza 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)20
19
Q1 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 4:39DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 4:39NOHAriza S.FOUL (P2.T3)18
17
Q1 - 4:46NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli18
17
Q1 - 4:46DENSUB: Lawson FOR Afflalo18
17
Q1 - 4:46DENBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 4:46DENSUB: Harrington FOR Shel. Williams17
17
Q1 - 4:46NOHHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Okafor )17
17
Q1 - 5:07NOHOkafor 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
17
Q1 - 5:19DENAriza STEAL (1 STL)17
15
Q1 - 5:29DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15
Q1 - 5:31NOHMISS West 6' Jump Bank Shot17
15
Q1 - 5:49NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
15
Q1 - 5:49DENAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
15
Q1 - 5:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15
Q1 - 5:56DENMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15
Q1 - 6:04NOHMISS Belinelli 19' Jump Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:23DENBillups 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)17
15
Q1 - 6:41NOHBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)15
15
Q1 - 6:46NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
12
Q1 - 6:48DENOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)15
12
Q1 - 6:55NOHAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
12
Q1 - 6:55NOHAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
11
Q1 - 6:55DENNene S.FOUL (P1.T1)15
10
Q1 - 7:10DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
10
Q1 - 7:10DENNuggets Rebound14
10
Q1 - 7:10DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 214
10
Q1 - 7:10NOHAriza S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
10
Q1 - 7:25NOHWest 3' Layup (6 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 7:45DENNene 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)14
8
Q1 - 8:04NOHPaul 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 8:18DENNene 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)12
6
Q1 - 8:37NOHWest 14' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)10
6
Q1 - 8:44DENBelinelli STEAL (1 STL)10
4
Q1 - 8:46DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
4
Q1 - 8:47NOHMISS Okafor 2' Layup10
4
Q1 - 9:11DENBillups 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
4
Q1 - 9:34NOHWest 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 9:54NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 9:55DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 10:14NOHAriza 2' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)8
2
Q1 - 10:32DENAfflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
0
Q1 - 10:40DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
0
Q1 - 10:41NOHMISS Okafor 6' Jump Shot5
0
Q1 - 11:00DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)5
0
Q1 - 11:18DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:19NOHMISS West 10' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:40DENShel. Williams 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:49NOHBelinelli Personal Block Foul (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Nene: Tip to Billups0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.2%
NOH
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
27
56%
NOH
17
26
65%
Midrange
DEN
14
30
47%
NOH
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
NOH
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
Free Throws
DEN
19
25
76%
NOH
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2463%12.0 / 19
C. Billups2056%10.0 / 18
J. Smith1255%6.0 / 11
A. Harrington1155%5.5 / 10
A. Afflalo1083%5.0 / 6
S. Williams857%4.0 / 7
Nene660%3.0 / 5
T. Lawson433%2.0 / 6
M. Ely0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul1856%9.0 / 16
D. West1757%8.5 / 15
E. Okafor1359%6.5 / 11
T. Ariza1155%5.5 / 10
M. Thornton1056%5.0 / 9
P. Stojakovic758%3.5 / 6
J. Bayless675%3.0 / 4
W. Green6100%3.0 / 3
J. Smith675%3.0 / 4
M. Belinelli531%2.5 / 8
P. Mensah-Bonsu2100%0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
73
+12
-19
85
NOH
78
+11
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 55.2%
NOH
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
106.0
DEN 103.3
NOH 108.6 +5.3
Pace
95.2
88.9
DEN 101.7 +16.8
NOH 84.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
16.2
DEN 14.2 −2.8
NOH 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
49.3%
DEN 52.8%
NOH 53.2% +0.4%
TO %
14.5%
13.6%
DEN 19.4%
NOH 14.6% −4.8%
ORB %
23.8%
25.1%
DEN 31.4% +1.7%
NOH 29.7%
FTrt
36.7
29.6
DEN 34.7 +3.5
NOH 31.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.4%
DEN 54.3%
NOH 60.5% +6.2%
STL %
7.7%
8.5%
DEN 9.8%
NOH 11.8% +2.0%
BLK %
6.8%
7.6%
DEN 3.3%
NOH 14.0% +10.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.0%
DEN 55.2%
NOH 56.7% +1.5%
Rim FG%
58.5%
57.5%
DEN 55.6%
NOH 65.4% +9.8%
Mid FG%
40.0%
42.1%
DEN 46.7% +2.6%
NOH 44.1%
3P %
38.8%
36.0%
DEN 40.0% +4.7%
NOH 35.3%
FT %
76.6%
76.5%
DEN 76.0%
NOH 79.2% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
32.2%
DEN 37.5% +3.7%
NOH 33.8%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
48.6%
DEN 41.7% −2.5%
NOH 44.2%
3P Att. %
25.8%
19.2%
DEN 20.8%
NOH 22.1% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENNOH
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points95101
Rebounds3735
Assists1923
Steals911
Blocks28
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)24 (2)
Field Goals35-7238-77
At-the-Rim FG15-2717-26
Midrange FG14-3015-34
2-Point FG29-5732-60
3-Point FG6-156-17
Free Throws19-2519-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
39.6
24
63%
10
2
1
0
3
3
2
8
3-4
75%
9-15
60%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
36.8
6
60%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
35.7
10
83%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
35.1
20
56%
2
5
3
0
4
3
1
1
10-11
91%
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
23.6
8
57%
13
1
0
0
4
3
4
9
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
25.2
11
55%
1
1
1
0
2
5
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
21.4
12
55%
3
2
1
0
3
2
1
2
5-6
83%
2-7
29%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
17.1
4
33%
3
1
2
0
2
0
2
1
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
55%
37
19
9
2
19
0
11
26
19-25
76%
29-57
51%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.