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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Knicks40%99120
15Bulls60%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.0
37.4
34.0
14
30%
8
3
1
1
2
8
2
6
4-5
80%
5-21
8-14
24%
54%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
36.6
18.9
24
88%
6
1
2
1
1
1
2
4
6-6
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
4-4
100%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.4
35.3
35.1
20
84%
5
10
2
2
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
4-6
67%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
21.1
27.2
6
104%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.3
10.3
13.4
1
57%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.6
31.2
25.2
30
88%
1
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
5-9
56%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 27.8
25.6
22.6
9
53%
7
3
2
1
1
0
4
3
1-1
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
24.5
30.5
10
42%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
1-3
33%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.1
15.1
16.0
6
104%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 21.3
2.9
15.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.1
6.8
0
0-1
42%
Andy Rautins
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.7
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
35.0
35.2
24
61%
1
14
1
1
0
3
0
1
4-6
67%
7-13
9-17
54%
51%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
33.6
22.3
18
67%
10
2
1
1
2
2
4
6
6-8
75%
6-10
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
33.3
34.7
17
56%
4
1
1
1
1
5
3
1
4-5
80%
2-9
5-11
22%
49%
3-4
75%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
32.5
38.5
12
68%
13
3
2
1
2
3
3
10
2-2
100%
5-8
6-11
63%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 30.5
25.5
20.4
4
41%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 29.6
20.7
20.2
18
90%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
4-6
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.3
18.0
18.4
7
90%
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
13.0
13.5
4
25%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.6
12.8
9.3
4
67%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
8.3
12.3
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
7.4
10.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 38.1
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.