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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 4, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Thunder25%94107
4Trail Blazers75%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
52.5
38.1
28
54%
11
2
0
1
3
5
0
11
4-4
100%
9-19
7-15
47%
47%
2-5
40%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
45.8
37.3
19
63%
9
1
0
1
0
2
4
5
5-5
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
47%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
44.0
33.2
28
53%
11
5
0
1
0
4
6
5
10-10
100%
9-17
5-12
53%
43%
0-5
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
26.0
20.9
7
51%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
23.0
23.0
7
70%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
30.5
23.6
11
95%
7
0
0
0
2
0
4
3
3-4
75%
4-4
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
25.2
22.5
7
64%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-4
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
14.1
14.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.0
4.1
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
13.1
0
1-2
36%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
4.8
0
1-2
48%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
1.6
0
0-0
39%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.0
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 21.9
46.9
19.8
16
50%
5
2
1
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-3
56%
58%
2-7
29%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 26.3
46.5
37.5
19
48%
5
5
0
1
1
4
0
5
6-6
100%
5-13
6-13
38%
51%
1-4
25%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.3
46.0
39.2
22
58%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
11-18
8-17
61%
50%
0-1
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
42.9
23.6
13
78%
12
3
2
1
1
3
4
8
1-3
33%
6-7
3-6
86%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.6
35.3
29.5
16
42%
6
11
2
1
0
2
4
2
2-2
100%
7-17
5-10
41%
49%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 24.1
19.5
23.4
13
59%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
5-7
71%
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.5
15.9
20.5
4
41%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.7
12.0
13.8
3
50%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 25.6
18.2
1
1-2
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.1
14.7
0
1-2
56%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.4
2.7
0
0-1
52%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.2
1.8
0
0-1
46%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 22.8
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.