Final Win Prob. pScore
264%99
93
1436%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
104.58986.2
Hornets
107.98992.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA93
96
Q4 - 0:01.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)93
96
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)93
96
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Tip Shot93
96
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
96
Q4 - 0:07.0MIASUB: House FOR Haslem93
96
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)93
96
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
96
Q4 - 0:07.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR House93
95
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
95
Q4 - 0:07.0MIASUB: House FOR Bosh93
94
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAHaslem Personal Take Foul (P4.PN)93
94
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Okafor93
94
Q4 - 0:07.0NOHHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)93
94
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 10 AST)93
94
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHSUB: Green FOR Smith90
94
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Belinelli90
94
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)90
94
Q4 - 0:14.0NOHAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 19 AST)90
94
Q4 - 0:35.0NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor90
91
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T13)90
91
Q4 - 0:50.0NOHBelinelli Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
91
Q4 - 0:50.0NOHBelinelli Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)90
90
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.PN)90
89
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)90
89
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)89
89
Q4 - 0:59.0NOHAriza P.FOUL (P4.PN)88
89
Q4 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound88
89
Q4 - 1:04NOHMISS Paul 10' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
89
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 1:27NOHAriza S.FOUL (P3.PN)86
89
Q4 - 1:31MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)86
89
Q4 - 1:32NOHMISS West Free Throw 2 of 286
89
Q4 - 1:32NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 1:32MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T3)86
88
Q4 - 1:53NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)86
88
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
88
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)86
88
Q4 - 2:08NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)85
88
Q4 - 2:08NOHPaul T.FOUL (P4.PN)85
88
Q4 - 2:08NOHPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T14)85
88
Q4 - 2:08NOHPaul OFF.Foul (P4)85
88
Q4 - 2:15NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
88
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 2:33NOHOkafor 6' Driving Bank Shot (26 PTS) (Paul 18 AST)85
88
Q4 - 2:58MIAPaul STEAL (5 STL)85
86
Q4 - 3:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
86
Q4 - 3:05NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
86
Q4 - 3:19NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
86
Q4 - 3:21NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Shot85
86
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)85
86
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)84
86
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 3:35NOHBelinelli S.FOUL (P3.PN)82
86
Q4 - 3:43NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Green82
86
Q4 - 3:43NOHWest L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)82
86
Q4 - 3:43MIAHeat Rebound82
86
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot82
86
Q4 - 3:52MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
86
Q4 - 3:53NOHMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot82
86
Q4 - 4:14MIAWade 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)82
86
Q4 - 4:29NOHWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
86
Q4 - 4:29NOHWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
85
Q4 - 4:29MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T2)79
84
Q4 - 4:30NOHWest REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)79
84
Q4 - 4:31NOHMISS Paul 1' Layup79
84
Q4 - 4:35MIAPaul STEAL (4 STL)79
84
Q4 - 4:57NOHBelinelli 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 17 AST)79
84
Q4 - 5:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
82
Q4 - 5:17MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
82
Q4 - 5:17NOHWest S.FOUL (P3.T3)77
82
Q4 - 5:33NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
82
Q4 - 5:33NOHOkafor 2' Tip Shot (24 PTS)77
82
Q4 - 5:34NOHMISS West 3' Layup77
80
Q4 - 5:52MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)77
80
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
80
Q4 - 6:00NOHMISS Belinelli 20' Jump Shot75
80
Q4 - 6:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)75
80
Q4 - 6:15NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P2.T2)74
80
Q4 - 6:15MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)74
80
Q4 - 6:25NOHSUB: Paul FOR Bayless72
80
Q4 - 6:25NOHSUB: West FOR Smith72
80
Q4 - 6:25MIASUB: James FOR Ilgauskas72
80
Q4 - 6:25MIASUB: Bosh FOR House72
80
Q4 - 6:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)72
80
Q4 - 6:34NOHGreen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Belinelli 3 AST)72
80
Q4 - 6:54NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
78
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot72
78
Q4 - 7:06MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
78
Q4 - 7:07NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot72
78
Q4 - 7:31MIAHaslem 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)72
78
Q4 - 8:00NOHOkafor 10' Fadeaway Jumper (22 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)70
78
Q4 - 8:27MIAWade 8' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)70
76
Q4 - 8:36NOHGreen P.FOUL (P1.T1)68
76
Q4 - 8:38NOHBayless Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)68
76
Q4 - 8:51MIASUB: Wade FOR James68
76
Q4 - 8:51MIASmith STEAL (2 STL)68
76
Q4 - 8:51NOHJump Ball Smith vs. Haslem: Tip to Okafor68
76
Q4 - 8:51NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Ariza68
76
Q4 - 8:5168
76
Q4 - 8:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
76
Q4 - 8:59NOHMISS Ariza 16' Jump Shot68
76
Q4 - 9:10NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
76
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
76
Q4 - 9:31NOHOkafor 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Green 2 AST)68
76
Q4 - 9:44NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
74
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup68
74
Q4 - 9:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
74
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot68
74
Q4 - 10:03NOHAriza Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)68
74
Q4 - 10:18MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)68
74
Q4 - 10:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
74
Q4 - 10:28NOHMISS Bayless 4' Jump Shot66
74
Q4 - 10:38MIAHouse Backcourt Turnover (P1.T9)66
74
Q4 - 10:42MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
74
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot66
74
Q4 - 10:54NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
74
Q4 - 10:54NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Mbenga66
73
Q4 - 10:54NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)66
73
Q4 - 10:54MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.T1)66
72
Q4 - 11:09MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)66
72
Q4 - 11:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
72
Q4 - 11:22NOHMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 11:44NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
72
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
72
Q4 - 12:0064
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound64
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 39' 3PT Jump Shot64
72
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
72
Q3 - 0:02.0NOHMISS Mbenga 12' Jump Shot64
72
Q3 - 0:21.0NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
72
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 264
72
Q3 - 0:22.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas64
72
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
72
Q3 - 0:22.0NOHAriza P.FOUL (P2.PN)63
72
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAHeat Rebound63
72
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
72
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)63
72
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)62
72
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHSUB: Green FOR Thornton61
72
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHSUB: Mbenga FOR West61
72
Q3 - 0:50.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh61
72
Q3 - 0:50.0NOHSmith S.FOUL (P2.T4)61
72
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
72
Q3 - 0:56.0NOHWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
72
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
72
Q3 - 1:20MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)61
72
Q3 - 1:49NOHAriza 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 16 AST)59
72
Q3 - 1:53MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)59
70
Q3 - 2:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
70
Q3 - 2:04NOHMISS Thornton 3' Finger Roll Layup59
70
Q3 - 2:08NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
70
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot59
70
Q3 - 2:29NOHAriza 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 15 AST)59
70
Q3 - 2:32NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
68
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 2:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
68
Q3 - 2:45NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 2:56NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)59
68
Q3 - 2:56MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)59
68
Q3 - 3:01MIABosh 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (James 8 AST)59
68
Q3 - 3:13MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)57
68
Q3 - 3:14NOHPaul 15' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 3:23NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
66
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot57
66
Q3 - 3:45NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 14 AST)57
66
Q3 - 4:04MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)57
64
Q3 - 4:24NOHWest 7' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)57
64
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
62
Q3 - 4:46NOHPaul S.FOUL (P3.T3)55
62
Q3 - 4:54NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Belinelli55
62
Q3 - 4:54NOHSUB: Smith FOR Okafor55
62
Q3 - 4:54NOHPaul Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)55
62
Q3 - 5:12MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)55
62
Q3 - 5:22NOHWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
62
Q3 - 5:38NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
62
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
62
Q3 - 5:45NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.T2)53
62
Q3 - 5:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
62
Q3 - 5:48NOHMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
62
Q3 - 6:09MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)53
62
Q3 - 6:09MIAIlgauskas 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)53
62
Q3 - 6:25MIAHeat Rebound51
62
Q3 - 6:28NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot51
62
Q3 - 6:39MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo51
62
Q3 - 6:39MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P3.T1)51
62
Q3 - 6:40MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)51
62
Q3 - 6:58NOHWest 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 13 AST)51
62
Q3 - 7:12NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
60
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 7:34NOHBelinelli Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
60
Q3 - 7:34NOHBelinelli OFF.Foul (P2)51
60
Q3 - 7:54MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
60
Q3 - 8:04MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Anthony49
60
Q3 - 8:04MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)49
60
Q3 - 8:06NOHOkafor 3' Putback Layup (18 PTS)49
60
Q3 - 8:07NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
58
Q3 - 8:08NOHMISS West 17' Jump Shot49
58
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
58
Q3 - 8:22MIAAnthony 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)49
58
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot47
58
Q3 - 8:45NOHWest 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 12 AST)47
58
Q3 - 8:59MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
56
Q3 - 9:16NOHWest 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)45
56
Q3 - 9:30MIABosh 19' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)45
54
Q3 - 9:51MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
54
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
54
Q3 - 10:11NOHAriza P.FOUL (P1.T1)43
54
Q3 - 10:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
54
Q3 - 10:18NOHMISS Paul 4' Layup43
54
Q3 - 10:22NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
54
Q3 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
54
Q3 - 10:39NOHPaul 14' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)43
54
Q3 - 10:48NOHBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
52
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot43
52
Q3 - 11:11NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
52
Q3 - 11:11NOHOkafor 2' Tip Shot (16 PTS)43
52
Q3 - 11:12NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
50
Q3 - 11:34MIABosh 13' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (James 4 AST)43
50
Q3 - 11:46NOHOkafor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)41
50
Q3 - 12:0041
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot41
50
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHSUB: Green FOR Ariza41
50
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)41
50
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)41
50
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHHORNETS Rebound41
50
Q2 - 0:04.0NOHMISS Paul 8' Jump Shot41
50
Q2 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Ilgauskas41
50
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)41
50
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
50
Q2 - 0:39.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
49
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P2.PN)41
48
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)41
48
Q2 - 1:07NOHOkafor 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)39
48
Q2 - 1:26MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)39
46
Q2 - 1:37MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Haslem37
46
Q2 - 1:37MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo37
46
Q2 - 1:37MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)37
46
Q2 - 1:46NOHBelinelli 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)37
46
Q2 - 1:50MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)37
44
Q2 - 2:12NOHPaul 1' Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)37
44
Q2 - 2:18NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)37
42
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot37
42
Q2 - 2:42NOHOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 2:42NOHHORNETS Rebound37
41
Q2 - 2:42NOHMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 237
41
Q2 - 2:42NOHSUB: Smith FOR West37
41
Q2 - 2:42NOHSUB: Ariza FOR Thornton37
41
Q2 - 2:42MIASUB: James FOR Jones37
41
Q2 - 2:42MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
41
Q2 - 2:42MIAJones Personal Block Foul (P1.PN)37
41
Q2 - 3:01MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)37
41
Q2 - 3:25NOHThornton 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Okafor 1 AST)34
41
Q2 - 3:44MIAWade 3' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 3:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
39
Q2 - 3:52NOHMISS Paul 32' 3PT Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
39
Q2 - 4:19NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
39
Q2 - 4:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
39
Q2 - 4:21MIAOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)30
39
Q2 - 4:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
39
Q2 - 4:28NOHMISS West 19' Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 4:51NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
39
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 5:13NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
39
Q2 - 5:20NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
39
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 5:26NOHSUB: Okafor FOR Smith30
39
Q2 - 5:26NOHSUB: Belinelli FOR Green30
39
Q2 - 5:26NOHThornton P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
39
Q2 - 5:26MIAHeat Rebound30
39
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot30
39
Q2 - 5:43NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)30
39
Q2 - 5:43MIAArroyo S.FOUL (P1.T4)30
38
Q2 - 5:43NOHPaul 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
38
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: Arroyo FOR House30
36
Q2 - 5:52NOHSUB: Smith FOR Mbenga30
36
Q2 - 5:52NOHSUB: Paul FOR Bayless30
36
Q2 - 5:5230
36
Q2 - 5:52MIAHouse Personal Block Foul (P2.T3)30
36
Q2 - 6:04MIAHouse 1' Layup (4 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 6:09NOHGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
36
Q2 - 6:11MIAIlgauskas Violation:Kicked Ball28
36
Q2 - 6:11MIASUB: Bosh FOR Ilgauskas28
36
Q2 - 6:18NOHThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 6:19MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 6:28MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
36
Q2 - 6:29NOHMISS West 8' Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 6:49MIAIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)28
36
Q2 - 6:49NOHHORNETS Rebound28
36
Q2 - 6:50MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 7:00NOHBayless Foul Turnover (P1.T3)28
36
Q2 - 7:00NOHBayless OFF.Foul (P1)28
36
Q2 - 7:04MIASUB: Wade FOR James28
36
Q2 - 7:24MIAHaslem 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
36
Q2 - 7:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
36
Q2 - 7:45NOHMISS Bayless 14' Jump Shot26
36
Q2 - 8:04MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS)26
36
Q2 - 8:20NOHWest 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)24
36
Q2 - 8:40NOHMbenga REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
34
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot24
34
Q2 - 8:57NOHThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)24
34
Q2 - 9:07NOHSUB: Thornton FOR Ariza24
31
Q2 - 9:07NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)24
31
Q2 - 9:16MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
31
Q2 - 9:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
31
Q2 - 9:34NOHMISS Mbenga 9' Hook Shot21
31
Q2 - 9:58MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)21
31
Q2 - 10:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31
Q2 - 10:07NOHMISS West 18' Jump Shot19
31
Q2 - 10:18NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
31
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
31
Q2 - 10:29NOHSUB: West FOR Smith19
31
Q2 - 10:34NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
31
Q2 - 10:55MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)19
31
Q2 - 11:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
31
Q2 - 11:10NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 117
31
Q2 - 11:10MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)17
31
Q2 - 11:10NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
31
Q2 - 11:10NOHSmith 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)17
31
Q2 - 11:10NOHMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot17
29
Q2 - 11:34NOHBayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
29
Q2 - 11:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
29
Q2 - 11:42NOHMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
29
Q2 - 12:0017
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
29
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Okafor 20' Jump Shot17
29
Q1 - 0:02.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade17
29
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHouse P.FOUL (P1.T3)17
29
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
29
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHGreen 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
29
Q1 - 0:36.0NOHGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
27
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot15
27
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
27
Q1 - 0:46.0NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot15
27
Q1 - 1:02NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
27
Q1 - 1:03MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot15
27
Q1 - 1:19NOHOkafor 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)15
27
Q1 - 1:33NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
25
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot15
25
Q1 - 1:58NOHOkafor 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
25
Q1 - 2:12NOHSUB: Green FOR Belinelli15
23
Q1 - 2:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony15
23
Q1 - 2:12MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh15
23
Q1 - 2:12NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
23
Q1 - 2:17MIAHouse 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
23
Q1 - 2:50NOHSmith 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)13
23
Q1 - 3:00NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
21
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot13
21
Q1 - 3:32NOHSmith 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)13
21
Q1 - 3:45MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS)13
19
Q1 - 3:51MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
19
Q1 - 3:53NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
19
Q1 - 3:53NOHMISS Smith 3' Tip Shot11
19
Q1 - 3:55NOHMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot11
19
Q1 - 4:06NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
19
Q1 - 4:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
19
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Anthony 3' Tip Shot11
19
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
19
Q1 - 4:11MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
19
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
19
Q1 - 4:33NOHSmith 2' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)11
19
Q1 - 4:47MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo11
17
Q1 - 4:47MIAWade Personal Block Foul (P1.T2)11
17
Q1 - 5:06NOHOkafor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot11
17
Q1 - 5:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
17
Q1 - 5:15NOHMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot11
17
Q1 - 5:28MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
17
Q1 - 5:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
17
Q1 - 5:42NOHMISS Belinelli 22' Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 5:52MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)8
17
Q1 - 6:07NOHOkafor Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 6:07MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
16
Q1 - 6:07NOHOkafor 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)8
16
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
14
Q1 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
14
Q1 - 6:23NOHBelinelli P.FOUL (P1.PN)6
14
Q1 - 6:24NOHAriza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
14
Q1 - 6:47MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
14
Q1 - 6:57MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
14
Q1 - 7:06NOHOkafor 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)4
14
Q1 - 7:17NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12
Q1 - 7:18MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot4
12
Q1 - 7:26NOHSmith L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)4
12
Q1 - 7:26MIAHeat Rebound4
12
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot4
12
Q1 - 7:45NOHAriza 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)4
12
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
9
Q1 - 7:57NOHOkafor S.FOUL (P1.T3)2
9
Q1 - 8:17NOHAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)2
9
Q1 - 8:33NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 8:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 8:42NOHMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 8:58NOHAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:08NOHSUB: Smith FOR West2
6
Q1 - 9:08NOHWest Personal Block Foul (P2.T2)2
6
Q1 - 9:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:28NOHMISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 9:34MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)2
6
Q1 - 9:43NOHWest P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 9:47MIAHeat Rebound2
6
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw Technical2
6
Q1 - 9:47NOHHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Okafor )2
6
Q1 - 10:05NOHPaul 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 10:18NOHWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:20NOHWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:20NOHMISS West 2' Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:22NOHMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:32NOHWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup2
4
Q1 - 10:54NOHBelinelli 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)2
4
Q1 - 11:12MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:32NOHOkafor 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Okafor vs. Anthony: Tip to Arroyo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIANOH
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOH
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
NOH
18
27
67%
Midrange
MIA
16
38
42%
NOH
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
21
24%
36%
NOH
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
22
24
92%
NOH
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2867%14.0 / 21
L. James2050%10.0 / 20
C. Bosh1558%7.5 / 13
Z. Ilgauskas10100%5.0 / 5
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
J. Jones650%3.0 / 6
E. House420%2.0 / 10
J. Anthony250%1.0 / 2
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Okafor2693%13.0 / 14
D. West1550%7.5 / 15
T. Ariza1350%6.5 / 13
C. Paul1346%6.5 / 14
J. Smith1250%6.0 / 12
M. Belinelli850%4.0 / 8
M. Thornton583%2.5 / 3
W. Green450%2.0 / 4
J. Bayless0-0.0 / 2
D. Mbenga0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+13
-13
89
NOH
76
+11
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOH
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
106.0
MIA 104.5
NOH 107.9 +3.4
Pace
91.3
88.9
MIA 86.2
NOH 92.3 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
MIA 16.7
NOH 15.6 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.3%
MIA 45.5%
NOH 51.9% +6.4%
TO %
14.4%
13.6%
MIA 12.8% −1.1%
NOH 13.9%
ORB %
25.2%
25.1%
MIA 20.0%
NOH 26.3% +6.3%
FTrt
36.3
29.6
MIA 30.8 +9.3
NOH 21.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.4%
MIA 57.6%
NOH 66.7% +9.1%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
MIA 6.7%
NOH 10.1% +3.4%
BLK %
8.5%
7.6%
MIA 7.7% +5.9%
NOH 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.0%
MIA 51.1%
NOH 54.5% +3.4%
Rim FG%
64.7%
57.5%
MIA 63.2%
NOH 66.7% +3.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.1%
MIA 42.1%
NOH 44.7% +2.6%
3P %
37.0%
36.0%
MIA 23.8%
NOH 28.6% +4.8%
FT %
76.9%
76.5%
MIA 91.7% +9.3%
NOH 82.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
32.2%
MIA 24.4%
NOH 34.2% +9.8%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
48.6%
MIA 48.7%
NOH 48.1% −0.6%
3P Att. %
23.5%
19.2%
MIA 26.9% +9.2%
NOH 17.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIANOH
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes24.823.1
Points9396
Rebounds3642
Assists1926
Steals69
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals33-7839-79
At-the-Rim FG12-1918-27
Midrange FG16-3817-38
2-Point FG28-5735-65
3-Point FG5-214-14
Free Throws22-2414-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
41.2
20
50%
7
10
3
1
3
0
0
7
7-8
88%
5-14
36%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
39.9
28
67%
10
2
2
2
7
1
2
8
13-13
100%
6-11
55%
1-5
20%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
33.5
15
58%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
16.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
14.1
2
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
28.0
6
50%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
25.8
8
50%
6
0
0
0
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
22.4
10
100%
3
0
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
18.2
4
20%
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-7
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 24
F · 6'6" 218 · 36
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
#21 · C · 6'11" 265 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
36
19
6
5
13
0
8
28
22-24
92%
28-57
49%
5-21
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.