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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 5, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz54%10978
17Warriors46%10885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 25.7
39.2
35.8
12
55%
11
4
2
1
1
3
2
9
0-0
-
6-11
8-14
55%
54%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
38.2
37.8
23
55%
2
6
1
1
0
8
1
1
4-7
57%
8-14
5-10
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 25.8
35.8
37.1
16
48%
15
0
0
1
1
2
3
12
4-6
67%
6-14
8-15
43%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.1
27.6
25.0
7
35%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
27.4
29.0
4
42%
4
2
0
1
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
0-3
4-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
22.1
23.4
12
41%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
3-4
75%
3-9
2-5
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
20.4
11.9
2
20%
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 34.7
15.3
8.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 31.4
9.8
9.7
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 20.6
4.2
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 23.9
4.3
0
0-1
52%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 23.0
4.1
0
1-1
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
42.7
31.0
14
42%
15
1
0
1
0
0
7
8
2-4
50%
6-15
7-12
40%
54%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
39.8
38.5
23
44%
4
2
7
2
0
3
1
3
5-9
56%
9-18
8-15
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 24.9
36.2
36.9
7
27%
5
5
2
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-10
3-7
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
35.8
25.6
8
35%
20
0
0
1
0
0
7
13
0-1
0%
4-11
3-5
36%
58%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
33.0
30.6
20
52%
1
6
2
2
0
5
0
1
5-5
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
49%
1-4
25%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
15.9
18.1
2
18%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.1
14.7
28.0
5
51%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
12.0
8.9
6
75%
6
0
0
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
5.3
13.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
4.7
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
9.3
0
2-3
53%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.7
2.1
0
0-1
49%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.9
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.