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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 6, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Magic62%9491
18Bobcats38%9088
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
36.2
30.5
10
39%
5
4
2
1
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-4
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
35.5
16.3
14
39%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
45%
3-10
30%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.2
34.4
30.4
22
82%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
5-7
71%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
34.3
15.8
4
33%
3
9
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
31.3
32.1
22
57%
8
4
0
1
2
2
1
7
6-10
60%
8-15
6-11
53%
60%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
17.4
14.7
3
38%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
16.8
16.0
6
60%
6
0
0
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
57%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
13.8
6.2
3
38%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.5
13.6
20.0
7
61%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
6.9
21.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
12.7
0
1-2
49%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
6.7
0
1-2
43%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
42.6
36.7
25
75%
14
2
0
1
0
0
0
14
3-4
75%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
4-4
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
41.4
38.5
16
42%
2
6
3
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
5-11
45%
44%
2-8
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
37.4
35.8
6
38%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
52%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
32.5
32.0
9
53%
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
2-6
67%
40%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
22.4
12.6
12
61%
5
0
0
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
16.7
18.4
4
40%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
15.0
20.4
10
87%
4
0
0
1
2
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
3-8
75%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
11.8
9.2
0
0%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
10.7
11.0
4
100%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
9.3
19.3
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.6
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.