Final Win Prob. pScore
1031%97
103
569%104
92
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
112.09293.0
DAL logo Mavericks
98.99392.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL103
92
Q4 - 0:03.0DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
92
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
92
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
92
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMahinmi 3' Putback Layup (2 PTS)103
92
Q4 - 0:29.0DALMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot103
90
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DALSUB: Stevenson FOR Marion103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DALSUB: Mahinmi FOR Kidd103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DALSUB: Jones FOR Terry103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DALSUB: Barea FOR Nowitzki103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DALSUB: Cardinal FOR Butler103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)103
90
Q4 - 0:46.0DALTerry P.FOUL (P3.PN)102
90
Q4 - 0:59.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
90
Q4 - 1:02DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Running Bank Shot102
90
Q4 - 1:14DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)102
90
Q4 - 1:32DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T21)100
90
Q4 - 1:44DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)100
90
Q4 - 1:44DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
90
Q4 - 1:44DALMarion S.FOUL (P2.T4)98
90
Q4 - 2:00DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)98
90
Q4 - 2:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound98
89
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 298
89
Q4 - 2:0098
89
Q4 - 2:00DENLawson S.FOUL (P1.T3)98
89
Q4 - 2:03DENButler STEAL (3 STL)98
89
Q4 - 2:28DALButler Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)98
89
Q4 - 2:35DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
89
Q4 - 2:36DENMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 3:02DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T19)98
89
Q4 - 3:15DENBillups Personal Block Foul (P2.T2)98
89
Q4 - 3:25DALMAVERICKS Rebound98
89
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot98
89
Q4 - 3:33DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)98
89
Q4 - 3:35DENMISS Billups 1' Driving Layup98
89
Q4 - 3:58DALButler 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)98
89
Q4 - 4:06DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
87
Q4 - 4:08DENMISS Harrington 2' Reverse Layup98
87
Q4 - 4:18DENSUB: Anthony FOR Ely98
87
Q4 - 4:18DALNowitzki Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)98
87
Q4 - 4:24DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
87
Q4 - 4:26DENEly REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)98
87
Q4 - 4:26DENMISS Ely 1' Tip Shot98
87
Q4 - 4:28DENMISS Lawson 2' Layup98
87
Q4 - 4:45DALMarion 2' Putback Layup (12 PTS)98
87
Q4 - 4:46DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)98
85
Q4 - 4:48DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot98
85
Q4 - 5:07DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
85
Q4 - 5:07DALSUB: Butler FOR Chandler97
85
Q4 - 5:07DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)97
85
Q4 - 5:07DALChandler S.FOUL (P3.T3)96
85
Q4 - 5:19DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)96
85
Q4 - 5:39DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)96
85
Q4 - 5:51DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
85
Q4 - 5:52DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot93
85
Q4 - 6:12DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)93
85
Q4 - 6:31DALMarion 4' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)91
85
Q4 - 6:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
83
Q4 - 6:40DENMISS Billups 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot91
83
Q4 - 6:55DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
83
Q4 - 6:57DALMISS Terry 19' Turnaround Jump Shot91
83
Q4 - 7:19DALSUB: Chandler FOR Haywood91
83
Q4 - 7:19DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea91
83
Q4 - 7:19DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)91
83
Q4 - 7:23DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)91
83
Q4 - 7:23DENHarrington 1' Putback Dunk (14 PTS)91
83
Q4 - 7:25DENMISS Lawson 2' Running Layup89
83
Q4 - 7:31DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
83
Q4 - 7:32DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
83
Q4 - 7:53DENEly 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)89
83
Q4 - 8:12DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
83
Q4 - 8:13DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 289
83
Q4 - 8:13DALMAVERICKS Rebound89
83
Q4 - 8:13DALMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 289
83
Q4 - 8:13DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)89
83
Q4 - 8:33DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
83
Q4 - 8:33DENSmith 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)89
83
Q4 - 8:36DENMISS Harrington 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot87
83
Q4 - 8:57DALMarion 2' Putback Dunk (8 PTS)87
83
Q4 - 8:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
81
Q4 - 9:00DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot87
81
Q4 - 9:21DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)87
81
Q4 - 9:34DENSUB: Billups FOR Anthony84
81
Q4 - 9:34DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)84
81
Q4 - 9:34DALHaywood L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)84
81
Q4 - 9:34DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
81
Q4 - 9:34DALMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot84
81
Q4 - 9:41DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
81
Q4 - 9:42DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
81
Q4 - 9:58DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)84
81
Q4 - 10:20DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)84
81
Q4 - 10:40DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
81
Q4 - 10:40DALMarion 3' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)81
81
Q4 - 10:45DALMISS Terry 1' Driving Layup81
79
Q4 - 10:49DENTerry STEAL (1 STL)81
79
Q4 - 11:00DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)81
79
Q4 - 11:19DENHarrington 2' Running Dunk (12 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)81
79
Q4 - 11:22DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
79
Q4 - 11:23DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
79
Q4 - 11:35DALBarea P.FOUL (P1.T1)79
79
Q4 - 11:35DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
79
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot79
79
Q4 - 11:48DALHaywood Foul Turnover (P1.T14)79
79
Q4 - 11:48DALHaywood OFF.Foul (P3)79
79
Q4 - 12:0079
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN79
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound79
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot79
79
Q3 - 0:17.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
79
Q3 - 0:17.0DENEly Putback Dunk (5 PTS)79
79
Q3 - 0:17.0DENMISS Anthony 17' Turnaround Jump Shot77
79
Q3 - 0:30.0DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)77
79
Q3 - 0:44.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)77
77
Q3 - 0:44.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)76
77
Q3 - 0:44.0DALHaywood S.FOUL (P2.T4)75
77
Q3 - 0:54.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
77
Q3 - 0:56.0DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
77
Q3 - 1:02DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
77
Q3 - 1:04DENMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper75
77
Q3 - 1:24DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
77
Q3 - 1:24DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
76
Q3 - 1:24DENSUB: Ely FOR Shel. Williams75
75
Q3 - 1:24DALSUB: Haywood FOR Chandler75
75
Q3 - 1:24DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P4.T3)75
75
Q3 - 1:36DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)75
75
Q3 - 1:59DALKidd 2' Running Layup (8 PTS)72
75
Q3 - 2:03DENButler STEAL (2 STL)72
73
Q3 - 2:14DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
73
Q3 - 2:14DALChandler 1' Tip Shot (3 PTS)72
73
Q3 - 2:18DALMISS Butler 5' Floating Jump Shot72
71
Q3 - 2:24DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
71
Q3 - 2:27DENKidd BLOCK (1 BLK)72
71
Q3 - 2:48DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
71
Q3 - 2:48DALSUB: Barea FOR Terry72
70
Q3 - 2:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
70
Q3 - 2:48DALMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 272
70
Q3 - 2:48DENAnthony S.FOUL (P3.T2)72
70
Q3 - 2:52DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
70
Q3 - 2:54DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot72
70
Q3 - 3:02DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)72
70
Q3 - 3:15DENAnthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
70
Q3 - 3:27DALChandler L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)69
70
Q3 - 3:27DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
70
Q3 - 3:28DALMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot69
70
Q3 - 3:47DENSUB: Lawson FOR Billups69
70
Q3 - 3:47DALSUB: Marion FOR Nowitzki69
70
Q3 - 3:47DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)69
70
Q3 - 3:48DENAnthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)69
70
Q3 - 4:07DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
70
Q3 - 4:08DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot66
70
Q3 - 4:25DENShel. Williams 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)66
70
Q3 - 4:43DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)64
70
Q3 - 4:54DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
68
Q3 - 4:54DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 4:54DALKidd S.FOUL (P1.T2)62
68
Q3 - 4:58DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
68
Q3 - 5:00DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
68
Q3 - 5:05DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
68
Q3 - 5:08DENMISS Anthony 3' Running Jump Shot62
68
Q3 - 5:12DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
68
Q3 - 5:18DALMISS Butler 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot62
68
Q3 - 5:30DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
68
Q3 - 5:35DENMISS Smith 14' Running Jump Shot62
68
Q3 - 5:42DALButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)62
68
Q3 - 5:57DENShel. Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)62
68
Q3 - 6:16DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
68
Q3 - 6:16DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
67
Q3 - 6:16DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P3.T1)62
66
Q3 - 6:33DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
66
Q3 - 6:34DENMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot62
66
Q3 - 6:46DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
66
Q3 - 6:48DALMISS Chandler 5' Turnaround Jump Shot62
66
Q3 - 7:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound62
66
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Billups 15' Step Back Jump Shot62
66
Q3 - 7:20DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
66
Q3 - 7:21DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot62
66
Q3 - 7:36DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)62
66
Q3 - 7:36DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
66
Q3 - 7:36DENSUB: Harrington FOR Forbes60
66
Q3 - 7:36DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo60
66
Q3 - 7:36DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.T1)60
66
Q3 - 7:50DALNowitzki 1' Driving Dunk (21 PTS)60
66
Q3 - 8:00DENButler STEAL (1 STL)60
64
Q3 - 8:20DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)60
64
Q3 - 8:21DALButler 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 8:32DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
62
Q3 - 8:33DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 8:53DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)60
62
Q3 - 8:59DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
59
Q3 - 8:59DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 9:16DALNowitzki 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)60
59
Q3 - 9:33DENForbes 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)60
57
Q3 - 9:52DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
57
Q3 - 10:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound57
55
Q3 - 10:04DALMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot57
55
Q3 - 10:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
55
Q3 - 10:12DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)57
55
Q3 - 10:22DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
55
Q3 - 10:23DALMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot57
55
Q3 - 10:36DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
55
Q3 - 10:51DALTerry 18' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)55
55
Q3 - 11:15DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)55
53
Q3 - 11:15DENAnthony T.FOUL (P2.T0)55
52
Q3 - 11:15DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
52
Q3 - 11:16DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot55
52
Q3 - 11:37DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
52
Q3 - 11:49DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
52
Q3 - 12:0053
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN53
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound53
52
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Billups 4' Driving Layup53
52
Q2 - 0:05.0DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)53
52
Q2 - 0:10.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound53
49
Q2 - 0:11.0DALMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
49
Q2 - 0:26.0DENSUB: Lawson FOR Afflalo53
49
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)53
49
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound53
49
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Fadeaway Jumper53
49
Q2 - 0:49.0DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
49
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMISS Billups 18' Running Bank Shot53
49
Q2 - 1:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
49
Q2 - 1:16DENSUB: Ely FOR Shel. Williams53
48
Q2 - 1:16DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
48
Q2 - 1:16DENAnthony P.FOUL (P2.PN)53
47
Q2 - 1:24DENShel. Williams 2' Putback Layup (6 PTS)53
47
Q2 - 1:26DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
47
Q2 - 1:27DENMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot51
47
Q2 - 1:37DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
47
Q2 - 1:37DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)51
46
Q2 - 1:37DENBillups P.FOUL (P1.PN)51
45
Q2 - 1:53DALSUB: Butler FOR Marion51
45
Q2 - 1:53DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
45
Q2 - 1:53DENNuggets Rebound50
45
Q2 - 1:53DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 250
45
Q2 - 1:53DALMarion S.FOUL (P1.T2)50
45
Q2 - 2:06DENSUB: Smith FOR Harrington50
45
Q2 - 2:06DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
45
Q2 - 2:11DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
45
Q2 - 2:12DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 2:28DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
45
Q2 - 2:29DALMISS Kidd 20' Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 2:31DALKidd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
45
Q2 - 2:32DALMISS Kidd 21' Jump Shot50
45
Q2 - 2:56DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)50
45
Q2 - 2:56DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)50
45
Q2 - 3:07DALTerry 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)50
45
Q2 - 3:15DENSUB: Anthony FOR Lawson50
43
Q2 - 3:15DENHarrington P.FOUL (P2.T4)50
43
Q2 - 3:28DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)50
43
Q2 - 3:41DALNowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
43
Q2 - 4:00DENSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Ely47
41
Q2 - 4:00DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)47
41
Q2 - 4:00DENAfflalo T.FOUL (P2.T3)47
40
Q2 - 4:00DENAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)47
40
Q2 - 4:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
40
Q2 - 4:05DALMISS Marion 8' Turnaround Jump Shot47
40
Q2 - 4:23DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
40
Q2 - 4:23DALSUB: Marion FOR Butler46
40
Q2 - 4:23DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
40
Q2 - 4:23DENSUB: Billups FOR Smith45
40
Q2 - 4:23DALButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)45
40
Q2 - 4:43DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)45
40
Q2 - 5:09DENEly 1' Dunk (3 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)45
38
Q2 - 5:23DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
38
Q2 - 5:24DALMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 143
38
Q2 - 5:24DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Marion43
38
Q2 - 5:24DALSUB: Chandler FOR Haywood43
38
Q2 - 5:24DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P2.T3)43
38
Q2 - 5:24DALButler 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)43
38
Q2 - 5:24DALButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
36
Q2 - 5:24DALMISS Haywood 3' Driving Layup43
36
Q2 - 5:34DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
36
Q2 - 5:37DENMISS Lawson 4' Driving Layup43
36
Q2 - 5:49DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
36
Q2 - 5:52DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
36
Q2 - 5:58DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
36
Q2 - 5:59DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
36
Q2 - 6:15DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)43
36
Q2 - 6:31DALSUB: Terry FOR Jones43
33
Q2 - 6:31DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea43
33
Q2 - 6:31DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
33
Q2 - 6:41DENHarrington 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)43
33
Q2 - 6:44DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
33
Q2 - 6:46DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
33
Q2 - 6:47DENHaywood BLOCK (1 BLK)41
33
Q2 - 7:03DALJones 9' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)41
33
Q2 - 7:13DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
31
Q2 - 7:16DENMISS Smith 12' Floating Jump Shot41
31
Q2 - 7:34DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
31
Q2 - 7:37DALMISS Marion 8' Turnaround Hook Shot41
31
Q2 - 7:39DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
31
Q2 - 7:40DALMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot41
31
Q2 - 7:55DENSmith 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
31
Q2 - 8:11DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Anthony39
31
Q2 - 8:1139
31
Q2 - 8:11DALButler Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)39
31
Q2 - 8:24DENAnthony 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)39
31
Q2 - 8:40DALMarion 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
31
Q2 - 9:01DENLawson 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)37
29
Q2 - 9:16DALButler 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)35
29
Q2 - 9:22DENMarion STEAL (1 STL)35
27
Q2 - 9:25DALJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)35
27
Q2 - 9:43DENAnthony 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)35
27
Q2 - 10:04DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
27
Q2 - 10:05DALMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 232
27
Q2 - 10:05DALJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
27
Q2 - 10:05DENEly S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
26
Q2 - 10:12DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)32
26
Q2 - 10:27DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
26
Q2 - 10:28DALMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot29
26
Q2 - 10:39DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
26
Q2 - 10:40DENMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
26
Q2 - 10:52DALButler 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)29
26
Q2 - 10:53DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
24
Q2 - 10:55DALMISS Barea 2' Driving Layup29
24
Q2 - 10:58DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
24
Q2 - 11:01DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 11:08DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
24
Q2 - 11:10DALMISS Butler 2' Reverse Layup29
24
Q2 - 11:20DENHarrington L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)29
24
Q2 - 11:20DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
24
Q2 - 11:20DALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 11:38DENHarrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)29
24
Q2 - 11:43DENNuggets Rebound26
24
Q2 - 11:43DENMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)26
24
Q2 - 12:0026
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL26
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Billups 15' Floating Jump Shot26
24
Q1 - 0:23.0DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)26
24
Q1 - 0:28.0DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
22
Q1 - 0:30.0DENMISS Smith 7' Jump Bank Shot26
22
Q1 - 0:41.0DENEly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
22
Q1 - 0:42.0DALMISS Barea 23' Jump Shot26
22
Q1 - 0:56.0DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
22
Q1 - 0:57.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 126
22
Q1 - 0:57.0DALJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)26
22
Q1 - 0:57.0DENSmith 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
22
Q1 - 1:03DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
22
Q1 - 1:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot24
22
Q1 - 1:17DENEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
22
Q1 - 1:17DENNuggets Rebound23
22
Q1 - 1:17DENMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 223
22
Q1 - 1:17DALSUB: Jones FOR Terry23
22
Q1 - 1:17DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
22
Q1 - 1:17DALHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
22
Q1 - 1:25DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22
Q1 - 1:28DALMISS Terry 9' Floating Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 1:56DENHarrington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)23
22
Q1 - 2:08DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22
Q1 - 2:11DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Bank Shot20
22
Q1 - 2:30DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 2:41DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22
Q1 - 2:42DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot18
22
Q1 - 2:56DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22
Q1 - 2:59DENMISS Smith 1' Reverse Layup18
22
Q1 - 3:10DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)18
22
Q1 - 3:30DENBillups 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)18
22
Q1 - 3:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
22
Q1 - 3:36DENSUB: Ely FOR Shel. Williams16
21
Q1 - 3:36DALSUB: Haywood FOR Chandler16
21
Q1 - 3:36DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd16
21
Q1 - 3:36DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
21
Q1 - 3:36DENShel. Williams S.FOUL (P2.PN)16
20
Q1 - 3:40DENChandler STEAL (1 STL)16
20
Q1 - 3:48DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)16
20
Q1 - 3:57DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20
Q1 - 3:57DENMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 4:16DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:16DALSUB: Marion FOR Butler16
19
Q1 - 4:16DENSUB: Smith FOR Afflalo16
19
Q1 - 4:16DENSUB: Harrington FOR Forbes16
19
Q1 - 4:16DENAfflalo AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P1.T4)16
19
Q1 - 4:16DALTerry 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)16
19
Q1 - 4:30DENForbes 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)16
17
Q1 - 4:54DALTerry 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)13
17
Q1 - 4:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
15
Q1 - 5:00DENChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)13
15
Q1 - 5:14DALTerry 5' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)13
15
Q1 - 5:31DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
13
Q1 - 5:32DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Turnaround Jump Shot13
13
Q1 - 5:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
13
Q1 - 5:49DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 213
13
Q1 - 5:49DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 5:49DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
13
Q1 - 5:49DALTerry S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
13
Q1 - 6:04DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 6:16DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11
Q1 - 6:17DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot12
11
Q1 - 6:36DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)12
11
Q1 - 7:02DENForbes 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
8
Q1 - 7:21DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
8
Q1 - 7:21DENForbes S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
7
Q1 - 7:21DALTerry 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
7
Q1 - 7:32DENBillups 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)10
5
Q1 - 7:41DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5
Q1 - 7:42DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 7:56DENShel. Williams 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 8:13DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 8:14DALMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 8:29DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 8:29DENBillups T.FOUL (P0.T2)6
4
Q1 - 8:29DENNuggets Violation: Delay of game Violation6
4
Q1 - 8:29DENBillups Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)6
4
Q1 - 8:41DALButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)6
4
Q1 - 8:50DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 8:53DENMISS Afflalo 7' Running Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 9:05DENNuggets Rebound6
4
Q1 - 9:06DENMISS Billups 3' Driving Layup6
4
Q1 - 9:20DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:23DALMISS Butler 5' Floating Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 9:38DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:54DALTerry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:03DENShel. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
2
Q1 - 10:20DENShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:26DALChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)2
2
Q1 - 10:30DENKidd STEAL (1 STL)2
2
Q1 - 10:38DALChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:45DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:53DALChandler P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:58DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:19DENAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:44DENAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Kidd0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.8%
DAL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
30
53%
DAL
13
20
65%
Midrange
DEN
8
31
26%
DAL
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
13
19.5
21
62%
93%
DAL
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
Free Throws
DEN
16
21
76%
DAL
20
26
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2768%13.5 / 20
C. Billups1850%9.0 / 18
A. Harrington1447%7.0 / 15
J. Smith1150%5.5 / 11
T. Lawson1042%5.0 / 12
S. Williams880%4.0 / 5
G. Forbes8100%4.0 / 4
M. Ely563%2.5 / 4
A. Afflalo233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2672%13.0 / 18
D. Nowitzki2364%11.5 / 18
C. Butler1334%6.5 / 19
S. Marion1260%6.0 / 10
J. Kidd857%4.0 / 7
T. Chandler350%1.5 / 3
D. Jones375%1.5 / 2
J. Barea220%1.0 / 5
I. Mahinmi2100%1.0 / 1
B. Haywood0-0.0 / 2
D. Stevenson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
80
+12
-12
92
DAL
72
+15
-21
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.8%
DAL
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
109.5
DEN 112.0 +13.0
DAL 98.9
Pace
95.2
91.5
DEN 93.0 +0.9
DAL 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.9
DEN 15.5 −0.2
DAL 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
52.5%
DEN 53.0% +5.6%
DAL 47.4%
TO %
14.5%
14.7%
DEN 11.6% −7.8%
DAL 19.4%
ORB %
23.8%
24.1%
DEN 20.5%
DAL 27.5% +7.0%
FTrt
36.7
28.6
DEN 25.6
DAL 34.2 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
63.7%
DEN 56.8% +21.5%
DAL 35.3%
STL %
7.7%
7.4%
DEN 17.4% +9.9%
DAL 7.5%
BLK %
6.8%
6.8%
DEN 3.3%
DAL 8.2% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
54.9%
DEN 54.8% +2.5%
DAL 52.3%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.5%
DEN 53.3%
DAL 65.0% +11.7%
Mid FG%
40.0%
44.0%
DEN 25.8%
DAL 41.5% +15.7%
3P %
38.8%
36.5%
DEN 61.9% +35.2%
DAL 26.7%
FT %
76.6%
77.7%
DEN 76.2%
DAL 76.9% +0.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
29.9%
DEN 36.6% +10.3%
DAL 26.3%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
42.8%
DEN 37.8% −16.1%
DAL 53.9%
3P Att. %
25.8%
27.4%
DEN 25.6% +5.9%
DAL 19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points10392
Rebounds3846
Assists2112
Steals167
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)35 (1)
Field Goals37-8234-76
At-the-Rim FG16-3013-20
Midrange FG8-3117-41
2-Point FG24-6130-61
3-Point FG13-214-15
Free Throws16-2120-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
37.8
27
68%
5
4
4
0
2
3
0
5
5-6
83%
5-13
38%
4-4
100%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
34.2
18
50%
2
1
2
1
3
2
0
2
5-6
83%
2-11
18%
3-4
75%
C · 6'9" 250 · 27
21.7
8
80%
6
0
0
0
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
19.9
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
12.1
8
100%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
33.8
14
47%
8
4
1
0
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
33.6
11
50%
6
5
5
0
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
3-9
33%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
25.0
10
42%
1
5
3
0
2
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
22.0
5
63%
7
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
38
21
16
2
12
0
9
29
16-21
76%
24-61
39%
13-21
62%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.