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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 7, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics51%9692
10Thunder49%9583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.3
40.2
36.1
19
59%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
3-7
43%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 24.7
36.2
37.5
10
56%
5
10
3
2
0
4
2
3
0-2
0%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.5
32.2
32.9
8
37%
8
2
3
1
1
3
0
8
2-2
100%
3-10
6-13
30%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.1
32.0
35.9
17
51%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
21.5
18.2
5
37%
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
7
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 24.8
28.3
29.7
8
57%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 29.8
19.3
16.4
7
64%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
13.9
8.9
9
73%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.4
13.6
11.9
9
64%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.3
2.8
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 38.7
10.5
0
2-4
56%
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.8
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 19.9
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.1
43.5
41.0
34
63%
6
3
2
1
0
4
0
6
10-11
91%
9-19
8-16
47%
48%
2-3
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.0
43.4
35.2
16
44%
4
10
4
1
2
8
2
2
4-5
80%
6-14
6-13
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.3
41.4
21.7
13
52%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.1
36.8
25.0
8
36%
11
0
1
0
0
0
2
9
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
23.1
22.0
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.2
19.9
22.4
6
150%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
2-2
100%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.0
13.8
7.2
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.4
12.9
13.6
6
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
5.3
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
37%
0-2
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 33.2
13.7
0
1-2
42%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
3.5
0
1-1
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 28.9
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.0
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.2
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.