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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 8, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs57%9795
21Bobcats43%9591
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.5
36.4
34.9
12
39%
4
8
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
6-15
7-14
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.5
33.9
32.4
14
48%
10
3
1
1
2
4
4
6
4-6
67%
5-12
6-12
42%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.3
33.7
33.3
26
71%
5
3
2
2
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
5-11
45%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.4
32.8
32.7
6
30%
7
4
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-2
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.5
21.5
20.8
4
33%
7
2
1
1
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.2
21.8
26.8
7
81%
5
0
0
1
4
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.5
20.8
18.7
0
0%
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.1
14.4
13.3
15
94%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
5-7
71%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.6
14.1
19.9
6
38%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 25.9
10.6
11.2
5
64%
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
0.1
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.6
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.0
37.0
31.8
7
23%
6
6
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
2-6
25%
41%
1-7
14%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
36.5
35.7
15
64%
6
5
1
1
1
1
2
4
4-6
67%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.3
32.2
38.4
7
29%
3
0
2
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
50%
1-3
33%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.6
27.3
38.7
15
51%
5
1
0
1
0
6
0
5
4-4
100%
1-8
5-11
13%
45%
3-5
60%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
17.0
16.4
7
51%
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
22.5
18.3
16
55%
8
0
2
1
3
2
5
3
6-8
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.9
20.9
11.0
8
51%
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.2
17.2
15.4
6
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 28.8
14.9
10.2
4
100%
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.2
10.9
17.5
6
60%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.6
3.5
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.7
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.