FinalWin Prob.pScore
1326%94
89
374%103
93
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
100.08983.0
ORL logo ORL
101.19299.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL89
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Horford 1' Layup89
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS)89
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
2.5%
91
97.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 187
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ATLJohnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)87
7.4%
89
92.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)84
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 284
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0ATLMISS Smith 3' Layup84
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)84
6.1%
88
93.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup84
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 1:12ORLCarter 3' Driving Layup (16 PTS)84
8.1%
88
91.9%
Q4 - 1:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)84
14.9%
86
85.1%
Q4 - 1:34ATLMISS Crawford 18' Jump Shot84
17.4%
86
82.6%
Q4 - 1:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)84
24.1%
86
75.9%
Q4 - 1:50ORLMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot84
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 2:09ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)84
15.3%
86
84.7%
Q4 - 2:23ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
11.8%
86
88.2%
Q4 - 2:26ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Bank Shot82
9.7%
86
90.3%
Q4 - 2:38ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 2:39ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot82
7.5%
86
92.5%
Q4 - 2:55ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
12.5%
86
87.5%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot82
10.6%
86
89.4%
Q4 - 3:06ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 3:13ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 3:34ORLLewis 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)82
14.3%
86
85.7%
Q4 - 3:54ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
18.7%
84
81.3%
Q4 - 3:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q4 - 3:57ATLMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot82
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q4 - 3:59ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q4 - 4:15ORLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)82
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q4 - 4:36ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)82
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q4 - 4:48ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T10)82
53.2%
81
46.8%
Q4 - 5:13ATLHorford 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)82
40.8%
81
59.2%
Q4 - 5:37ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
33.5%
81
66.5%
Q4 - 5:50ATLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
40.9%
79
59.1%
Q4 - 6:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
32.5%
79
67.5%
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Howard 3' Finger Roll Layup78
30.3%
79
69.7%
Q4 - 6:27ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)78
25.7%
79
74.3%
Q4 - 6:52ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
32.5%
79
67.5%
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot78
30.4%
79
69.6%
Q4 - 7:10ATLPowell 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
25.4%
79
74.6%
Q4 - 7:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
20.9%
79
79.1%
Q4 - 7:26ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot76
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 7:35ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 7:41ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 7:43ORLMISS Redick 28' 3PT Jump Shot76
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 7:46ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)76
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 7:48ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q4 - 7:57ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
16.3%
79
83.7%
Q4 - 7:59ATLMISS Teague 6' Floating Jump Shot76
17.6%
79
82.4%
Q4 - 8:06ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
21.1%
79
78.9%
Q4 - 8:09ORLMISS Gortat 5' Hook Shot76
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q4 - 8:18ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
17.2%
79
82.8%
Q4 - 8:20ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper76
18.3%
79
81.7%
Q4 - 8:40ORLRedick 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)76
21.1%
79
78.9%
Q4 - 8:55ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q4 - 9:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q4 - 9:17ATLMISS Crawford 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
18.9%
77
81.1%
Q4 - 9:42ORLGortat 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)74
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 9:55ATLPowell Foul Turnover (P2.T15)74
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q4 - 10:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
30.4%
75
69.6%
Q4 - 10:05ORLMISS Gortat 4' Hook Shot74
29.0%
75
71.0%
Q4 - 10:11ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
25.8%
75
74.2%
Q4 - 10:13ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q4 - 10:22ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
30.4%
75
69.6%
Q4 - 10:23ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q4 - 10:50ORLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)74
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q4 - 11:11ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)74
34.8%
73
65.2%
Q4 - 11:11ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
33.6%
73
66.4%
Q4 - 11:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)72
30.1%
73
69.9%
Q4 - 11:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 272
31.7%
72
68.3%
Q4 - 11:38ATLPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
30.1%
72
69.9%
Q4 - 11:38ATLPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)71
29.2%
72
70.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL70
25.7%
72
74.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound70
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Howard 76' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw 3 of 370
22.6%
72
77.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)70
25.4%
72
74.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)69
24.9%
72
75.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Redick 5' Running Jump Shot68
17.7%
72
82.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
15.9%
72
84.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Crawford 6' Running Jump Shot68
16.6%
72
83.4%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 1:00ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 168
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 1:07ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
22.1%
70
77.9%
Q3 - 1:08ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot68
23.0%
70
77.0%
Q3 - 1:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
25.3%
70
74.7%
Q3 - 1:25ORLMISS Bass 17' Jump Shot68
24.3%
70
75.7%
Q3 - 1:40ATLHorford 8' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)68
22.1%
70
77.9%
Q3 - 1:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
18.6%
70
81.4%
Q3 - 1:52ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 166
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q3 - 2:08ATLSmith 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
21.7%
68
78.3%
Q3 - 2:17ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
18.6%
68
81.4%
Q3 - 2:17ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 2:38ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)64
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 3:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)62
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 3:21ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)62
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 3:30ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 3:33ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot60
15.3%
65
84.7%
Q3 - 3:47ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)60
13.7%
65
86.3%
Q3 - 4:14ORLDuhon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)60
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q3 - 4:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 4:27ATLMISS Collins 17' Jump Shot60
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 4:52ORLHoward 4' Hook Bank Shot (19 PTS)60
24.8%
62
75.2%
Q3 - 5:10ATLCollins 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)60
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q3 - 5:20ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 5:36ATLJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 6:01ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 6:03ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 6:09ATLLewis STEAL (2 STL)56
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q3 - 6:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 6:23ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 6:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)56
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q3 - 6:45ATLMISS Horford 17' Jump Shot56
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 6:53ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 6:55ORLMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot56
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 6:58ORLMAGIC Rebound56
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q3 - 6:58ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot56
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 7:15ORLCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 7:16ATLMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot56
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 7:29ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)56
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 7:30ORLHoward 10' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)55
16.3%
60
83.7%
Q3 - 7:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 7:51ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot55
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q3 - 7:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
21.0%
58
79.0%
Q3 - 7:58ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot55
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q3 - 8:20ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)55
21.0%
58
79.0%
Q3 - 8:20ORLMISS Duhon Free Throw 1 of 255
21.4%
57
78.6%
Q3 - 8:23ATLHorford 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)55
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q3 - 8:46ORLAnderson 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 4 AST)53
18.6%
57
81.4%
Q3 - 8:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q3 - 8:58ATLMISS Smith 4' Layup53
21.6%
55
78.4%
Q3 - 9:13ORLDuhon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)53
23.2%
55
76.8%
Q3 - 9:17ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q3 - 9:19ATLMISS Horford 6' Hook Shot53
21.4%
55
78.6%
Q3 - 9:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q3 - 9:36ORLMISS Anderson 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q3 - 9:52ATLJohnson 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q3 - 9:59ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
18.4%
55
81.6%
Q3 - 10:00ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
17.7%
55
82.3%
Q3 - 10:15ATLSmith 3' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Horford 5 AST)51
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 10:40ORLCarter 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)49
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q3 - 10:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q3 - 10:50ATLMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot49
16.8%
53
83.2%
Q3 - 11:18ORLCarter 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
18.3%
53
81.7%
Q3 - 11:29ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
20.3%
51
79.7%
Q3 - 11:29ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q3 - 11:43ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
18.3%
51
81.7%
Q3 - 11:46ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot47
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL47
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound47
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Duhon 49' 3PT Jump Shot47
17.7%
51
82.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLThomas 4' Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)47
16.8%
51
83.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0ORLBass 2' Putback Slam Dunk (6 PTS)45
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0ORLMISS Gortat 2' Layup45
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0ORLMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
13.3%
49
86.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot43
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 1:18ORLBass 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 1:38ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q2 - 1:39ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 143
17.0%
47
83.0%
Q2 - 1:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
14.6%
47
85.4%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS Gortat 14' Jump Shot41
14.2%
47
85.8%
Q2 - 2:03ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)41
13.3%
47
86.7%
Q2 - 2:23ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q2 - 2:24ORLMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 138
10.5%
47
89.5%
Q2 - 2:37ATLThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)38
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q2 - 2:53ORLCarter 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)38
13.3%
45
86.7%
Q2 - 3:06ATLCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
14.7%
43
85.3%
Q2 - 3:06ATLCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 3:06ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 3:09ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
11.8%
43
88.2%
Q2 - 3:11ATLMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot36
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 3:13ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 3:16ATLMISS Thomas 4' Layup36
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 3:18ATLThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 3:20ATLMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot36
12.3%
43
87.7%
Q2 - 3:34ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)36
13.5%
43
86.5%
Q2 - 3:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)36
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 3:43ATLHoward STEAL (1 STL)36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 4:07ORLBass 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)36
16.4%
41
83.6%
Q2 - 4:14ATLWilliams STEAL (2 STL)36
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 4:37ORLWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)36
20.0%
39
80.0%
Q2 - 4:44ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
24.0%
36
76.0%
Q2 - 4:45ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot36
24.7%
36
75.3%
Q2 - 5:13ORLHoward 3' Slam Dunk (13 PTS)36
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 5:19ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 5:21ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)36
28.5%
34
71.5%
Q2 - 5:21ORLMISS Richardson 3' Tip Shot36
30.2%
34
69.8%
Q2 - 5:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 236
30.6%
34
69.4%
Q2 - 5:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
29.4%
34
70.6%
Q2 - 5:26ATLCarter STEAL (2 STL)36
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 5:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
33.6%
33
66.4%
Q2 - 5:42ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot36
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 5:54ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
31.0%
33
69.0%
Q2 - 5:56ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
32.8%
33
67.2%
Q2 - 6:12ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T8)36
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 6:14ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 6:15ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
32.5%
33
67.5%
Q2 - 6:32ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 6:45ORLRichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 6:46ATLRichardson STEAL (1 STL)34
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 6:58ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
28.5%
33
71.5%
Q2 - 6:59ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
27.7%
33
72.3%
Q2 - 7:14ATLCrawford 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)34
25.6%
33
74.4%
Q2 - 7:29ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q2 - 7:29ORLRichardson 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)32
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q2 - 7:34ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot32
27.2%
31
72.8%
Q2 - 7:47ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)32
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 7:56ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
23.7%
31
76.3%
Q2 - 7:59ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
23.0%
31
77.0%
Q2 - 8:20ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)30
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 8:38ORLRedick 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS)27
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 8:44ORLMAGIC Rebound27
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q2 - 8:45ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 8:55ATLCrawford 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q2 - 9:00ORLRedick Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)25
18.2%
29
81.8%
Q2 - 9:09ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 9:11ATLHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)25
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 9:20ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
18.1%
29
81.9%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMISS Williams 1' Layup25
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 9:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
16.6%
29
83.4%
Q2 - 9:34ATLMISS Teague 20' Jump Shot25
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 10:01ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)25
18.3%
29
81.7%
Q2 - 10:13ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.7%
27
80.3%
Q2 - 10:15ATLMISS Collins 20' Jump Shot25
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q2 - 10:29ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)25
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 10:39ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q2 - 10:41ATLMISS Powell 20' Jump Shot25
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q2 - 10:56ORLRedick 5' Driving Layup (3 PTS)25
25.2%
25
74.8%
Q2 - 11:09ATLCrawford 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
26.9%
23
73.1%
Q2 - 11:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q2 - 11:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMAGIC Rebound23
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q2 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard 4' Hook Shot23
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL23
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot23
27.2%
21
72.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Redick Free Throw 2 of 223
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLGortat STEAL (1 STL)23
28.7%
20
71.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0ORLMISS Redick 4' Jump Shot23
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)23
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 1:15ORLGortat 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)23
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 1:21ATLMISS Crawford Free Throw Technical23
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 1:25ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 1:26ATLMISS Crawford 15' Jump Shot23
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 1:46ORLCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)23
34.1%
18
65.9%
Q1 - 1:56ATLLewis STEAL (1 STL)23
39.0%
15
61.0%
Q1 - 2:12ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 2:12ORLGortat 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 2:14ORLMISS Duhon 6' Floating Jump Shot23
44.5%
13
55.5%
Q1 - 2:25ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 2:43ATLHawks Rebound23
45.1%
13
54.9%
Q1 - 2:45ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot23
44.5%
13
55.5%
Q1 - 3:02ORLMAGIC Rebound23
42.2%
13
57.8%
Q1 - 3:03ATLMISS Crawford 17' Jump Shot23
42.9%
13
57.1%
Q1 - 3:21ORLCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)23
44.6%
13
55.4%
Q1 - 3:36ATLPowell 3' Layup (2 PTS)23
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 3:38ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 3:40ATLLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)21
45.2%
10
54.8%
Q1 - 3:59ORLGortat 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
46.9%
10
53.1%
Q1 - 4:01ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
47.5%
8
52.5%
Q1 - 4:02ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
49.2%
8
50.8%
Q1 - 4:11ATLCarter STEAL (1 STL)21
47.5%
8
52.5%
Q1 - 4:12ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
49.9%
8
50.1%
Q1 - 4:13ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
48.3%
8
51.7%
Q1 - 4:24ORLCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
50.0%
8
50.0%
Q1 - 4:42ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)21
47.6%
8
52.4%
Q1 - 4:58ORLLewis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 5:14ORLBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
46.4%
6
53.6%
Q1 - 5:16ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
47.2%
6
52.8%
Q1 - 5:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 5:33ORLMISS Bass 6' Jump Shot19
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 5:52ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)19
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 5:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 5:57ORLMISS Carter 9' Fadeaway Jumper19
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMAGIC Rebound19
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 6:16ORLMISS Bass 10' Jump Shot19
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 6:36ATLBibby 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)19
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 6:53ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T3)17
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 7:01ATLCollins 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)17
40.3%
6
59.7%
Q1 - 7:11ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 7:13ORLMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot15
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 7:26ATLHorford 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)15
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 7:40ORLAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
34.8%
6
65.2%
Q1 - 8:00ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)13
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 8:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:08ORLMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot11
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 8:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot11
29.5%
6
70.5%
Q1 - 8:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot11
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 8:43ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)11
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 9:02ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 9:02ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
27.3%
5
72.7%
Q1 - 9:03ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:05ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot9
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 9:20ATLCollins 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:36ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
27.1%
4
72.9%
Q1 - 9:48ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)7
25.6%
4
74.4%
Q1 - 9:57ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 9:59ORLMISS Howard 12' Jump Bank Shot4
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 10:18ATLBibby 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:36ORLHoward 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)2
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 10:55ATLSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 11:20ORLHoward 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:36ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Hook Shot0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Smith: Tip to Horford0
22.2%
0
77.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.0%
ORL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
9
18
50%
ORL
21
33
64%
Midrange
ATL
23
45
51%
ORL
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
ORL
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
Free Throws
ATL
13
16
81%
ORL
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2372%11.5 / 16
A. Horford1662%8.0 / 13
J. Crawford1450%7.0 / 14
J. Smith1343%6.5 / 15
M. Bibby758%3.5 / 6
J. Collins650%3.0 / 6
J. Powell660%3.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia2100%1.0 / 1
E. Thomas233%1.0 / 3
J. Teague0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2756%13.5 / 24
V. Carter1973%9.5 / 13
J. Redick1139%5.5 / 14
J. Williams880%4.0 / 5
M. Gortat850%4.0 / 8
B. Bass638%3.0 / 8
R. Lewis429%2.0 / 7
C. Duhon450%2.0 / 4
R. Anderson433%2.0 / 6
Q. Richardson217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
74
+9
-15
83
ORL
82
+17
-10
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.0%
ORL
0.94 47.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
108.1
ATL 100.0
ORL 101.1 +1.1
Pace
89.5
91.2
ATL 83.0
ORL 99.2 +16.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
15.6
ATL 17.4
ORL 14.5 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.1%
ATL 50.0% +4.7%
ORL 45.3%
TO %
14.2%
15.7%
ATL 17.0%
ORL 9.4% +7.6%
ORB %
23.5%
26.1%
ATL 22.0%
ORL 22.9% +0.9%
FTrt
26.9
32.8
ATL 21.1
ORL 27.9 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
55.3%
ATL 50.0% +6.8%
ORL 43.2%
STL %
6.8%
7.3%
ATL 6.7%
ORL 9.8% +3.1%
BLK %
6.6%
7.5%
ATL 4.7% +1.5%
ORL 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.8%
ATL 53.0% +6.0%
ORL 47.0%
Rim FG%
60.0%
61.7%
ATL 50.0%
ORL 63.6% +13.6%
Mid FG%
42.5%
40.4%
ATL 51.1% +12.4%
ORL 38.7%
3P %
35.2%
36.6%
ATL 30.8% +12.6%
ORL 18.2%
FT %
78.0%
69.2%
ATL 81.3% +18.8%
ORL 62.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
32.6%
ATL 23.7%
ORL 38.4% +14.7%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
34.5%
ATL 59.2%
ORL 36.0% +23.2%
3P Att. %
22.2%
32.8%
ATL 17.1%
ORL 25.6% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes25.822.3
Points8993
Rebounds4643
Assists1816
Steals69
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (0)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)32 (1)
Field Goals36-7637-86
At-the-Rim FG9-1821-33
Midrange FG23-4512-31
2-Point FG32-6333-64
3-Point FG4-134-22
Free Throws13-1615-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
41.6
23
72%
5
4
0
0
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
7-11
64%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 25
34.6
13
43%
13
6
1
1
3
3
2
11
0-1
0%
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 32
31.4
7
58%
5
2
0
0
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 245 · 24
28.1
16
62%
5
5
2
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
8-13
62%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
22.0
6
50%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 31
33.3
14
50%
2
1
2
1
2
4
1
1
6-8
75%
4-8
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 27
15.6
2
100%
7
0
0
0
2
4
1
6
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
14.3
6
60%
4
0
1
0
2
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 189 · 22
13.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 33
5.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 24
· 6'4" 195 · 22
#19 · F-G · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
53%
46
18
6
3
15
0
9
37
13-16
81%
32-63
51%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.