FinalWin Prob.pScore
952%104
113
2248%103
144
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
115.398101.3
IND logo IND
145.59995.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND113
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)113
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDHansbrough 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)110
0%
144
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS)110
0%
142
100%
Q4 - 1:07INDHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)108
0%
142
100%
Q4 - 1:07INDHansbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)108
0%
141
100%
Q4 - 1:18DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)108
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 1:27INDCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)106
0%
140
100%
Q4 - 1:40DENAfflalo 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)106
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 1:58DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)104
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 1:59INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 2:07INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 2:08DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot104
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 2:17INDHansbrough 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (George 3 AST)104
0%
137
100%
Q4 - 2:39DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 2:39DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 2:45DENNuggets Rebound102
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 2:46DENMISS Balkman 3' Layup102
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 3:05INDHansbrough 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)102
0.1%
135
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)102
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26DENEly 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)102
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DENMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot100
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 3:41INDHansbrough 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)100
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56DENMISS Smith 4' Layup100
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hansbrough 3 AST)100
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28INDMISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38DENLawson 4' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50INDRush Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)98
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09DENAfflalo 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)98
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DENNuggets Rebound96
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22INDMISS Rush 13' Jump Shot96
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)96
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31DENMISS Smith 1' Layup96
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)96
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09INDMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37DENLawson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)96
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)93
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS George Free Throw 1 of 293
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)93
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56DENMISS Smith 1' Layup93
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14INDCollison 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (George 2 AST)93
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39DENAfflalo 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)93
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Balkman 1 AST)91
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17INDJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)88
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30DENSmith 1' Layup (8 PTS)88
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:39INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40DENMISS Balkman 16' Jump Shot86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49INDJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05DENLawson Driving Layup (10 PTS)86
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22INDJones 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)84
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:33DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:34DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Layup84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:44DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS Jones 1' Layup84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:53INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 9:55DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13INDRush Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13INDRush Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)84
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 10:31DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 10:38INDHansbrough 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)82
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 10:46DENSmith 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55DENBalkman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56INDMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot80
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)79
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 11:29INDJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Granger 5 AST)78
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)78
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)77
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN76
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound76
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 50' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)74
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)74
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01DENMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot74
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q3 - 1:16INDHansbrough 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)74
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q3 - 1:22INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 1:23DENMISS Lawson 2' Tip Shot74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 1:25DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 1:26DENMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 1:31DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 1:32DENHansbrough BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 1:53INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Hansbrough 2 AST)74
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q3 - 2:14DENLawson 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)74
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q3 - 2:28INDDunleavy Free Throw 3 of 3 (26 PTS)72
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q3 - 2:28INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (25 PTS)72
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q3 - 2:28INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (24 PTS)72
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q3 - 2:37DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q3 - 2:49INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)70
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q3 - 3:11INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot70
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q3 - 3:35INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)70
1.0%
97
99.0%
Q3 - 3:54INDMISS McRoberts Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 270
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q3 - 3:54INDMISS McRoberts Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 270
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 4:00INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q3 - 4:01DENMISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 4:19DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q3 - 4:19INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 3 of 370
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q3 - 4:19INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (17 PTS)70
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q3 - 4:19INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (16 PTS)70
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 4:39DENForbes 2' Layup (16 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)70
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q3 - 4:42DENNuggets Rebound68
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q3 - 4:42DENMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)68
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q3 - 4:46INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q3 - 4:56DENForbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)68
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q3 - 5:12INDGranger 2' Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)65
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q3 - 5:38DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q3 - 5:38DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q3 - 5:50INDCollison 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Granger 4 AST)63
1.3%
90
98.7%
Q3 - 5:56DENHibbert STEAL (2 STL)63
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q3 - 6:07INDHibbert 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)63
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q3 - 6:24INDCollison Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)63
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 6:24DENAfflalo 1' Layup (4 PTS)63
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 6:27DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 6:30DENMISS Forbes 3' Layup61
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 6:40INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Collison 6 AST)61
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 6:47DENCollison STEAL (1 STL)61
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q3 - 7:01INDCollison 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)61
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q3 - 7:20INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 7:21DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot61
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 7:40INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)61
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q3 - 7:54INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
9.6%
76
90.4%
Q3 - 7:54DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 7:58DENNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 8:00DENHibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)61
10.0%
76
90.0%
Q3 - 8:06DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q3 - 8:07DENMISS Shel. Williams 15' Jump Shot61
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 8:26INDGranger 2' Layup (14 PTS)61
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q3 - 8:48DENAnthony 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)61
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q3 - 9:05INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)59
12.1%
74
87.9%
Q3 - 9:20INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
13.8%
72
86.2%
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot59
14.3%
72
85.7%
Q3 - 9:34INDHibbert 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collison 5 AST)59
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q3 - 9:44DENAnthony 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)59
17.6%
70
82.4%
Q3 - 9:48DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
15.6%
70
84.4%
Q3 - 9:49DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot57
14.3%
70
85.7%
Q3 - 10:04INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)57
16.6%
70
83.4%
Q3 - 10:12DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 10:12DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
18.3%
68
81.7%
Q3 - 10:21INDCollison 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)55
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q3 - 10:40DENBillups 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)55
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 10:51INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 4 AST)53
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 11:09DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)53
21.6%
63
78.4%
Q3 - 11:21INDHibbert 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 11:35DENNene 2' Layup (13 PTS)51
21.6%
61
78.4%
Q3 - 11:50INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)49
19.5%
61
80.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND49
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
21.6%
59
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot49
22.3%
59
77.7%
Q2 - 0:17.0DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
24.8%
59
75.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0INDMISS Hansbrough 18' Jump Shot49
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0DENShel. Williams 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)49
22.9%
59
77.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0INDCollison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)47
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)47
18.5%
59
81.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDMISS Rush 3PT Jump Shot47
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q2 - 1:16DENBillups Layup (5 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)47
19.3%
59
80.7%
Q2 - 1:19DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q2 - 1:20INDMISS McRoberts 1' Layup45
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q2 - 1:45DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q2 - 1:45DENMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 244
15.2%
59
84.8%
Q2 - 2:05INDHansbrough 3' Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)44
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q2 - 2:27INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
17.6%
57
82.4%
Q2 - 2:28DENMISS Anthony 21' Jump Shot44
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q2 - 2:45INDCollison 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)44
19.5%
57
80.5%
Q2 - 3:08INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
22.2%
55
77.8%
Q2 - 3:09DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot44
23.0%
55
77.0%
Q2 - 3:24INDHansbrough 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)44
24.8%
55
75.2%
Q2 - 3:36DENAnthony 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)44
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q2 - 3:51INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 3:51INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
25.1%
52
74.9%
Q2 - 3:51INDPACERS Rebound42
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q2 - 3:52INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot42
28.8%
51
71.2%
Q2 - 4:02DENHibbert STEAL (1 STL)42
27.4%
51
72.6%
Q2 - 4:11INDHansbrough 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)42
30.1%
51
69.9%
Q2 - 4:22DENGranger STEAL (2 STL)42
32.4%
49
67.6%
Q2 - 4:47INDHibbert 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)42
35.4%
49
64.6%
Q2 - 5:08DENBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)42
38.7%
47
61.3%
Q2 - 5:21INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q2 - 5:21INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
33.7%
46
66.3%
Q2 - 5:21INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)39
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 5:22INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot39
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 5:45DENNene 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)39
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 5:58INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
33.1%
45
66.9%
Q2 - 5:58INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 237
33.7%
44
66.3%
Q2 - 5:59INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)37
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 6:01INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot37
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 6:06INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
33.5%
44
66.5%
Q2 - 6:08INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
33.5%
44
66.5%
Q2 - 6:08INDMISS Hibbert 3' Tip Shot37
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 6:09INDMISS Hansbrough 11' Jump Shot37
35.6%
44
64.4%
Q2 - 6:23INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
33.5%
44
66.5%
Q2 - 6:24DENMISS Lawson 17' Jump Shot37
34.4%
44
65.6%
Q2 - 6:33INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
36.5%
44
63.5%
Q2 - 6:52DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Forbes 2 AST)37
33.5%
44
66.5%
Q2 - 6:54DENForbes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
29.0%
44
71.0%
Q2 - 6:56DENHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)34
27.1%
44
72.9%
Q2 - 7:02DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
29.6%
44
70.4%
Q2 - 7:03INDMISS Hibbert 4' Jump Shot34
28.9%
44
71.1%
Q2 - 7:23DENForbes 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)34
27.2%
44
72.8%
Q2 - 7:45INDDunleavy Layup (5 PTS)32
25.1%
44
74.9%
Q2 - 7:51INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
27.1%
42
72.9%
Q2 - 7:52DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup32
27.8%
42
72.2%
Q2 - 8:06INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)32
30.4%
42
69.6%
Q2 - 8:29DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
34.9%
39
65.1%
Q2 - 8:29DENForbes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
34.3%
39
65.7%
Q2 - 8:38DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 8:39INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot30
31.9%
39
68.1%
Q2 - 8:45INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
30.2%
39
69.8%
Q2 - 8:46DENForbes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
32.6%
39
67.4%
Q2 - 8:46DENMISS Forbes 2' Tip Shot30
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Forbes 10' Jump Shot30
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q2 - 9:07INDFord 3' Layup (2 PTS)30
33.1%
39
66.9%
Q2 - 9:11INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
35.4%
37
64.6%
Q2 - 9:12DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup30
36.1%
37
63.9%
Q2 - 9:27INDHibbert 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)30
37.9%
37
62.1%
Q2 - 9:40DENForbes Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)30
40.3%
35
59.7%
Q2 - 9:40DENMISS Forbes Free Throw 1 of 229
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 9:55INDRush 19' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 10:07INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 10:08DENMISS Lawson 18' Jump Shot29
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 10:13DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 10:14INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
44.7%
33
55.3%
Q2 - 10:23INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Forbes 3PT Jump Shot29
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 10:29INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)29
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 10:33DENLawson 1' Layup (2 PTS)29
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 10:39INDRush 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)27
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 10:53DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q2 - 10:53DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
42.2%
31
57.8%
Q2 - 11:04INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 11:04INDRush 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)25
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 11:05INDMISS Rush 17' Jump Shot25
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 11:23INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 11:24DENMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot25
43.7%
29
56.3%
Q2 - 11:39INDMcRoberts 2' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)25
45.5%
29
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND25
47.8%
27
52.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
48.2%
27
51.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
48.8%
27
51.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDCollison 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (George 1 AST)25
50.2%
27
49.8%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENGeorge STEAL (1 STL)25
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
57.4%
24
42.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0INDMISS Rush 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENForbes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)25
55.5%
24
44.5%
Q1 - 1:00INDHansbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
50.2%
24
49.8%
Q1 - 1:02INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 1:03INDMISS Hansbrough 19' Jump Shot22
49.8%
24
50.2%
Q1 - 1:11DENForbes Foul Turnover (P1.T5)22
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 1:23INDHibbert 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)22
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q1 - 1:42DENForbes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)22
53.3%
22
46.7%
Q1 - 2:02INDHibbert 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)19
48.4%
22
51.6%
Q1 - 2:22DENHarrington 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)19
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 2:43INDRush Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)16
46.0%
20
54.0%
Q1 - 2:50DENRush STEAL (1 STL)16
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 3:15INDCollison 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)16
51.0%
18
49.0%
Q1 - 3:24INDHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
53.2%
16
46.8%
Q1 - 3:25INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot16
54.8%
16
45.2%
Q1 - 3:39DENHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)16
53.2%
16
46.8%
Q1 - 3:39DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 215
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 3:47INDRush Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
53.3%
16
46.7%
Q1 - 4:06INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
50.8%
16
49.2%
Q1 - 4:07DENMISS Billups 2' Layup15
51.6%
16
48.4%
Q1 - 4:24INDCollison 2' Layup (8 PTS)15
53.3%
16
46.7%
Q1 - 4:25INDCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 4:26INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
56.9%
14
43.1%
Q1 - 4:42DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)15
55.3%
14
44.7%
Q1 - 4:42DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
54.7%
14
45.3%
Q1 - 4:49DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 4:50DENMISS Nene 2' Tip Shot13
51.6%
14
48.4%
Q1 - 4:51DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 4:52DENMISS Anthony 4' Layup13
51.6%
14
48.4%
Q1 - 5:00DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
53.3%
14
46.7%
Q1 - 5:03INDMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 5:11INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 5:12DENMISS Shel. Williams 10' Jump Shot13
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 5:21DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 5:22INDMISS Collison 2' Layup13
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 5:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 5:31DENHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)13
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 5:43DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 5:44INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
52.4%
14
47.6%
Q1 - 5:55DENAnthony 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 6:10INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)11
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 6:23DENNene 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)11
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 6:50INDCollison 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 6:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
46.7%
12
53.3%
Q1 - 6:56DENMISS Afflalo 3' Layup9
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 7:18INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)9
49.1%
12
50.9%
Q1 - 7:28DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
53.0%
9
47.0%
Q1 - 7:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.1%
9
50.9%
Q1 - 7:39INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
48.4%
9
51.6%
Q1 - 7:55DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 7:55DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 8:15INDMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:26DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 8:31DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 8:33INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
44.7%
9
55.3%
Q1 - 8:39INDMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.3%
9
56.7%
Q1 - 8:40DENMISS Anthony 6' Jump Shot4
43.9%
9
56.1%
Q1 - 9:01INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 9:07INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 9:08DENMISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot4
44.7%
9
55.3%
Q1 - 9:21DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 9:22INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
45.4%
9
54.6%
Q1 - 9:28DENShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 9:42INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)4
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 9:55DENShel. Williams 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
49.8%
6
50.2%
Q1 - 10:06DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.4%
6
51.6%
Q1 - 10:07INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot2
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 10:21DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)2
46.3%
6
53.7%
Q1 - 10:41INDCollison 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)0
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 10:50INDCollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 10:52DENMISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot0
46.9%
4
53.1%
Q1 - 11:08INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
48.6%
4
51.4%
Q1 - 11:11INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.4%
2
49.6%
Q1 - 11:15DENDunleavy BLOCK (1 BLK)0
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 11:34INDCollison 13' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
51.9%
2
48.1%
Q1 - 11:38DENGranger STEAL (1 STL)0
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball McRoberts vs. Nene: Tip to Afflalo0
55.2%
0
44.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 53.8%
IND
1.47 73.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
41
49%
IND
19
26
73%
Midrange
DEN
11
32
34%
IND
21
31
68%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
IND
16
24.0
30
53%
80%
Free Throws
DEN
27
30
90%
IND
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson1963%9.5 / 15
A. Afflalo1777%8.5 / 11
G. Forbes1673%8.0 / 11
C. Anthony1338%6.5 / 17
Nene1372%6.5 / 9
J. Smith1137%5.5 / 15
C. Billups964%4.5 / 7
A. Harrington956%4.5 / 8
S. Williams429%2.0 / 7
M. Ely250%1.0 / 2
R. Balkman0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy3197%15.5 / 16
D. Collison29104%14.5 / 14
T. Hansbrough2077%10.0 / 13
D. Granger1995%9.5 / 10
R. Hibbert1757%8.5 / 15
B. Rush1667%8.0 / 12
P. George440%2.0 / 5
S. Jones440%2.0 / 5
J. McRoberts225%1.0 / 4
T. Ford2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+16
-10
104
IND
85
+12
-14
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.08 53.8%
IND
1.47 73.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.7
105.1
DEN 115.3
IND 145.5 +30.1
Pace
95.2
94.5
DEN 101.3 +5.4
IND 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.9
DEN 14.2 +0.8
IND 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.6%
48.6%
DEN 47.8%
IND 73.6% +25.8%
TO %
14.5%
15.5%
DEN 8.8% +3.9%
IND 12.7%
ORB %
23.8%
25.9%
DEN 27.1%
IND 34.5% +7.4%
FTrt
36.7
30.0
DEN 33.3 +9.2
IND 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
53.6%
DEN 56.4%
IND 66.1% +9.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.5%
DEN 9.2% +2.1%
IND 7.1%
BLK %
6.8%
8.4%
DEN 7.0%
IND 9.6% +2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
52.0%
DEN 53.8%
IND 73.5% +19.7%
Rim FG%
58.5%
56.8%
DEN 48.8%
IND 73.1% +24.3%
Mid FG%
40.0%
39.2%
DEN 34.4%
IND 67.7% +33.3%
3P %
38.8%
35.4%
DEN 47.1%
IND 53.3% +6.2%
FT %
76.6%
78.2%
DEN 90.0% +13.8%
IND 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.5%
33.8%
DEN 45.6% +15.7%
IND 29.9%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
41.9%
DEN 35.6% +0.1%
IND 35.6%
3P Att. %
25.8%
24.4%
DEN 18.9%
IND 34.5% +15.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points113144
Rebounds3245
Assists2237
Steals97
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (1)35 (0)
Field Goals39-9056-87
At-the-Rim FG20-4119-26
Midrange FG11-3221-31
2-Point FG31-7340-57
3-Point FG8-1716-30
Free Throws27-3016-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
32.8
17
77%
3
4
2
2
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
28.1
13
38%
5
2
1
1
3
2
1
4
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 34
24.3
9
64%
0
3
2
0
3
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 28
18.6
13
72%
6
2
0
0
2
3
4
2
5-5
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
16.9
4
29%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 195 · 23
27.6
19
63%
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
22.8
11
37%
3
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-10
20%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
21.3
9
56%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'7" 220 · 26
20.8
16
73%
2
2
1
0
1
3
2
0
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 33
15.7
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 26
11.2
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 35
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'9" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
54%
32
22
9
4
10
0
13
19
27-30
90%
31-73
42%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.