FinalWin Prob.pScore
630%90
112
170%97
107
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
121.79291.1
MIA logo MIA
116.39292.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA112
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)112
99.5%
107
0.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (34 PTS)111
99.4%
107
0.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)110
97.6%
107
2.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)110
98.0%
106
2.0%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)110
98.8%
105
1.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup110
99.5%
105
0.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHEAT Rebound110
98.8%
105
1.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0BOSHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)110
99.2%
105
0.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)110
99.1%
105
0.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)110
99.5%
103
0.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0BOSMISS Pierce 21' Fadeaway Jumper110
99.6%
103
0.4%
Q4 - 1:02BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)110
98.9%
103
1.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot110
98.6%
103
1.4%
Q4 - 1:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)110
97.3%
103
2.7%
Q4 - 1:11BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup110
97.8%
103
2.2%
Q4 - 1:17BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)110
98.4%
103
1.6%
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup110
98.0%
103
2.0%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)110
95.7%
103
4.3%
Q4 - 1:37BOSMISS Rondo 10' Floating Jump Shot110
96.3%
103
3.7%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJames 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (35 PTS)110
96.9%
103
3.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)110
98.0%
101
2.0%
Q4 - 2:06BOSMISS Allen 20' Fadeaway Jumper110
98.4%
101
1.6%
Q4 - 2:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)110
99.0%
101
1.0%
Q4 - 2:51BOSAllen 3' Layup (33 PTS) (Rondo 16 AST)110
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)108
98.2%
99
1.8%
Q4 - 2:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)108
97.0%
99
3.0%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
97.9%
99
2.1%
Q4 - 3:14BOSPierce 15' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)108
97.1%
99
2.9%
Q4 - 3:32BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)106
91.8%
99
8.2%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
90.9%
99
9.1%
Q4 - 3:53BOSCeltics Turnover: Backcourt (T#12)106
89.0%
99
11.0%
Q4 - 3:55BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)106
92.5%
99
7.5%
Q4 - 3:56BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
90.2%
99
9.8%
Q4 - 4:12MIABosh 3' Layup (15 PTS)106
92.7%
99
7.3%
Q4 - 4:27BOSGarnett 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)106
94.8%
97
5.2%
Q4 - 4:44BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)106
96.6%
97
3.4%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2106
96.4%
97
3.6%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2106
95.4%
97
4.6%
Q4 - 4:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)106
94.9%
97
5.1%
Q4 - 4:51BOSMISS Rondo 10' Floating Jump Shot106
95.5%
97
4.5%
Q4 - 5:12MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 9 AST)106
94.2%
97
5.8%
Q4 - 5:26BOSGarnett 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)106
95.7%
95
4.3%
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)104
94.4%
95
5.6%
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)104
94.7%
94
5.3%
Q4 - 6:02BOSRondo 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)104
93.6%
93
6.4%
Q4 - 6:21MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (31 PTS)102
91.8%
93
8.2%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)102
93.7%
91
6.3%
Q4 - 6:29BOSMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
94.3%
91
5.7%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)102
95.4%
91
4.6%
Q4 - 6:54MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)102
95.7%
90
4.3%
Q4 - 7:04BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Rondo 15 AST)102
94.9%
89
5.1%
Q4 - 7:13BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)99
91.8%
89
8.2%
Q4 - 7:14BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
90.0%
89
10.0%
Q4 - 7:22MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T13)99
91.8%
89
8.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)99
89.2%
89
10.8%
Q4 - 7:24BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot99
90.1%
89
9.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T12)99
91.9%
89
8.1%
Q4 - 7:57BOSRobinson 12' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)99
89.4%
89
10.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 8 AST)97
83.7%
89
16.3%
Q4 - 8:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
87.1%
87
12.9%
Q4 - 8:36BOSMISS Daniels 4' Driving Jump Shot97
87.9%
87
12.1%
Q4 - 8:58MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)97
89.7%
87
10.3%
Q4 - 9:14BOSGarnett 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)97
92.0%
84
8.0%
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)95
90.0%
84
10.0%
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
90.4%
83
9.6%
Q4 - 9:44BOSRobinson 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)95
92.0%
82
8.0%
Q4 - 10:06MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 7 AST)93
88.3%
82
11.7%
Q4 - 10:26BOSRobinson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Erden 1 AST)93
90.5%
80
9.5%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)91
88.4%
80
11.6%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)91
88.9%
79
11.1%
Q4 - 10:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
90.5%
78
9.5%
Q4 - 10:54BOSMISS Erden Free Throw 2 of 291
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 10:54BOSErden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
91.9%
78
8.1%
Q4 - 11:03BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
88.9%
78
11.1%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
88.2%
78
11.8%
Q4 - 11:28BOSAllen 2' Finger Roll Layup (28 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)90
86.7%
78
13.3%
Q4 - 11:34BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
84.0%
78
16.0%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Wade 8' Running Jump Shot88
83.1%
78
16.9%
Q4 - 11:43MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
81.0%
78
19.0%
Q4 - 11:44BOSMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot88
82.0%
78
18.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS88
84.1%
78
15.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)88
82.0%
78
18.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)88
82.7%
77
17.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
85.1%
76
14.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)87
84.7%
76
15.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)86
82.2%
76
17.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)86
82.8%
75
17.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)86
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 6 AST)86
87.4%
74
12.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0BOSRondo Foul Turnover (P3.T9)86
89.7%
72
10.3%
Q3 - 1:13MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)86
90.1%
72
9.9%
Q3 - 1:28BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)86
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q3 - 1:48BOSCeltics Rebound84
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q3 - 2:05BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Rondo 14 AST)84
86.5%
70
13.5%
Q3 - 2:31MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)81
81.6%
70
18.4%
Q3 - 2:49BOSDavis 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)81
84.4%
68
15.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 4 AST)79
79.8%
68
20.2%
Q3 - 3:19BOSPierce 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)79
82.5%
66
17.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
79.9%
66
20.1%
Q3 - 3:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q3 - 3:54BOSMISS Allen 2' Reverse Layup77
83.4%
64
16.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)77
84.1%
64
15.9%
Q3 - 4:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
86.0%
62
14.0%
Q3 - 4:22BOSMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot77
86.7%
62
13.3%
Q3 - 4:40MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T11)77
88.3%
62
11.7%
Q3 - 4:51BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
86.0%
62
14.0%
Q3 - 4:51BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
85.7%
62
14.3%
Q3 - 5:02MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
82.3%
62
17.7%
Q3 - 5:19BOSDavis 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS)75
84.5%
60
15.5%
Q3 - 5:39MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)73
82.5%
60
17.5%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHEAT Rebound73
84.6%
58
15.4%
Q3 - 5:55BOSMISS Garnett 6' Jump Shot73
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 5:56BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 5:57BOSBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)73
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q3 - 6:07BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
85.1%
58
14.9%
Q3 - 6:09BOSMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 273
83.1%
58
16.9%
Q3 - 6:09BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
84.6%
58
15.4%
Q3 - 6:25BOSCeltics Rebound72
83.0%
58
17.0%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot72
82.3%
58
17.7%
Q3 - 6:33MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
80.4%
58
19.6%
Q3 - 6:33MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
81.1%
57
18.9%
Q3 - 6:36MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
85.0%
56
15.0%
Q3 - 6:37BOSMISS Allen 2' Reverse Layup72
85.7%
56
14.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T10)72
87.2%
56
12.8%
Q3 - 6:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
85.1%
56
14.9%
Q3 - 6:54BOSMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot72
85.8%
56
14.2%
Q3 - 7:09MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
85.3%
56
14.7%
Q3 - 7:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
85.7%
55
14.3%
Q3 - 7:12BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)72
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 7:15BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
88.8%
54
11.2%
Q3 - 7:17BOSMISS Rondo 8' Jump Shot72
87.6%
54
12.4%
Q3 - 7:47MIAIlgauskas 3' Tip Shot (6 PTS)72
88.9%
54
11.1%
Q3 - 7:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
90.3%
52
9.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot72
91.2%
52
8.8%
Q3 - 8:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
89.5%
52
10.5%
Q3 - 8:03BOSMISS Garnett 8' Turnaround Jump Shot72
89.9%
52
10.1%
Q3 - 8:10BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
90.9%
52
9.1%
Q3 - 8:11MIAMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot72
90.5%
52
9.5%
Q3 - 8:25BOSAllen 9' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Rondo 13 AST)72
89.5%
52
10.5%
Q3 - 8:42MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)70
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 9:00BOSO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)70
89.5%
50
10.5%
Q3 - 9:00BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
88.9%
50
11.1%
Q3 - 9:07BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
87.1%
50
12.9%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
86.6%
50
13.4%
Q3 - 9:23BOSPierce 11' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Rondo 12 AST)68
85.3%
50
14.7%
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)66
83.5%
50
16.5%
Q3 - 9:54BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rondo 11 AST)66
81.3%
50
18.7%
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)63
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q3 - 10:12BOSO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T7)63
71.9%
50
28.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAWade 12' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)63
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAHEAT Rebound63
77.4%
48
22.6%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot63
79.2%
48
20.8%
Q3 - 11:23BOSPierce 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)63
75.9%
48
24.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)61
73.5%
48
26.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA61
76.0%
46
24.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSPierce 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)61
76.0%
46
24.0%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
71.6%
46
28.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 259
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSGarnett 2' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)59
72.3%
45
27.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Bosh 1' Dunk57
68.2%
45
31.8%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
68.3%
45
31.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
66.7%
45
33.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 157
68.7%
45
31.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)57
72.3%
43
27.7%
Q2 - 1:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
73.9%
42
26.1%
Q2 - 1:07BOSMISS Erden 2' Layup57
74.5%
42
25.5%
Q2 - 1:28BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 157
75.5%
42
24.5%
Q2 - 1:45BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)57
78.7%
40
21.3%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
73.3%
40
26.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
73.8%
39
26.2%
Q2 - 2:05BOSJames STEAL (3 STL)54
74.8%
38
25.2%
Q2 - 2:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
77.3%
38
22.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 254
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 2:45BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)54
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 2:47BOSCeltics Rebound51
72.5%
37
27.5%
Q2 - 2:48BOSWade BLOCK (1 BLK)51
70.7%
37
29.3%
Q2 - 3:04BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
71.5%
37
28.5%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.5%
37
29.5%
Q2 - 3:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
68.4%
37
31.6%
Q2 - 3:15BOSMISS Pierce 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
69.4%
37
30.6%
Q2 - 3:34MIABosh 3' Dunk (7 PTS)51
71.5%
37
28.5%
Q2 - 3:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)51
73.6%
35
26.4%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
75.5%
35
24.5%
Q2 - 3:55BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)51
73.6%
35
26.4%
Q2 - 3:58MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)48
69.0%
35
31.0%
Q2 - 4:09MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
64.4%
35
35.6%
Q2 - 4:10BOSMISS Allen 7' Jump Bank Shot48
65.3%
35
34.7%
Q2 - 4:32BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
67.5%
35
32.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 248
67.1%
35
32.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
65.3%
35
34.7%
Q2 - 4:49BOSGarnett 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)48
67.2%
34
32.8%
Q2 - 4:58BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
64.8%
34
35.2%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Layup46
63.9%
34
36.1%
Q2 - 5:21BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)46
60.9%
34
39.1%
Q2 - 5:28BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
55.1%
34
44.9%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup43
54.2%
34
45.8%
Q2 - 5:41BOSDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)43
52.2%
34
47.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)43
55.1%
34
44.9%
Q2 - 6:05BOSPierce 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)43
50.9%
34
49.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
48.6%
34
51.4%
Q2 - 6:38BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 6:38BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 6:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 7:09BOSDavis 3' Layup (2 PTS)39
52.9%
29
47.1%
Q2 - 7:14BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
50.3%
29
49.7%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Wade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot37
49.4%
29
50.6%
Q2 - 7:33BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)37
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 7:52BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
42.1%
29
57.9%
Q2 - 7:53BOSMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot34
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q2 - 8:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
41.3%
29
58.7%
Q2 - 8:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 234
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q2 - 8:27BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
41.2%
28
58.8%
Q2 - 8:42BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Stackhouse 14' Turnaround Jump Shot32
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 9:06MIAHEAT Rebound32
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q2 - 9:07BOSIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)32
36.3%
28
63.7%
Q2 - 9:22MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
38.1%
28
61.9%
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
42.3%
26
57.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q2 - 9:41BOSMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q2 - 9:49BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Ilgauskas 22' Jump Shot32
42.3%
26
57.7%
Q2 - 10:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q2 - 10:01BOSMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot32
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIAIlgauskas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)32
42.8%
26
57.2%
Q2 - 10:34BOSDaniels 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)32
45.1%
24
54.9%
Q2 - 10:42BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot30
42.0%
24
58.0%
Q2 - 10:55MIAHEAT Rebound30
40.1%
24
59.9%
Q2 - 10:56BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 230
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q2 - 10:56BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 230
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 11:07MIAStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
42.4%
24
57.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
42.8%
23
57.2%
Q2 - 11:22BOSRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)30
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIAIlgauskas 3' Layup (2 PTS)27
40.0%
22
60.0%
Q2 - 11:44MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup27
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS27
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 2 AST)27
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0BOSRobinson 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
49.0%
17
51.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0BOSDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
46.2%
17
53.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot25
45.6%
17
54.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0BOSRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 0:55.0BOSMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 224
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 1:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 1:23BOSMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
46.4%
15
53.6%
Q1 - 1:38MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T5)24
47.7%
15
52.3%
Q1 - 1:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 1:56BOSMISS Erden Free Throw 1 of 124
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 2:05BOSCeltics Rebound22
42.9%
15
57.1%
Q1 - 2:06BOSMISS Daniels 12' Jump Shot22
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 2:25MIAJames 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)22
42.9%
15
57.1%
Q1 - 2:35BOSCeltics Turnover: Backcourt (T#4)22
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 2:49MIAHouse Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)22
47.5%
13
52.5%
Q1 - 2:53BOSJames STEAL (2 STL)22
45.4%
13
54.6%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
47.0%
13
53.0%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)22
49.2%
11
50.8%
Q1 - 3:32BOSRondo 3' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)22
51.5%
10
48.5%
Q1 - 3:46MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
49.3%
10
50.7%
Q1 - 3:59BOSAllen 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
47.0%
10
53.0%
Q1 - 4:20BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)18
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 4:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot18
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 4:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
41.4%
10
58.6%
Q1 - 4:42BOSMISS Rondo 18' Jump Shot18
42.1%
10
57.9%
Q1 - 4:55BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
43.8%
10
56.2%
Q1 - 4:56MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup18
43.1%
10
56.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.6%
10
59.4%
Q1 - 5:02BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot18
41.3%
10
58.7%
Q1 - 5:20MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)18
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 5:42BOSRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
47.0%
7
53.0%
Q1 - 5:42BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
46.3%
7
53.7%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 5:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
42.8%
7
57.2%
Q1 - 5:57BOSMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot16
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 6:09BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup16
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 6:21MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
42.0%
7
58.0%
Q1 - 6:22BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 216
42.3%
7
57.7%
Q1 - 6:22BOSMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 216
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 6:32BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot16
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 6:54BOSPierce 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 7:09BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot14
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 7:18BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
37.3%
7
62.7%
Q1 - 7:38MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 7:44BOSJames STEAL (1 STL)14
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 7:57BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
43.4%
5
56.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot14
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 8:22BOSAllen 8' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)14
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 8:29BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 8:30BOSMISS O'Neal 2' Driving Layup12
37.5%
5
62.5%
Q1 - 8:45MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 9:10BOSAllen 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)12
36.4%
5
63.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 210
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 9:46BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)10
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 9:53BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
32.9%
4
67.1%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot8
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 10:13BOSO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:14BOSO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 10:15BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 10:17BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 10:18BOSMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot5
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 10:46MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 11:12BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)5
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 11:33MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 11:45BOSRondo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. O'Neal: Tip to Garnett0
26.0%
0
74.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
15
25
60%
MIA
10
18
56%
Midrange
BOS
19
38
50%
MIA
23
38
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
9
13.5
16
56%
84%
MIA
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
BOS
17
25
68%
MIA
32
41
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen3573%17.5 / 24
P. Pierce2569%12.5 / 18
K. Garnett1680%8.0 / 10
N. Robinson1275%6.0 / 8
R. Rondo840%4.0 / 10
G. Davis643%3.0 / 7
S. O'Neal542%2.5 / 6
S. Erden350%1.5 / 3
M. Daniels225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3558%17.5 / 30
U. Haslem2188%10.5 / 12
C. Bosh1575%7.5 / 10
E. House1393%6.5 / 7
D. Wade827%4.0 / 15
Z. Ilgauskas675%3.0 / 4
C. Arroyo450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones350%1.5 / 3
J. Stackhouse250%1.0 / 2
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
82
+11
-10
93
MIA
78
+12
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.18 58.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
111.4
BOS 121.7 +5.4
MIA 116.3
Pace
90.6
91.3
BOS 91.1
MIA 92.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.2
BOS 15.8
MIA 15.5 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.9%
52.4%
BOS 60.1% +8.0%
MIA 52.1%
TO %
14.9%
14.4%
BOS 11.8% +1.7%
MIA 13.5%
ORB %
21.2%
25.2%
BOS 25.7%
MIA 29.7% +4.0%
FTrt
30.5
36.3
BOS 31.6
MIA 56.9 +25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.5%
54.1%
BOS 55.8% +5.8%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
9.1%
7.3%
BOS 5.4% +1.1%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
6.8%
8.5%
BOS 0.0%
MIA 6.3% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.3%
55.7%
BOS 59.6% +0.8%
MIA 58.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
64.7%
BOS 60.0% +4.4%
MIA 55.6%
Mid FG%
42.6%
42.2%
BOS 50.0%
MIA 60.5% +10.5%
3P %
36.5%
37.0%
BOS 56.3% +37.5%
MIA 18.8%
FT %
77.0%
76.9%
BOS 68.0%
MIA 78.0% +10.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
31.6%
BOS 31.6% +6.6%
MIA 25.0%
Mid Att. %
44.6%
44.9%
BOS 48.1% +4.7%
MIA 52.8%
3P Att. %
18.0%
23.5%
BOS 20.3%
MIA 22.2% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points112107
Rebounds3537
Assists2418
Steals54
Blocks04
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)26 (4)
Field Goals43-7936-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2510-18
Midrange FG19-3823-38
2-Point FG34-6333-56
3-Point FG9-163-16
Free Throws17-2532-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 35
41.4
35
73%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
7-9
78%
G · 6'1" 186 · 25
40.3
8
40%
3
16
2
0
3
3
2
1
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 34
37.0
16
80%
13
2
2
0
1
2
3
10
4-5
80%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 33
35.1
25
69%
0
1
0
0
1
5
0
0
4-4
100%
9-12
75%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 39
21.4
5
42%
7
0
1
0
1
5
2
5
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25
28.4
6
43%
9
0
0
0
1
6
2
7
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 30
16.6
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 26
11.4
12
75%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 240 · 24
8.3
3
50%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32
G · 6'5" 209 · 25
F · 6'7" 245 · 23
#0 · G · 6'2" 180 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#43 · C · 6'10" 270 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
35
24
5
0
10
0
9
26
17-25
68%
34-63
54%
9-16
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.