Final Win Prob. pScore
238%90
100
192%109
109
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
111.19085.4
MIA logo Heat
123.98893.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
109
Q4 - 0:22.0TORWeems Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)100
109
Q4 - 0:22.0TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
109
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P4.PN)98
109
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
109
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
108
Q4 - 0:30.0TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.PN)98
107
Q4 - 0:38.0TORJohnson 2' Dunk (14 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)98
107
Q4 - 0:40.0TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
107
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot96
107
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
107
Q4 - 0:59.0TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Hook Shot96
107
Q4 - 1:13MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)96
107
Q4 - 1:28TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
105
Q4 - 1:36TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)93
105
Q4 - 1:36TORRaptors Rebound93
105
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot93
105
Q4 - 1:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)93
105
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS James 5' Turnaround Jump Shot93
105
Q4 - 1:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
105
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS James 2' Layup93
105
Q4 - 2:16TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)93
105
Q4 - 2:16TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)92
105
Q4 - 2:16MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)91
105
Q4 - 2:25MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 11 AST)91
105
Q4 - 2:44TORBargnani 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Weems 5 AST)91
103
Q4 - 2:49TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
103
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup89
103
Q4 - 3:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)89
103
Q4 - 3:04TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot89
103
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)89
103
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)89
102
Q4 - 3:13TORDeRozan P.FOUL (P4.PN)89
101
Q4 - 3:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
101
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 289
101
Q4 - 3:32TORRaptors Rebound89
101
Q4 - 3:32TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 289
101
Q4 - 3:32MIAIlgauskas Personal Block Foul (P3.PN)89
101
Q4 - 3:41TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)89
101
Q4 - 3:44MIAJames 1' Running Slam Dunk (23 PTS)89
101
Q4 - 3:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
99
Q4 - 3:50TORMISS Weems 7' Jump Shot89
99
Q4 - 4:08MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 10 AST)89
99
Q4 - 4:30TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
97
Q4 - 4:44MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T4)87
97
Q4 - 4:55MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (27 PTS)87
97
Q4 - 5:10MIAHEAT Rebound87
95
Q4 - 5:10TORMISS Weems 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
95
Q4 - 5:24TORRaptors Rebound87
95
Q4 - 5:24MIAJump Ball Jones vs. DeRozan: Tip to Calderon87
95
Q4 - 5:24TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)87
95
Q4 - 5:39TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
95
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 187
95
Q4 - 5:40TORSUB: Johnson FOR Dorsey87
95
Q4 - 5:4087
95
Q4 - 5:40TORBargnani S.FOUL (P5.T4)87
95
Q4 - 5:40MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (25 PTS)87
95
Q4 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
93
Q4 - 5:45TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
93
Q4 - 6:09MIAHaslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (James 9 AST)87
93
Q4 - 6:25TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 6:25TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
91
Q4 - 6:25MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T3)85
91
Q4 - 6:37TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
91
Q4 - 6:38TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 6:46MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)85
91
Q4 - 6:53TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
91
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 285
91
Q4 - 6:55MIAHEAT Rebound85
91
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 285
91
Q4 - 6:55TORSUB: Dorsey FOR Johnson85
91
Q4 - 6:55TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P3.T3)85
91
Q4 - 7:04TORJohnson L.B.FOUL (P5.T2)85
91
Q4 - 7:04MIAHEAT Rebound85
91
Q4 - 7:04TORMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot85
91
Q4 - 7:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)85
91
Q4 - 7:41TORBargnani 8' Running Bank Shot (15 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 8:00MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 8 AST)83
91
Q4 - 8:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
89
Q4 - 8:24TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot83
89
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)83
89
Q4 - 9:03TORJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
87
Q4 - 9:08TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
87
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot81
87
Q4 - 9:30MIASUB: James FOR Chalmers81
87
Q4 - 9:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)81
87
Q4 - 9:30TORCalderon 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
87
Q4 - 9:39MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)79
87
Q4 - 9:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
87
Q4 - 9:50TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 179
87
Q4 - 9:50MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh79
87
Q4 - 9:50MIASUB: Wade FOR House79
87
Q4 - 9:50MIABosh S.FOUL (P5.T1)79
87
Q4 - 9:50TORDeRozan 3' Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Weems 4 AST)79
87
Q4 - 9:55TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
87
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot77
87
Q4 - 10:09TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
87
Q4 - 10:21MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)75
87
Q4 - 10:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
85
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot75
85
Q4 - 10:43TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
85
Q4 - 10:59TORRaptors Rebound73
85
Q4 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot73
85
Q4 - 11:15TORJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)73
85
Q4 - 11:31MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
85
Q4 - 11:31MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)73
84
Q4 - 11:31TORBargnani S.FOUL (P4.T1)73
83
Q4 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
83
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot73
83
Q4 - 12:0073
83
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR73
83
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound73
83
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
83
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 7 AST)73
83
Q3 - 0:37.0TORDeRozan 2' Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)73
81
Q3 - 0:38.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
81
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot71
81
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
81
Q3 - 0:50.0TORMISS Andersen 6' Jump Hook Shot71
81
Q3 - 1:07TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
81
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 271
81
Q3 - 1:09TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Dorsey71
81
Q3 - 1:09MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
81
Q3 - 1:09TORDorsey L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)71
80
Q3 - 1:09MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
80
Q3 - 1:09TORMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
80
Q3 - 1:35MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
80
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
78
Q3 - 1:55TORMISS Andersen 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
78
Q3 - 2:11TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
78
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 271
78
Q3 - 2:13TORRaptors Rebound71
78
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 271
78
Q3 - 2:13MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.PN)71
78
Q3 - 2:29TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
78
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 171
78
Q3 - 2:33TORDorsey S.FOUL (P4.PN)71
78
Q3 - 2:33MIAJames 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
78
Q3 - 2:41MIASUB: House FOR Wade71
76
Q3 - 2:44TOR71
76
Q3 - 2:44TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)71
76
Q3 - 2:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)71
76
Q3 - 2:44TORCalderon 23' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)71
76
Q3 - 2:48TORWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
76
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Anthony 2' Layup69
76
Q3 - 3:13TORAndersen 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
76
Q3 - 3:30MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P2.PN)67
76
Q3 - 3:30TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
76
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 267
76
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
76
Q3 - 3:30TORCalderon S.FOUL (P1.PN)67
75
Q3 - 3:43MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas67
75
Q3 - 3:43TORSUB: Calderon FOR Jack67
75
Q3 - 3:43TORSUB: Andersen FOR Bargnani67
75
Q3 - 3:51TORWright 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)67
75
Q3 - 3:55MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)65
75
Q3 - 4:21TORDorsey 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)65
75
Q3 - 4:38MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)63
75
Q3 - 4:46MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo63
75
Q3 - 4:46TORBargnani L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)63
75
Q3 - 4:46MIAHEAT Rebound63
75
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 4:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 5:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
75
Q3 - 5:14TORJack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)63
75
Q3 - 5:24TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Arroyo 4' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup63
75
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 5:38TORMISS Bargnani 12' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 5:40TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
75
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Bargnani 4' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 6:00TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot63
75
Q3 - 6:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
75
Q3 - 6:14TORMISS Wright 2' Reverse Layup63
75
Q3 - 6:19MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)63
75
Q3 - 6:35TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
75
Q3 - 6:35TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
75
Q3 - 6:35MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T4)61
75
Q3 - 6:42MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh61
75
Q3 - 6:42MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)61
75
Q3 - 6:42TORRaptors Rebound61
75
Q3 - 6:44TORMISS Jack 14' Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 6:55TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
75
Q3 - 6:57MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 7:12TORSUB: Wright FOR Weems61
75
Q3 - 7:12TORSUB: Dorsey FOR Johnson61
75
Q3 - 7:12TORWeems P.FOUL (P4.T3)61
75
Q3 - 7:23TORJack 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS)61
75
Q3 - 7:34MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)59
75
Q3 - 7:54TORJohnson 6' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)59
73
Q3 - 8:17MIAIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)57
73
Q3 - 8:29TORJohnson 1' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)57
73
Q3 - 8:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)55
73
Q3 - 8:46TORJohnson S.FOUL (P4.T2)55
72
Q3 - 8:46MIABosh 1' Slam Dunk (9 PTS)55
72
Q3 - 9:01TORWeems Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)55
70
Q3 - 9:16MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T3)55
70
Q3 - 9:16MIABosh Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T2)55
70
Q3 - 9:30TORJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Weems 3 AST)55
70
Q3 - 9:40MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (20 PTS)53
70
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
68
Q3 - 9:48TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
68
Q3 - 9:56TORJack Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)53
68
Q3 - 9:56MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Ilgauskas )52
68
Q3 - 10:10MIAIlgauskas 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)52
68
Q3 - 10:20MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
66
Q3 - 10:22TORMISS Bargnani 16' Jump Shot52
66
Q3 - 10:35MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T1)52
66
Q3 - 10:36TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
66
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot52
66
Q3 - 10:51MIAJames Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)52
66
Q3 - 10:51TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Johnson )52
65
Q3 - 11:03TORDeRozan 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)52
65
Q3 - 11:22MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)50
65
Q3 - 11:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
63
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot50
63
Q3 - 11:43TORJack P.FOUL (P1.T1)50
63
Q3 - 11:45TORJames STEAL (2 STL)50
63
Q3 - 12:0050
63
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR50
63
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound50
63
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 49' 3PT Jump Shot50
63
Q2 - 0:01.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
63
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup50
63
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
63
Q2 - 0:18.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 250
63
Q2 - 0:18.0TORSUB: Alabi FOR Bargnani50
63
Q2 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo50
63
Q2 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Anthony50
63
Q2 - 0:18.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
63
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.PN)49
63
Q2 - 0:18.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
63
Q2 - 0:22.0TORMISS Jack 3' Driving Layup49
63
Q2 - 0:28.0TORJack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
63
Q2 - 0:29.0TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot49
63
Q2 - 0:52.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
63
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 249
63
Q2 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh49
63
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)49
63
Q2 - 0:54.0TORBargnani S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
62
Q2 - 1:13TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
62
Q2 - 1:32MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (16 PTS)47
62
Q2 - 1:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
60
Q2 - 1:36TORMISS Jack 1' Layup47
60
Q2 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
60
Q2 - 1:56TORSUB: Calderon FOR Weems47
59
Q2 - 1:56MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
59
Q2 - 1:56TORWeems P.FOUL (P3.PN)47
58
Q2 - 1:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
58
Q2 - 1:56TORMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot47
58
Q2 - 2:02TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
58
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot47
58
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
58
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot47
58
Q2 - 2:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
58
Q2 - 2:11MIAMISS James 4' Driving Layup47
58
Q2 - 2:15TORJames STEAL (1 STL)47
58
Q2 - 2:29TORSUB: Wright FOR Andersen47
58
Q2 - 2:29MIASUB: Bosh FOR Ilgauskas47
58
Q2 - 2:29TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)47
58
Q2 - 2:37MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)47
58
Q2 - 3:02TORDeRozan 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
56
Q2 - 3:19MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
56
Q2 - 3:33TORWeems 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)45
54
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
54
Q2 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)43
53
Q2 - 3:52TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.PN)43
52
Q2 - 4:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
52
Q2 - 4:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
52
Q2 - 4:15MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers41
52
Q2 - 4:15MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4)41
52
Q2 - 4:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)41
52
Q2 - 4:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
50
Q2 - 4:41MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
50
Q2 - 4:59TORBargnani 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Weems 2 AST)41
50
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)39
50
Q2 - 5:09TORSUB: Andersen FOR Dorsey39
49
Q2 - 5:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)39
49
Q2 - 5:09TORDorsey S.FOUL (P3.PN)39
48
Q2 - 5:20TORBargnani 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
48
Q2 - 5:22TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
48
Q2 - 5:24TORMISS Bargnani 11' Jump Shot37
48
Q2 - 5:34MIAHaslem Personal Block Foul (P1.T3)37
48
Q2 - 5:40MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh37
48
Q2 - 5:40MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T2)37
48
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
48
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)37
47
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: James FOR House37
46
Q2 - 5:50TORSUB: Jack FOR Andersen37
46
Q2 - 5:50TORSUB: Dorsey FOR Calderon37
46
Q2 - 5:5037
46
Q2 - 5:50TORWeems S.FOUL (P2.T4)37
46
Q2 - 6:04TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Weems 1 AST)37
46
Q2 - 6:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)34
46
Q2 - 6:19TORAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
45
Q2 - 6:19MIABosh 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 6:28TORSUB: Andersen FOR Johnson34
43
Q2 - 6:28TORJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2)34
43
Q2 - 6:45TORBargnani Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)34
43
Q2 - 6:55MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
43
Q2 - 7:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
41
Q2 - 7:17TORMISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 234
41
Q2 - 7:17TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
41
Q2 - 7:17MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T1)33
41
Q2 - 7:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
41
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot33
41
Q2 - 7:33TORSUB: Bargnani FOR Andersen33
41
Q2 - 7:33TORSUB: Weems FOR Dorsey33
41
Q2 - 7:33TORSUB: Johnson FOR Wright33
41
Q2 - 7:33MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones33
41
Q2 - 7:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
41
Q2 - 7:42TORCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)33
41
Q2 - 7:51TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
41
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot30
41
Q2 - 8:09TORDeRozan 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
41
Q2 - 8:15TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
41
Q2 - 8:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41
Q2 - 8:24TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
41
Q2 - 8:49MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
41
Q2 - 9:11TORDorsey L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)28
39
Q2 - 9:11MIAHEAT Rebound28
39
Q2 - 9:11TORMISS Andersen 13' Jump Shot28
39
Q2 - 9:39MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)28
39
Q2 - 9:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 9:52TORMISS DeRozan 8' Running Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 10:00TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
36
Q2 - 10:02TORMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 10:14TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
36
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 10:37TORCalderon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)28
36
Q2 - 10:47TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
36
Q2 - 10:49TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot25
36
Q2 - 11:10MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)25
36
Q2 - 11:18TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)25
34
Q2 - 11:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
34
Q2 - 11:33MIAHEAT Rebound25
34
Q2 - 11:34TORMISS Andersen 17' Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 11:35TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
34
Q2 - 11:39TORMISS Wright 8' Jump Hook Shot25
34
Q2 - 12:0025
34
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR25
34
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound25
34
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
34
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)25
34
Q1 - 0:17.0TORAndersen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)25
31
Q1 - 0:31.0TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 3' Layup23
31
Q1 - 0:41.0TORWright Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
31
Q1 - 0:41.0TORWright Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)23
31
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
31
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
30
Q1 - 0:54.0TORDorsey S.FOUL (P1.PN)23
29
Q1 - 1:07MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
29
Q1 - 1:07TORRaptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Wright )23
28
Q1 - 1:17TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)23
28
Q1 - 1:37MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
28
Q1 - 1:57TORWeems 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)21
26
Q1 - 2:17TORAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
26
Q1 - 2:19TORMISS Weems Free Throw 2 of 219
26
Q1 - 2:19TORSUB: Andersen FOR Bargnani19
26
Q1 - 2:19TORWeems Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
26
Q1 - 2:19MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
26
Q1 - 2:20TORWeems REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
26
Q1 - 2:21TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot18
26
Q1 - 2:24TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
26
Q1 - 2:24TORMISS Weems 20' Jump Shot18
26
Q1 - 2:30TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
26
Q1 - 2:3017
26
Q1 - 2:30MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
26
Q1 - 2:37TORWeems Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
26
Q1 - 2:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
26
Q1 - 2:49MIAHEAT Rebound17
25
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 217
25
Q1 - 2:49TORWright P.FOUL (P1.PN)17
25
Q1 - 2:54TORSUB: Calderon FOR Jack17
25
Q1 - 2:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
25
Q1 - 2:56TORHaslem STEAL (1 STL)17
25
Q1 - 2:59TORWeems REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25
Q1 - 3:02MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 3:09TORHouse STEAL (1 STL)17
25
Q1 - 3:26TORDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
25
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 217
25
Q1 - 3:28TORSUB: Dorsey FOR Johnson17
25
Q1 - 3:28MIASUB: House FOR Wade17
25
Q1 - 3:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 3:28MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas17
24
Q1 - 3:28TORJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN)17
24
Q1 - 3:44TORWeems 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)17
24
Q1 - 4:03MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
24
Q1 - 4:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22
Q1 - 4:13TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 4:21TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
22
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 4:40TORWright 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)14
22
Q1 - 4:54MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)12
22
Q1 - 5:09TORJohnson 3' Layup (4 PTS)12
19
Q1 - 5:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19
Q1 - 5:12TORMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
19
Q1 - 5:17MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo10
19
Q1 - 5:17TORRaptors Rebound10
19
Q1 - 5:19TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot10
19
Q1 - 5:35MIAIlgauskas 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
19
Q1 - 5:47TORSUB: Wright FOR DeRozan10
17
Q1 - 5:47TORDeRozan L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)10
17
Q1 - 5:47MIAHEAT Rebound10
17
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
17
Q1 - 6:04TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
17
Q1 - 6:04MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh9
17
Q1 - 6:04TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
17
Q1 - 6:04MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T3)8
17
Q1 - 6:21MIAJames 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
17
Q1 - 6:33TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
15
Q1 - 6:33TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
15
Q1 - 6:33MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
15
Q1 - 6:37TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
15
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS James 4' Layup6
15
Q1 - 6:52MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
15
Q1 - 6:54TORMISS DeRozan 12' Jump Shot6
15
Q1 - 7:12MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
15
Q1 - 7:30MIAHEAT Rebound6
13
Q1 - 7:32TORMISS Johnson 4' Hook Shot6
13
Q1 - 7:47MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)6
13
Q1 - 7:53TORWeems 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)6
11
Q1 - 8:14TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
11
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 14
11
Q1 - 8:17TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
11
Q1 - 8:17MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
11
Q1 - 8:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
9
Q1 - 8:21TORMISS Bargnani 7' Running Hook Shot4
9
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)4
9
Q1 - 8:51TORWeems P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
7
Q1 - 8:52TORWeems 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
7
Q1 - 8:57TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 9:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
7
Q1 - 9:15MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
7
Q1 - 9:22TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
7
Q1 - 9:31MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
7
Q1 - 9:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 9:50TORIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)0
5
Q1 - 10:03TORJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
5
Q1 - 10:10MIAHEAT Rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
5
Q1 - 10:29TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
5
Q1 - 10:46TORJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
4
Q1 - 10:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:50TORMISS Bargnani 2' Reverse Layup0
2
Q1 - 11:08MIABosh 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:24TORMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:46TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS James 14' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Bargnani: Tip to Arroyo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
10
18
56%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
TOR
22
45
49%
MIA
21
40
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
Free Throws
TOR
21
29
72%
MIA
26
36
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2244%11.0 / 25
D. DeRozan2162%10.5 / 17
S. Weems1568%7.5 / 11
J. Calderon1594%7.5 / 8
A. Johnson1470%7.0 / 10
J. Wright418%2.0 / 11
D. Andersen433%2.0 / 6
J. Jack325%1.5 / 6
J. Dorsey2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
L. James2346%11.5 / 25
J. Jones1478%7.0 / 9
Z. Ilgauskas1286%6.0 / 7
C. Bosh1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
C. Arroyo433%2.0 / 6
E. House338%1.5 / 4
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+19
-11
98
MIA
79
+14
-9
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.02 51.0%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.9
111.4
TOR 111.1
MIA 123.9 +12.8
Pace
93.1
91.3
TOR 85.4
MIA 93.0 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.2
TOR 16.9
MIA 15.5 −1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
52.4%
TOR 48.2%
MIA 52.5% +4.3%
TO %
15.0%
14.4%
TOR 10.4%
MIA 8.7% −1.7%
ORB %
28.3%
25.2%
TOR 32.5% +5.7%
MIA 26.8%
FTrt
29.3
36.3
TOR 35.4
MIA 45.6 +10.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.1%
54.1%
TOR 45.9% +0.9%
MIA 45.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.3%
TOR 5.6%
MIA 5.7% +0.1%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
TOR 5.8% +2.6%
MIA 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
55.7%
TOR 51.0%
MIA 58.0% +7.0%
Rim FG%
58.9%
64.7%
TOR 55.6% +0.4%
MIA 55.2%
Mid FG%
41.2%
42.2%
TOR 48.9%
MIA 52.5% +3.6%
3P %
31.6%
37.0%
TOR 26.3%
MIA 30.0% +3.7%
FT %
75.5%
76.9%
TOR 72.4% +0.2%
MIA 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.1%
31.6%
TOR 22.0%
MIA 36.7% +14.8%
Mid Att. %
44.7%
44.9%
TOR 54.9%
MIA 50.6% −4.2%
3P Att. %
16.2%
23.5%
TOR 23.2% +10.5%
MIA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9088
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points100109
Rebounds4338
Assists1718
Steals55
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)27 (5)
Field Goals37-8240-79
At-the-Rim FG10-1816-29
Midrange FG22-4521-40
2-Point FG32-6337-69
3-Point FG5-193-10
Free Throws21-2926-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 21
42.2
21
62%
6
3
1
0
1
4
1
5
7-11
64%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 245 · 25
38.4
22
44%
9
0
0
0
3
5
3
6
4-4
100%
6-17
35%
2-6
33%
F · 6'6" 205 · 24
34.4
15
68%
3
5
0
0
3
4
1
2
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 24
25.2
14
70%
3
1
1
2
1
5
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 27
23.2
3
25%
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
26.7
15
94%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
19.9
4
18%
1
3
0
2
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
0-5
0%
· 6'8" 268 · 27
15.9
2
100%
11
0
3
0
0
5
4
7
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'11" 247 · 30
13.8
4
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 252 · 23
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30
G · 6'2" 205 · 29
#11 · F · 6'8" 234 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'3" 194 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
51%
43
17
5
4
11
0
13
30
21-29
72%
32-63
51%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.