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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 17, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Suns24%9896
1Heat76%107123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.8
30.6
30.8
11
38%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-5
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.8
29.3
33.0
17
62%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
26.4
33.7
14
78%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.7
25.4
27.7
10
65%
6
4
1
1
1
2
1
5
3-6
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.1
24.2
25.7
15
63%
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
9-9
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
20.1
15.0
2
14%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.4
19.6
23.8
5
53%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
18.8
14.3
11
66%
4
0
0
0
1
5
0
4
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.4
18.1
21.0
6
82%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
1-1
2-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.8
13.8
3.1
3
39%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
9.3
21.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
42%
0-0
-
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.1
4.5
1.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.6
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 28.8
30.8
35.9
17
62%
6
6
0
2
2
2
1
5
5-6
83%
6-10
7-14
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 26.7
30.2
28.1
35
80%
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
6
11-11
100%
12-17
5-10
71%
52%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
23.1
38.5
20
61%
8
9
3
2
0
3
3
5
2-3
67%
9-13
7-14
69%
55%
0-2
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.3
22.4
17.7
10
68%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.5
7.7
22.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.1
30.4
23.9
5
31%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
41%
1-4
25%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.5
28.3
16.1
15
83%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
26.9
32.3
8
50%
10
0
2
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.3
16.2
10.9
4
69%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.8
15.0
2.0
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
4.5
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 36.0
4.5
3.0
5
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.7
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.