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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 18, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Suns22%9689
1Magic78%106105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.1
30.6
25.1
21
90%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
8-9
3-7
89%
48%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.7
28.1
26.5
2
11%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-5
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
27.1
16.3
10
45%
4
4
1
1
0
6
3
1
2-5
40%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
25.6
30.6
10
63%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 29.8
24.5
30.6
7
44%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.4
23.5
17.3
11
76%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.4
19.9
19.9
7
55%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.4
19.3
22.2
5
37%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
15.5
12.7
2
36%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 22.8
15.5
7.8
12
61%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-9
1-3
56%
42%
0-0
-
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.1
10.4
3.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 36.8
31.4
1
5-9
51%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 22.6
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
34.0
32.8
13
72%
3
0
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
50%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.9
29.9
35.1
20
80%
12
1
1
1
1
3
2
10
4-8
50%
8-9
8-12
89%
61%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 28.8
27.8
30.9
15
89%
0
12
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 33.8
25.1
29.7
13
67%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-4
25%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
2-4
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.6
23.3
19.8
15
75%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
3-7
43%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
30.2
20.1
10
63%
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.2
20.2
15.8
2
25%
1
5
1
0
0
5
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
19.8
22.5
5
37%
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 26.8
16.1
18.3
4
29%
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
9.1
3.9
6
44%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.4
4.3
1.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 35.0
5.2
0
0-1
50%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.3
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.