Final Win Prob. pScore
1720%88
87
180%99
95
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Bobcats
94.692103.2
MIA logo Heat
104.49182.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA87
95
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)87
95
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 287
95
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
95
Q4 - 0:09.0CHAJackson P.FOUL (P3.PN)87
94
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
94
Q4 - 0:09.0CHAMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot87
94
Q4 - 0:19.0CHABobcats Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)87
94
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)87
94
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)87
91
Q4 - 0:40.0CHALivingston 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 0:45.0CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
91
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup85
91
Q4 - 1:04CHASUB: Thomas FOR Wallace85
91
Q4 - 1:04MIAJames Free Throw Technical (32 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 1:04CHAWallace Ejection:Second Technical85
90
Q4 - 1:04CHAWallace T.FOUL (P6.PN)85
90
Q4 - 1:04CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P4.T15)85
90
Q4 - 1:04CHAWallace Offensive Charge Foul (P6.PN)85
90
Q4 - 1:07CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)85
90
Q4 - 1:07MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
90
Q4 - 1:07MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
89
Q4 - 1:07CHABobcats Violation: Delay of game Violation85
88
Q4 - 1:07CHABrown P.FOUL (P3.PN)85
88
Q4 - 1:07MIAHEAT Rebound85
88
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 1:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
88
Q4 - 1:29CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 1:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)85
87
Q4 - 1:38CHADiaw S.FOUL (P3.T1)85
86
Q4 - 1:53CHAJackson 3' Driving Layup (30 PTS)85
86
Q4 - 2:12MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (31 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 2:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)83
84
Q4 - 2:31CHAMISS Livingston 15' Jump Shot83
84
Q4 - 2:54CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
84
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot83
84
Q4 - 3:11CHAWade STEAL (2 STL)83
84
Q4 - 3:19CHASUB: Wallace FOR Thomas83
84
Q4 - 3:19CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)83
84
Q4 - 3:27MIAJames 9' Jump Shot (29 PTS)83
84
Q4 - 3:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)83
82
Q4 - 3:48CHAMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 283
82
Q4 - 3:48CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
82
Q4 - 3:48MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.PN)82
82
Q4 - 3:54CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
82
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot82
82
Q4 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
82
Q4 - 4:10CHAMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot82
82
Q4 - 4:28MIABosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)82
82
Q4 - 4:56CHAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Livingston 2 AST)82
80
Q4 - 5:17CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
80
Q4 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
80
Q4 - 5:37CHALivingston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
80
Q4 - 5:37CHALivingston Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
80
Q4 - 5:37MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T4)77
80
Q4 - 5:43CHASUB: Thomas FOR Wallace77
80
Q4 - 5:56CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
80
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup77
80
Q4 - 6:12CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P3.T13)77
80
Q4 - 6:12CHAWallace OFF.Foul (P5)77
80
Q4 - 6:24CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)77
80
Q4 - 6:24CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
80
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
80
Q4 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
80
Q4 - 6:45CHAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot77
80
Q4 - 7:01CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
80
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup77
80
Q4 - 7:20CHAJackson 9' Hook Shot (25 PTS)77
80
Q4 - 7:41CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
80
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS James 12' Jump Shot75
80
Q4 - 8:05CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
80
Q4 - 8:05CHAWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
80
Q4 - 8:05CHASUB: Jackson FOR Thomas73
80
Q4 - 8:05MIASUB: James FOR House73
80
Q4 - 8:05MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T3)73
80
Q4 - 8:24MIABosh 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)73
80
Q4 - 8:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
78
Q4 - 8:46CHAMISS Livingston 5' Floating Jump Shot73
78
Q4 - 9:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)73
78
Q4 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
78
Q4 - 9:09CHAMISS Livingston 20' Jump Shot73
78
Q4 - 9:26CHABobcats Rebound73
78
Q4 - 9:26MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Wallace: Tip to Livingston73
78
Q4 - 9:26CHAMISS Wallace 3' Layup73
78
Q4 - 9:38CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
78
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
78
Q4 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)73
78
Q4 - 9:54CHAMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
78
Q4 - 10:04CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
78
Q4 - 10:05MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot73
78
Q4 - 10:26MIASUB: Wade FOR James73
78
Q4 - 10:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)73
78
Q4 - 10:26CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)73
78
Q4 - 10:26MIAHouse S.FOUL (P4.T2)72
78
Q4 - 10:26CHABrown 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)72
78
Q4 - 10:28MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)70
78
Q4 - 10:42CHABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
78
Q4 - 10:42CHASUB: Diaw FOR Brown69
78
Q4 - 10:42CHABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
78
Q4 - 10:42MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T1)68
78
Q4 - 10:42MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
78
Q4 - 10:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
78
Q4 - 10:49CHAMISS Livingston 14' Jump Shot68
78
Q4 - 10:56CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
78
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot68
78
Q4 - 11:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
78
Q4 - 11:11CHAMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot68
78
Q4 - 11:38MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
78
Q4 - 12:0068
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound68
75
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
75
Q3 - 0:21.0CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
75
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS House 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup68
75
Q3 - 0:37.0CHALivingston 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
75
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)66
75
Q3 - 1:12CHAJackson 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)66
73
Q3 - 1:29CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
73
Q3 - 1:30MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
73
Q3 - 1:49CHABrown 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Livingston 1 AST)64
73
Q3 - 2:02CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
73
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot62
73
Q3 - 2:15CHAThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
73
Q3 - 2:15CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
73
Q3 - 2:15MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.PN)60
73
Q3 - 2:37MIAHaslem 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
73
Q3 - 2:44MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)60
71
Q3 - 2:44CHABobcats T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Brown )60
70
Q3 - 2:57CHAThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
70
Q3 - 2:57CHAThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
70
Q3 - 2:57MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade58
70
Q3 - 2:57CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
70
Q3 - 2:57MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
70
Q3 - 3:08CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
70
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 258
70
Q3 - 3:09MIAHEAT Rebound58
70
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 258
70
Q3 - 3:09CHASUB: Brown FOR Augustin58
70
Q3 - 3:09CHASUB: Livingston FOR Diaw58
70
Q3 - 3:09CHAThomas S.FOUL (P3.PN)58
70
Q3 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
70
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
70
Q3 - 3:54CHAThomas 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)58
70
Q3 - 4:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)56
70
Q3 - 4:05MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh56
69
Q3 - 4:05MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)56
69
Q3 - 4:05CHABrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
68
Q3 - 4:08MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
68
Q3 - 4:09CHAMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot56
68
Q3 - 4:34MIABosh 2' Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)56
68
Q3 - 4:50CHAAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)56
66
Q3 - 4:50CHABobcats Rebound55
66
Q3 - 4:50CHAMISS Augustin Free Throw 1 of 255
66
Q3 - 4:50MIAHouse S.FOUL (P3.T4)55
66
Q3 - 4:58CHAThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
66
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
66
Q3 - 5:19CHAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
66
Q3 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)55
66
Q3 - 5:37CHASUB: Thomas FOR Mohammed55
65
Q3 - 5:37MIASUB: Haslem FOR Ilgauskas55
65
Q3 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
65
Q3 - 5:37MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo55
64
Q3 - 5:37CHABrown S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
64
Q3 - 5:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
64
Q3 - 5:45CHAMISS Mohammed 11' Jump Shot55
64
Q3 - 6:08MIAIlgauskas 2' Layup (8 PTS)55
64
Q3 - 6:09MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
62
Q3 - 6:10MIAMISS Bosh 6' Hook Shot55
62
Q3 - 6:33CHAJackson 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)55
62
Q3 - 6:44MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)53
62
Q3 - 6:50MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
62
Q3 - 6:51CHAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot53
62
Q3 - 7:04CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
62
Q3 - 7:08MIAMISS Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 253
62
Q3 - 7:08CHASUB: Brown FOR Wallace53
62
Q3 - 7:08MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
62
Q3 - 7:08CHAWallace S.FOUL (P4.T3)53
61
Q3 - 7:22CHAMohammed 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
61
Q3 - 7:43MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 5 AST)51
61
Q3 - 7:59CHAAugustin P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
58
Q3 - 8:13CHAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)51
58
Q3 - 8:25CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
58
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot48
58
Q3 - 8:39CHADiaw L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)48
58
Q3 - 8:39MIAHEAT Rebound48
58
Q3 - 8:40MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot48
58
Q3 - 8:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)48
58
Q3 - 8:57CHAJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)48
58
Q3 - 9:08CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
58
Q3 - 9:09MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Jump Shot45
58
Q3 - 9:28CHAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)45
58
Q3 - 9:36MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T3)45
58
Q3 - 9:48CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
58
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
58
Q3 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
58
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot45
58
Q3 - 10:12CHAMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
58
Q3 - 10:12CHAMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
58
Q3 - 10:12MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T2)43
58
Q3 - 10:26CHAMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
58
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot43
58
Q3 - 10:42CHAMohammed 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)43
58
Q3 - 11:01MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)41
58
Q3 - 11:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
56
Q3 - 11:19CHAMISS Mohammed Free Throw 1 of 141
56
Q3 - 11:19MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.T1)41
56
Q3 - 11:19CHAMohammed 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)41
56
Q3 - 11:26CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
56
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS James 11' Floating Jump Shot39
56
Q3 - 11:51CHAWallace 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
56
Q3 - 12:0037
56
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA37
56
Q2 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound37
56
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Livingston 60' 3PT Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 0:01.0CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
56
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 0:13.0MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo37
56
Q2 - 0:13.0CHASUB: Brown FOR Jackson37
56
Q2 - 0:13.0CHASUB: Carroll FOR Mohammed37
56
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)37
56
Q2 - 0:26.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
56
Q2 - 0:27.0CHAMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 0:35.0CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
56
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot37
56
Q2 - 0:51.0CHALivingston 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
56
Q2 - 1:05MIAJames 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)35
56
Q2 - 1:15CHALivingston Foul Turnover (P1.T11)35
54
Q2 - 1:15CHALivingston OFF.Foul (P1)35
54
Q2 - 1:25MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)35
54
Q2 - 1:25MIAHEAT Rebound35
53
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 235
53
Q2 - 1:25CHAJackson P.FOUL (P2.PN)35
53
Q2 - 1:28MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
53
Q2 - 1:29CHAMISS Mohammed 3' Reverse Layup35
53
Q2 - 1:46MIAArroyo 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
53
Q2 - 1:51CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)35
51
Q2 - 2:01MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)35
51
Q2 - 2:01CHAMohammed S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
50
Q2 - 2:01MIABosh 3' Layup (11 PTS)35
50
Q2 - 2:08MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Jones35
48
Q2 - 2:08MIASUB: Bosh FOR Ilgauskas35
48
Q2 - 2:08CHASUB: Livingston FOR Augustin35
48
Q2 - 2:08CHASUB: Brown FOR Wallace35
48
Q2 - 2:08CHAWallace L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)35
48
Q2 - 2:08MIAHEAT Rebound35
48
Q2 - 2:09MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup35
48
Q2 - 2:27CHAWallace 3' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)35
48
Q2 - 2:31CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
48
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
48
Q2 - 2:55CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)33
48
Q2 - 2:55CHAWallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)33
48
Q2 - 2:56CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
48
Q2 - 2:57CHAMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
48
Q2 - 3:10MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)33
48
Q2 - 3:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
48
Q2 - 3:17CHAMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
48
Q2 - 3:29CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
48
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot33
48
Q2 - 3:44MIAJones Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)33
48
Q2 - 3:44CHAWallace T.FOUL (P2.T3)33
47
Q2 - 3:44MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh33
47
Q2 - 3:44CHAWallace Foul Turnover (P1.T8)33
47
Q2 - 3:44CHAWallace OFF.Foul (P2)33
47
Q2 - 3:51MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
47
Q2 - 4:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
47
Q2 - 4:05CHAMISS Mohammed 4' Jump Shot33
47
Q2 - 4:22MIAIlgauskas 3' Putback Layup (6 PTS)33
47
Q2 - 4:23MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
45
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup33
45
Q2 - 4:40CHADiaw 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)33
45
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)31
45
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
44
Q2 - 4:56CHAWallace S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
43
Q2 - 5:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
43
Q2 - 5:01CHAMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 5:08CHASUB: Mohammed FOR Livingston31
43
Q2 - 5:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)31
43
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43
Q2 - 5:29CHAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot31
43
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Chalmers31
43
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: James FOR Haslem31
43
Q2 - 5:50CHASUB: Augustin FOR Collins31
43
Q2 - 5:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
43
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade Foul Turnover (P1.T5)31
43
Q2 - 5:50MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)31
43
Q2 - 5:54CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)31
43
Q2 - 6:20MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)31
43
Q2 - 6:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
41
Q2 - 6:26CHAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)31
41
Q2 - 6:43CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
41
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Bosh 21' Turnaround Jump Shot31
41
Q2 - 7:12CHAJackson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)31
41
Q2 - 7:24MIASUB: Wade FOR House29
41
Q2 - 7:24CHASUB: Jackson FOR Brown29
41
Q2 - 7:24MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)29
41
Q2 - 7:33CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
41
Q2 - 7:34MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
41
Q2 - 7:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
41
Q2 - 7:43CHAMISS Collins 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
41
Q2 - 8:01CHABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
41
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot29
41
Q2 - 8:17CHABrown 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)29
41
Q2 - 8:27CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
41
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
41
Q2 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
41
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot27
41
Q2 - 8:5227
41
Q2 - 8:52CHADiaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)27
41
Q2 - 9:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)27
41
Q2 - 9:09CHABrown S.FOUL (P1.T2)27
40
Q2 - 9:09MIABosh 5' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
40
Q2 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
38
Q2 - 9:28CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 227
38
Q2 - 9:28CHASUB: Collins FOR Carroll27
38
Q2 - 9:28CHABobcats Rebound27
38
Q2 - 9:28CHAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 227
38
Q2 - 9:28MIAHouse S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
38
Q2 - 9:34MIAHouse L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)27
38
Q2 - 9:34CHABobcats Rebound27
38
Q2 - 9:35CHAMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot27
38
Q2 - 9:51MIABosh 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
38
Q2 - 10:00CHASUB: Wallace FOR Jackson27
36
Q2 - 10:20CHALivingston 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 10:26CHALivingston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36
Q2 - 10:27MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot25
36
Q2 - 10:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
36
Q2 - 10:34CHAMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot25
36
Q2 - 10:35CHAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
36
Q2 - 10:36CHAMISS Jackson 3' Layup25
36
Q2 - 10:43CHASUB: Diaw FOR Thomas25
36
Q2 - 10:43MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
36
Q2 - 10:53MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)25
36
Q2 - 11:11CHAThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
33
Q2 - 11:11CHAThomas OFF.Foul (P2)25
33
Q2 - 11:25MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
33
Q2 - 11:25MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 11:25CHAThomas S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
31
Q2 - 11:44CHAThomas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)25
31
Q2 - 12:0023
31
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA23
31
Q1 - 0:00.0CHABobcats Rebound23
31
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Augustin 60' 3PT Jump Shot23
31
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)23
31
Q1 - 0:12.0CHAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T2)23
29
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
29
Q1 - 0:25.0CHAMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot23
29
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem 2' Layup (4 PTS)23
29
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
27
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot23
27
Q1 - 1:03CHASUB: Carroll FOR Wallace23
27
Q1 - 1:03CHASUB: Brown FOR Diaw23
27
Q1 - 1:03CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)23
27
Q1 - 1:26MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)23
27
Q1 - 1:29CHAJames STEAL (2 STL)23
25
Q1 - 1:34MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
25
Q1 - 1:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
25
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Anthony 1' Layup23
25
Q1 - 1:46MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
25
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot23
25
Q1 - 2:05CHAJackson 2' Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)23
25
Q1 - 2:09MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)21
25
Q1 - 2:23CHAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)21
25
Q1 - 2:23CHAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 2:23MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)19
25
Q1 - 2:26MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
25
Q1 - 2:44MIASUB: Anthony FOR Wade19
25
Q1 - 2:44MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas19
25
Q1 - 2:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
25
Q1 - 2:44CHADiaw Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
25
Q1 - 2:44CHADiaw OFF.Foul (P1)19
25
Q1 - 3:01MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)19
25
Q1 - 3:21CHADiaw 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)19
23
Q1 - 3:34CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
23
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot17
23
Q1 - 4:03CHAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)17
23
Q1 - 4:26MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
23
Q1 - 4:30MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
21
Q1 - 4:31CHAIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)14
21
Q1 - 4:38MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo14
21
Q1 - 4:38CHASUB: Thomas FOR Mohammed14
21
Q1 - 4:38MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh14
21
Q1 - 4:38MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P1.T1)14
21
Q1 - 4:53MIAWade 2' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)14
21
Q1 - 4:57CHAJames STEAL (1 STL)14
19
Q1 - 5:08CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot14
19
Q1 - 5:22CHAAugustin 12' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
19
Q1 - 5:45MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)12
19
Q1 - 6:11CHADiaw 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)12
17
Q1 - 6:20CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)10
17
Q1 - 6:27MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
17
Q1 - 6:44CHAMohammed 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)10
14
Q1 - 7:03MIAIlgauskas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)8
14
Q1 - 7:15MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
12
Q1 - 7:16CHAMISS Mohammed 10' Jump Shot8
12
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)8
12
Q1 - 7:41MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
10
Q1 - 7:42CHAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)8
10
Q1 - 8:05MIAIlgauskas 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 8:06MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Bosh 4' Driving Layup8
8
Q1 - 8:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
8
Q1 - 8:19CHAMISS Wallace 8' Running Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 8:28CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 8:51CHAMohammed 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)8
8
Q1 - 9:00MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 9:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
8
Q1 - 9:03CHAMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
8
Q1 - 9:17MIAWade 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
8
Q1 - 9:39CHAJackson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)6
6
Q1 - 9:45CHAAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 9:53CHAMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 10:10MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:16MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:17CHAMISS Jackson 4' Driving Layup4
4
Q1 - 10:32MIAArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:32MIAArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 10:32CHAAugustin S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
2
Q1 - 10:54CHADiaw 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 11:02CHADiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:31CHAJackson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:44MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Mohammed: Tip to Arroyo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
26
65%
MIA
18
26
69%
Midrange
CHA
12
28
43%
MIA
11
37
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIA
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
CHA
17
22
77%
MIA
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson3060%15.0 / 25
N. Mohammed1260%6.0 / 10
S. Livingston1050%5.0 / 10
T. Thomas956%4.5 / 8
B. Diaw857%4.0 / 7
D. Brown7117%3.5 / 3
G. Wallace630%3.0 / 10
D. Augustin330%1.5 / 5
K. Brown250%1.0 / 2
S. Collins0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3257%16.0 / 28
C. Bosh2261%11.0 / 18
D. Wade1134%5.5 / 16
Z. Ilgauskas880%4.0 / 5
C. Arroyo857%4.0 / 7
J. Jones758%3.5 / 6
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
E. House117%0.5 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+6
-14
84
MIA
79
+13
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.6
111.4
CHA 94.6
MIA 104.4 +9.8
Pace
89.5
91.3
CHA 103.2 +21.1
MIA 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
CHA 14.0 −3.6
MIA 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.4%
CHA 49.3% +3.7%
MIA 45.6%
TO %
15.2%
14.4%
CHA 15.7%
MIA 11.6% −4.1%
ORB %
25.7%
25.2%
CHA 5.6%
MIA 21.7% +16.1%
FTrt
31.4
36.3
CHA 31.0
MIA 33.8 +2.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
54.1%
CHA 63.6% +22.4%
MIA 41.2%
STL %
7.1%
7.3%
CHA 8.7% +2.1%
MIA 6.6%
BLK %
8.9%
8.5%
CHA 1.6%
MIA 5.6% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
55.7%
CHA 51.8% +0.7%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
55.8%
64.7%
CHA 65.4%
MIA 69.2% +3.8%
Mid FG%
40.3%
42.2%
CHA 42.9% +13.2%
MIA 29.7%
3P %
32.7%
37.0%
CHA 23.5%
MIA 29.4% +5.9%
FT %
75.6%
76.9%
CHA 77.3%
MIA 81.5% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.6%
31.6%
CHA 36.6% +4.1%
MIA 32.5%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
44.9%
CHA 39.4% −6.8%
MIA 46.3%
3P Att. %
18.9%
23.5%
CHA 23.9% +2.7%
MIA 21.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points8795
Rebounds3844
Assists2114
Steals86
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)34 (1)
Field Goals33-7134-80
At-the-Rim FG17-2618-26
Midrange FG12-2811-37
2-Point FG29-5429-63
3-Point FG4-175-17
Free Throws17-2222-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 33
41.3
30
60%
3
2
1
1
2
3
1
2
2-2
100%
8-15
53%
4-9
44%
F · 6'8" 250 · 29
41.2
8
57%
3
7
3
0
5
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 28
32.2
6
30%
9
2
1
0
4
6
1
8
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 183 · 23
24.6
3
30%
2
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 33
18.6
12
60%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 192 · 25
24.1
10
50%
6
2
0
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 233 · 23
21.3
7
117%
3
1
2
0
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
18.9
9
56%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 29
10.3
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 30
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 205 · 24
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 280 · 29
#15 · G · 6'5" 215 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'9" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'8" 235 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
52%
38
21
8
1
14
0
2
36
17-22
77%
29-54
54%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.