FinalWin Prob.pScore
463%100
95
2137%96
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.18486.6
MEM logo MEM
114.18582.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMGay 13' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
2.8%
97
97.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (House 4 AST)95
41.2%
95
58.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)93
21.4%
95
78.6%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (House 3 AST)93
14.2%
95
85.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0MEMConley 1' Layup (16 PTS)90
4.6%
95
95.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)90
12.2%
93
87.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIARandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)90
15.1%
93
84.9%
Q4 - 1:12MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)90
25.6%
93
74.4%
Q4 - 1:12MEMRandolph 1' Layup (21 PTS)90
25.6%
93
74.4%
Q4 - 1:13MEMMISS Gay 2' Layup90
48.4%
91
51.6%
Q4 - 1:30MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound90
39.1%
91
60.9%
Q4 - 1:30MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup90
49.7%
91
50.3%
Q4 - 1:32MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)90
39.4%
91
60.6%
Q4 - 1:33MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
49.8%
91
50.2%
Q4 - 1:51MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
40.6%
91
59.4%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot90
44.6%
91
55.4%
Q4 - 2:15MEMMayo 5' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)90
56.1%
91
43.9%
Q4 - 2:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)90
63.5%
89
36.5%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMayo BLOCK (1 BLK)90
68.4%
89
31.6%
Q4 - 2:46MEMConley 19' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
78.1%
89
21.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)90
81.9%
87
18.1%
Q4 - 3:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
67.7%
87
32.3%
Q4 - 3:21MEMMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot87
63.4%
87
36.6%
Q4 - 3:42MIAChalmers 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)87
55.7%
87
44.3%
Q4 - 4:11MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
46.6%
87
53.4%
Q4 - 4:11MEMGay 1' Putback Slam Dunk (13 PTS)85
46.6%
87
53.4%
Q4 - 4:13MEMMISS Randolph 7' Pullup Jump Shot85
62.6%
85
37.4%
Q4 - 4:24MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
55.5%
85
44.5%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
58.6%
85
41.4%
Q4 - 4:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
65.6%
85
34.4%
Q4 - 4:48MEMRandolph 1' Layup (19 PTS)85
65.6%
85
34.4%
Q4 - 4:49MEMMISS Conley 11' Floating Jump Shot85
78.7%
83
21.3%
Q4 - 4:59MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
73.3%
83
26.7%
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS James 2' Layup85
75.8%
83
24.2%
Q4 - 5:20MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
78.7%
83
21.3%
Q4 - 5:20MEMGasol 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)85
78.7%
83
21.3%
Q4 - 5:23MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
83.5%
81
16.5%
Q4 - 5:23MEMMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot85
86.7%
81
13.3%
Q4 - 5:25MEMMISS Mayo 12' Pullup Jump Shot85
86.7%
81
13.3%
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)85
83.6%
81
16.4%
Q4 - 6:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
77.9%
81
22.1%
Q4 - 6:10MEMMISS Mayo 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
76.1%
81
23.9%
Q4 - 6:35MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 11 AST)83
71.7%
81
28.3%
Q4 - 6:59MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P2.T11)80
58.4%
81
41.6%
Q4 - 7:12MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
52.3%
81
47.7%
Q4 - 7:28MEMGasol 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)80
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q4 - 7:54MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
65.7%
79
34.3%
Q4 - 8:11MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)77
53.7%
79
46.3%
Q4 - 8:11MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
66.2%
76
33.8%
Q4 - 8:13MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
70.0%
76
30.0%
Q4 - 8:31MIAHoward 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
66.2%
76
33.8%
Q4 - 8:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
60.0%
76
40.0%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS House 14' Turnaround Jump Shot75
55.7%
76
44.3%
Q4 - 8:51MEMYoung 7' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)75
60.0%
76
40.0%
Q4 - 9:03MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)75
66.1%
74
33.9%
Q4 - 9:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
54.6%
74
45.4%
Q4 - 9:18MEMMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot72
52.8%
74
47.2%
Q4 - 9:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
48.6%
74
51.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
47.7%
74
52.3%
Q4 - 9:49MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
42.5%
74
57.5%
Q4 - 9:49MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
43.7%
73
56.3%
Q4 - 9:59MEMVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
48.6%
72
51.4%
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot70
50.4%
72
49.6%
Q4 - 10:24MEMRandolph 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
55.1%
72
44.9%
Q4 - 10:26MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
60.6%
70
39.4%
Q4 - 10:27MEMMISS Young 15' Jump Shot70
64.3%
70
35.7%
Q4 - 10:55MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (House 2 AST)70
60.6%
70
39.4%
Q4 - 11:13MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
55.5%
70
44.5%
Q4 - 11:24MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
50.1%
70
49.9%
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
51.8%
70
48.2%
Q4 - 11:45MEMRandolph 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
55.5%
70
44.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM68
60.7%
68
39.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound68
60.7%
68
39.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
64.2%
68
35.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAJames 7' Running Bank Shot (19 PTS)68
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
55.8%
68
44.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
52.5%
68
47.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MEMRandolph 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)66
55.8%
68
44.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAYoung STEAL (1 STL)66
61.2%
66
38.8%
Q3 - 1:08MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P1.T9)66
65.6%
66
34.4%
Q3 - 1:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
61.4%
66
38.6%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot66
62.7%
66
37.3%
Q3 - 1:35MEMRandolph 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)66
65.5%
66
34.5%
Q3 - 1:46MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 10 AST)66
70.2%
64
29.8%
Q3 - 2:08MEMArthur 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)64
65.6%
64
34.4%
Q3 - 2:22MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)64
69.8%
62
30.2%
Q3 - 2:35MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
61.3%
62
38.7%
Q3 - 2:35MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
62.1%
61
37.9%
Q3 - 2:35MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound61
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 2:35MEMMISS Gay 5' Turnaround Jump Shot61
68.6%
60
31.4%
Q3 - 2:49MIAJames Reverse Layup (17 PTS)61
65.7%
60
34.3%
Q3 - 3:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 3:05MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 259
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q3 - 3:05MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 259
58.8%
60
41.2%
Q3 - 3:05MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound59
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 3:06MEMMISS Henry 6' Driving Jump Shot59
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 3:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
57.7%
60
42.3%
Q3 - 3:24MEMMISS Randolph 6' Turnaround Jump Shot59
60.8%
60
39.2%
Q3 - 3:43MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)59
57.6%
60
42.4%
Q3 - 3:59MEMConley 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
62.1%
60
37.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)59
65.8%
58
34.2%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
62.5%
58
37.5%
Q3 - 4:25MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
61.1%
58
38.9%
Q3 - 4:38MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
57.6%
58
42.4%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
59.1%
58
40.9%
Q3 - 4:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
62.5%
58
37.5%
Q3 - 4:52MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 157
61.9%
58
38.1%
Q3 - 5:08MIABosh 2' Dunk (13 PTS)57
65.6%
56
34.4%
Q3 - 5:26MEMGay Foul Turnover (P3.T8)55
62.2%
56
37.8%
Q3 - 5:43MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 9 AST)55
57.7%
56
42.3%
Q3 - 5:56MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
54.0%
56
46.0%
Q3 - 5:56MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
54.8%
55
45.2%
Q3 - 6:09MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)53
58.5%
54
41.5%
Q3 - 6:33MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
62.6%
54
37.4%
Q3 - 6:33MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
63.4%
53
36.6%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
65.3%
52
34.7%
Q3 - 7:00MEMArthur Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)51
62.6%
52
37.4%
Q3 - 7:16MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q3 - 7:30MEMHenry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q3 - 7:30MEMHenry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
56.0%
51
44.0%
Q3 - 7:33MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Bosh 7' Running Jump Shot49
59.9%
50
40.1%
Q3 - 7:46MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P2.T6)49
62.6%
50
37.4%
Q3 - 7:56MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 149
59.2%
50
40.8%
Q3 - 8:07MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
55.5%
50
44.5%
Q3 - 8:09MEMMISS Gay 14' Pullup Jump Shot47
54.3%
50
45.7%
Q3 - 8:27MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)47
51.5%
50
48.5%
Q3 - 8:46MEMConley 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)45
47.9%
50
52.1%
Q3 - 9:08MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
52.0%
48
48.0%
Q3 - 9:08MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)45
52.0%
48
48.0%
Q3 - 9:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot43
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Running Jump Shot43
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q3 - 9:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q3 - 9:26MEMMISS Henry 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
47.2%
48
52.8%
Q3 - 9:38MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
44.6%
48
55.4%
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q3 - 9:56MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Henry 3 AST)43
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q3 - 10:08MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
56.4%
45
43.6%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS James 19' Pullup Jump Shot43
57.5%
45
42.5%
Q3 - 10:24MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
59.9%
45
40.1%
Q3 - 10:25MEMMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot43
58.9%
45
41.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)43
56.3%
45
43.7%
Q3 - 10:53MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
59.9%
45
40.1%
Q3 - 10:53MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
60.6%
44
39.4%
Q3 - 11:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
57.2%
43
42.8%
Q3 - 11:09MEMMISS Gay 10' Pullup Jump Shot40
56.1%
43
43.9%
Q3 - 11:28MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
53.5%
43
46.5%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 239
53.0%
43
47.0%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHeat Rebound39
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q3 - 11:39MIAArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)39
51.2%
43
48.8%
Q3 - 11:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Bosh 5' Turnaround Jump Shot39
51.2%
43
48.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
53.7%
43
46.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Conley 13' Pullup Jump Shot39
52.6%
43
47.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)39
51.4%
43
48.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
47.3%
43
52.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
44.7%
43
55.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS James 17' Pullup Jump Shot37
45.5%
43
54.5%
Q2 - 1:23MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
47.9%
43
52.1%
Q2 - 1:23MEMConley 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)37
47.9%
43
52.1%
Q2 - 1:24MEMMISS Conley 8' Jump Shot37
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 1:40MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 1:42MEMMISS Henry 20' Jump Shot37
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 1:57MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound37
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 1:57MEMMISS Henry 18' Jump Shot37
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 2:25MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)37
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 2:32MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
48.9%
41
51.1%
Q2 - 2:47MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
45.6%
41
54.4%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot35
46.6%
41
53.4%
Q2 - 3:05MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
50.1%
41
49.9%
Q2 - 3:05MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
50.7%
40
49.3%
Q2 - 3:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
52.6%
39
47.4%
Q2 - 3:09MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)35
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q2 - 3:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot35
53.7%
39
46.3%
Q2 - 3:29MEMYoung 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)35
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)35
58.7%
37
41.3%
Q2 - 3:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
56.2%
37
43.8%
Q2 - 4:00MEMMISS Mayo 19' Pullup Jump Shot33
55.1%
37
44.9%
Q2 - 4:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
53.1%
37
46.9%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot33
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q2 - 4:41MEMYoung 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)33
56.4%
37
43.6%
Q2 - 4:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
59.1%
35
40.9%
Q2 - 4:49MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
61.3%
35
38.7%
Q2 - 5:02MIAArroyo 8' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)33
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 5:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
56.9%
35
43.1%
Q2 - 5:10MEMMISS Randolph 15' Turnaround Jump Shot31
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q2 - 5:25MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q2 - 5:48MEMYoung 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)28
48.0%
35
52.0%
Q2 - 6:02MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound28
51.1%
33
48.9%
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Bosh 7' Pullup Jump Shot28
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 6:22MEMRandolph 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)28
54.4%
33
45.6%
Q2 - 6:34MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)28
56.8%
31
43.2%
Q2 - 7:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
60.4%
31
39.6%
Q2 - 7:03MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 228
60.0%
31
40.0%
Q2 - 7:03MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
58.2%
31
41.8%
Q2 - 7:22MIAThabeet STEAL (1 STL)28
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 7:30MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
63.0%
30
37.0%
Q2 - 7:32MEMMISS Gay 1' Running Layup28
62.1%
30
37.9%
Q2 - 7:39MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
60.2%
30
39.8%
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
61.0%
30
39.0%
Q2 - 8:01MEMVasquez 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)28
63.3%
30
36.7%
Q2 - 8:19MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)28
65.6%
28
34.4%
Q2 - 8:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
60.7%
28
39.3%
Q2 - 8:31MEMMISS Vasquez 19' Jump Shot25
59.9%
28
40.1%
Q2 - 8:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
58.0%
28
42.0%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 224
57.5%
28
42.5%
Q2 - 9:11MEMMayo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)24
58.4%
28
41.6%
Q2 - 9:30MIABosh Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)24
55.7%
28
44.3%
Q2 - 9:39MIAHeat Rebound22
53.2%
28
46.8%
Q2 - 9:41MEMMISS Thabeet Free Throw 2 of 222
52.9%
28
47.1%
Q2 - 9:41MEMMISS Thabeet Free Throw 1 of 222
51.5%
28
48.5%
Q2 - 9:47MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
50.5%
28
49.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)22
51.4%
28
48.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
53.3%
28
46.7%
Q2 - 10:05MEMMISS Conley 21' Pullup Jump Shot22
52.4%
28
47.6%
Q2 - 10:27MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
50.5%
28
49.5%
Q2 - 10:52MEMHenry 21' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)20
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 11:04MEMHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
50.7%
26
49.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
51.5%
26
48.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
53.3%
26
46.7%
Q2 - 11:14MEMMISS Randolph Layup20
52.5%
26
47.5%
Q2 - 11:30MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)20
50.7%
26
49.3%
Q2 - 11:44MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
48.3%
26
51.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
46.1%
26
53.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 217
45.8%
26
54.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
44.2%
26
55.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS)17
46.5%
25
53.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
43.6%
25
56.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
41.7%
25
58.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
42.3%
25
57.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MEMArthur 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)15
43.6%
25
56.4%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)15
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 1:28MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)12
47.4%
20
52.6%
Q1 - 1:54MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 1:56MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot9
40.9%
20
59.1%
Q1 - 2:18MEMArthur 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)9
42.9%
20
57.1%
Q1 - 2:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 2:29MEMMISS Conley 1' Driving Layup9
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q1 - 2:43MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot9
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 3:12MEMHenry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
48.3%
18
51.7%
Q1 - 3:12MEMHenry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
48.9%
17
51.1%
Q1 - 3:35MIAArroyo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
50.5%
16
49.5%
Q1 - 4:01MEMArthur 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)7
49.0%
16
51.0%
Q1 - 4:16MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
51.0%
14
49.0%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot7
51.7%
14
48.3%
Q1 - 4:31MEMGay Putback Layup (6 PTS)7
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 4:35MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 4:36MEMMISS Henry 18' Jump Shot7
57.1%
12
42.9%
Q1 - 4:39MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound7
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 4:39MEMMISS Henry Layup7
57.1%
12
42.9%
Q1 - 4:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
55.4%
12
44.6%
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
56.1%
12
43.9%
Q1 - 5:12MEMArthur 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)7
57.9%
12
42.1%
Q1 - 5:28MEMHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
59.8%
10
40.2%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot7
60.5%
10
39.5%
Q1 - 5:46MEMGasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)7
62.0%
10
38.0%
Q1 - 6:02MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)7
64.1%
8
35.9%
Q1 - 6:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
60.2%
8
39.8%
Q1 - 6:21MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
58.1%
8
41.9%
Q1 - 7:00MEMArthur 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Henry 2 AST)2
56.1%
8
43.9%
Q1 - 7:12MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
58.5%
6
41.5%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot2
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 7:35MEMGay 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
60.7%
6
39.3%
Q1 - 7:41MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
62.4%
4
37.6%
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot2
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
64.5%
4
35.5%
Q1 - 8:03MEMMISS Gasol 6' Running Hook Shot2
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 8:22MIAIlgauskas 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 8:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.0%
4
39.0%
Q1 - 8:42MEMMISS Henry 5' Driving Jump Shot0
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:00MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
59.1%
4
40.9%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Stackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 9:14MIAStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.8%
4
38.2%
Q1 - 9:17MEMMISS Gasol 12' Jump Bank Shot0
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 9:25MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot0
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 9:36MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 9:37MEMMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot0
61.2%
4
38.8%
Q1 - 9:48MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 10:10MEMGay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 10:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
60.9%
4
39.1%
Q1 - 10:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.2%
4
37.8%
Q1 - 10:35MEMMISS Henry 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 10:50MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
60.3%
4
39.7%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot0
60.9%
4
39.1%
Q1 - 11:11MEMArthur 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)0
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 11:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
64.7%
2
35.3%
Q1 - 11:45MEMGay 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to0
67.3%
0
32.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
MEM
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
23
65%
MEM
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
13
34
38%
MEM
22
45
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
MEM
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
MEM
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2958%14.5 / 25
C. Bosh2063%10.0 / 16
E. House2077%10.0 / 13
C. Arroyo770%3.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones321%1.5 / 7
J. Stackhouse233%1.0 / 3
M. Chalmers2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph2162%10.5 / 17
M. Conley1657%8.0 / 14
R. Gay1547%7.5 / 16
D. Arthur1478%7.0 / 9
M. Gasol1169%5.5 / 8
S. Young1071%5.0 / 7
X. Henry627%3.0 / 11
O. Mayo214%1.0 / 7
G. Vasquez250%1.0 / 2
H. Thabeet0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-6
86
MEM
73
+20
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
MEM
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.3
MIA 113.1
MEM 114.1 +1.0
Pace
91.3
91.5
MIA 86.6 +4.1
MEM 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 16.6 +0.8
MEM 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.3%
MIA 54.4% +6.3%
MEM 48.1%
TO %
14.4%
14.5%
MIA 8.7% +2.9%
MEM 11.6%
ORB %
25.2%
28.8%
MIA 15.4%
MEM 35.0% +19.6%
FTrt
36.3
29.1
MIA 15.2
MEM 33.8 +18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
52.8%
MIA 52.6% +7.9%
MEM 44.7%
STL %
7.3%
10.2%
MIA 7.1% +4.7%
MEM 2.4%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 1.4%
MEM 8.8% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.1%
MIA 54.0% +1.8%
MEM 52.2%
Rim FG%
64.7%
59.4%
MIA 65.2% +2.7%
MEM 62.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.8%
MIA 38.2%
MEM 48.9% +10.7%
3P %
37.0%
33.4%
MIA 45.5% +36.4%
MEM 9.1%
FT %
76.9%
75.0%
MIA 75.0% +0.9%
MEM 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
41.6%
MIA 29.1%
MEM 30.0% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.8%
MIA 43.0% +13.2%
MEM 56.3%
3P Att. %
23.5%
13.6%
MIA 27.8% +14.1%
MEM 13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9597
Rebounds3247
Assists2017
Steals62
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals38-7938-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-24
Midrange FG13-3422-45
2-Point FG28-5737-69
3-Point FG10-221-11
Free Throws9-1220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.1
29
58%
3
11
1
0
4
2
0
3
5-6
83%
9-19
47%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.9
20
63%
10
0
2
0
1
4
2
8
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
30.5
6
38%
10
0
0
0
0
4
2
8
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
21.2
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 218 · 36
19.4
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
30.3
20
77%
1
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
6-9
67%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
19.6
3
21%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-6
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
15.6
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
11.4
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
7.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
54%
32
20
6
1
6
0
6
26
9-12
75%
28-57
49%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.