Final Win Prob. pScore
463%100
95
2137%96
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
113.18486.6
MEM logo Grizzlies
114.18582.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
97
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM95
97
Q4 - 0:00.0MEMGay 13' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)95
97
Q4 - 0:05.0MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 3)95
95
Q4 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Jones95
95
Q4 - 0:05.0MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)95
95
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAJames 1' Dunk (29 PTS) (House 4 AST)95
95
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)93
95
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (House 3 AST)93
95
Q4 - 0:38.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Chalmers90
95
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)90
95
Q4 - 0:38.0MEMConley 1' Layup (16 PTS)90
95
Q4 - 0:56.0MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)90
93
Q4 - 0:58.0MIARandolph BLOCK (1 BLK)90
93
Q4 - 1:12MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)90
93
Q4 - 1:12MEMRandolph 1' Layup (21 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 1:13MEMMISS Gay 2' Layup90
91
Q4 - 1:30MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound90
91
Q4 - 1:30MEMMISS Randolph 1' Layup90
91
Q4 - 1:32MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)90
91
Q4 - 1:33MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
91
Q4 - 1:51MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
91
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot90
91
Q4 - 2:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)90
91
Q4 - 2:15MEMMayo 5' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)90
91
Q4 - 2:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)90
89
Q4 - 2:22MIAMayo BLOCK (1 BLK)90
89
Q4 - 2:46MEMConley 19' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
89
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)90
87
Q4 - 3:09MEMGasol S.FOUL (P3.PN)89
87
Q4 - 3:09MIAJames 4' Driving Bank Shot (26 PTS)89
87
Q4 - 3:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
87
Q4 - 3:21MEMMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot87
87
Q4 - 3:42MIAChalmers 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS)87
87
Q4 - 4:11MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
87
Q4 - 4:11MEMGay 1' Putback Slam Dunk (13 PTS)85
87
Q4 - 4:13MEMMISS Randolph 7' Pullup Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 4:24MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
85
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
85
Q4 - 4:35MEMConley P.FOUL (P1.T4)85
85
Q4 - 4:48MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
85
Q4 - 4:48MEMRandolph 1' Layup (19 PTS)85
85
Q4 - 4:49MEMMISS Conley 11' Floating Jump Shot85
83
Q4 - 4:59MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
83
Q4 - 5:00MIAMISS James 2' Layup85
83
Q4 - 5:20MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
83
Q4 - 5:20MEMGasol 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)85
83
Q4 - 5:23MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
81
Q4 - 5:23MEMMISS Gasol 1' Tip Shot85
81
Q4 - 5:25MEMMISS Mayo 12' Pullup Jump Shot85
81
Q4 - 5:34MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.T4)85
81
Q4 - 5:44MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)85
81
Q4 - 5:51MIAJames Finger Roll Layup (24 PTS)85
81
Q4 - 6:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
81
Q4 - 6:10MEMMISS Mayo 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
81
Q4 - 6:35MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (James 11 AST)83
81
Q4 - 6:59MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P2.T11)80
81
Q4 - 6:59MEMRandolph OFF.Foul (P2)80
81
Q4 - 7:12MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Howard80
81
Q4 - 7:12MEMSUB: Gay FOR Young80
81
Q4 - 7:12MEMSUB: Conley FOR Vasquez80
81
Q4 - 7:12MIAHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
81
Q4 - 7:12MIAHoward Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T3)80
81
Q4 - 7:28MEMGasol 6' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)80
81
Q4 - 7:54MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)80
79
Q4 - 8:11MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)77
79
Q4 - 8:11MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Arthur77
78
Q4 - 8:1177
78
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T2)77
78
Q4 - 8:11MEMRandolph 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS)77
78
Q4 - 8:11MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
76
Q4 - 8:13MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 8:31MIAHoward 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)77
76
Q4 - 8:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
76
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS House 14' Turnaround Jump Shot75
76
Q4 - 8:51MEMYoung 7' Pullup Bank Shot (10 PTS)75
76
Q4 - 9:03MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)75
74
Q4 - 9:16MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
74
Q4 - 9:18MEMMISS Randolph 17' Jump Shot72
74
Q4 - 9:33MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
74
Q4 - 9:33MIASUB: James FOR Jones71
74
Q4 - 9:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
74
Q4 - 9:33MEMArthur S.FOUL (P3.T3)70
74
Q4 - 9:49MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
74
Q4 - 9:49MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)70
73
Q4 - 9:49MIAHoward S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
72
Q4 - 9:59MEMVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
72
Q4 - 10:00MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot70
72
Q4 - 10:08MEMVasquez P.FOUL (P3.T2)70
72
Q4 - 10:24MEMRandolph 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
72
Q4 - 10:26MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
70
Q4 - 10:27MEMMISS Young 15' Jump Shot70
70
Q4 - 10:55MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (House 2 AST)70
70
Q4 - 11:13MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)68
70
Q4 - 11:24MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
70
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
70
Q4 - 11:29MEMVasquez P.FOUL (P2.T1)68
70
Q4 - 11:45MEMRandolph 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
70
Q4 - 12:0068
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM68
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound68
68
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
68
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAJames 7' Running Bank Shot (19 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
68
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
68
Q3 - 0:44.0MEMRandolph 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)66
68
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAYoung STEAL (1 STL)66
66
Q3 - 1:08MEMSUB: Vasquez FOR Conley66
66
Q3 - 1:08MEMSUB: Young FOR Gay66
66
Q3 - 1:08MEMRandolph Foul Turnover (P1.T9)66
66
Q3 - 1:08MEMRandolph OFF.Foul (P1)66
66
Q3 - 1:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
66
Q3 - 1:17MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot66
66
Q3 - 1:25MIASUB: Bosh FOR Haslem66
66
Q3 - 1:25MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)66
66
Q3 - 1:35MEMRandolph 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Conley 6 AST)66
66
Q3 - 1:46MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 10 AST)66
64
Q3 - 2:08MEMArthur 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 5 AST)64
64
Q3 - 2:22MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)64
62
Q3 - 2:35MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
62
Q3 - 2:35MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
61
Q3 - 2:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)61
60
Q3 - 2:35MIAHoward L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)61
60
Q3 - 2:35MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound61
60
Q3 - 2:35MEMMISS Gay 5' Turnaround Jump Shot61
60
Q3 - 2:49MIAJames Reverse Layup (17 PTS)61
60
Q3 - 3:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
60
Q3 - 3:05MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 2 of 259
60
Q3 - 3:05MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh59
60
Q3 - 3:05MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo59
60
Q3 - 3:05MEMSUB: Mayo FOR Henry59
60
Q3 - 3:05MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound59
60
Q3 - 3:05MEMMISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 259
60
Q3 - 3:05MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)59
60
Q3 - 3:05MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound59
60
Q3 - 3:06MEMMISS Henry 6' Driving Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 3:20MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
60
Q3 - 3:24MEMMISS Randolph 6' Turnaround Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 3:43MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)59
60
Q3 - 3:59MEMConley 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 4:11MEMSUB: Arthur FOR Gasol59
58
Q3 - 4:11MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 2)59
58
Q3 - 4:13MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)59
58
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
58
Q3 - 4:25MEMMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 4:38MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
58
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 4:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
58
Q3 - 4:52MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 157
58
Q3 - 4:52MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)57
58
Q3 - 4:52MEMGasol 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)57
58
Q3 - 5:08MIABosh 2' Dunk (13 PTS)57
56
Q3 - 5:26MEMGay Foul Turnover (P3.T8)55
56
Q3 - 5:26MEMGay OFF.Foul (P1)55
56
Q3 - 5:43MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 9 AST)55
56
Q3 - 5:56MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
56
Q3 - 5:56MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)53
55
Q3 - 5:56MIASUB: Jones FOR Stackhouse53
54
Q3 - 5:56MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)53
54
Q3 - 5:56MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)53
54
Q3 - 6:09MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)53
54
Q3 - 6:33MEMRandolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
54
Q3 - 6:33MEMRandolph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
53
Q3 - 6:33MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
52
Q3 - 6:40MIASUB: Haslem FOR Ilgauskas53
52
Q3 - 6:40MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P4.T4)53
52
Q3 - 6:41MIAStackhouse P.FOUL (P2.T3)53
52
Q3 - 6:49MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
52
Q3 - 6:49MEMSUB: Randolph FOR Arthur52
52
Q3 - 6:49MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
52
Q3 - 6:49MEMGasol S.FOUL (P2.T4)51
52
Q3 - 7:00MEMArthur Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)51
52
Q3 - 7:16MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
52
Q3 - 7:30MEMHenry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
52
Q3 - 7:30MEMHenry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
51
Q3 - 7:30MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T2)49
50
Q3 - 7:33MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
50
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Bosh 7' Running Jump Shot49
50
Q3 - 7:46MEMGasol Foul Turnover (P2.T6)49
50
Q3 - 7:46MEMGasol OFF.Foul (P1)49
50
Q3 - 7:56MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
50
Q3 - 7:57MIAMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 149
50
Q3 - 7:57MEMHenry S.FOUL (P1.T3)49
50
Q3 - 7:57MIAStackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
50
Q3 - 8:07MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
50
Q3 - 8:09MEMMISS Gay 14' Pullup Jump Shot47
50
Q3 - 8:27MIAIlgauskas 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 8 AST)47
50
Q3 - 8:46MEMConley 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)45
50
Q3 - 9:08MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
48
Q3 - 9:08MIAIlgauskas 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)45
48
Q3 - 9:10MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
48
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Tip Shot43
48
Q3 - 9:12MIAMISS Arroyo 14' Running Jump Shot43
48
Q3 - 9:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
48
Q3 - 9:26MEMMISS Henry 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
48
Q3 - 9:38MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
48
Q3 - 9:38MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
48
Q3 - 9:56MEMConley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Henry 3 AST)43
48
Q3 - 10:08MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
45
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS James 19' Pullup Jump Shot43
45
Q3 - 10:24MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
45
Q3 - 10:25MEMMISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot43
45
Q3 - 10:38MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)43
45
Q3 - 10:53MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)43
45
Q3 - 10:53MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)43
44
Q3 - 10:53MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T1)43
43
Q3 - 11:04MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
43
Q3 - 11:04MEMArthur S.FOUL (P2.T2)42
43
Q3 - 11:04MIAJames 1' Driving Reverse Layup (12 PTS)42
43
Q3 - 11:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
43
Q3 - 11:09MEMMISS Gay 10' Pullup Jump Shot40
43
Q3 - 11:28MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
43
Q3 - 11:28MIAHeat Rebound39
43
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 239
43
Q3 - 11:28MEMArthur S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
43
Q3 - 11:39MIAHeat Rebound39
43
Q3 - 11:39MIAArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)39
43
Q3 - 11:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
43
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Bosh 5' Turnaround Jump Shot39
43
Q3 - 12:0039
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA39
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMMISS Conley 13' Pullup Jump Shot39
43
Q2 - 0:07.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh39
43
Q2 - 0:07.0MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)39
43
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAIlgauskas Violation:Kicked Ball39
43
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 0:36.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
43
Q2 - 0:37.0MEMMISS Young 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 0:54.0MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
43
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAMISS James 17' Pullup Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 1:23MEMConley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
43
Q2 - 1:23MEMConley 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 1:24MEMMISS Conley 8' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 1:40MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
41
Q2 - 1:42MEMMISS Henry 20' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 1:57MIAHouse L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)37
41
Q2 - 1:57MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound37
41
Q2 - 1:57MEMMISS Henry 18' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 2:25MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 7 AST)37
41
Q2 - 2:32MEMGasol Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
41
Q2 - 2:47MEMYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
41
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot35
41
Q2 - 3:05MEMYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
41
Q2 - 3:05MEMYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)35
40
Q2 - 3:05MIAStackhouse S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
39
Q2 - 3:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
39
Q2 - 3:09MIAGasol BLOCK (1 BLK)35
39
Q2 - 3:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
39
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot35
39
Q2 - 3:29MEMYoung 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)35
39
Q2 - 3:36MEMSUB: Conley FOR Vasquez35
37
Q2 - 3:36MEMSUB: Henry FOR Mayo35
37
Q2 - 3:36MEMSUB: Arthur FOR Randolph35
37
Q2 - 3:36MIASUB: James FOR Arroyo35
37
Q2 - 3:36MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
37
Q2 - 3:41MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)35
37
Q2 - 3:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
37
Q2 - 4:00MEMMISS Mayo 19' Pullup Jump Shot33
37
Q2 - 4:16MEMRandolph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot33
37
Q2 - 4:41MEMYoung 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)33
37
Q2 - 4:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
35
Q2 - 4:49MEMMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
35
Q2 - 5:02MIAArroyo 8' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS)33
35
Q2 - 5:08MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
35
Q2 - 5:10MEMMISS Randolph 15' Turnaround Jump Shot31
35
Q2 - 5:25MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
35
Q2 - 5:48MEMYoung 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 6:02MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound28
33
Q2 - 6:04MIAMISS Bosh 7' Pullup Jump Shot28
33
Q2 - 6:14MEMSUB: Gasol FOR Thabeet28
33
Q2 - 6:14MIASUB: Bosh FOR Haslem28
33
Q2 - 6:14MIASUB: Stackhouse FOR Jones28
33
Q2 - 6:14MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
33
Q2 - 6:22MEMRandolph 8' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)28
33
Q2 - 6:34MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)28
31
Q2 - 6:48MEMSUB: Young FOR Gay28
31
Q2 - 6:48MEMVasquez P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
31
Q2 - 7:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
31
Q2 - 7:03MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 2 of 228
31
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Arroyo FOR James28
31
Q2 - 7:03MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
31
Q2 - 7:03MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
30
Q2 - 7:22MIAThabeet STEAL (1 STL)28
30
Q2 - 7:30MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
30
Q2 - 7:32MEMMISS Gay 1' Running Layup28
30
Q2 - 7:39MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
30
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
30
Q2 - 8:01MEMVasquez 10' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)28
30
Q2 - 8:19MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)28
28
Q2 - 8:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
28
Q2 - 8:31MEMMISS Vasquez 19' Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 8:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
28
Q2 - 8:54MIAHeat Rebound24
28
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 224
28
Q2 - 8:5424
28
Q2 - 8:5424
28
Q2 - 8:54MEMThabeet S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
28
Q2 - 9:11MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Bosh24
28
Q2 - 9:11MEMMayo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)24
28
Q2 - 9:30MIABosh Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)24
28
Q2 - 9:39MIAHeat Rebound22
28
Q2 - 9:41MEMMISS Thabeet Free Throw 2 of 222
28
Q2 - 9:41MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound22
28
Q2 - 9:41MEMMISS Thabeet Free Throw 1 of 222
28
Q2 - 9:41MEMSUB: Vasquez FOR Conley22
28
Q2 - 9:41MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)22
28
Q2 - 9:47MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
28
Q2 - 9:49MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)22
28
Q2 - 10:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
28
Q2 - 10:05MEMMISS Conley 21' Pullup Jump Shot22
28
Q2 - 10:13MEMSUB: Mayo FOR Henry22
28
Q2 - 10:27MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
28
Q2 - 10:52MEMHenry 21' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)20
28
Q2 - 11:04MEMHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
26
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
26
Q2 - 11:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
26
Q2 - 11:14MEMMISS Randolph Layup20
26
Q2 - 11:30MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)20
26
Q2 - 11:44MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)18
26
Q2 - 11:44MEMGRIZZLIES T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Thabeet )17
26
Q2 - 12:0017
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA17
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound17
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
26
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMMISS Conley Free Throw 2 of 217
26
Q1 - 0:04.0MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
26
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.PN)17
25
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS)17
25
Q1 - 0:34.0MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)15
25
Q1 - 0:42.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
25
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
25
Q1 - 0:54.0MEMArthur 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)15
25
Q1 - 1:07MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 5 AST)15
23
Q1 - 1:28MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
23
Q1 - 1:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)12
22
Q1 - 1:28MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
22
Q1 - 1:28MEMGasol 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
22
Q1 - 1:49MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 4 AST)12
20
Q1 - 1:54MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
20
Q1 - 1:56MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS James 7' Jump Shot9
20
Q1 - 2:18MEMArthur 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)9
20
Q1 - 2:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
18
Q1 - 2:29MEMMISS Conley 1' Driving Layup9
18
Q1 - 2:43MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
18
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot9
18
Q1 - 3:12MEMHenry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
18
Q1 - 3:12MIASUB: Magloire FOR Ilgauskas9
17
Q1 - 3:12MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo9
17
Q1 - 3:12MEMHenry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
17
Q1 - 3:12MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)9
16
Q1 - 3:35MIAArroyo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
16
Q1 - 4:01MEMArthur 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)7
16
Q1 - 4:16MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
14
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot7
14
Q1 - 4:25MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh7
14
Q1 - 4:31MEMGay Putback Layup (6 PTS)7
14
Q1 - 4:35MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
12
Q1 - 4:36MEMMISS Henry 18' Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 4:39MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound7
12
Q1 - 4:39MEMMISS Henry Layup7
12
Q1 - 4:44MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
12
Q1 - 4:45MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 4:51MIASUB: Jones FOR Stackhouse7
12
Q1 - 4:51MEMGRIZZLIES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)7
12
Q1 - 5:12MEMArthur 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)7
12
Q1 - 5:28MEMHenry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot7
10
Q1 - 5:46MEMGasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)7
10
Q1 - 6:02MIAArroyo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)7
8
Q1 - 6:20MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
8
Q1 - 6:21MEMMISS Gay 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 6:37MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)4
8
Q1 - 7:00MEMArthur 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Henry 2 AST)2
8
Q1 - 7:12MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
6
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 7:35MEMGay 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 7:41MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
4
Q1 - 7:42MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
4
Q1 - 8:03MEMMISS Gasol 6' Running Hook Shot2
4
Q1 - 8:22MIAIlgauskas 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 8:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 8:42MEMMISS Henry 5' Driving Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 8:50MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P1.T2)0
4
Q1 - 9:00MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
4
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Stackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:14MIAStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 9:17MEMMISS Gasol 12' Jump Bank Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:25MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:36MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
4
Q1 - 9:37MEMMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:48MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 9:48MIABosh Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:10MEMGay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS James 8' Turnaround Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:34MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:35MEMMISS Henry 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:50MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
4
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 11:11MEMArthur 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Bosh 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:45MEMGay 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAIlgauskas Violation:Jump Ball0
0
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAMEM
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
MEM
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
23
65%
MEM
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIA
13
34
38%
MEM
22
45
49%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
MEM
1
1.5
11
9%
14%
Free Throws
MIA
9
12
75%
MEM
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2958%14.5 / 25
C. Bosh2063%10.0 / 16
E. House2077%10.0 / 13
C. Arroyo770%3.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas638%3.0 / 8
U. Haslem450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones321%1.5 / 7
J. Stackhouse233%1.0 / 3
M. Chalmers2100%1.0 / 1
J. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Randolph2162%10.5 / 17
M. Conley1657%8.0 / 14
R. Gay1547%7.5 / 16
D. Arthur1478%7.0 / 9
M. Gasol1169%5.5 / 8
S. Young1071%5.0 / 7
X. Henry627%3.0 / 11
O. Mayo214%1.0 / 7
G. Vasquez250%1.0 / 2
H. Thabeet0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-6
86
MEM
73
+20
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
MEM
1.04 52.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.3
MIA 113.1
MEM 114.1 +1.0
Pace
91.3
91.5
MIA 86.6 +4.1
MEM 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 16.6 −0.8
MEM 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
49.3%
MIA 54.4% +6.3%
MEM 48.1%
TO %
14.4%
14.5%
MIA 8.7% −2.9%
MEM 11.6%
ORB %
25.2%
28.8%
MIA 15.4%
MEM 35.0% +19.6%
FTrt
36.3
29.1
MIA 15.2
MEM 33.8 +18.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
52.8%
MIA 52.6% +7.9%
MEM 44.7%
STL %
7.3%
10.2%
MIA 7.1% +4.7%
MEM 2.4%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 1.4%
MEM 8.8% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.1%
MIA 54.0% +1.8%
MEM 52.2%
Rim FG%
64.7%
59.4%
MIA 65.2% +2.7%
MEM 62.5%
Mid FG%
42.2%
39.8%
MIA 38.2%
MEM 48.9% +10.7%
3P %
37.0%
33.4%
MIA 45.5% +36.4%
MEM 9.1%
FT %
76.9%
75.0%
MIA 75.0% +0.9%
MEM 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
41.6%
MIA 29.1%
MEM 30.0% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
44.8%
MIA 43.0% −13.2%
MEM 56.3%
3P Att. %
23.5%
13.6%
MIA 27.8% +14.1%
MEM 13.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAMEM
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points9597
Rebounds3247
Assists2017
Steals62
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (2)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals38-7938-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2315-24
Midrange FG13-3422-45
2-Point FG28-5737-69
3-Point FG10-221-11
Free Throws9-1220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.1
29
58%
3
11
1
0
4
2
0
3
5-6
83%
9-19
47%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
38.9
20
63%
10
0
2
0
1
4
2
8
3-4
75%
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
30.5
6
38%
10
0
0
0
0
4
2
8
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
21.2
7
70%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'6" 218 · 36
19.4
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
30.3
20
77%
1
4
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
6-9
67%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
19.6
3
21%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-6
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
15.6
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
11.4
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
7.9
2
100%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
54%
32
20
6
1
6
0
6
26
9-12
75%
28-57
49%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.