FinalWin Prob.pScore
2818%94
103
882%106
107
ORTG#PossPace
NJN
110.89385.0
DEN logo DEN
117.691100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsNetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNJNDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0NJN103
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Outlaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)103
2.3%
107
97.7%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)103
2.7%
106
97.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)103
4.7%
105
95.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0NJNMISS Lopez 2' Layup103
6.9%
105
93.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0NJNNets Rebound103
15.5%
105
84.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENMISS Anthony 12' Fadeaway Jumper103
11.8%
105
88.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0NJNHarris 1' Layup (12 PTS)103
8.5%
105
91.5%
Q4 - 0:50.0DENJump Ball Billups vs. Harris: Tip to Harris101
4.9%
105
95.1%
Q4 - 1:04DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)101
3.2%
105
96.8%
Q4 - 1:06NJNMISS Farmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
4.0%
105
96.0%
Q4 - 1:25DENAnthony 6' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS)101
7.8%
105
92.2%
Q4 - 1:44NJNOutlaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lopez 3 AST)101
13.2%
103
86.8%
Q4 - 1:58DENAnthony 3' Layup (24 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)98
5.5%
103
94.5%
Q4 - 2:15DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
8.4%
101
91.6%
Q4 - 2:17NJNMISS Farmar Free Throw 2 of 298
9.2%
101
90.8%
Q4 - 2:17NJNFarmar Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)98
12.0%
101
88.0%
Q4 - 2:24NJNNets Rebound97
10.2%
101
89.8%
Q4 - 2:25NJNMISS Farmar 3PT Jump Shot97
6.4%
101
93.6%
Q4 - 2:46NJNOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
10.3%
101
89.7%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Anthony 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup97
8.4%
101
91.6%
Q4 - 2:59NJNLopez Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
6.2%
101
93.8%
Q4 - 2:59NJNLopez Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
5.8%
101
94.2%
Q4 - 2:59NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 295
4.2%
101
95.8%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 295
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 3:13NJNHarris 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)95
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 3:29DENNene 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)93
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 3:37DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
4.1%
99
95.9%
Q4 - 3:38NJNMISS Lopez 4' Hook Shot93
4.6%
99
95.4%
Q4 - 3:57NJNOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
5.8%
99
94.2%
Q4 - 3:59NJNMISS Lopez 7' Jump Bank Shot93
4.4%
99
95.6%
Q4 - 4:14NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 4:14DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
3.8%
99
96.2%
Q4 - 4:14DENMISS Harrington 1' Tip Shot93
5.0%
99
95.0%
Q4 - 4:16DENMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot93
5.0%
99
95.0%
Q4 - 4:41DENNUGGETS Rebound93
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 4:41NJNMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot93
4.2%
99
95.8%
Q4 - 5:00NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 5:03DENMISS Anthony 12' Fadeaway Jumper93
6.3%
99
93.7%
Q4 - 5:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
5.0%
99
95.0%
Q4 - 5:14NJNMISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
5.5%
99
94.5%
Q4 - 5:29DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
6.9%
99
93.1%
Q4 - 5:29DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
7.5%
98
92.5%
Q4 - 5:42NJNFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)93
9.2%
97
90.8%
Q4 - 5:42NJNMISS Favors Free Throw 1 of 292
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 5:55DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)92
9.4%
97
90.6%
Q4 - 6:13NJNFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
16.8%
94
83.2%
Q4 - 6:13NJNFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
15.6%
94
84.4%
Q4 - 6:13NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
13.2%
94
86.8%
Q4 - 6:13NJNHarrington BLOCK (2 BLK)90
10.8%
94
89.2%
Q4 - 6:35NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
13.2%
94
86.8%
Q4 - 6:36DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
12.1%
94
87.9%
Q4 - 6:52DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
9.9%
94
90.1%
Q4 - 6:54NJNMISS Morrow Free Throw 1 of 190
10.3%
94
89.7%
Q4 - 7:01DENSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)87
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 7:07NJNLopez 3' Jump Bank Hook Shot (18 PTS)87
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 7:10NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 7:11NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 7:11NJNMISS Morrow 1' Tip Shot85
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 7:14NJNMISS Harris 23' Jump Shot85
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q4 - 7:33NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 7:35DENMISS Harrington 3PT Jump Shot85
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 7:52NJNHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 7:52NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 8:10DENLawson 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 8:21NJNLopez 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)83
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 8:37DENSmith 2' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)81
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 8:49NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:49NJNHumphries 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)81
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 8:50NJNMISS Lopez 12' Jump Shot79
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 9:07NJNNets Rebound79
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 9:08DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 9:20NJNHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)79
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 9:20NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 9:28NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Harrington 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot77
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 9:42DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 9:44NJNMISS Lopez 10' Jump Hook Shot77
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q4 - 10:06DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)77
2.1%
90
97.9%
Q4 - 10:26NJNMorrow 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)77
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q4 - 10:41DENLawson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 10:55DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 10:56NJNMISS Outlaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 11:23DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Forbes 1 AST)75
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 11:29DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q4 - 11:33NJNHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)75
5.8%
83
94.2%
Q4 - 11:38NJNPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q4 - 11:43DENMISS Smith 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJN75
5.5%
83
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NJNNets Rebound75
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0NJNMISS Graham 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
6.2%
83
93.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)75
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENNUGGETS Rebound75
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q3 - 0:23.0NJNMISS Williams 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
10.9%
80
89.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)75
12.3%
80
87.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
17.7%
77
82.3%
Q3 - 0:45.0NJNMISS Petro 21' Jump Shot75
18.5%
77
81.5%
Q3 - 1:08NJNPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
20.2%
77
79.8%
Q3 - 1:09DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot75
19.4%
77
80.6%
Q3 - 1:22NJNPetro 1' Layup (4 PTS)75
17.5%
77
82.5%
Q3 - 1:25NJNPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q3 - 1:26NJNMISS Petro 21' Jump Shot73
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q3 - 1:43DENEly Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q3 - 1:43DENMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 273
15.4%
76
84.6%
Q3 - 1:43DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
14.8%
76
85.2%
Q3 - 1:43NJNMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
15.5%
76
84.5%
Q3 - 2:03DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)73
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q3 - 2:06DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 2:08DENMISS Ely Free Throw 2 of 273
16.7%
76
83.3%
Q3 - 2:08DENMISS Ely Free Throw 1 of 273
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q3 - 2:27NJNFavors Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
14.6%
76
85.4%
Q3 - 2:27NJNFavors Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
13.9%
76
86.1%
Q3 - 2:40DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
12.3%
76
87.7%
Q3 - 2:40DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)71
12.9%
75
87.1%
Q3 - 2:40DENNUGGETS Rebound71
14.6%
74
85.4%
Q3 - 2:40DENMISS Anthony 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q3 - 2:48NJNFarmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
14.6%
74
85.4%
Q3 - 3:13DENAnthony 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 3:31NJNOutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q3 - 3:31NJNMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 267
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 3:51DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)67
12.3%
72
87.7%
Q3 - 3:55NJNAnthony STEAL (1 STL)67
16.7%
69
83.3%
Q3 - 4:09NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Afflalo 12' Jump Shot67
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 4:26NJNLopez 9' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)67
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q3 - 4:39NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
14.5%
69
85.5%
Q3 - 4:40DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
13.8%
69
86.2%
Q3 - 4:48NJNMorrow 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
12.2%
69
87.8%
Q3 - 5:00NJNNets Rebound63
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 5:00NJNOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 5:00NJNMISS Outlaw 2' Tip Shot63
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 5:01NJNMISS Farmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 5:14DENNene 2' Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)63
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 5:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Anthony 5' Running Jump Shot63
13.7%
67
86.3%
Q3 - 5:42NJNLopez 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 6:06DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)61
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 6:23NJNFarmar Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)61
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 6:28NJNFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 6:29DENMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot61
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 6:49NJNBillups STEAL (1 STL)61
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 7:07NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 7:09DENMISS Anthony 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 7:25NJNOutlaw 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Farmar 5 AST)61
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 7:48DENAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 7:48DENAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 7:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 7:54NJNMISS Morrow 14' Jump Shot59
9.7%
65
90.3%
Q3 - 8:00DENAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)59
10.7%
65
89.3%
Q3 - 8:23NJNOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 8:40DENAnthony 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)56
7.1%
65
92.9%
Q3 - 8:47DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 8:48NJNMISS Humphries 10' Fadeaway Jumper56
8.5%
63
91.5%
Q3 - 9:09DENShel. Williams 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)56
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 9:13DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 9:14DENMISS Nene 14' Jump Shot56
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 9:28DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 9:30NJNMISS Lopez 1' Driving Layup56
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 9:42NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 9:43DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
11.7%
61
88.3%
Q3 - 9:53DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 9:55NJNMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot56
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 10:15DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q3 - 10:15DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)56
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 10:15DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 10:16DENMISS Nene 2' Finger Roll Layup56
14.8%
59
85.2%
Q3 - 10:33NJNHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 10:33NJNHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
13.1%
59
86.9%
Q3 - 10:51NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Afflalo 1' Driving Layup54
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 11:01DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 11:03NJNMISS Humphries 5' Jump Hook Shot54
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 11:15NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q3 - 11:16DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot54
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q3 - 11:36NJNNets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)54
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q3 - 11:36NJNNets Rebound54
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q3 - 11:37NJNMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot54
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN54
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
10.5%
59
89.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Lopez 1' Layup54
11.2%
59
88.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
11.9%
59
88.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0DENMISS Nene 8' Jump Hook Shot54
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0NJNFarmar 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)54
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)51
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q2 - 0:47.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
9.7%
57
90.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0NJNMISS Lopez 11' Jump Shot51
9.9%
57
90.1%
Q2 - 1:06DENAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)51
10.6%
57
89.4%
Q2 - 1:15DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q2 - 1:16NJNMISS Lopez 20' Jump Shot51
12.6%
55
87.4%
Q2 - 1:34DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)51
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q2 - 1:51NJNLopez 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)51
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q2 - 2:10DENAnthony 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)49
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 2:21NJNHumphries Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)49
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 2:26DENBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)46
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 2:41NJNFarmar 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
12.0%
50
88.0%
Q2 - 2:56NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q2 - 2:58DENMISS Billups Free Throw 2 of 243
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 2:58DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
8.6%
50
91.4%
Q2 - 3:04NJNHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
9.4%
49
90.6%
Q2 - 3:04NJNHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)42
9.3%
49
90.7%
Q2 - 3:13NJNOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 3:14DENMISS Lawson 22' Jump Shot41
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q2 - 3:23DENNUGGETS Rebound41
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 3:24NJNBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)41
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 3:25NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 3:26NJNMISS Humphries 8' Fadeaway Jumper41
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 3:40NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
8.6%
49
91.4%
Q2 - 3:42DENMISS Nene 7' Fadeaway Jumper41
8.3%
49
91.7%
Q2 - 3:55DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 3:56NJNMISS Outlaw 14' Fadeaway Jumper41
7.8%
49
92.2%
Q2 - 4:17DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
8.5%
49
91.5%
Q2 - 4:17DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 4:33NJNOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)41
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 4:53DENForbes 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 5:10DENNUGGETS Rebound38
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q2 - 5:11NJNMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot38
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 5:26DENEly 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)38
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 5:38DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 5:41NJNMISS Harris 15' Turnaround Jump Shot38
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 6:08DENForbes 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)38
12.0%
43
88.0%
Q2 - 6:19NJNWilliams Palming Turnover (P1.T3)38
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 6:29NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 6:30DENMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot38
14.1%
41
85.9%
Q2 - 6:38DENForbes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 6:39NJNMISS Farmar 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 6:47DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 6:56NJNFarmar 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 7:18DENEly Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)36
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 7:34NJNFavors 4' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)36
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 7:55DENEly 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)34
14.4%
37
85.6%
Q2 - 8:11NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 8:11NJNWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 8:34DENSmith 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)32
14.2%
35
85.8%
Q2 - 8:46NJNPetro 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Farmar 4 AST)32
15.5%
33
84.5%
Q2 - 9:05NJNNets Rebound30
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 9:05DENMISS Harrington 2' Layup30
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 9:18DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
12.8%
33
87.2%
Q2 - 9:19NJNMISS Favors 2' Layup30
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 9:21NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 9:23NJNMISS Outlaw 30' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 9:29NJNFarmar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 9:31DENMISS Anthony 1' Driving Layup30
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 9:43DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
12.8%
33
87.2%
Q2 - 9:44NJNMISS Outlaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.2%
33
86.8%
Q2 - 10:04DENEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 10:04DENEly 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)30
14.2%
33
85.8%
Q2 - 10:08DENMISS Smith 5' Driving Jump Shot30
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 10:26NJNFavors Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)30
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 10:48DENLawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)27
13.0%
31
87.0%
Q2 - 10:53DENEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 10:54DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot27
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 11:20NJNFavors 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Farmar 2 AST)27
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 11:39NJNGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 11:40NJNMISS Petro 19' Jump Shot25
13.4%
28
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJN25
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 125
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
15.4%
26
84.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0NJNMISS Lopez 20' Jump Shot25
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENAnthony 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)25
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0NJNFavors 2' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)25
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q1 - 1:04DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 1:04DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 223
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 1:23NJNMorrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)23
16.7%
23
83.3%
Q1 - 1:37NJNGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.9%
23
86.1%
Q1 - 1:38DENMISS Harrington 20' Fadeaway Jumper20
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 1:54NJNFarmar 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
13.1%
23
86.9%
Q1 - 2:09NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 2:10NJNMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot18
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 2:24DENHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 2:34DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
14.2%
20
85.8%
Q1 - 2:35NJNMISS Morrow 19' Jump Shot18
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 2:58DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 2:58DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
15.3%
19
84.7%
Q1 - 3:02NJNNene STEAL (1 STL)18
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 3:24DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 3:24DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 3:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
18.9%
16
81.1%
Q1 - 3:34NJNMISS Morrow 17' Jump Shot18
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 3:50DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
20.5%
16
79.5%
Q1 - 3:57DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.5%
13
76.5%
Q1 - 3:58NJNMISS Favors 2' Layup18
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 4:05NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
24.4%
13
75.6%
Q1 - 4:07DENMISS Anthony Layup18
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 4:08DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 4:09DENMISS Anthony 2' Layup18
23.9%
13
76.1%
Q1 - 4:22NJNMorrow 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Favors 1 AST)18
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 4:31NJNNets Rebound16
21.3%
13
78.7%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Afflalo 19' Jump Shot16
20.8%
13
79.2%
Q1 - 4:59NJNLopez 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
19.7%
13
80.3%
Q1 - 5:19NJNFavors REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 5:21DENMISS Anthony 16' Jump Shot14
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 5:35NJNHarris Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 5:39NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 5:40DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot14
17.9%
13
82.1%
Q1 - 5:49DENShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 5:51DENMISS Shel. Williams 1' Layup14
17.9%
13
82.1%
Q1 - 5:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 5:59NJNMISS Lopez 17' Jump Shot14
17.4%
13
82.6%
Q1 - 6:12NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 6:14DENMISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot14
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 6:28NJNHarris 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 6:51DENAnthony 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)12
15.7%
13
84.3%
Q1 - 7:16NJNOutlaw 1' Driving Dunk (3 PTS)12
16.4%
11
83.6%
Q1 - 7:29NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 7:30DENMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot10
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 7:41NJNLopez 1' Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)10
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 7:44NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:45NJNMISS Morrow 12' Jump Shot8
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 7:53NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 7:55DENMISS Shel. Williams 2' Driving Layup8
13.1%
11
86.9%
Q1 - 8:08NJNLopez 9' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)8
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 8:25DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 8:25DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 8:40NJNHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:40NJNHumphries 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)6
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:41NJNMISS Harris 1' Driving Layup4
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 8:57NJNMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 8:58DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot4
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 9:07DENAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 9:08NJNMISS Lopez 22' Jump Shot4
11.0%
9
89.0%
Q1 - 9:21NJNLopez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot4
11.3%
9
88.7%
Q1 - 9:40NJNLopez 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
10.8%
9
89.2%
Q1 - 10:00DENAnthony 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 10:05DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 10:06NJNMISS Outlaw 12' Running Jump Shot2
11.1%
7
88.9%
Q1 - 10:17DENBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)2
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 10:31DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.1%
4
86.9%
Q1 - 10:34NJNMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 22
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:34NJNHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
13.7%
4
86.3%
Q1 - 10:51DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T1)1
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:52DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 10:54NJNMISS Outlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
12.6%
4
87.4%
Q1 - 11:10DENAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)1
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 11:23NJNOutlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:23NJNMISS Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 20
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:42DENNene 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)0
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Lopez: Tip to Billups0
14.7%
0
85.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.97 48.6%
DEN
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NJN
19
33
58%
DEN
20
33
61%
Midrange
NJN
11
37
30%
DEN
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NJN
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
DEN
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
NJN
25
31
81%
DEN
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Lopez2045%10.0 / 22
T. Outlaw1550%7.5 / 15
J. Farmar1464%7.0 / 11
D. Favors1478%7.0 / 9
A. Morrow1250%6.0 / 12
D. Harris1250%6.0 / 12
K. Humphries1056%5.0 / 9
J. Petro433%2.0 / 6
T. Williams225%1.0 / 4
S. Graham0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Anthony2852%14.0 / 27
Nene2261%11.0 / 18
T. Lawson1594%7.5 / 8
J. Smith1161%5.5 / 9
M. Ely975%4.5 / 6
C. Billups867%4.0 / 6
A. Afflalo542%2.5 / 6
G. Forbes4100%2.0 / 2
A. Harrington321%1.5 / 7
S. Williams220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NJN
87
+19
-6
106
DEN
84
+10
-7
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NJN
0.97 48.6%
DEN
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
112.7
NJN 110.8
DEN 117.6 +6.8
Pace
90.1
95.2
NJN 85.0
DEN 100.5 +15.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.4
14.3
NJN 16.9
DEN 14.3 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
52.6%
NJN 43.8%
DEN 51.9% +8.1%
TO %
14.2%
14.5%
NJN 6.4% +0.5%
DEN 6.9%
ORB %
26.2%
23.8%
NJN 28.3% +6.3%
DEN 22.0%
FTrt
28.3
36.7
NJN 34.8
DEN 40.0 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
57.6%
NJN 44.4%
DEN 63.2% +18.8%
STL %
6.1%
7.7%
NJN 5.4% +2.1%
DEN 3.3%
BLK %
7.4%
6.8%
NJN 4.5% +0.2%
DEN 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
56.3%
NJN 48.6%
DEN 56.3% +7.7%
Rim FG%
56.1%
58.5%
NJN 57.6%
DEN 60.6% +3.0%
Mid FG%
39.7%
40.0%
NJN 29.7%
DEN 32.4% +2.7%
3P %
34.3%
38.8%
NJN 31.6%
DEN 53.8% +22.2%
FT %
75.9%
76.6%
NJN 80.6% +5.6%
DEN 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.6%
42.5%
NJN 37.1%
DEN 41.3% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
47.3%
31.8%
NJN 41.6% +0.9%
DEN 42.5%
3P Att. %
20.1%
25.8%
NJN 21.3% +5.1%
DEN 16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsNJNDEN
Possessions9391
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points103107
Rebounds4542
Assists1624
Steals53
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)6 (1)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (6)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (4)33 (4)
Field Goals36-8938-80
At-the-Rim FG19-3320-33
Midrange FG11-3711-34
2-Point FG30-7031-67
3-Point FG6-197-13
Free Throws25-3124-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 207 · 26
43.2
15
50%
4
1
2
0
0
4
2
2
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
1-6
17%
C · 7'1" 282 · 23
37.0
20
45%
8
3
1
1
2
5
2
6
2-2
100%
9-21
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
32.6
12
50%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 185 · 28
29.8
12
50%
2
4
1
0
1
3
0
2
6-6
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
19.1
10
56%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 180 · 24
26.7
14
64%
2
5
1
0
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19
24.9
14
78%
8
1
0
0
0
4
3
5
6-7
86%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 25
10.9
4
33%
3
0
0
2
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
8.3
2
25%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28
7.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35
#7 · F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F-G · 6'6" 193 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
49%
45
16
5
3
6
0
13
32
25-31
81%
30-70
43%
6-19
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.