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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 21, 2010
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors19%9989
2Lakers81%110117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.0
31.8
40.0
16
41%
1
1
3
1
1
2
0
1
6-6
100%
5-14
4-8
36%
47%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
29.1
28.6
9
51%
9
2
1
1
1
3
7
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
24.1
36.2
13
60%
3
2
1
2
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
6-13
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
23.4
40.3
5
25%
2
3
0
2
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-7
8-16
14%
49%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
18.4
18.0
9
65%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 24.8
26.4
13.1
9
44%
10
1
0
0
1
0
6
4
3-5
60%
3-8
1-3
38%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
22.5
23.8
5
21%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-6
3-5
17%
50%
0-4
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
21.6
3.5
4
40%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
42%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.2
17.9
3.8
13
58%
3
2
2
0
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
4-8
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
15.4
12.5
2
25%
7
0
1
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 26.6
9.3
10.8
4
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
5.4
0
1-2
51%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.0
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.4
30.0
37.1
28
104%
9
5
0
1
4
1
1
8
8-8
100%
10-10
8-15
100%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.0
27.1
35.7
15
77%
10
3
1
1
2
5
1
9
4-4
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.2
26.6
32.4
20
54%
6
5
0
1
0
0
3
3
6-6
100%
7-14
8-15
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.3
23.4
26.8
8
67%
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.0
20.6
25.1
2
33%
0
3
2
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.7
20.4
22.5
9
65%
3
3
2
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.0
19.5
17.9
17
85%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
3-3
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 30.7
19.5
18.7
6
75%
4
6
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-4
50%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.5
17.2
8.7
2
18%
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
1-5
1-2
20%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
14.9
5.1
7
52%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
1-4
25%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
13.0
5.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.7
7.7
5.1
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.1
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.