Final Win Prob. pScore
147%94
95
453%95
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
106.78989.9
ORL logo Magic
114.39190.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL95
104
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:15)95
104
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot95
104
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
104
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 295
104
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Richardson95
104
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
104
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)95
103
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Pietrus95
103
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)95
103
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (25 PTS)95
103
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)93
103
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
103
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Richardson93
102
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
102
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHouse P.FOUL (P4.PN)93
101
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)93
101
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Rebound92
101
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 292
101
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLRichardson P.FOUL (P1.PN)92
101
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)92
101
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)92
101
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
101
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Gortat92
101
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Pietrus92
101
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAHeat Rebound92
101
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 292
101
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLRedick S.FOUL (P2.PN)92
101
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)92
101
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLGortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
100
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)92
99
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Nelson91
99
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLNelson Ejection:Second Technical91
99
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLNelson T.FOUL (P4.T4)91
99
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHouse S.FOUL (P3.PN)91
99
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)91
99
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
99
Q4 - 1:06ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)91
99
Q4 - 1:06ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bass91
98
Q4 - 1:06MIASUB: Jones FOR Ilgauskas91
98
Q4 - 1:06ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)91
98
Q4 - 1:06MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P5.PN)91
97
Q4 - 1:19MIAJames Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T10)91
97
Q4 - 1:27MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
97
Q4 - 1:28ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 2 of 291
97
Q4 - 1:28ORLMAGIC Rebound91
97
Q4 - 1:28ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 291
97
Q4 - 1:28MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.PN)91
97
Q4 - 1:43MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (22 PTS)91
97
Q4 - 1:56ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)89
97
Q4 - 2:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)89
95
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
95
Q4 - 2:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
95
Q4 - 2:28ORLMISS Redick 29' 3PT Jump Shot89
95
Q4 - 2:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
95
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot89
95
Q4 - 3:11ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis89
95
Q4 - 3:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)89
95
Q4 - 3:12ORLRedick 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nelson 14 AST)89
95
Q4 - 3:23ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
93
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
93
Q4 - 3:29MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
93
Q4 - 3:31ORLMISS Lewis 2' Driving Layup89
93
Q4 - 3:37ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
93
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot89
93
Q4 - 3:54ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)89
93
Q4 - 4:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)89
91
Q4 - 4:06MIAMISS Bosh 1' Alley Oop Layup89
91
Q4 - 4:21ORLNelson 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
91
Q4 - 4:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)89
89
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 289
89
Q4 - 4:36ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bass89
89
Q4 - 4:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
89
Q4 - 4:36ORLBass S.FOUL (P1.T4)88
89
Q4 - 4:48ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
89
Q4 - 4:48ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis88
88
Q4 - 4:48ORLMAGIC Rebound88
88
Q4 - 4:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 288
88
Q4 - 4:48MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard88
88
Q4 - 4:48MIAHoward S.FOUL (P1.PN)88
88
Q4 - 5:03ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
88
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot88
88
Q4 - 5:22ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
88
Q4 - 5:22ORLMAGIC Rebound88
87
Q4 - 5:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 288
87
Q4 - 5:22MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T4)88
87
Q4 - 5:24MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P4.T3)88
87
Q4 - 5:34ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
87
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 5:50ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)88
87
Q4 - 5:50ORLMAGIC Rebound88
87
Q4 - 5:50ORLMISS Pietrus 31' 3PT Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 6:06MIASUB: James FOR Jones88
87
Q4 - 6:06MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh88
87
Q4 - 6:06ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Bass88
87
Q4 - 6:06MIABosh P.FOUL (P4.T2)88
87
Q4 - 6:13ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
87
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
87
Q4 - 6:25ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
87
Q4 - 6:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)88
87
Q4 - 6:48ORLPietrus S.FOUL (P3.T3)87
87
Q4 - 6:48MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
87
Q4 - 6:53MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
87
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
87
Q4 - 7:11MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (15 PTS)85
87
Q4 - 7:34ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)83
87
Q4 - 7:41ORLBass REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
84
Q4 - 7:42ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot83
84
Q4 - 7:57ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)83
84
Q4 - 7:59MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)83
84
Q4 - 8:06ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)80
84
Q4 - 8:27MIAIlgauskas 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
84
Q4 - 8:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
84
Q4 - 8:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 278
84
Q4 - 8:51ORLMAGIC Rebound78
84
Q4 - 8:51ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 278
84
Q4 - 8:51MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T1)78
84
Q4 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
84
Q4 - 9:06ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon77
84
Q4 - 9:06ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat77
84
Q4 - 9:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
84
Q4 - 9:06ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis76
84
Q4 - 9:06ORLLewis S.FOUL (P5.T2)76
84
Q4 - 9:17MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)76
84
Q4 - 9:17MIAHeat Rebound76
84
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Bosh 7' Fadeaway Jumper76
84
Q4 - 9:36ORLPietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)76
84
Q4 - 9:50MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)76
81
Q4 - 9:50ORLLewis S.FOUL (P4.T1)75
81
Q4 - 9:50MIABosh 3' Driving Layup (19 PTS)75
81
Q4 - 10:02MIASUB: Wade FOR Magloire73
81
Q4 - 10:02MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR James73
81
Q4 - 10:02MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)73
81
Q4 - 10:02ORLLewis 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)73
81
Q4 - 10:09ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
79
Q4 - 10:10ORLMISS Pietrus 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
79
Q4 - 10:21ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
79
Q4 - 10:23ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
79
Q4 - 10:36MIALewis STEAL (2 STL)73
79
Q4 - 10:58ORLRedick 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)73
79
Q4 - 11:20MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T8)73
76
Q4 - 11:20MIABosh OFF.Foul (P2)73
76
Q4 - 11:25ORLLewis 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redick 5 AST)73
76
Q4 - 11:47MIAMagloire 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)73
74
Q4 - 12:0071
74
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL71
74
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)71
74
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
74
Q3 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Magloire71
74
Q3 - 0:21.0ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)71
74
Q3 - 0:30.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
74
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot71
74
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)71
74
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)71
74
Q3 - 1:13MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)69
74
Q3 - 1:13ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Williams68
74
Q3 - 1:13ORLWilliams Ejection:Other68
74
Q3 - 1:13ORLWilliams T.FOUL (P0.T2)68
74
Q3 - 1:13ORLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)68
74
Q3 - 1:31MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade68
74
Q3 - 1:31ORLMAGIC Rebound68
74
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
74
Q3 - 1:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)68
74
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot68
74
Q3 - 1:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
74
Q3 - 1:54ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 268
74
Q3 - 1:54ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)68
74
Q3 - 1:54ORLSUB: Williams FOR Redick68
73
Q3 - 1:54MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony68
73
Q3 - 1:54MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh68
73
Q3 - 1:54ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)68
73
Q3 - 1:54MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P5.PN)68
73
Q3 - 1:57MIABosh 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
73
Q3 - 2:21ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Redick 4 AST)66
73
Q3 - 2:40MIAAnthony 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 2 AST)66
71
Q3 - 3:01ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)64
71
Q3 - 3:01MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo64
70
Q3 - 3:01ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)64
70
Q3 - 3:01MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P4.T4)64
69
Q3 - 3:06ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
69
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot64
69
Q3 - 3:22ORLDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
69
Q3 - 3:31MIABass STEAL (1 STL)64
69
Q3 - 3:44ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Richardson64
69
Q3 - 3:44MIAJames Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)64
69
Q3 - 3:44ORLNelson T.FOUL (P4.T2)63
69
Q3 - 3:44ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson63
69
Q3 - 3:44MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas63
69
Q3 - 3:44ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P5.T6)63
69
Q3 - 3:44ORLNelson OFF.Foul (P4)63
69
Q3 - 4:01MIAWade 16' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
69
Q3 - 4:25ORLHoward 8' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS)61
69
Q3 - 4:46MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)61
67
Q3 - 5:02ORLNelson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)59
67
Q3 - 5:16MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
65
Q3 - 5:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
65
Q3 - 5:16ORLNelson S.FOUL (P3.T2)57
65
Q3 - 5:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
65
Q3 - 5:17MIAMISS James 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot57
65
Q3 - 5:38ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis57
65
Q3 - 5:38MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)57
65
Q3 - 5:40ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 13 AST)57
65
Q3 - 5:59MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)57
62
Q3 - 6:08MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
62
Q3 - 6:09ORLMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 6:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
62
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Ilgauskas 21' Jump Shot55
62
Q3 - 6:45ORLHoward 3' Layup (17 PTS) (Nelson 12 AST)55
62
Q3 - 6:52ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
60
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot55
60
Q3 - 7:11ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Nelson 11 AST)55
60
Q3 - 7:37MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)55
58
Q3 - 7:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
58
Q3 - 7:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
58
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup52
58
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Arroyo 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
58
Q3 - 8:04ORLRedick Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)52
58
Q3 - 8:04ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)52
57
Q3 - 8:04ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)52
56
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T3)52
55
Q3 - 8:09MIALewis STEAL (1 STL)52
55
Q3 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
55
Q3 - 8:22ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot52
55
Q3 - 8:39ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending52
55
Q3 - 8:39MIABosh 9' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)52
55
Q3 - 8:43MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
55
Q3 - 8:45ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup50
55
Q3 - 9:01MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)50
55
Q3 - 9:11MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
55
Q3 - 9:13ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot48
55
Q3 - 9:26ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
55
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 9:41ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)48
55
Q3 - 9:41ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
54
Q3 - 9:41MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)48
53
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)48
53
Q3 - 10:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
53
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot45
53
Q3 - 10:22ORLHoward 13' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)45
53
Q3 - 10:44MIAJames L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)45
51
Q3 - 10:44ORLMAGIC Rebound45
51
Q3 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot45
51
Q3 - 10:54MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
51
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
51
Q3 - 11:06ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
51
Q3 - 11:08MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper45
51
Q3 - 11:17ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)45
51
Q3 - 11:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
51
Q3 - 11:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
51
Q3 - 11:31ORLLewis S.FOUL (P3.T1)43
51
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
51
Q3 - 11:47ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
51
Q3 - 12:0043
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
51
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)43
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIASUB: Magloire FOR James43
50
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)43
50
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)43
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
48
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
48
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
48
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 241
48
Q2 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Anthony41
48
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLMAGIC Rebound41
48
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 241
48
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P3.PN)41
48
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)41
48
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Redick 3' Layup41
48
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)41
48
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson40
48
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAHeat Rebound40
48
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 240
48
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.PN)40
48
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
48
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLMAGIC Rebound40
47
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLMISS Richardson Free Throw 1 of 240
47
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)40
47
Q2 - 1:09MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)40
47
Q2 - 1:24ORLRedick 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 10 AST)38
47
Q2 - 1:33ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
45
Q2 - 1:34MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot38
45
Q2 - 1:50ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)38
45
Q2 - 2:11MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)38
45
Q2 - 2:26ORLBass 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)36
45
Q2 - 2:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)36
43
Q2 - 2:30ORLMISS Nelson 11' Jump Shot36
43
Q2 - 2:36MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T4)36
43
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
43
Q2 - 2:50ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Lewis35
43
Q2 - 2:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
43
Q2 - 2:50ORLLewis S.FOUL (P2.PN)34
43
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
43
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Lewis 5' Driving Hook Shot34
43
Q2 - 2:5834
43
Q2 - 2:58ORLMAGIC Rebound34
43
Q2 - 2:59ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup34
43
Q2 - 3:17MIAArroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)34
43
Q2 - 3:30MIASUB: Anthony FOR Magloire31
43
Q2 - 3:30ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)31
43
Q2 - 3:32MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)31
43
Q2 - 3:44MIASUB: Arroyo FOR House31
43
Q2 - 3:44MIA31
43
Q2 - 3:44MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)31
43
Q2 - 3:54ORLBass 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)31
43
Q2 - 4:06ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
41
Q2 - 4:07MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
41
Q2 - 4:27ORLLewis 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)31
41
Q2 - 4:37ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
39
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Magloire 7' Jump Hook Shot31
39
Q2 - 4:57ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)31
39
Q2 - 5:10MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)31
37
Q2 - 5:20ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat29
37
Q2 - 5:20ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon29
37
Q2 - 5:20ORLGortat P.FOUL (P3.T4)29
37
Q2 - 5:20MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
37
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Bosh 3' Layup29
37
Q2 - 5:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
37
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
37
Q2 - 5:42ORLBass 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)29
37
Q2 - 5:54MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
35
Q2 - 5:54MIASUB: James FOR Jones28
35
Q2 - 5:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 5:54ORLGortat S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
35
Q2 - 6:08ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)27
35
Q2 - 6:15ORLBass REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
32
Q2 - 6:16ORLMISS Bass 11' Jump Shot27
32
Q2 - 6:28ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
32
Q2 - 6:49MIAHeat Rebound27
32
Q2 - 6:51ORLMISS Lewis 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot27
32
Q2 - 7:07MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
32
Q2 - 7:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)25
32
Q2 - 7:25ORLBass 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)25
32
Q2 - 7:38ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
30
Q2 - 7:41MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
30
Q2 - 7:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
30
Q2 - 7:46MIAGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)25
30
Q2 - 7:57MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
30
Q2 - 7:58ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
30
Q2 - 8:07MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard25
30
Q2 - 8:07ORLMAGIC Rebound25
30
Q2 - 8:07ORLMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot25
30
Q2 - 8:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup25
30
Q2 - 8:29ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
30
Q2 - 8:29ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
29
Q2 - 8:29MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T3)25
28
Q2 - 8:33ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup25
28
Q2 - 8:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
28
Q2 - 8:48ORLMISS Duhon 30' 3PT Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 9:13ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Pietrus25
28
Q2 - 9:13MIASUB: Wade FOR James25
28
Q2 - 9:13ORLMAGIC Rebound25
28
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 9:35MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
28
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Redick 11' Jump Shot25
28
Q2 - 9:57MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
28
Q2 - 9:57ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)24
28
Q2 - 9:57ORLGortat S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
28
Q2 - 9:57MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
28
Q2 - 10:02ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
28
Q2 - 10:09MIASUB: Magloire FOR Ilgauskas22
28
Q2 - 10:09MIAIlgauskas P.FOUL (P3.T2)22
28
Q2 - 10:26MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
28
Q2 - 10:26MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
28
Q2 - 10:26ORLPietrus S.FOUL (P2.T1)20
28
Q2 - 10:49MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
28
Q2 - 10:51ORLMISS Bass 12' Jump Shot20
28
Q2 - 11:01MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
28
Q2 - 11:14MIAIlgauskas 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)20
28
Q2 - 11:19MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
28
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot18
28
Q2 - 11:43ORLBass 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)18
28
Q2 - 12:0018
26
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
26
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound18
26
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Bass 13' Jump Shot18
26
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLBass REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
26
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot18
26
Q1 - 0:22.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
26
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
26
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
26
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAAnthony OFF.Foul (P2)18
26
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMAGIC Violation: Delay of game Violation18
26
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLRichardson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)18
26
Q1 - 1:01MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
24
Q1 - 1:15ORLBass 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)16
24
Q1 - 1:30MIAHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)16
22
Q1 - 1:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
22
Q1 - 1:32MIAMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 1:44MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade16
22
Q1 - 1:44ORLPietrus P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
22
Q1 - 1:57ORLBass 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)16
22
Q1 - 2:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
20
Q1 - 2:23MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:47ORLBass 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)16
20
Q1 - 2:57ORLSUB: Bass FOR Lewis16
18
Q1 - 2:57MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
18
Q1 - 3:10ORLSUB: Pietrus FOR Redick16
18
Q1 - 3:10MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo16
18
Q1 - 3:10MIAHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
18
Q1 - 3:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
18
Q1 - 3:32ORLHoward 1' Layup (7 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 3:35ORLMISS Nelson 3' Driving Layup16
16
Q1 - 3:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
16
Q1 - 3:48MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 4:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 4:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
16
Q1 - 4:20MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot16
16
Q1 - 4:40ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 4:51MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
14
Q1 - 5:05ORLJump Ball Nelson vs. Arroyo: Tip to Richardson16
14
Q1 - 5:05MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh16
14
Q1 - 5:05ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
14
Q1 - 5:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
14
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 5:23MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
14
Q1 - 5:25ORLMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 5:34MIARedick STEAL (1 STL)16
14
Q1 - 5:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Howard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 6:05MIAAnthony 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)16
14
Q1 - 6:19ORLLewis Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)14
14
Q1 - 6:19MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas14
13
Q1 - 6:19ORLMAGIC Rebound14
13
Q1 - 6:19ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 314
13
Q1 - 6:19ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 6:19MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P2.T2)14
12
Q1 - 6:42MIAIlgauskas 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 6:53ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
12
Q1 - 6:53ORLMAGIC Rebound12
11
Q1 - 6:53ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 212
11
Q1 - 6:53MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
11
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade 2' Layup (4 PTS)12
11
Q1 - 7:28ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)10
11
Q1 - 7:43ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
8
Q1 - 7:51ORLLewis 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)10
8
Q1 - 8:15MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
6
Q1 - 8:15ORLLewis S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
6
Q1 - 8:15MIABosh 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)9
6
Q1 - 8:30ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
6
Q1 - 8:30ORLNelson OFF.Foul (P1)7
6
Q1 - 8:43ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending7
6
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS)7
6
Q1 - 8:47MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
6
Q1 - 8:49ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
6
Q1 - 9:03MIAArroyo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
6
Q1 - 9:28ORLHoward 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)3
6
Q1 - 9:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
4
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 9:59ORLHoward 2' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)3
4
Q1 - 10:18MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:18MIAHeat Rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:18MIAMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 22
2
Q1 - 10:18ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:18MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
2
Q1 - 10:18MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)2
2
Q1 - 10:37ORLNelson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
0
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper2
0
Q1 - 10:55MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:56ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup2
0
Q1 - 11:09ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS James 8' Fadeaway Jumper2
0
Q1 - 11:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:26ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Arroyo0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
ORL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
18
72%
ORL
14
22
64%
Midrange
MIA
17
46
37%
ORL
16
29
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
ORL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
23
29
79%
ORL
26
39
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2560%12.5 / 21
C. Bosh2170%10.5 / 15
D. Wade1838%9.0 / 24
C. Arroyo964%4.5 / 7
Z. Ilgauskas744%3.5 / 8
E. House758%3.5 / 6
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
J. Howard250%1.0 / 2
J. Magloire250%1.0 / 2
J. Jones0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2457%12.0 / 21
J. Redick2067%10.0 / 15
B. Bass1875%9.0 / 12
J. Nelson1750%8.5 / 17
R. Lewis1458%7.0 / 12
Q. Richardson650%3.0 / 6
M. Pietrus350%1.5 / 3
M. Gortat2-0.0 / 0
C. Duhon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+14
-10
93
ORL
79
+13
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
ORL
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
108.1
MIA 106.7
ORL 114.3 +7.5
Pace
91.3
91.2
MIA 89.9
ORL 90.1 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 16.0
ORL 16.0 −0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.1%
MIA 43.9%
ORL 55.7% +11.8%
TO %
14.4%
15.7%
MIA 9.5% −3.5%
ORL 13.0%
ORB %
25.2%
26.1%
MIA 28.3% +1.8%
ORL 26.5%
FTrt
36.3
32.8
MIA 35.4
ORL 55.7 +20.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
55.3%
MIA 55.9%
ORL 66.7% +10.8%
STL %
7.3%
7.3%
MIA 6.7% +1.2%
ORL 5.5%
BLK %
8.5%
7.5%
MIA 3.9% +0.8%
ORL 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
53.8%
MIA 50.5%
ORL 56.5% +6.0%
Rim FG%
64.7%
61.7%
MIA 72.2% +8.6%
ORL 63.6%
Mid FG%
42.2%
40.4%
MIA 37.0%
ORL 55.2% +18.2%
3P %
37.0%
36.6%
MIA 22.2%
ORL 31.6% +9.4%
FT %
76.9%
69.2%
MIA 79.3% +12.6%
ORL 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
32.6%
MIA 22.0%
ORL 31.4% +9.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
34.5%
MIA 56.1%
ORL 41.4% −14.7%
3P Att. %
23.5%
32.8%
MIA 22.0%
ORL 27.1% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.63 and 2.63.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points95104
Rebounds3842
Assists1924
Steals65
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)33 (3)
Field Goals34-8236-70
At-the-Rim FG13-1814-22
Midrange FG17-4616-29
2-Point FG30-6430-51
3-Point FG4-186-19
Free Throws23-2926-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
40.7
25
60%
6
4
1
0
3
3
1
5
6-8
75%
8-15
53%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
40.0
18
38%
7
5
0
1
1
2
2
5
5-7
71%
5-17
29%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
36.0
21
70%
6
2
0
0
2
4
3
3
7-8
88%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
24.7
7
44%
6
1
1
0
0
5
3
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
21.6
9
64%
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
26.4
7
58%
3
2
2
0
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
16.8
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
12.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
11.2
4
100%
1
0
0
1
1
5
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
10.2
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
38
19
6
2
10
0
13
25
23-29
79%
30-64
47%
4-18
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.