FinalWin Prob.pScore
1955%95
89
2745%93
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
100.08981.6
DET logo DET
117.08896.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILSanders Dunk (8 PTS) (Maggette 3 AST)89
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETMISS Monroe 10' Jump Shot87
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMISS Daye 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MILMaggette 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21DETDaye 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 4 AST)83
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MILMaggette 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54DETDaye Foul Turnover (P1.T16)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15MILSanders 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28DETMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MILBrockman Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45MILBrockman Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DETMonroe Layup (2 PTS) (Bynum 3 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22MILDooling Layup (2 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27DETGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MILMISS Maggette 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00DETVillanueva 11' Hook Shot (15 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MILBrockman Layup (2 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MILMISS Maggette 1' Layup73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21MILMISS Boykins 18' Pullup Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MILMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02DETMISS Gordon 17' Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DETPISTONS Rebound73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36DETPrince 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MILPrince STEAL (2 STL)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 6:11MILMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 6:24MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 6:26MILMISS Ilyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 6:45DETVillanueva Foul Turnover (P2.T14)73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 7:03MILBoykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)73
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:24DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)70
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:41MILIlyasova Layup (14 PTS)70
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:42MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)68
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 7:43MILMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot68
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 8:03DETStuckey 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)68
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)68
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 8:20MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q4 - 8:36DETGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)68
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 8:50MILJennings Layup (25 PTS) (Sanders 1 AST)68
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 9:07DETVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)66
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:22MILDooling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)66
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 9:38MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)66
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q4 - 9:39DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 266
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q4 - 9:39DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q4 - 9:43DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 9:45MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup66
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 10:03DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)66
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q4 - 10:15DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 10:17MILMISS Dooling 21' Jump Shot66
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q4 - 10:34DETGordon 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)66
7.2%
79
92.8%
Q4 - 10:54MILSanders 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Jennings 6 AST)66
8.9%
77
91.1%
Q4 - 10:58MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)64
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 11:00DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q4 - 11:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q4 - 11:19MILMISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot64
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 11:30MILBucks Rebound64
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q4 - 11:30MILVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)64
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 11:40DETStuckey Layup (15 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)64
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL64
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)64
12.1%
75
87.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Bynum 18' Jump Shot64
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MILMISS Ilyasova 12' Jump Shot64
11.8%
75
88.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)64
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILJennings 1' Driving Layup (23 PTS)64
16.0%
73
84.0%
Q3 - 1:05DETVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T12)62
14.2%
73
85.8%
Q3 - 1:18MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)62
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q3 - 1:18MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)61
11.8%
73
88.2%
Q3 - 1:29DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 1:50MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jennings 5 AST)60
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 2:02MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 2:03DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot57
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 2:16DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 2:17MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 2 of 257
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 2:17MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 2:36DETVillanueva 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Hamilton 9 AST)56
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 2:40MILVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)56
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 3:01DETBynum 19' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 3:08DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
10.5%
69
89.5%
Q3 - 3:09MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot56
11.1%
69
88.9%
Q3 - 3:25DETHamilton 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)56
12.4%
69
87.6%
Q3 - 3:38DETPISTONS Rebound56
14.3%
67
85.7%
Q3 - 3:39MILMISS Salmons 17' Jump Shot56
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 3:50MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)56
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 3:51DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 256
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 3:51DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 256
15.3%
67
84.7%
Q3 - 4:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 4:10MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot56
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 4:14MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
17.8%
67
82.2%
Q3 - 4:15MILWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)56
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q3 - 4:35DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)56
17.7%
67
82.3%
Q3 - 4:53MILSalmons Driving Layup (10 PTS)56
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 4:58MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
13.2%
67
86.8%
Q3 - 4:59MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 5:18DETBynum 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)54
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 5:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
15.8%
65
84.2%
Q3 - 5:26MILMISS Jennings Layup54
16.6%
65
83.4%
Q3 - 5:45DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 5:45DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q3 - 5:47MILMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)54
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 5:55MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
24.1%
63
75.9%
Q3 - 5:56DETMISS Prince 16' Fadeaway Jumper54
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 6:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
22.2%
63
77.8%
Q3 - 6:15MILMISS Gooden 18' Jump Shot54
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q3 - 6:28DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T9)54
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 6:48MILGooden 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)54
22.1%
63
77.9%
Q3 - 6:49MILGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)52
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 6:50MILMISS Salmons 9' Fadeaway Jumper52
17.8%
63
82.2%
Q3 - 7:06DETMaxiell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)52
20.7%
63
79.3%
Q3 - 7:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)52
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 7:10DETMISS Wallace Layup52
19.9%
63
80.1%
Q3 - 7:35MILGooden 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)52
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 7:50DETWallace Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 8 AST)50
16.1%
63
83.9%
Q3 - 8:10MILIlyasova Foul Turnover (P2.T5)50
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 8:19DETHamilton 15' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)50
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 8:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
23.8%
59
76.2%
Q3 - 8:28DETMISS Prince 9' Hook Shot50
25.9%
59
74.1%
Q3 - 8:43DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
23.8%
59
76.2%
Q3 - 8:45MILMISS Jennings Driving Layup50
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 8:55MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
26.8%
59
73.2%
Q3 - 8:57MILMISS Ilyasova 1' Layup50
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 8:58MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
26.8%
59
73.2%
Q3 - 8:59MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot50
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 9:35DETPrince 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)50
27.4%
59
72.6%
Q3 - 10:00DETPISTONS Rebound50
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
32.4%
57
67.6%
Q3 - 10:22DETMaxiell 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)50
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 10:41MILGooden 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)50
37.7%
55
62.3%
Q3 - 10:47MILSalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
34.5%
55
65.5%
Q3 - 10:50DETMISS Maxiell 1' Layup48
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q3 - 11:07MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Jennings 4 AST)48
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 11:10MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
29.5%
55
70.5%
Q3 - 11:12DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot46
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q3 - 11:36MILSalmons Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)46
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL43
21.6%
55
78.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPISTONS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#7)43
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Bynum 1' Layup43
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0DETPISTONS Rebound43
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0MILMISS Sanders 18' Jump Shot43
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
22.4%
55
77.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0MILJennings 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)43
25.3%
53
74.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETBynum 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)41
22.4%
53
77.6%
Q2 - 1:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 1:06MILMISS Jennings 28' 3PT Jump Shot41
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q2 - 1:13MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
28.0%
51
72.0%
Q2 - 1:14DETMISS Maxiell 13' Turnaround Jump Shot41
27.4%
51
72.6%
Q2 - 1:35MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 1:35MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)40
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q2 - 1:43DETMaxiell Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)39
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q2 - 2:07MILSalmons 12' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
26.3%
49
73.7%
Q2 - 2:27DETPrince Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)37
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 2:36DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
21.7%
49
78.3%
Q2 - 2:37MILMISS Gooden Tip Shot37
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 2:38MILGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)37
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 2:39MILMISS Gooden 1' Tip Shot37
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 2:40MILGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)37
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 2:41MILMISS Gooden 1' Tip Shot37
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 2:42MILGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)37
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 2:43MILMISS Gooden Tip Shot37
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 2:44MILGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
24.0%
49
76.0%
Q2 - 2:45MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup37
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q2 - 2:55DETBynum 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)37
23.9%
49
76.1%
Q2 - 3:24MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)37
29.5%
46
70.5%
Q2 - 3:24MILJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)36
29.1%
46
70.9%
Q2 - 3:26MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q2 - 3:28DETMISS Prince 1' Layup35
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q2 - 3:45MILJennings 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)35
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q2 - 3:55MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 3:56DETMISS Villanueva 10' Hook Shot33
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 4:14MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)33
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q2 - 4:14MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 4:29DETGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)31
19.3%
46
80.7%
Q2 - 4:34DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 4:35DETMISS Villanueva 11' Running Jump Shot31
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 4:57DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 4:58MILMISS Salmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.9%
46
82.1%
Q2 - 5:21DETStuckey 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)31
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 5:37DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.0%
44
78.0%
Q2 - 5:40MILMISS Salmons 19' Pullup Jump Shot31
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 5:51DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)31
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 6:02DETGordon Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 6:02DETGordon Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (2 PTS)31
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 6:03MILGordon STEAL (1 STL)31
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q2 - 6:18DETStuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 6:39MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)31
39.4%
37
60.6%
Q2 - 6:39MILMISS Ilyasova Free Throw 1 of 230
38.8%
37
61.2%
Q2 - 6:57DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)30
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 7:12DETGordon Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)30
45.6%
34
54.4%
Q2 - 7:12MILSalmons Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)30
48.4%
33
51.6%
Q2 - 7:29MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 7:31DETMISS McGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper30
50.4%
33
49.6%
Q2 - 7:53MILIlyasova 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)30
48.3%
33
51.7%
Q2 - 8:01DETBynum Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
46.3%
33
53.7%
Q2 - 8:15MILSalmons 19' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)28
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 8:34DETBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
40.9%
33
59.1%
Q2 - 8:34DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 8:54MILIlyasova 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)26
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 9:07MILSanders REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)24
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 9:08MILMISS Dooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 9:32DETVillanueva Layup (2 PTS)24
41.4%
31
58.6%
Q2 - 9:33DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q2 - 9:35DETMISS Monroe 1' Tip Shot24
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 9:36DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q2 - 9:37DETMISS Bynum 7' Jump Shot24
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 10:00DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q2 - 10:01MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 2 of 224
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q2 - 10:01MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 224
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 10:04MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
46.6%
29
53.4%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Bynum Driving Layup24
45.7%
29
54.3%
Q2 - 10:27MILSanders 1' Layup (2 PTS)24
43.8%
29
56.2%
Q2 - 10:27MILSanders REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 10:29MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup22
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q2 - 10:39MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
41.5%
29
58.5%
Q2 - 10:40DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 10:54DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 10:55MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 122
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 11:02MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q2 - 11:02DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 11:20MILIlyasova 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Jennings 3 AST)20
34.4%
29
65.6%
Q2 - 11:29MILDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q2 - 11:30DETMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 11:36DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30.0%
29
70.0%
Q2 - 11:37MILMISS Dooling 14' Jump Shot18
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET18
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
30.0%
29
70.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)18
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)18
32.3%
29
67.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MILMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DETMISS Villanueva 1' Layup18
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MILJennings 18' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0MILBucks Rebound16
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
27.9%
29
72.1%
Q1 - 1:22MILJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
27.8%
29
72.2%
Q1 - 1:22MILMISS Jennings Free Throw 1 of 215
27.5%
29
72.5%
Q1 - 1:35DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)15
27.3%
29
72.7%
Q1 - 1:50MILSalmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q1 - 1:50MILMISS Salmons Free Throw 1 of 214
31.5%
26
68.5%
Q1 - 2:07DETPrince Tip Shot (10 PTS)14
32.0%
26
68.0%
Q1 - 2:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 2:10DETMISS Hamilton 19' Pullup Jump Shot14
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 2:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 2:17MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup14
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q1 - 2:39DETStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
36.1%
24
63.9%
Q1 - 2:48MILJennings Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 3:11DETPrince 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)12
36.8%
22
63.2%
Q1 - 3:26DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
38.9%
20
61.1%
Q1 - 3:28MILMISS Sanders 1' Layup12
39.5%
20
60.5%
Q1 - 3:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 3:41DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot12
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 3:59MILMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 3:59MILMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 4:12MILJennings REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 4:13MILMISS Maggette 21' Jump Shot10
35.8%
20
64.2%
Q1 - 4:21MILSanders REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 4:21MILMISS Sanders Layup10
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 4:21MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 4:22MILMISS Jennings 1' Layup10
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 4:43DETMaxiell 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)10
37.3%
20
62.7%
Q1 - 4:49MILPrince STEAL (1 STL)10
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 5:04DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 5:04DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
42.3%
17
57.7%
Q1 - 5:18DETPISTONS Rebound10
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 5:18MILMISS Maggette Layup10
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 5:19MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 5:20MILMISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot10
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 5:26MILJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 5:29DETMISS Stuckey Layup10
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 5:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 5:44MILMISS Jennings 20' Jump Shot10
44.5%
16
55.5%
Q1 - 5:51DETStuckey 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)10
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 5:53DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
48.1%
14
51.9%
Q1 - 5:56DETMISS Hamilton 1' Layup10
49.7%
14
50.3%
Q1 - 6:01MILJennings Layup (4 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)10
48.4%
14
51.6%
Q1 - 6:08DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 6:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.3%
14
55.7%
Q1 - 6:13MILMISS Jennings Layup8
44.9%
14
55.1%
Q1 - 6:38DETPrince Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)8
46.4%
14
53.6%
Q1 - 6:56MILMaggette Layup (2 PTS)8
48.4%
12
51.6%
Q1 - 6:58MILMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
46.4%
12
53.6%
Q1 - 7:01MILPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)6
45.4%
12
54.6%
Q1 - 7:06DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 7:18DETPISTONS Rebound6
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 7:18MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot6
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 7:42DETMaxiell Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)6
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 7:52MILJennings 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
48.7%
10
51.3%
Q1 - 8:02DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 8:21MILMbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)4
45.2%
10
54.8%
Q1 - 8:38DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 8:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 8:51MILMISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot2
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 9:01DETPrince 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)2
48.1%
8
51.9%
Q1 - 9:22MILJennings Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 9:33MILBrockman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.8%
6
48.2%
Q1 - 9:34DETMISS Stuckey 9' Jump Shot2
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 9:59MILGooden 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)2
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 10:16DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)0
48.7%
6
51.3%
Q1 - 10:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.2%
4
49.8%
Q1 - 10:33MILMISS Gooden 20' Jump Shot0
50.8%
4
49.2%
Q1 - 11:04DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)0
52.6%
4
47.4%
Q1 - 11:14DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.4%
2
45.6%
Q1 - 11:15MILMISS Jennings 18' Jump Shot0
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:42DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)0
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Gooden: Tip to Stuckey0
57.6%
0
42.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.87 43.6%
DET
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
19
39
49%
DET
17
26
65%
Midrange
MIL
13
35
37%
DET
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
DET
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
19
26
73%
DET
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Jennings2546%12.5 / 27
E. Ilyasova1454%7.0 / 13
J. Salmons1146%5.5 / 12
C. Maggette1038%5.0 / 13
D. Gooden829%4.0 / 14
L. Sanders857%4.0 / 7
L. Mbah a Moute4100%2.0 / 2
J. Brockman4100%2.0 / 2
E. Boykins350%1.5 / 3
K. Dooling214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey1869%9.0 / 13
R. Hamilton1568%7.5 / 11
C. Villanueva1558%7.5 / 13
T. Prince1464%7.0 / 11
W. Bynum1365%6.5 / 10
B. Gordon11110%5.5 / 5
J. Maxiell1063%5.0 / 8
A. Daye375%1.5 / 2
B. Wallace250%1.0 / 2
G. Monroe233%1.0 / 3
T. McGrady0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+22
-9
102
DET
73
+8
-15
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.87 43.6%
DET
1.26 62.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.9
107.5
MIL 100.0
DET 117.0 +17.0
Pace
89.6
89.3
MIL 81.6
DET 96.7 +15.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.6
MIL 17.6
DET 14.9 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.7%
49.5%
MIL 39.8%
DET 61.0% +21.2%
TO %
13.9%
13.5%
MIL 8.3% +8.3%
DET 16.6%
ORB %
24.8%
27.4%
MIL 42.0% +20.1%
DET 21.9%
FTrt
28.7
27.9
MIL 29.5 +6.2
DET 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
56.6%
MIL 52.9%
DET 68.3% +15.4%
STL %
8.3%
8.0%
MIL 7.9% +2.2%
DET 5.7%
BLK %
7.9%
6.6%
MIL 10.2% +4.8%
DET 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.5%
51.9%
MIL 43.6%
DET 62.8% +19.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
59.2%
MIL 48.7%
DET 65.4% +16.7%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.8%
MIL 37.1%
DET 51.5% +14.4%
3P %
34.2%
37.6%
MIL 14.3%
DET 50.0% +35.7%
FT %
75.7%
73.7%
MIL 73.1%
DET 82.4% +9.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
36.3%
MIL 44.3% +8.7%
DET 35.6%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
44.8%
MIL 39.8% +5.4%
DET 45.2%
3P Att. %
21.6%
18.9%
MIL 15.9%
DET 19.2% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsMILDET
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points89103
Rebounds4636
Assists1828
Steals75
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)29 (6)
Field Goals34-8841-73
At-the-Rim FG19-3917-26
Midrange FG13-3517-33
2-Point FG32-7434-59
3-Point FG2-147-14
Free Throws19-2614-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 170 · 21
36.7
25
46%
4
6
1
1
3
1
1
3
7-11
64%
9-19
47%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 210 · 31
30.7
11
46%
2
2
1
0
1
3
1
1
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
20.8
4
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 29
20.8
8
29%
5
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0-0
-
4-14
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 24
10.1
4
100%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 24
34.0
14
54%
11
1
2
2
3
1
3
8
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22
31.1
8
57%
10
1
1
2
0
3
4
6
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
25.4
10
38%
7
3
0
0
0
0
5
2
4-4
100%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 31
21.8
2
14%
2
3
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
G · 5'5" 133 · 34
8.6
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 260 · 26
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28
#9 · G · 6'7" 210 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'7" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
44%
46
18
7
6
9
0
21
25
19-26
73%
32-74
43%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.