Final Win Prob. pScore
246%93
95
654%95
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
100.09593.4
DAL logo Mavericks
111.69596.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
106
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL95
106
Q4 - 0:00.0DALButler 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)95
106
Q4 - 0:19.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
103
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot95
103
Q4 - 0:27.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
103
Q4 - 0:27.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound95
102
Q4 - 0:27.0DALMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 295
102
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.PN)95
102
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)95
102
Q4 - 0:43.0DALKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)92
102
Q4 - 0:43.0DALKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)92
101
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)92
100
Q4 - 0:54.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
100
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
100
Q4 - 1:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)92
100
Q4 - 1:00DALButler 1' Running Layup (20 PTS) (Kidd 13 AST)92
100
Q4 - 1:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
98
Q4 - 1:18MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
98
Q4 - 1:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
98
Q4 - 1:29DALChandler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)92
98
Q4 - 1:29DALMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot92
98
Q4 - 1:30DALChandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)92
98
Q4 - 1:30DALMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot92
98
Q4 - 1:32DALMISS Butler 3' Jump Hook Shot92
98
Q4 - 1:34DALButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
98
Q4 - 1:35DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
98
Q4 - 1:43DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
98
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
98
Q4 - 2:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
98
Q4 - 2:01DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot92
98
Q4 - 2:20MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
98
Q4 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
98
Q4 - 2:30DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot90
98
Q4 - 2:48MIAJames Foul Turnover (P5.T15)90
98
Q4 - 2:48MIAJames OFF.Foul (P3)90
98
Q4 - 2:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
98
Q4 - 2:56DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Step Back Jump Shot90
98
Q4 - 3:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
98
Q4 - 3:19MIAHeat Rebound89
98
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 289
98
Q4 - 3:19DALChandler S.FOUL (P4.T4)89
98
Q4 - 3:29MIASUB: Bosh FOR Jones89
98
Q4 - 3:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)89
98
Q4 - 3:30DALButler 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Kidd 12 AST)89
98
Q4 - 3:46MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)89
96
Q4 - 3:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
96
Q4 - 3:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
95
Q4 - 3:57MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
94
Q4 - 4:19MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 3 AST)89
94
Q4 - 4:35DALNowitzki 2' Driving Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)86
94
Q4 - 4:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Bosh86
92
Q4 - 4:42MIABosh P.FOUL (P5.T4)86
92
Q4 - 4:48MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T3)86
92
Q4 - 5:06MIAJames 3' Driving Reverse Layup (23 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)86
92
Q4 - 5:14MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
92
Q4 - 5:15DALMISS Terry 12' Jump Shot84
92
Q4 - 5:19DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
92
Q4 - 5:22MIAChandler BLOCK (3 BLK)84
92
Q4 - 5:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
92
Q4 - 5:29DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot84
92
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)84
92
Q4 - 5:51MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)82
92
Q4 - 5:51MIAChalmers Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)81
92
Q4 - 5:51DAL80
92
Q4 - 5:51DALTerry C.P.FOUL (P2.T3)80
92
Q4 - 5:53DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
92
Q4 - 6:14DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Barea80
92
Q4 - 6:14DALSUB: Terry FOR Marion80
92
Q4 - 6:14DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)80
92
Q4 - 6:17MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (17 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 6:33MIASUB: James FOR Jones78
92
Q4 - 6:34MIAHeat Rebound78
92
Q4 - 6:35DALMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
92
Q4 - 6:46DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
92
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot78
92
Q4 - 7:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)78
92
Q4 - 7:04DALMISS Marion 10' Driving Jump Shot78
92
Q4 - 7:29MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)78
92
Q4 - 7:50DALBarea 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)76
92
Q4 - 8:03DALChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)76
90
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 276
90
Q4 - 8:04MIAHeat Rebound76
90
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 276
90
Q4 - 8:04DALChandler S.FOUL (P3.T2)76
90
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
90
Q4 - 8:12DALMISS Marion 11' Turnaround Jump Shot76
90
Q4 - 8:31DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)76
90
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 176
90
Q4 - 8:32DALSUB: Chandler FOR Mahinmi76
90
Q4 - 8:32DALSUB: Butler FOR Terry76
90
Q4 - 8:32DALSUB: Kidd FOR Nowitzki76
90
Q4 - 8:3276
90
Q4 - 8:32DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P4.T1)76
90
Q4 - 8:32MIAWade 2' Putback Layup (15 PTS)76
90
Q4 - 8:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
90
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Bosh 9' Step Back Jump Shot74
90
Q4 - 8:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
90
Q4 - 8:45DALMISS Barea 4' Driving Jump Shot74
90
Q4 - 9:00MIAWade Foul Turnover (P6.T13)74
90
Q4 - 9:00MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)74
90
Q4 - 9:19DALMahinmi Foul Turnover (P1.T10)74
90
Q4 - 9:19DALMahinmi OFF.Foul (P1)74
90
Q4 - 9:30MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)74
90
Q4 - 9:47DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
90
Q4 - 9:47DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
89
Q4 - 9:47MIABosh S.FOUL (P4.T2)71
88
Q4 - 9:52MIANowitzki STEAL (3 STL)71
88
Q4 - 9:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
88
Q4 - 9:58DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
88
Q4 - 10:14MIANowitzki STEAL (2 STL)71
88
Q4 - 10:23MIAJones Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)71
88
Q4 - 10:23DALMAVERICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Terry )70
88
Q4 - 10:33DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
88
Q4 - 10:36DALTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
85
Q4 - 10:38DALMISS Marion 8' Driving Jump Shot70
85
Q4 - 10:56MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)70
85
Q4 - 11:12DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)68
85
Q4 - 11:12MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T1)68
84
Q4 - 11:12MIAAnthony Violation:Defensive Goaltending68
84
Q4 - 11:12DALBarea Driving Layup (8 PTS)68
84
Q4 - 11:26MIABosh 2' Layup (20 PTS)68
82
Q4 - 11:42DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)66
82
Q4 - 12:0066
82
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
82
Q3 - 0:01.0DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)66
82
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)66
80
Q3 - 0:06.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Chalmers65
80
Q3 - 0:06.0DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Haywood65
80
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Rebound65
80
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 265
80
Q3 - 0:06.0DALHaywood S.FOUL (P4.PN)65
80
Q3 - 0:10.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
80
Q3 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Anthony65
79
Q3 - 0:10.0DALSUB: Butler FOR Nowitzki65
79
Q3 - 0:10.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
79
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)65
78
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)65
78
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
78
Q3 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
78
Q3 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)63
78
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T4)63
76
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)63
76
Q3 - 1:00MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
76
Q3 - 1:00DALHaywood P.FOUL (P3.PN)61
76
Q3 - 1:03MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
76
Q3 - 1:04DALMISS Terry 4' Driving Jump Shot61
76
Q3 - 1:24DALSUB: Haywood FOR Chandler61
76
Q3 - 1:24DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Butler61
76
Q3 - 1:24DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd61
76
Q3 - 1:25DALMAVERICKS Rebound61
76
Q3 - 1:26MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot61
76
Q3 - 1:36MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
76
Q3 - 1:37DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot61
76
Q3 - 1:52MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade61
76
Q3 - 1:52DALChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)61
76
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Kidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
76
Q3 - 2:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
76
Q3 - 2:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
76
Q3 - 2:16DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
76
Q3 - 2:16DALChandler S.FOUL (P2.T4)59
76
Q3 - 2:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
76
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
76
Q3 - 2:43DALButler 8' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)59
76
Q3 - 2:51DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
74
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot59
74
Q3 - 3:10DALKidd P.FOUL (P1.T3)59
74
Q3 - 3:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
74
Q3 - 3:14DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 259
74
Q3 - 3:14DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
74
Q3 - 3:14MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
73
Q3 - 3:20DALMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)59
73
Q3 - 3:21DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot59
73
Q3 - 3:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
73
Q3 - 3:41MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh58
73
Q3 - 3:41MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo58
73
Q3 - 3:41MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)58
73
Q3 - 3:41DALMarion S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
73
Q3 - 3:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
73
Q3 - 3:47DALMISS Kidd 8' Driving Jump Shot57
73
Q3 - 4:10DALHeat Violation: Delay of game Violation57
73
Q3 - 4:10DALSUB: Terry FOR Stevenson57
73
Q3 - 4:10MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)57
73
Q3 - 4:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
73
Q3 - 4:22DALMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot57
73
Q3 - 4:35DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)57
73
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot57
73
Q3 - 4:49MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
73
Q3 - 4:50DALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot57
73
Q3 - 5:13MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)57
73
Q3 - 5:19MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
73
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot55
73
Q3 - 5:35DALSUB: Marion FOR Nowitzki55
73
Q3 - 5:35MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)55
73
Q3 - 5:35DALChandler 1' Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)55
73
Q3 - 5:46MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)55
71
Q3 - 5:58DALButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)55
71
Q3 - 6:10MIAArroyo 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
68
Q3 - 6:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
68
Q3 - 6:18DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Driving Layup53
68
Q3 - 6:30MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)53
68
Q3 - 6:45MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T8)53
68
Q3 - 6:45MIABosh OFF.Foul (P3)53
68
Q3 - 6:57DALStevenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)53
68
Q3 - 7:11MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)53
65
Q3 - 7:11MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)52
65
Q3 - 7:11DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
65
Q3 - 7:14MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
65
Q3 - 7:15DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
65
Q3 - 7:25DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)51
65
Q3 - 7:25MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Bosh )51
64
Q3 - 7:40MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 2 AST)51
64
Q3 - 7:54MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas49
64
Q3 - 7:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)49
64
Q3 - 7:55DALButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)49
64
Q3 - 8:02DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
61
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Arroyo 3PT Jump Shot49
61
Q3 - 8:25DALButler 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)49
61
Q3 - 8:29DALStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
59
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot49
59
Q3 - 8:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)49
59
Q3 - 8:53DALNowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)49
59
Q3 - 9:02DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)49
57
Q3 - 9:03MIAMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot49
57
Q3 - 9:28DALNowitzki 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)49
57
Q3 - 9:32DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
55
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot49
55
Q3 - 9:50DALButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
55
Q3 - 9:50DALButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
54
Q3 - 9:50MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P3.T1)49
53
Q3 - 9:54DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
53
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS James 2' Alley Oop Layup49
53
Q3 - 10:02MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
53
Q3 - 10:03DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot49
53
Q3 - 10:15DALStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
53
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
53
Q3 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
53
Q3 - 10:39DALMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot49
53
Q3 - 10:43DALButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
53
Q3 - 10:45MIAChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)49
53
Q3 - 10:48MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
53
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot49
53
Q3 - 10:59DALChandler 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)49
53
Q3 - 11:13DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
51
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Bosh 19' Pullup Jump Shot49
51
Q3 - 11:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
51
Q3 - 11:22DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Step Back Jump Shot49
51
Q3 - 11:43DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
51
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot49
51
Q3 - 12:0049
51
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
51
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
51
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot49
51
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
51
Q2 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Dampier FOR Ilgauskas48
51
Q2 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh48
51
Q2 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Arroyo FOR House48
51
Q2 - 0:16.0DALSUB: Barea FOR Marion48
51
Q2 - 0:16.0DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Butler48
51
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
51
Q2 - 0:16.0DALChandler S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard47
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo47
51
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)47
51
Q2 - 0:34.0DALMarion 12' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)47
51
Q2 - 0:52.0DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)47
49
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
49
Q2 - 1:09DALTerry Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
49
Q2 - 1:14DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
47
Q2 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Dunk47
47
Q2 - 1:40DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
47
Q2 - 1:44DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
47
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS James 1' Layup47
47
Q2 - 1:49MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
47
Q2 - 1:51DALMISS Marion 3' Layup47
47
Q2 - 2:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)47
47
Q2 - 2:0346
47
Q2 - 2:03DALMarion S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
47
Q2 - 2:03MIAJames 1' Putback Layup (13 PTS)46
47
Q2 - 2:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
47
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Ilgauskas 17' Jump Shot44
47
Q2 - 2:20DALMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)44
47
Q2 - 2:20DALMarion 1' Putback Dunk (12 PTS)44
47
Q2 - 2:22DALMISS Terry 2' Layup44
45
Q2 - 2:40MIAJames 2' Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
45
Q2 - 2:46DALKidd Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)42
45
Q2 - 2:53MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)42
45
Q2 - 3:14DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
45
Q2 - 3:14MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers40
44
Q2 - 3:14MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh40
44
Q2 - 3:14DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
44
Q2 - 3:14DALSUB: Marion FOR Nowitzki40
43
Q2 - 3:14MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
43
Q2 - 3:19DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
43
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot40
43
Q2 - 3:41DALButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
43
Q2 - 3:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
41
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS James 3' Driving Layup40
41
Q2 - 4:07DALButler 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)40
41
Q2 - 4:14MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)40
39
Q2 - 4:16MIASUB: Ilgauskas FOR Dampier40
39
Q2 - 4:16MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T2)40
39
Q2 - 4:25DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
39
Q2 - 4:27MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)40
39
Q2 - 4:37MIAHeat Rebound40
39
Q2 - 4:37DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot40
39
Q2 - 4:46MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)40
39
Q2 - 4:58DALTerry 8' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)40
39
Q2 - 5:18MIAJames 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
37
Q2 - 5:31MIASUB: James FOR Jones38
37
Q2 - 5:31DALButler P.FOUL (P2.T4)38
37
Q2 - 5:46DALKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)38
37
Q2 - 6:02MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)38
34
Q2 - 6:02MIAHeat Rebound38
34
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 6:28DALNowitzki 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS)38
34
Q2 - 6:51DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Barea38
32
Q2 - 6:51DALSUB: Terry FOR Marion38
32
Q2 - 6:51DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
32
Q2 - 6:54MIABosh 16' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)38
32
Q2 - 7:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
32
Q2 - 7:01DALMISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 7:18MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)36
32
Q2 - 7:25MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
32
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 7:43DALSUB: Chandler FOR Haywood33
32
Q2 - 7:43DALBarea P.FOUL (P2.T3)33
32
Q2 - 7:43DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
32
Q2 - 7:50MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 7:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
32
Q2 - 7:56DALMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot31
32
Q2 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
32
Q2 - 8:22DALSUB: Butler FOR Terry30
32
Q2 - 8:22DALSUB: Kidd FOR Nowitzki30
32
Q2 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
32
Q2 - 8:22DALHaywood S.FOUL (P2.T2)29
32
Q2 - 8:33DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
32
Q2 - 8:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
32
Q2 - 8:46MIAHeat Rebound28
32
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 228
32
Q2 - 8:46DALHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
32
Q2 - 8:54MIASUB: Wade FOR House28
32
Q2 - 8:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
32
Q2 - 9:03DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
32
Q2 - 9:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
30
Q2 - 9:11MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Running Jump Shot28
30
Q2 - 9:31DALMarion 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)28
30
Q2 - 9:47MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)28
28
Q2 - 10:09DALMarion 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)26
28
Q2 - 10:17DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot26
26
Q2 - 10:41DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)26
26
Q2 - 10:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound26
26
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
26
Q2 - 11:08MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26
Q2 - 11:10DALMISS Nowitzki 3' Finger Roll Layup26
26
Q2 - 11:20MIADampier P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
26
Q2 - 11:33DALHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Bosh 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot26
26
Q2 - 12:0026
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
26
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
26
Q1 - 0:02.0DALSUB: Cardinal FOR Nowitzki26
25
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
25
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)26
24
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
24
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
24
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Marion 1' Tip Shot26
24
Q1 - 0:04.0DALMISS Barea 2' Layup26
24
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
24
Q1 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Howard25
24
Q1 - 0:11.0DALSUB: Stevenson FOR Haywood25
24
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
24
Q1 - 0:11.0DALBarea P.FOUL (P1.PN)24
24
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
24
Q1 - 0:29.0DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)24
24
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
24
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 1:04DALBarea 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 1:12MIAHoward P.FOUL (P1.T4)22
22
Q1 - 1:19MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)22
22
Q1 - 1:40DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)22
22
Q1 - 1:56MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
19
Q1 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound19
19
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS James Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 219
19
Q1 - 2:08MIAJames Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
19
Q1 - 2:08DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Kidd18
19
Q1 - 2:08DALSUB: Barea FOR Butler18
19
Q1 - 2:08MIA18
19
Q1 - 2:08MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade18
19
Q1 - 2:08DALTerry C.P.FOUL (P1.T4)18
19
Q1 - 2:09DALMarion Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
19
Q1 - 2:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)18
19
Q1 - 2:35MIASUB: House FOR Arroyo18
19
Q1 - 2:35MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh18
19
Q1 - 2:35DALSUB: Haywood FOR Chandler18
19
Q1 - 2:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
19
Q1 - 2:41DALMarion 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)18
19
Q1 - 3:01MIABosh 1' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
17
Q1 - 3:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
17
Q1 - 3:14DALMISS Chandler 5' Driving Jump Shot16
17
Q1 - 3:27MIAWade 7' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 3:46DALMarion 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)14
17
Q1 - 3:58DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)14
15
Q1 - 4:00MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
15
Q1 - 4:00MIAMISS Anthony 1' Running Tip Shot14
15
Q1 - 4:01MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 4:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
15
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 4:14MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15
Q1 - 4:15DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 4:40MIAKidd STEAL (2 STL)14
15
Q1 - 4:46DALSUB: Marion FOR Nowitzki14
15
Q1 - 4:46DALSUB: Terry FOR Stevenson14
15
Q1 - 4:46DALButler P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
15
Q1 - 5:01DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)14
15
Q1 - 5:07DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
13
Q1 - 5:14MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
13
Q1 - 5:34DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)12
13
Q1 - 5:54MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
11
Q1 - 6:12DALChandler 1' Layup (9 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 6:16DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)10
9
Q1 - 6:17DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot10
9
Q1 - 6:24MIAKidd STEAL (1 STL)10
9
Q1 - 6:41DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)10
9
Q1 - 6:56DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 7:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
7
Q1 - 7:18DALMISS Kidd 13' Pullup Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 7:26DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
7
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot10
7
Q1 - 7:53DALChandler 3' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)10
7
Q1 - 7:59MIAButler STEAL (1 STL)10
5
Q1 - 8:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
5
Q1 - 8:05DALMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
5
Q1 - 8:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
5
Q1 - 8:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
5
Q1 - 8:28DALStevenson S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
5
Q1 - 8:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
5
Q1 - 8:33DALMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot8
5
Q1 - 8:50MIAArroyo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
5
Q1 - 9:01DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
5
Q1 - 9:09MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas6
5
Q1 - 9:09MIAIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)6
5
Q1 - 9:09DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:09DALMISS Stevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 9:21MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
5
Q1 - 9:24DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
5
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Wade 1' Reverse Layup6
5
Q1 - 9:35MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
5
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot6
5
Q1 - 9:53DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
5
Q1 - 9:53DALMAVERICKS Rebound6
4
Q1 - 9:53DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 26
4
Q1 - 9:53MIAIlgauskas S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:53DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:54DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 10:02MIABosh 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 10:19DALChandler 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:21DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:22DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:35MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 10:35MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 10:35DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:42DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:04MIAArroyo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:16DALMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:23DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Ilgauskas 11' Turnaround Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:45DALChandler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Nowitzki0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
20
50%
DAL
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
16
40
40%
DAL
14
38
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
DAL
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
28
35
80%
DAL
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2346%11.5 / 25
D. Wade2252%11.0 / 21
C. Bosh2255%11.0 / 20
J. Jones990%4.5 / 5
M. Chalmers8100%4.0 / 4
C. Arroyo643%3.0 / 7
E. House375%1.5 / 2
J. Howard2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Ilgauskas0-0.0 / 3
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2372%11.5 / 16
D. Nowitzki2246%11.0 / 24
T. Chandler1458%7.0 / 12
S. Marion1454%7.0 / 13
J. Barea1372%6.5 / 9
J. Terry1240%6.0 / 15
J. Kidd542%2.5 / 6
D. Stevenson350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+11
-14
92
DAL
84
+13
-11
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
109.5
MIA 100.0
DAL 111.6 +11.6
Pace
91.3
91.5
MIA 93.4
DAL 96.6 +3.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.9
MIA 15.4
DAL 14.9 −0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
52.5%
MIA 44.7%
DAL 50.0% +5.3%
TO %
14.4%
14.7%
MIA 14.2%
DAL 10.2% −4.0%
ORB %
25.2%
24.1%
MIA 23.3%
DAL 28.3% +5.0%
FTrt
36.3
28.6
MIA 46.7 +21.4
DAL 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
63.7%
MIA 54.8%
DAL 62.5% +7.7%
STL %
7.3%
7.4%
MIA 8.4%
DAL 8.4%
BLK %
8.5%
6.8%
MIA 7.1% +2.1%
DAL 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
54.9%
MIA 50.5%
DAL 54.1% +3.6%
Rim FG%
64.7%
62.5%
MIA 50.0%
DAL 59.4% +9.4%
Mid FG%
42.2%
44.0%
MIA 40.0% +3.2%
DAL 36.8%
3P %
37.0%
36.5%
MIA 33.3%
DAL 41.2% +7.9%
FT %
76.9%
77.7%
MIA 80.0%
DAL 86.4% +6.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
29.9%
MIA 26.7%
DAL 36.8% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
42.8%
MIA 53.3%
DAL 43.7% −9.7%
3P Att. %
23.5%
27.4%
MIA 20.0% +0.5%
DAL 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points95106
Rebounds4346
Assists1725
Steals88
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)13 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)33 (2)
Field Goals31-7540-87
At-the-Rim FG10-2019-32
Midrange FG16-4014-38
2-Point FG26-6033-70
3-Point FG5-157-17
Free Throws28-3519-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
41.1
22
52%
9
5
0
2
7
3
1
8
6-11
55%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
37.5
22
55%
8
2
2
0
1
5
1
7
4-4
100%
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
36.1
23
46%
8
4
1
0
5
3
2
6
13-15
87%
5-15
33%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 31
20.7
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'3" 260 · 35
10.9
0
0%
3
0
2
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 28
29.3
0
0%
3
0
0
3
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
20.8
8
100%
1
3
2
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
17.1
9
90%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
9.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
8.8
2
100%
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 35
8.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
43
17
8
5
14
0
10
33
28-35
80%
26-60
43%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.