Final Win Prob. pScore
2511%88
72
289%104
97
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
84.78583.5
MIA logo Heat
111.58788.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA72
97
Q4 - 0:10.0DETWilcox 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)72
97
Q4 - 0:11.0DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
97
Q4 - 0:12.0DETMISS Monroe 2' Tip Shot70
97
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)70
97
Q4 - 0:16.0DETDaye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
97
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Daye 2' Tip Shot70
97
Q4 - 0:17.0DETMISS Wilcox 8' Jump Shot70
97
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
97
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
96
Q4 - 0:28.0DETGordon S.FOUL (P2.T3)70
95
Q4 - 0:39.0DETMonroe Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)70
95
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)70
95
Q4 - 0:57.0DETWilcox Foul Turnover (P1.T15)70
95
Q4 - 0:57.0DETWilcox OFF.Foul (P1)70
95
Q4 - 1:02DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
95
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot70
95
Q4 - 1:22DETMonroe 3' Layup (15 PTS)70
95
Q4 - 1:23DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
95
Q4 - 1:24DETMISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot68
95
Q4 - 1:32MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)68
95
Q4 - 1:48MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
93
Q4 - 1:49DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 268
93
Q4 - 1:49DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
93
Q4 - 1:49MIAHoward S.FOUL (P3.PN)67
93
Q4 - 2:02MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST)67
93
Q4 - 2:16DETGordon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)67
91
Q4 - 2:33DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
91
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
91
Q4 - 2:51DETBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)64
91
Q4 - 2:51MIAHoward S.FOUL (P2.T4)63
91
Q4 - 2:51DETBynum 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)63
91
Q4 - 2:55DETDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
91
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot61
91
Q4 - 3:14MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Jones61
91
Q4 - 3:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)61
91
Q4 - 3:22DETDaye 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST)61
91
Q4 - 3:35DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
91
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup59
91
Q4 - 3:58DETBynum 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)59
91
Q4 - 4:01DETBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
91
Q4 - 4:02DETMISS Daye 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
91
Q4 - 4:13MIAHoward 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 2 AST)57
91
Q4 - 4:26MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
89
Q4 - 4:27DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 257
89
Q4 - 4:27DETPistons Rebound57
89
Q4 - 4:27DETMISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 257
89
Q4 - 4:27MIADampier S.FOUL (P3.T3)57
89
Q4 - 4:37MIAHoward 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
89
Q4 - 5:02MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
87
Q4 - 5:03DETMISS Wilcox 4' Tip Shot57
87
Q4 - 5:04DETWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
87
Q4 - 5:04DETMISS Daye 6' Turnaround Jump Shot57
87
Q4 - 5:18MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)57
87
Q4 - 5:37DETWilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
84
Q4 - 5:37DETWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
84
Q4 - 5:37MIADampier P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
84
Q4 - 5:51MIASUB: Dampier FOR Anthony55
84
Q4 - 5:51MIASUB: House FOR Wade55
84
Q4 - 5:51MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh55
84
Q4 - 5:51DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)55
84
Q4 - 5:53MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS)55
84
Q4 - 6:11DETChalmers STEAL (3 STL)55
82
Q4 - 6:23MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)55
82
Q4 - 6:35DETWade STEAL (2 STL)55
80
Q4 - 6:44DETSUB: Wilcox FOR Villanueva55
80
Q4 - 6:58DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
80
Q4 - 6:59MIAMISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot55
80
Q4 - 7:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
80
Q4 - 7:23DETMISS Villanueva 9' Hook Shot55
80
Q4 - 7:33MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)55
80
Q4 - 7:47DETChalmers STEAL (2 STL)55
80
Q4 - 8:00MIAWade 3' Dunk (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)55
80
Q4 - 8:23MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard55
78
Q4 - 8:2355
78
Q4 - 8:23DETVillanueva Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)55
78
Q4 - 8:40MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)55
78
Q4 - 8:53DETMonroe 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
75
Q4 - 8:56DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
75
Q4 - 9:00DETMISS Daye 3' Driving Layup53
75
Q4 - 9:10DETPistons Rebound53
75
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 253
75
Q4 - 9:11MIAHEAT Rebound53
75
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
75
Q4 - 9:11DETGordon S.FOUL (P1.T2)53
75
Q4 - 9:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)53
75
Q4 - 9:22DETMISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot53
75
Q4 - 9:37MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)53
75
Q4 - 9:59DETMonroe 2' Layup (10 PTS)53
73
Q4 - 10:02DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
73
Q4 - 10:03DETMISS Villanueva 6' Hook Shot51
73
Q4 - 10:18MIAHoward L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)51
73
Q4 - 10:18DETPistons Rebound51
73
Q4 - 10:19DETMISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot51
73
Q4 - 10:40DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
73
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot51
73
Q4 - 11:02DETMonroe L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)51
73
Q4 - 11:02MIAHEAT Rebound51
73
Q4 - 11:03DETMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
73
Q4 - 11:13DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
73
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot51
73
Q4 - 11:24DETHoward STEAL (1 STL)51
73
Q4 - 11:42DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
73
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot51
73
Q4 - 11:50DETChalmers STEAL (1 STL)51
73
Q4 - 12:0051
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA51
73
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound51
73
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot51
73
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
73
Q3 - 0:18.0DETMISS Hamilton 9' Running Jump Shot51
73
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAHoward 3' Layup (4 PTS)51
73
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
71
Q3 - 0:42.0DETAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)51
71
Q3 - 0:52.0DETSUB: Daye FOR Prince51
71
Q3 - 0:57.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
71
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot51
71
Q3 - 1:21MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
71
Q3 - 1:22DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot51
71
Q3 - 1:44MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
71
Q3 - 1:56MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo51
69
Q3 - 1:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)51
69
Q3 - 2:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)51
69
Q3 - 2:02DETMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
69
Q3 - 2:12DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
69
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
69
Q3 - 2:19MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
69
Q3 - 2:20DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot51
69
Q3 - 2:39DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
69
Q3 - 2:40MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot51
69
Q3 - 2:58DETMonroe 2' Layup (8 PTS)51
69
Q3 - 3:17MIAAnthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)49
69
Q3 - 3:24DETSUB: Monroe FOR Stuckey49
69
Q3 - 3:24DETSUB: Villanueva FOR Wallace49
69
Q3 - 3:24DETSUB: Bynum FOR Maxiell49
69
Q3 - 3:24MIASUB: Howard FOR Ilgauskas49
69
Q3 - 3:24MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh49
69
Q3 - 3:24DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T3)49
69
Q3 - 3:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)49
69
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Jones 3' Layup49
69
Q3 - 3:39MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
69
Q3 - 3:40DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
69
Q3 - 3:59MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)49
69
Q3 - 4:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
67
Q3 - 4:11DETMISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 4:35MIAIlgauskas 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)49
67
Q3 - 4:48MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
65
Q3 - 4:49DETMISS Maxiell 4' Jump Shot49
65
Q3 - 4:57DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
65
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot49
65
Q3 - 5:19DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)49
65
Q3 - 5:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
65
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot46
65
Q3 - 5:55MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
65
Q3 - 5:56DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
65
Q3 - 6:15MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)46
65
Q3 - 6:28DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P4.T8)46
65
Q3 - 6:28DETStuckey OFF.Foul (P2)46
65
Q3 - 6:39DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)46
65
Q3 - 6:41MIAJames 3' Dunk (16 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)46
65
Q3 - 6:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
63
Q3 - 6:46DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot46
63
Q3 - 7:06DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
63
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
63
Q3 - 7:14MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
63
Q3 - 7:15DETIlgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK)46
63
Q3 - 7:16DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
63
Q3 - 7:17DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot46
63
Q3 - 7:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
63
Q3 - 7:25DETMISS Wallace 4' Hook Shot46
63
Q3 - 7:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
63
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot46
63
Q3 - 7:52MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
63
Q3 - 7:53DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 246
63
Q3 - 7:53DETPistons Rebound46
63
Q3 - 7:53DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 246
63
Q3 - 7:53MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T4)46
63
Q3 - 7:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
63
Q3 - 7:58MIAMISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
63
Q3 - 8:10MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
63
Q3 - 8:11DETIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)46
63
Q3 - 8:26MIABosh L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)46
63
Q3 - 8:26DETPistons Rebound46
63
Q3 - 8:27DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot46
63
Q3 - 8:37MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade46
63
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.T2)46
63
Q3 - 8:46MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
63
Q3 - 8:46MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
62
Q3 - 8:46DETHamilton S.FOUL (P2.T2)46
61
Q3 - 8:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
61
Q3 - 8:52DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
61
Q3 - 9:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)46
61
Q3 - 9:17DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T1)46
60
Q3 - 9:17MIAWade 3' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)46
60
Q3 - 9:17MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
58
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot46
58
Q3 - 9:39DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)46
58
Q3 - 10:01MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
58
Q3 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
56
Q3 - 10:09DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot44
56
Q3 - 10:18DETPistons Rebound44
56
Q3 - 10:19DETMISS Stuckey 8' Jump Shot44
56
Q3 - 10:33MIAIlgauskas L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)44
56
Q3 - 10:33DETPistons Rebound44
56
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot44
56
Q3 - 10:50DETWallace 2' Layup (4 PTS)44
56
Q3 - 11:14MIAWade 2' Reverse Dunk (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)42
56
Q3 - 11:18DETArroyo STEAL (1 STL)42
54
Q3 - 11:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)42
54
Q3 - 12:0042
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
54
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper42
54
Q2 - 0:12.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)42
54
Q2 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Arroyo41
54
Q2 - 0:12.0DETPistons Rebound41
54
Q2 - 0:12.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 241
54
Q2 - 0:12.0MIADampier S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
54
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
54
Q2 - 0:34.0DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T6)41
54
Q2 - 0:34.0DETStuckey OFF.Foul (P1)41
54
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T4)41
54
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAArroyo OFF.Foul (P2)41
54
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
54
Q2 - 0:53.0DETMISS Prince 14' Turnaround Jump Shot41
54
Q2 - 1:12DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
54
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot41
54
Q2 - 1:26DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
54
Q2 - 1:26DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
54
Q2 - 1:26MIABosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)39
54
Q2 - 1:42MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)39
54
Q2 - 1:42MIAHEAT Rebound39
53
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 239
53
Q2 - 1:42DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
53
Q2 - 1:54DETStuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
53
Q2 - 2:14MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)36
53
Q2 - 2:20MIASUB: Dampier FOR Anthony36
51
Q2 - 2:20MIASUB: Arroyo FOR Chalmers36
51
Q2 - 2:20MIASUB: Bosh FOR Howard36
51
Q2 - 2:20DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Villanueva36
51
Q2 - 2:20DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)36
51
Q2 - 2:39DETVillanueva 3' Running Layup (10 PTS)36
51
Q2 - 3:04MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)34
51
Q2 - 3:12MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
48
Q2 - 3:13MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot34
48
Q2 - 3:40DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
48
Q2 - 3:53DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
48
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot32
48
Q2 - 4:05DETAnthony STEAL (1 STL)32
48
Q2 - 4:22DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
48
Q2 - 4:23MIAMISS Anthony 2' Dunk32
48
Q2 - 4:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
48
Q2 - 4:46DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 232
48
Q2 - 4:46DETPistons Rebound32
48
Q2 - 4:46DETMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 232
48
Q2 - 4:46MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
48
Q2 - 4:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
48
Q2 - 4:59MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
47
Q2 - 4:59MIASUB: James FOR Jones32
46
Q2 - 4:59MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh32
46
Q2 - 4:59DETSUB: Prince FOR McGrady32
46
Q2 - 4:59DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Bynum32
46
Q2 - 4:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
46
Q2 - 4:59DETBynum S.FOUL (P2.PN)32
46
Q2 - 5:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
46
Q2 - 5:17DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
46
Q2 - 5:38MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
46
Q2 - 5:50MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
44
Q2 - 5:51DETMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
44
Q2 - 6:08DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
44
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot32
44
Q2 - 6:32DETMonroe 3' Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)32
44
Q2 - 6:53DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
44
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot30
44
Q2 - 7:08MIAHEAT Rebound30
44
Q2 - 7:08MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 230
44
Q2 - 7:08MIABosh Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (13 PTS)30
44
Q2 - 7:0830
43
Q2 - 7:0830
43
Q2 - 7:08DETBynum C.P.FOUL (P1.T4)30
43
Q2 - 7:08DETBosh STEAL (1 STL)30
43
Q2 - 7:18MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)30
43
Q2 - 7:42DETVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)30
40
Q2 - 7:58MIABosh 3' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)27
40
Q2 - 8:07DETGordon 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)27
38
Q2 - 8:19MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)25
38
Q2 - 8:39DETVillanueva 5' Tip Shot (5 PTS)25
36
Q2 - 8:40DETVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
36
Q2 - 8:41DETMISS Bynum 3PT Jump Shot23
36
Q2 - 8:59MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)23
36
Q2 - 9:07MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34
Q2 - 9:08DETMISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot23
34
Q2 - 9:21MIASUB: House FOR Wade23
34
Q2 - 9:21MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T3)23
34
Q2 - 9:21MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)23
34
Q2 - 9:23MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34
Q2 - 9:24DETMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
34
Q2 - 9:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
34
Q2 - 9:45MIAHEAT Rebound23
33
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 223
33
Q2 - 9:45MIASUB: Wade FOR James23
33
Q2 - 9:45DETMonroe S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
33
Q2 - 9:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
33
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
33
Q2 - 10:15DETMonroe 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)23
33
Q2 - 10:23DETGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
33
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
33
Q2 - 10:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
33
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 221
33
Q2 - 10:33MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
33
Q2 - 10:33DETVillanueva S.FOUL (P2.T2)21
32
Q2 - 10:45DETMonroe Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)21
32
Q2 - 10:57MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)21
32
Q2 - 11:19DETVillanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)21
30
Q2 - 11:35DETMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot18
30
Q2 - 11:45MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
30
Q2 - 11:46DETAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)18
30
Q2 - 11:56MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)18
30
Q2 - 11:56MIAHEAT Rebound18
29
Q2 - 11:56MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 218
29
Q2 - 11:56DETVillanueva S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
29
Q2 - 12:0018
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
29
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
29
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jones 8' Jump Shot18
29
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
29
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot18
29
Q1 - 0:27.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
29
Q1 - 0:27.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
29
Q1 - 0:27.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Arroyo16
29
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)16
29
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)16
29
Q1 - 1:03DETMonroe 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)16
27
Q1 - 1:24MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
27
Q1 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
24
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot14
24
Q1 - 1:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
24
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot14
24
Q1 - 2:09DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
24
Q1 - 2:25MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)12
24
Q1 - 2:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
21
Q1 - 2:38DETMISS Bynum 10' Jump Shot12
21
Q1 - 2:55DETSUB: Villanueva FOR Stuckey12
21
Q1 - 2:55DETSUB: Bynum FOR Wallace12
21
Q1 - 2:55MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
21
Q1 - 2:55MIAArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
21
Q1 - 3:05MIAJames 4' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)12
21
Q1 - 3:27DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
19
Q1 - 3:27MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade11
19
Q1 - 3:27DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
19
Q1 - 3:27DETSUB: Monroe FOR Maxiell10
19
Q1 - 3:27MIASUB: Howard FOR Bosh10
19
Q1 - 3:27MIASUB: Anthony FOR Ilgauskas10
19
Q1 - 3:27MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)10
19
Q1 - 3:33MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
19
Q1 - 3:37DETWade STEAL (1 STL)10
19
Q1 - 3:50MIAIlgauskas 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
19
Q1 - 4:09DETHamilton 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
17
Q1 - 4:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
17
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 4:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
17
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Stuckey 4' Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 4:59DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
17
Q1 - 5:06MIAJames 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 5:12MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
15
Q1 - 5:13DETMISS Prince 1' Layup8
15
Q1 - 5:35MIAArroyo 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)8
15
Q1 - 5:44DETJames STEAL (1 STL)8
13
Q1 - 6:07MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 6:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 6:14DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot8
11
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
11
Q1 - 6:43MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 6:56DETMaxiell 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)8
9
Q1 - 7:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
9
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 26
9
Q1 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 7:19DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
8
Q1 - 7:33DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)6
8
Q1 - 7:50MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
8
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 8:01DETMISS Stuckey 2' Layup4
8
Q1 - 8:03DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS James 3' Layup4
8
Q1 - 8:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup4
8
Q1 - 8:16MIAArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8
Q1 - 8:17DETMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:30MIAIlgauskas 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:46MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:47DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:14MIABosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:38DETWallace 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
4
Q1 - 9:59MIAArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:22DETPrince 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:41DETMISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:53DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:54DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:18MIAJames 3' Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:37DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Wallace: Tip to Maxiell0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
27
56%
MIA
12
18
67%
Midrange
DET
8
30
27%
MIA
21
46
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
11
19
58%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Monroe1575%7.5 / 10
C. Villanueva1045%5.0 / 11
R. Hamilton938%4.5 / 12
T. Prince836%4.0 / 11
R. Stuckey840%4.0 / 10
W. Bynum536%2.5 / 7
B. Gordon563%2.5 / 4
B. Wallace450%2.0 / 4
C. Wilcox450%2.0 / 4
J. Maxiell220%1.0 / 5
A. Daye214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James1856%9.0 / 16
C. Bosh1657%8.0 / 14
D. Wade1673%8.0 / 11
J. Howard1267%6.0 / 9
E. House1083%5.0 / 6
J. Jones956%4.5 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas867%4.0 / 6
C. Arroyo429%2.0 / 7
M. Chalmers440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
69
+16
-16
85
MIA
77
+12
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.4
DET 84.7
MIA 111.5 +26.8
Pace
89.3
91.3
DET 83.5
MIA 88.6 +5.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.2
DET 17.2
MIA 16.3 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
52.4%
DET 40.1%
MIA 55.3% +15.2%
TO %
13.5%
14.4%
DET 15.9%
MIA 10.5% −5.4%
ORB %
27.4%
25.2%
DET 27.1%
MIA 27.8% +0.7%
FTrt
27.9
36.3
DET 25.0
MIA 27.6 +2.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
54.1%
DET 39.3%
MIA 59.0% +19.7%
STL %
8.0%
7.3%
DET 5.9%
MIA 11.5% +5.6%
BLK %
6.6%
8.5%
DET 4.7%
MIA 7.0% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
55.7%
DET 42.4%
MIA 54.5% +12.1%
Rim FG%
59.2%
64.7%
DET 55.6%
MIA 66.7% +11.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
42.2%
DET 26.7%
MIA 45.7% +19.0%
3P %
37.6%
37.0%
DET 26.3%
MIA 50.0% +23.7%
FT %
73.7%
76.9%
DET 57.9%
MIA 61.9% +4.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.3%
31.6%
DET 35.5% +11.8%
MIA 23.7%
Mid Att. %
44.8%
44.9%
DET 39.5% −21.1%
MIA 60.5%
3P Att. %
18.9%
23.5%
DET 25.0% +9.2%
MIA 15.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions8587
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points7297
Rebounds3945
Assists1123
Steals510
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals28-7639-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2712-18
Midrange FG8-3021-46
2-Point FG23-5733-64
3-Point FG5-196-12
Free Throws11-1913-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 212 · 31
28.1
8
36%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 193 · 33
24.0
9
38%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-5
20%
G · 6'5" 205 · 25
22.7
8
40%
1
1
0
0
4
2
0
1
5-6
83%
0-6
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 28
19.5
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 240 · 36
17.7
4
50%
6
0
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20
30.9
15
75%
8
0
1
0
4
2
4
4
1-4
25%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
25.3
5
36%
2
2
0
0
2
2
1
1
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 28
24.0
5
63%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 232 · 26
21.3
10
45%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 220 · 22
12.9
2
14%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32
7.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28
6.7
4
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#33 · F · 6'10" 231 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'5" 213 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
42%
39
11
5
3
16
0
13
26
11-19
58%
23-57
40%
5-19
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.