| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 DET | 84.7 | 85 | 83.5 |
 MIA | 111.5 | 87 | 88.6 |
Scoring Opportunities
DET
69
+16
-16
85
MIA
77
+12
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | DET | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 72 0% | 97 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:10.0 | DET | Wilcox 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 72 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | DET | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | DET | MISS Monroe 2' Tip Shot | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | DET | Daye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:16.0 | DET | MISS Daye 2' Tip Shot | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:17.0 | DET | MISS Wilcox 8' Jump Shot | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | MIA | House Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 70 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | MIA | House Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 70 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | DET | Monroe Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16) | 70 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Arroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 70 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:57.0 | DET | Wilcox Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 70 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:02 | DET | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 70 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:03 | MIA | MISS Howard 15' Jump Shot | 70 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:22 | DET | Monroe 3' Layup (15 PTS) | 70 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 68 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | DET | MISS Bynum 19' Jump Shot | 68 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:32 | MIA | Howard 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 68 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 1:48 | MIA | Dampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 68 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | DET | MISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 2 | 68 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:49 | DET | Monroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 68 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:02 | MIA | Howard 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 5 AST) | 67 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:16 | DET | Gordon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 67 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:33 | DET | Bynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 64 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:34 | MIA | MISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 64 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:51 | DET | Bynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 64 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:55 | DET | Daye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 61 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot | 61 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:22 | DET | Daye 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bynum 2 AST) | 61 0% | 91 100% |
| Q4 - 3:35 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 59 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup | 59 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | DET | Bynum 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 59 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | DET | Bynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 57 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:02 | DET | MISS Daye 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:13 | MIA | Howard 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 2 AST) | 57 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:26 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | DET | MISS Monroe Free Throw 2 of 2 | 57 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:27 | DET | MISS Monroe Free Throw 1 of 2 | 57 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | MIA | Howard 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 57 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:02 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:03 | DET | MISS Wilcox 4' Tip Shot | 57 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | DET | Wilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 57 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:04 | DET | MISS Daye 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 57 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:18 | MIA | House 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 57 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | DET | Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 57 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | DET | Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 56 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | MIA | Wade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS) | 55 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | DET | Chalmers STEAL (3 STL) | 55 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:23 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) | 55 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | DET | Wade STEAL (2 STL) | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:58 | DET | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:59 | MIA | MISS Anthony 11' Jump Shot | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:23 | DET | MISS Villanueva 9' Hook Shot | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | MIA | Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9) | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | DET | Chalmers STEAL (2 STL) | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | MIA | Wade 3' Dunk (12 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST) | 55 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | DET | Villanueva Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 55 0.1% | 78 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:40 | MIA | Jones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 55 0.1% | 78 99.9% |
| Q4 - 8:53 | DET | Monroe 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 55 0.2% | 75 99.8% |
| Q4 - 8:56 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 53 0.1% | 75 99.9% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | DET | MISS Daye 3' Driving Layup | 53 0.1% | 75 99.9% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 53 0.2% | 75 99.8% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 53 0.2% | 75 99.8% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 | 53 0.1% | 75 99.9% |
| Q4 - 9:21 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 53 0.1% | 75 99.9% |
| Q4 - 9:22 | DET | MISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot | 53 0.1% | 75 99.9% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | MIA | Wade 3' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) | 53 0.2% | 75 99.8% |
| Q4 - 9:59 | DET | Monroe 2' Layup (10 PTS) | 53 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:02 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:03 | DET | MISS Villanueva 6' Hook Shot | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:18 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:19 | DET | MISS Daye 3PT Jump Shot | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | MIA | MISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 11:02 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 11:03 | DET | MISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | MISS Howard 8' Hook Shot | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q4 - 11:24 | DET | Howard STEAL (1 STL) | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 13' Jump Shot | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q4 - 11:50 | DET | Chalmers STEAL (1 STL) | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 51 0.2% | 73 99.8% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q3 - 0:17.0 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q3 - 0:18.0 | DET | MISS Hamilton 9' Running Jump Shot | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q3 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Howard 3' Layup (4 PTS) | 51 0.3% | 73 99.7% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 51 0.4% | 71 99.6% |
| Q3 - 0:42.0 | DET | Anthony BLOCK (2 BLK) | 51 0.4% | 71 99.6% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 51 0.5% | 71 99.5% |
| Q3 - 0:58.0 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 51 0.5% | 71 99.5% |
| Q3 - 1:21 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 51 0.5% | 71 99.5% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | DET | MISS Prince 10' Jump Shot | 51 0.5% | 71 99.5% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | MIA | James 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 51 0.6% | 71 99.4% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 51 0.8% | 69 99.2% |
| Q3 - 2:02 | DET | MISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 0.8% | 69 99.2% |
| Q3 - 2:12 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 51 0.9% | 69 99.1% |
| Q3 - 2:13 | MIA | MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 51 0.9% | 69 99.1% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 51 0.8% | 69 99.2% |
| Q3 - 2:20 | DET | MISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot | 51 0.8% | 69 99.2% |
| Q3 - 2:39 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 51 0.9% | 69 99.1% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot | 51 0.9% | 69 99.1% |
| Q3 - 2:58 | DET | Monroe 2' Layup (8 PTS) | 51 0.8% | 69 99.2% |
| Q3 - 3:17 | MIA | Anthony Traveling Turnover (P1.T8) | 49 0.7% | 69 99.3% |
| Q3 - 3:34 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0) | 49 0.6% | 69 99.4% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | MIA | MISS Jones 3' Layup | 49 0.7% | 69 99.3% |
| Q3 - 3:39 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 49 0.6% | 69 99.4% |
| Q3 - 3:40 | DET | MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 49 0.6% | 69 99.4% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST) | 49 0.7% | 69 99.3% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 49 0.9% | 67 99.1% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | DET | MISS Stuckey 21' Jump Shot | 49 1.0% | 67 99.0% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST) | 49 1.1% | 67 98.9% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 49 1.3% | 65 98.7% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | DET | MISS Maxiell 4' Jump Shot | 49 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 4:57 | DET | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 49 1.6% | 65 98.4% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | MIA | MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot | 49 1.5% | 65 98.5% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | DET | Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Prince 2 AST) | 49 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 5:36 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 46 1.0% | 65 99.0% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot | 46 1.0% | 65 99.0% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 46 0.8% | 65 99.2% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | DET | MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 0.9% | 65 99.1% |
| Q3 - 6:15 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7) | 46 1.1% | 65 98.9% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | DET | Stuckey Foul Turnover (P4.T8) | 46 0.9% | 65 99.1% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | MIA | James 3' Dunk (16 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 46 1.1% | 65 98.9% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 46 1.3% | 63 98.7% |
| Q3 - 6:46 | DET | MISS Prince 18' Jump Shot | 46 1.3% | 63 98.7% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | DET | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:07 | MIA | MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 46 1.4% | 63 98.6% |
| Q3 - 7:15 | DET | Ilgauskas BLOCK (2 BLK) | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:16 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | DET | MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:24 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:25 | DET | MISS Wallace 4' Hook Shot | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 46 1.4% | 63 98.6% |
| Q3 - 7:53 | DET | MISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 | 46 1.4% | 63 98.6% |
| Q3 - 7:53 | DET | MISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 46 1.6% | 63 98.4% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 46 1.4% | 63 98.6% |
| Q3 - 8:11 | DET | Ilgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK) | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 46 1.7% | 63 98.3% |
| Q3 - 8:27 | DET | MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot | 46 1.5% | 63 98.5% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 46 1.7% | 63 98.3% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 46 1.7% | 62 98.3% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 46 1.9% | 61 98.1% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | DET | MISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 2.0% | 61 98.0% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS) | 46 2.3% | 61 97.7% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 46 3.1% | 58 96.9% |
| Q3 - 9:19 | MIA | MISS Wade 22' Jump Shot | 46 3.4% | 58 96.6% |
| Q3 - 9:39 | DET | Prince 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST) | 46 3.1% | 58 96.9% |
| Q3 - 10:01 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 44 2.8% | 58 97.2% |
| Q3 - 10:08 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 44 3.1% | 56 96.9% |
| Q3 - 10:09 | DET | MISS Prince 20' Jump Shot | 44 3.3% | 56 96.7% |
| Q3 - 10:18 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 44 3.6% | 56 96.4% |
| Q3 - 10:19 | DET | MISS Stuckey 8' Jump Shot | 44 3.3% | 56 96.7% |
| Q3 - 10:33 | DET | Pistons Rebound | 44 3.6% | 56 96.4% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot | 44 3.5% | 56 96.5% |
| Q3 - 10:50 | DET | Wallace 2' Layup (4 PTS) | 44 3.1% | 56 96.9% |
| Q3 - 11:14 | MIA | Wade 2' Reverse Dunk (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 42 2.8% | 56 97.2% |
| Q3 - 11:18 | DET | Arroyo STEAL (1 STL) | 42 3.2% | 54 96.8% |
| Q3 - 11:39 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6) | 42 3.7% | 54 96.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 42 3.2% | 54 96.8% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 42 3.2% | 54 96.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS James 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 42 3.5% | 54 96.5% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 42 3.5% | 54 96.5% |
| Q2 - 0:12.0 | DET | MISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 | 41 3.4% | 54 96.6% |
| Q2 - 0:14.0 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5) | 41 3.3% | 54 96.7% |
| Q2 - 0:34.0 | DET | Stuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T6) | 41 3.0% | 54 97.0% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | MIA | Arroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 41 3.3% | 54 96.7% |
| Q2 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 41 3.0% | 54 97.0% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | DET | MISS Prince 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 41 3.1% | 54 96.9% |
| Q2 - 1:12 | DET | Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 41 3.4% | 54 96.6% |
| Q2 - 1:13 | MIA | MISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot | 41 3.3% | 54 96.7% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 41 3.1% | 54 96.9% |
| Q2 - 1:26 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 40 3.0% | 54 97.0% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 39 2.6% | 54 97.4% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 39 2.7% | 53 97.3% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | DET | Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 39 2.7% | 53 97.3% |
| Q2 - 2:14 | MIA | James 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST) | 36 2.1% | 53 97.9% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | DET | Villanueva 3' Running Layup (10 PTS) | 36 2.4% | 51 97.6% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | MIA | House 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 34 2.2% | 51 97.8% |
| Q2 - 3:12 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 34 2.7% | 48 97.3% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | MIA | MISS James 22' Jump Shot | 34 3.0% | 48 97.0% |
| Q2 - 3:40 | DET | Prince 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 34 2.7% | 48 97.3% |
| Q2 - 3:53 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 32 2.5% | 48 97.5% |
| Q2 - 3:54 | MIA | MISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot | 32 2.4% | 48 97.6% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | DET | Anthony STEAL (1 STL) | 32 2.2% | 48 97.8% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | DET | Monroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 32 2.5% | 48 97.5% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | MIA | MISS Anthony 2' Dunk | 32 2.4% | 48 97.6% |
| Q2 - 4:45 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 32 2.2% | 48 97.8% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | DET | MISS Villanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 2.2% | 48 97.8% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | DET | MISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 | 32 2.4% | 48 97.6% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 32 2.5% | 48 97.5% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 32 2.6% | 47 97.4% |
| Q2 - 5:16 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 32 2.9% | 46 97.1% |
| Q2 - 5:17 | DET | MISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 3.0% | 46 97.0% |
| Q2 - 5:38 | MIA | Chalmers 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 32 3.2% | 46 96.8% |
| Q2 - 5:50 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 3.6% | 44 96.4% |
| Q2 - 5:51 | DET | MISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 32 3.7% | 44 96.3% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | DET | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 4.3% | 44 95.7% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot | 32 4.1% | 44 95.9% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | DET | Monroe 3' Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST) | 32 3.7% | 44 96.3% |
| Q2 - 6:53 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 30 3.4% | 44 96.6% |
| Q2 - 6:54 | MIA | MISS House 19' Jump Shot | 30 3.3% | 44 96.7% |
| Q2 - 7:08 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 | 30 3.1% | 44 96.9% |
| Q2 - 7:08 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 30 2.8% | 44 97.2% |
| Q2 - 7:08 | DET | Bosh STEAL (1 STL) | 30 3.4% | 43 96.6% |
| Q2 - 7:18 | MIA | Jones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 30 3.8% | 43 96.2% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | DET | Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST) | 30 4.7% | 40 95.3% |
| Q2 - 7:58 | MIA | Bosh 3' Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 27 3.8% | 40 96.2% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | DET | Gordon 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) | 27 4.3% | 38 95.7% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | MIA | House 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 25 3.9% | 38 96.1% |
| Q2 - 8:39 | DET | Villanueva 5' Tip Shot (5 PTS) | 25 4.3% | 36 95.7% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | DET | Villanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 23 3.9% | 36 96.1% |
| Q2 - 8:41 | DET | MISS Bynum 3PT Jump Shot | 23 3.6% | 36 96.4% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIA | Bosh 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 23 3.9% | 36 96.1% |
| Q2 - 9:07 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 4.4% | 34 95.6% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | DET | MISS Villanueva 17' Jump Shot | 23 4.5% | 34 95.5% |
| Q2 - 9:21 | MIA | Wade Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 23 4.8% | 34 95.2% |
| Q2 - 9:23 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 4.4% | 34 95.6% |
| Q2 - 9:24 | DET | MISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 4.5% | 34 95.5% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 23 4.9% | 34 95.1% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 4.9% | 33 95.1% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 23 4.8% | 33 95.2% |
| Q2 - 9:51 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 5.2% | 33 94.8% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | DET | Monroe 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST) | 23 4.9% | 33 95.1% |
| Q2 - 10:23 | DET | Gordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 4.5% | 33 95.5% |
| Q2 - 10:24 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 4.4% | 33 95.6% |
| Q2 - 10:31 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 21 4.0% | 33 96.0% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 21 4.4% | 33 95.6% |
| Q2 - 10:33 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 21 4.2% | 33 95.8% |
| Q2 - 10:45 | DET | Monroe Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 21 4.5% | 32 95.5% |
| Q2 - 10:57 | MIA | Bosh 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 21 5.0% | 32 95.0% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | DET | Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST) | 21 5.5% | 30 94.5% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | DET | McGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 4.6% | 30 95.4% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | MIA | MISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot | 18 4.5% | 30 95.5% |
| Q2 - 11:45 | MIA | Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 4.2% | 30 95.8% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | DET | Anthony BLOCK (1 BLK) | 18 4.3% | 30 95.7% |
| Q2 - 11:56 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 18 4.6% | 30 95.4% |
| Q2 - 11:56 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 4.7% | 29 95.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 18 4.6% | 29 95.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 18 4.7% | 29 95.3% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | MIA | MISS Jones 8' Jump Shot | 18 4.9% | 29 95.1% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 18 4.7% | 29 95.3% |
| Q1 - 0:08.0 | MIA | MISS Howard 14' Jump Shot | 18 4.9% | 29 95.1% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 18 4.7% | 29 95.3% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | DET | Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 17 4.6% | 29 95.4% |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Howard 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 16 4.2% | 29 95.8% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | DET | Monroe 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST) | 16 4.8% | 27 95.2% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | MIA | Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 14 4.3% | 27 95.7% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 14 5.2% | 24 94.8% |
| Q1 - 1:31 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 14 5.5% | 24 94.5% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 5.2% | 24 94.8% |
| Q1 - 1:54 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 14 5.5% | 24 94.5% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | DET | Hamilton 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 14 5.3% | 24 94.7% |
| Q1 - 2:25 | MIA | James 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 12 4.8% | 24 95.2% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 12 5.8% | 21 94.2% |
| Q1 - 2:38 | DET | MISS Bynum 10' Jump Shot | 12 5.9% | 21 94.1% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | MIA | James 4' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) | 12 6.3% | 21 93.7% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 6.8% | 19 93.2% |
| Q1 - 3:27 | DET | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 11 6.7% | 19 93.3% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | MIA | James Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 6.3% | 19 93.7% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | DET | Wade STEAL (1 STL) | 10 5.7% | 19 94.3% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | MIA | Ilgauskas 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 10 6.3% | 19 93.7% |
| Q1 - 4:09 | DET | Hamilton 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 10 6.6% | 17 93.4% |
| Q1 - 4:24 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 8 6.2% | 17 93.8% |
| Q1 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 8 6.0% | 17 94.0% |
| Q1 - 4:46 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 5.6% | 17 94.4% |
| Q1 - 4:47 | DET | MISS Stuckey 4' Jump Shot | 8 5.8% | 17 94.2% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | MIA | James 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 8 6.4% | 17 93.6% |
| Q1 - 5:12 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 6.8% | 15 93.2% |
| Q1 - 5:13 | DET | MISS Prince 1' Layup | 8 7.0% | 15 93.0% |
| Q1 - 5:35 | MIA | Arroyo 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST) | 8 7.4% | 15 92.6% |
| Q1 - 5:44 | DET | James STEAL (1 STL) | 8 8.0% | 13 92.0% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIA | James 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 8 8.5% | 13 91.5% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 9.2% | 11 90.8% |
| Q1 - 6:14 | DET | MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot | 8 9.4% | 11 90.6% |
| Q1 - 6:43 | MIA | Bosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) | 8 10.0% | 11 90.0% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | DET | Maxiell 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST) | 8 10.7% | 9 89.3% |
| Q1 - 7:18 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 6 9.8% | 9 90.2% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | MIA | MISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 | 6 9.7% | 9 90.3% |
| Q1 - 7:19 | MIA | Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 6 9.2% | 9 90.8% |
| Q1 - 7:33 | DET | Prince 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST) | 6 9.7% | 8 90.3% |
| Q1 - 7:50 | MIA | Wade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 9.1% | 8 90.9% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 8.4% | 8 91.6% |
| Q1 - 8:01 | DET | MISS Stuckey 2' Layup | 4 8.5% | 8 91.5% |
| Q1 - 8:03 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 4 8.9% | 8 91.1% |
| Q1 - 8:06 | MIA | MISS James 3' Layup | 4 8.7% | 8 91.3% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 4 8.3% | 8 91.7% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Ilgauskas 2' Layup | 4 8.7% | 8 91.3% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | MIA | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 8.3% | 8 91.7% |
| Q1 - 8:17 | DET | MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 4 8.5% | 8 91.5% |
| Q1 - 8:30 | MIA | Ilgauskas 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 4 8.9% | 8 91.1% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | MIA | Ilgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 9.6% | 6 90.4% |
| Q1 - 8:47 | DET | MISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot | 4 9.8% | 6 90.2% |
| Q1 - 9:14 | MIA | Bosh 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) | 4 10.2% | 6 89.8% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | DET | Wallace 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 4 10.9% | 4 89.1% |
| Q1 - 9:59 | MIA | Arroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST) | 2 10.2% | 4 89.8% |
| Q1 - 10:22 | DET | Prince 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 2 10.8% | 2 89.2% |
| Q1 - 10:40 | DET | Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 10.2% | 2 89.8% |
| Q1 - 10:41 | DET | MISS Maxiell 16' Jump Shot | 0 9.7% | 2 90.3% |
| Q1 - 10:53 | DET | Maxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 10.2% | 2 89.8% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | DET | MISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot | 0 9.7% | 2 90.3% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | MIA | James 3' Layup (2 PTS) | 0 9.9% | 2 90.1% |
| Q1 - 11:36 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 10.6% | 0 89.4% |
| Q1 - 11:37 | DET | MISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot | 0 10.8% | 0 89.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Wallace: Tip to Maxiell | 0 11.2% | 0 88.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
15
27
56%
MIA
12
18
67%
Midrange
DET
8
30
27%
MIA
21
46
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
MIA
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
11
19
58%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pistons| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Monroe | 15 | 75% | 7.5 / 10 | |
| C. Villanueva | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| R. Hamilton | 9 | 38% | 4.5 / 12 | |
| T. Prince | 8 | 36% | 4.0 / 11 | |
| R. Stuckey | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| W. Bynum | 5 | 36% | 2.5 / 7 | |
| B. Gordon | 5 | 63% | 2.5 / 4 | |
| B. Wallace | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| C. Wilcox | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| J. Maxiell | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| A. Daye | 2 | 14% | 1.0 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 18 | 56% | 9.0 / 16 | |
| C. Bosh | 16 | 57% | 8.0 / 14 | |
| D. Wade | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| J. Howard | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| E. House | 10 | 83% | 5.0 / 6 | |
| J. Jones | 9 | 56% | 4.5 / 8 | |
| Z. Ilgauskas | 8 | 67% | 4.0 / 6 | |
| C. Arroyo | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| M. Chalmers | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| J. Anthony | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
DET
69
+16
-16
85
MIA
77
+12
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
DET
0.85 42.4%
MIA
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 107.5 111.4 | DET 84.7 +26.8 MIA 111.5 |
| Pace | 89.3 91.3 | DET 83.5 MIA 88.6 +5.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.6 16.2 | DET 17.2 MIA 16.3 +1.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.5% 52.4% | DET 40.1% MIA 55.3% +15.2% |
| TO % | 13.5% 14.4% | DET 15.9% MIA 10.5% +5.4% |
| ORB % | 27.4% 25.2% | DET 27.1% MIA 27.8% +0.7% |
| FTrt | 27.9 36.3 | DET 25.0 MIA 27.6 +2.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 56.6% 54.1% | DET 39.3% MIA 59.0% +19.7% |
| STL % | 8.0% 7.3% | DET 5.9% MIA 11.5% +5.6% |
| BLK % | 6.6% 8.5% | DET 4.7% MIA 7.0% +2.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 51.9% 55.7% | DET 42.4% MIA 54.5% +12.1% |
| Rim FG% | 59.2% 64.7% | DET 55.6% MIA 66.7% +11.1% |
| Mid FG% | 38.8% 42.2% | DET 26.7% MIA 45.7% +19.0% |
| 3P % | 37.6% 37.0% | DET 26.3% MIA 50.0% +23.7% |
| FT % | 73.7% 76.9% | DET 57.9% MIA 61.9% +4.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 36.3% 31.6% | DET 35.5% +11.8% MIA 23.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.8% 44.9% | DET 39.5% +21.1% MIA 60.5% |
| 3P Att. % | 18.9% 23.5% | DET 25.0% +9.2% MIA 15.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
| Game Totals | DET | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 85 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.4 | 23.6 |
| Points | 72 | 97 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 45 |
| Assists | 11 | 23 |
| Steals | 5 | 10 |
| Blocks | 3 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 16 (0) | 10 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 13 (3) | 10 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (2) | 35 (1) |
| Field Goals | 28-76 | 39-76 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-27 | 12-18 |
| Midrange FG | 8-30 | 21-46 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-57 | 33-64 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-19 | 6-12 |
| Free Throws | 11-19 | 13-21 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.